• 제목/요약/키워드: reliability prediction

검색결과 1,201건 처리시간 0.026초

Fault Prediction Using Statistical and Machine Learning Methods for Improving Software Quality

  • Malhotra, Ruchika;Jain, Ankita
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.241-262
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    • 2012
  • An understanding of quality attributes is relevant for the software organization to deliver high software reliability. An empirical assessment of metrics to predict the quality attributes is essential in order to gain insight about the quality of software in the early phases of software development and to ensure corrective actions. In this paper, we predict a model to estimate fault proneness using Object Oriented CK metrics and QMOOD metrics. We apply one statistical method and six machine learning methods to predict the models. The proposed models are validated using dataset collected from Open Source software. The results are analyzed using Area Under the Curve (AUC) obtained from Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analysis. The results show that the model predicted using the random forest and bagging methods outperformed all the other models. Hence, based on these results it is reasonable to claim that quality models have a significant relevance with Object Oriented metrics and that machine learning methods have a comparable performance with statistical methods.

신뢰성 공학적 피로 균열의 발생, 진전 수명 평가 및 예측에 관한 연구 (II) (A Study on the Evaluation and Prediction for the Fatigue Crack Initiation and Growth Life by Reliability Approach ( II ))

  • 권재도;곽상국;최선호;황재석;진영준
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.907-915
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    • 1991
  • 본 연구에서는 피로 크랙 발생 및 파단수명의 통계학적 분포특성을 명확히 하 기 위해서 단축인장을 받고, 크랙 선단 곡율반경이 일정한 중앙 크랙을 가진 81개의 시험편을 사용하여 4개의 응력 레벨하에서 피로 시험을 행한후 많은 데이터들로 부터 피로크랙의 발생, 파단특성에 대한 신뢰성 있는 통계학적 확률특성을 제시하고, 이들 데이터를 활용하여 수명예측을 행해보고저 한다.

Prediction of Life Time of Rail Rubber Pad using Reliability Analysis Method

  • Park, Dae-Geun
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2013
  • Railpad prevents damage of the tie and ballast by reducing the impact and high frequency vibration, which occurs when a vehicle load transfers to a tie. But elasticity of the railpad can decrease under vehicle load and over usable period. If that happens, railpad will become stiffer. Increase in stiffness of the railpad also translates into a rise in track maintenance cost because it accelerates the damage of the track. In this study, accelerated heat ageing test was performed to predict an expectable lifetime of the railpad. As a result, it was predicted to be about sixteen years at $25^{\circ}C$ that life time of railpad using NR rubber from Arrhenius relationship. Also, it was predicted to be about thirty-two days at $100^{\circ}C$. At this time, a standard rate of thickness change is approximately within 12%.

네트워크 기반 시간지연 시스템을 위한 리세트 제어 및 확률론적 예측기법을 이용한 온라인 학습제어시스템 (Online Learning Control for Network-induced Time Delay Systems using Reset Control and Probabilistic Prediction Method)

  • 조현철;심광열;이권순
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제15권9호
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    • pp.929-938
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a novel control methodology for communication network based nonlinear systems with time delay nature. We construct a nominal nonlinear control law for representing a linear model and a reset control system which is aimed for corrective control strategy to compensate system error due to uncertain time delay through wireless communication network. Next, online neural control approach is proposed for overcoming nonstationary statistical nature in the network topology. Additionally, DBN (Dynamic Bayesian Network) technique is accomplished for modeling of its dynamics in terms of casuality, which is then utilized for estimating prediction of system output. We evaluate superiority and reliability of the proposed control approach through numerical simulation example in which a nonlinear inverted pendulum model is employed as a networked control system.

콘크리트 구조물의 반복적 동결융해에 의한 확률론적 열화예측모델 (Probabilistic Prediction Model for the Cyclic Freeze-Thaw Deteriorations in Concrete Structures)

  • 조태준
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.957-960
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    • 2006
  • In order to predict the accumulated damages by cyclic freeze-thaw, a regression analysis by the Response Surface Method (RSM) is used. RSM has merits when the other probabilistic simulation techniques can not guarantee the convergence of probability of occurrence or when the others can not differentiate the derivative terms of limit state functions, which are composed of random design variables in the model of complex system or the system having higher reliability. For composing limit state function, the important parameters for cyclic freeze-thaw-deterioration of concrete structures, such as water to cement ratio, entrained air pores, and the number of cycles of freezing and thawing, are used as input parameters of RSM. The predicted results of relative dynamic modulus and residual strains after 300 cycles of freeze-thaw for specimens show very good agreements with the experimental results. The RSM result can be used to predict the probability of occurrence for designer specified critical values. Therefore, it is possible to evaluate the life cycle management of concrete structures considering the accumulated damages by the cyclic freeze-thaw by the use of proposed prediction method.

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전해 캐패시터의 최적 가속시험방법과 수명예측 (The best accelerated method and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors)

  • 김하나;심찬호;김성준;윤중락;이헌용
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1945-1947
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    • 2005
  • This study considers find out best accelerated life testing and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors. We proved about relation between failure and deterioration mechanism from last thesis. Beside we performed test that temperature and voltage press higher than allowance specification. Failure distribution acquired from those test. And wiebull function and Minitab program applied to accelerated constant and lifetime by means of calculation. At the result, goodness of fit affect to weibull function and acceleration factor therefore fitting is important factor in reliability testing.

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임의 풍향에 있는 수평축 풍력터빈의 성능예측 (Performance Prediction of the Horizontal Axis wind Turbine in Arbitrary Wind Direction)

  • 유능수
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.255-265
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    • 1996
  • Up to the present the study on the performance prediction of HAWT was performed mainly by assuming the axial flow. So in this paper we aimed at the fully non-axial flow of HAWT. For this purpose, we defined the wind turbine pitch angle in addition to the yaw angle to specify the arbitrary wind direction. And we adopted the Glauert method as the basic analysis method then modified this method suitably for our goal. By comparing the computational results obtained by this modified new Glauert method with the experimental results, it was proved that our method was a very efficient method. And on the basis of the reliability of this method we considered the effect of all the design parameters and presented the optimum blade geometry and the optimum operating condition to gain the best performance curve.

A Study on Explainable Artificial Intelligence-based Sentimental Analysis System Model

  • Song, Mi-Hwa
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.142-151
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a model combined with explanatory artificial intelligence (xAI) models was presented to secure the reliability of machine learning-based sentiment analysis and prediction. The applicability of the proposed model was tested and described using the IMDB dataset. This approach has an advantage in that it can explain how the data affects the prediction results of the model from various perspectives. In various applications of sentiment analysis such as recommendation system, emotion analysis through facial expression recognition, and opinion analysis, it is possible to gain trust from users of the system by presenting more specific and evidence-based analysis results to users.

A Pragmatic Framework for Predicting Change Prone Files Using Machine Learning Techniques with Java-based Software

  • Loveleen Kaur;Ashutosh Mishra
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.457-496
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to extensively analyze the performance of various Machine Learning (ML) techniques for predicting version to version change-proneness of source code Java files. 17 object-oriented metrics have been utilized in this work for predicting change-prone files using 31 ML techniques and the framework proposed has been implemented on various consecutive releases of two Java-based software projects available as plug-ins. 10-fold and inter-release validation methods have been employed to validate the models and statistical tests provide supplementary information regarding the reliability and significance of the results. The results of experiments conducted in this article indicate that the ML techniques perform differently under the different validation settings. The results also confirm the proficiency of the selected ML techniques in lieu of developing change-proneness prediction models which could aid the software engineers in the initial stages of software development for classifying change-prone Java files of a software, in turn aiding in the trend estimation of change-proneness over future versions.

부식 손상된 파이프라인의 잔존 수명 예측 (Prediction of Remaining Life for Corroded Pipelines)

  • 진영준
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.411-417
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    • 2004
  • Recently, researchers and engineers from, the development of reliability engineering and probability fracture mechanics, have begun to take seriously the reliability analysis and the integrity for a corroded pipeline. Pressurized pipelines containing active corrosion defects increase gradually both in extent, and depth with increased periods of exposure. This causes a reduction of the remaining strength and the carrying capacity of a pipeline; and creates uncertainty about the future capacity. The steps that are necessary in order to assess the integrity of corroded pipelines will be discussed in this paper utilizing results from an actual model.

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