• 항공우주기술
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.203-210
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• 2005

KSLV-I에 탑재를 위한 주 데이터 장치(MDU)의 초기개발모델이 제작되었으며 인터페이스시험이 수행되었다. MDU의 엔지니어링 및 비행모델 제작을 수행하기 이전에 MDU 초기 모델에 대한 발사체 탑재 가용성을 확인하기 위하여 신뢰도 예측을 수행하였다. 본 논문은 전장품의 신뢰도 예측에 활용되는 MIL-HDBK-217F를 근간으로 MDU 개발 모델의 신뢰도 예측 방법에 대해 기술하였으며 신뢰도 예측결과를 기술하고 있다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.142-148
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• 2015

Due to advancements in technology and manufacturing capability, it is not uncommon that life tests yield no or few failures at low stress levels. In these situations it is difficult to analyse lifetime data and make meaningful inferences about product or system reliability. For some products or systems whose performance characteristics degrade over time, a failure is said to have occurred when a performance characteristic crosses a critical threshold. The measurements of the degradation characteristic contain much useful and credible information about product or system reliability. Degradation measurements of the performance characteristics of an unfailed unit at different times can directly relate reliability measures to physical characteristics. Reliability prediction based on physical performance measures can be an efficient and alternative method to estimate for some highly reliable parts or systems. If the degradation process and the distance between the last measurement and a specified threshold can be established, the remaining useful life is predicted in advance. In turn, this prediction leads to just in time maintenance decision to protect systems. In this paper, we describe techniques for mapping product or system which has degrading performance parameter to the associated classical reliability measures in the performance domain. This paper described a general modeling and analysis procedure for reliability prediction based on one dominant degradation performance characteristic considering pseudo degradation performance life trend model. This pseudo degradation trend model is based on probability modeling of a failure mechanism degradation trend and comparison of a projected distribution to pre-defined critical soft failure point in time or cycle.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.566-576
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• 2018

우리 군의 무기체계는 강력한 화력과 다양한 기능을 보유하고 있으며, 이에 따라 무기체계 신뢰도 예측을 통한 품질 향상의 중요성 역시 점점 커지고 있다. 현재 우리 군의 무기체계 신뢰도 예측은 무기체계를 구성하는 부품들의 신뢰도들의 단순 합계를 통해 이루어지기 때문에 정확한 신뢰도 산출이 어렵다. 따라서 군은 신뢰도 향상을 위해 다양한 연구를 수행할 필요가 있다. 최근 다양한 산업에서 축적된 데이터를 활용한 많은 연구가 시도됨에 따라, 방위산업에서도 축적되고 있지만 활용되지 않은 다크(Dark) 데이터에 관한 분석을 시도하고 있다. 특히, 방위산업의 후속군수지원 단계는 무기체계의 신뢰도 향상을 위한 후속군수지원(PLS) 데이터를 활용할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 부품단위의 기존 신뢰도 예측 방법에 대한 현황과 문제점을 검토하고, 후속군수지원의 결함 데이터의 적용방안을 제시한다. 이로 인해 무기체계 개발 시 신뢰도 예측의 정확성과 품질 향상에 도움이 될 것으로 기대한다.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1327-1335
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• 2011

Recently, also in railway vehicles, related products are being designed and manufactured through RAMS activities in order to secure their reliability, availability, maintainability & safety. Subway operators are conducting R&D on various preventive maintenance methods and applying them to the field so as to establish a reliability centered maintenance(RCM) system. In this connection, manufacturers shall carry out R&D based on reliability from the first design stage of development to provide high quality products to subway operators. And operators shall have the products operated properly to their particular operating environment and managed based on the standard maintenance manual. Not only that, but the related field data shall be fed back into the manufacturers to upgrade upcoming products by organic cooperation between manufacturer and operators. However, the mutually beneficial cooperative relationship is not still developed in the domestic railway industry. In terms of methodology for life prediction, this study was intended to analyze field data on relays used for rolling stocks considering operational characteristics in the position of subway operators and predict parts reliability using reliability prediction program from the standpoint of manufacturers as well.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.171-182
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• 2010

The reliability prediction analysis is a feedback tool that designer uses to provide insight into the component designs. This insight may indicate sensitive components within the design. This paper examines predicted failure rates for hybrid dc-dc converter for spacecraft using MIL-HDBK-217F prediction methodology. The results from part count/stress analysis represent priority components that affect the converter failures. The high priority components are analyzed to find out stress factor based on MIL-HDBK-217F. This information provides an opportunity for designer to improve the reliability of the product in development process.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.31-43
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• 2007

The function of O-ring seals is to prevent leakage during the service life of the components in which they are installed. The life prediction of O-ring is very important at various industry fields. Generally, to evaluated the long-term performance of O-ring in severe environments has applied a life prediction technique based on accelerated life test (ALT). In this work, Accelerated thermal aging test(l20, 130, 140, $150^{\circ}C$) of O-ring was applied for life prediction of O-ring. The property changes after thermal aging test was measured using TGA, DSC, FT - IR, Video Microscope and SEM. Shape parameter and life prediction were obtained using MINITAB program.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.296-304
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• 2017

Purpose: Recent weapon systems in defense have increased the complexity and importance of software when developing multifunctional equipment. In this study, we analyze the accuracy of the proposed software reliability model when applied to weapon systems. Methods: Determine the similarity between software reliability analysis results (prediction/estimation) utilizing data from developing weapon systems and system failures data during operation of weapon systems. Results: In case of a software reliability prediction model, the predicted failure rate was higher than the actual failure rate, and the estimation model was consistent with actual failure history data. Conclusion: The software prediction model needs to adjust the variables that are appropriate for the domestic weapon system environment. As the reliability of software is increasingly important in the defense industry, continuous efforts are needed to ensure accurate reliability analysis in the development of weapon systems.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.31-36
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• 2010

Collecting all failures during life cycle of vehicle is not easy way because its life cycle is normally over 10 years. Warranty period can help gathering failures data because most customers try to repair its failures during warranty period even though small failures. This warranty data, which means failures during warranty period, can be a good resource to predict initial reliability and permanence reliability. However uncertainty regarding reliability prediction remains because this data is censored. University of Wuppertal and major auto supplier developed the reliability prognosis model considering censored data and this model introduce to predict reliability estimate further "failure candidate". This paper predicts reliability of telecommunications system in vehicle using the model and describes data structure for reliability prediction.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.26-34
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• 2016

In this study, reliability prediction of the ignition system of hybrid rocket is performed. The FMECA is preceded to the reliability prediction. To this end, the ignition system is divided into 5 components and 19 potential failure modes. The failure cause and effects are identified and criticality analysis is carried out for each failure mode, in which the criticality number is estimated using the failure rate databases. Among the numbers, the failure modes and components with higher criticality and severity are chosen and allocated with higher weighting factor. The reliability predictions are performed using the failure rate databases, from which the current ignition system is found to satisfy the target reliability.

• 마이크로전자및패키징학회지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.1-4
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• 2015

Qualification includes all activities to demonstrate that a product meets and exceeds the reliability goals. Manufacturers need to spend time and resources for the qualification processes under the pressure of reducing time to market, as well as offering a competitive price. Failure to qualify a product could result in economic loss such as warranty and recall claims and the manufacturer could lose the reputation in the market. In order to provide valid and reliable qualification results, manufacturers are required to make extra effort based on the operational and environmental characteristics of the product. This paper discusses optimal interval censoring design for reliability prediction of electronic packages under limited time and resources. This design should provide more accurate assessment of package capability and thus deliver better reliability prediction.