• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제54권10호
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• pp.480-486
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• 2005

This paper proposes a method to consider an aging failure probability and survival probability of power system components, though only aging failure probability has been considered in existing mean life calculation. The estimates of the mean and its standard deviation is calculated by using Weibull distribution, and each estimated parameters is obtained from Data Analytic Method (Type H Censoring). The parameter estimation using Data Analytic Method is simpler and faster than the traditional calculation method using gradient descent algorithm. This paper shows calculation procedure of the mean life and its standard deviation by the proposed method and illustrates that the estimated results are close enough to real historical data of combustion turbine generating units in Korean systems. Also, this paper shows the calculation procedures of a probabilistic failure prediction through a stochastic data analysis. Consequently, the proposed methods would be likely to permit that the new deregulated environment forces utilities to reduce overall costs while maintaining an are-related reliability index.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.1-8
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• 2011

Stainless steel sheets are widely used as the structure material for the railroad cars and the commercial vehicles. These kinds structures used stainless steel sheets are commonly fabricated by using the gas welding. Gas welding is very important and useful technology in fabrication of an railroad car and vehicles structure. However fatigue strength of the gas welded joints is considerably lower than parent metal due to stress concentration at the weldment, fatigue strength evaluation of gas welded joints are very important to evaluate the reliability and durability of railroad cars and to establish a criterion of long life fatigue design. In this paper, ${\Delta}-N_f$ curve were obtained by fatigue tests. Using these results, the accelerated life test (ALT) is conducted. From the experimental results, an acceleration model is derived and acceleration factors are estimated. So it is intended to obtain the useful information for the fatigue lifetime of plug and ring gas welded joints and data analysis by statistical reliability method, to save time and cost, and to develop optimum accelerated life prediction plans.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제66권2호
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• pp.151-160
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• 2018

With the aim to evaluate the fatigue damage accumulation and predict the residual life of engineering components under variable amplitude loadings, this paper proposed a new strain energy-based damage accumulation model by considering both effects of mean stress and load interaction on fatigue life in a low cycle fatigue (LCF) regime. Moreover, an integrated procedure is elaborated for facilitating its application based on S-N curve and loading conditions. Eight experimental datasets of aluminum alloys and steels are utilized for model validation and comparison. Through comparing experimental results with model predictions by the proposed, Miner's rule, damaged stress model (DSM) and damaged energy model (DEM), results show that the proposed one provides more accurate predictions than others, which can be extended for further application under multi-level stress loadings.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.275-290
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• 2009

This paper considers accelerated thermal degradation tests which are performed for rubber seal materials used for undersea tunnels constructed by immersion method. Three types of rubber seals are tested; rubber expansion seal, omega seal, and shock absorber hose. Main ingredient of rubber expansion seal is EPDM(Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer) and that of both omega seal and shock absorber hose is SBR(Styrene Butadiene Rubber). The accelerated stress is temperature and an Arrhenius model is introduced to describe the relationship between the lifetime and the stress. From the accelerated degradation tests, dominant failure mode of the rubber seals is found to be the loss of elongation. The lifetime distribution and the service life of the rubber seals at use condition are estimated from the test results. The acceleration factor for three types of rubber seals are also investigated.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제34권7B호
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• pp.659-667
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• 2009

무선 애드-혹(Ad-hoc) 네트워크는 고정된 기지국이 존재하지 않고 우선 노드들만으후 구성된다. 우선 애드-혹 네트워크 내에서는 노드 자체의 에너지 제약과 잦은 이동으로 인해 네트워크 단절이 빈번하게 발생하게 된다. 그러므로 노드의 이동성에 따른 토폴로지 변경에 유연하게 반응하면서 전송 경로의 신뢰성을 향상시키는 기법이 반드시 요구된다. 본 논문에서는 AOMDV 라우팅 프로토콜을 이용하여 경로 탐색 시에 응답하는 노드의 이동성을 고려하여 경로를 선택하는 기법을 제안한다. 제안한 기법을 적용함으로써 전송 경로의 신뢰성을 향상시켜 경로가 단절되어 재탐색하는 횟수를 줄일 수 있다.

• 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.87-91
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• 2019

The diagnosis of the failure for the existing electrical facilities was based on regular preventive maintenance, but this preventive maintenance was limited in preventing a lot of cost loss and sudden system failure. To overcome these shortcomings, fault prediction and diagnostic techniques are critical to increasing system reliability by monitoring electrical installations in real time and detecting abnormal conditions in the facility early. As the performance and quality deterioration problem occurs frequently due to the increase in the number of users of the motor pump, the purpose is to build an intelligent control system that can control the motor pump to maximize the performance and to improve the quality and reliability. To this end, a vibration sensor, temperature sensor, pressure sensor, and low water level sensor are used to detect vibrations, temperatures, pressures, and low water levels that can occur in the motor pump, and to build a system that can identify and diagnose information to users in real time.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.253-262
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• 2024

Dynamic properties are pivotal in soil analysis, yet their experimental determination is hampered by complex methodologies and the need for costly equipment. This study aims to predict dynamic soil properties using static properties that are relatively easier to obtain, employing machine learning techniques. The static properties considered include soil cohesion, friction angle, water content, specific gravity, and compressional strength. In contrast, the dynamic properties of interest are the velocities of compressional and shear waves. Data for this study are sourced from 26 boreholes, as detailed in a geotechnical investigation report database, comprising a total of 130 data points. An importance analysis, grounded in the random forest algorithm, is conducted to evaluate the significance of each dynamic property. This analysis informs the prediction of dynamic properties, prioritizing those static properties identified as most influential. The efficacy of these predictions is quantified using the coefficient of determination, which indicated exceptionally high reliability, with values reaching 0.99 in both training and testing phases when all input properties are considered. The conventional method is used for predicting dynamic properties through Standard Penetration Test (SPT) and compared the outcomes with this technique. The error ratio has decreased by approximately 0.95, thereby validating its reliability. This research marks a significant advancement in the indirect estimation of the relationship between static and dynamic soil properties through the application of machine learning techniques.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.1013-1019
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 Delay Tolerant Network(DTN)에서 Markov chain으로 노드의 속성 정보를 분석하여 노드의 이동경로를 예측하는 알고리즘을 제안한다. 기존 DTN에서의 예측기반 라우팅 기법은 노드가 미리 정해진 스케줄에 따라 이동하게 된다. 이러한 네트워크에서는 스케줄을 예측할 수 없는 환경에서 노드의 신뢰성이 낮아지는 문제가 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 극복하기 위해 노드의 속성 정보를 Markov chain을 적용하고 일정 구간에서 시간에 따른 노드의 이동 경로를 예측하는 CMCP(Context-awareness Markov-Chain Prediction)알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안하는 알고리즘은 노드의 속성 정보 중 노드의 속력과 방향성을 근사한 후 Markov chain을 이용하여 제한된 주기와 버퍼의 범위에서 확률전이 매트릭스를 생성하여 노드의 이동 경로를 예측하는 알고리즘이다. 주어진 모의실험 환경에서 노드의 이동 경로 예측을 통해 중계 노드를 선정하여 라우팅 함으로써 메시지 전송 지연 시간이 감소하고 전송률이 증가함 보여주고 있다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제35권6호
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• pp.647-663
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• 2023

The investigation of the disc cutter wear prediction has an important guiding role in TBM equipment selection, project planning, and cost forecasting, especially when tunneling in a long-distance rock formations with high strength and high abrasivity. In this study, a comprehensive database of disc cutter wear data, geological properties, and tunneling parameters is obtained from a 1326 m excavated metro tunnel project in leptynite in Shenzhen, China. The failure forms and wear consumption of disc cutters on site are analyzed with emphasis. The results showed that 81% of disc cutters fail due to uniform wear, and other cutters are replaced owing to abnormal wear, especially flat wear of the cutter rings. In addition, it is found that there is a reasonable direct proportional relationship between the uniform wear rate (WR) and the installation radius (R), and the coefficient depends on geological characteristics and tunneling parameters. Thus, a preliminary prediction formula of the uniform wear rate, based on the installation radius of the cutterhead, was established. The correlation between some important geological properties (K_V and UCS) along with some tunneling parameters (F_n and p) and wear rate was discussed using regression analysis methods, and several prediction models for uniform wear rate were developed. Compared with a single variable, the multivariable model shows better prediction ability, and 89% of WR can be accurately estimated. The prediction model has reliability and provides a practical tool for wear prediction of disc cutter under similar hard rock projects with similar geological conditions.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제19권10호
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• pp.82-88
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• 2018

방어용 무기체계 중 하나인 기만체계는 소모성 방식으로, One-shot system에 해당된다. 주기적 점검을 통해 신뢰도를 유지하며, 발사를 해보아야 정상 작동여부를 확인할 수 있어 고신뢰도가 요구된다. 본 논문에서 분석하고자 하는 기만체계는 개발 시 목표 신뢰도 설정 및 신뢰도 예측 없이 정비주기가 설정되었다. 그러나 현재 군에서 운용 중인 수량이 점점 증가하여 정비주기 최적화 필요성이 대두되었다. 이에 따라 수십 년간 지속적으로 운용된 기만체계의 정비 데이터를 통하여 신뢰도를 분석하고 최적 정비주기를 제시하였다. 2장에서 신뢰도 분석에 사용된 데이터 수집 및 분류방법을 제시하였으며, 분석 방법론에 대해 간략하게 소개하였다. 이를 토대로 3장에서 데이터에 대한 분포 분석 및 적합도 검증을 통해 본 기만체계 정비 데이터는 와이블 분포를 적용 하는 것이 가장 적합함을 확인하였으며, 와이블 분포의 형상 및 척도모수를 추정하였다. 4장에서는 도출된 분포를 통해 백분위수, 생존확률, MTBF 분석결과를 제시하였다. 또한 시간별 신뢰도 분석결과를 통해 적정 정비주기를 도출하였다. 5장 결론에서는 향후 본 연구결과에 대한 향후 활용방안을 제시하였다.