• 전기학회논문지
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• 제59권12호
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• pp.2119-2124
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• 2010

Reliability evaluation of power distribution system is the evaluation for all customers supplied from one power source as main transformer located in substation. However, power sources include not only the main transformer but distributed generations. Typical reliability evaluation has focused on configuration of power system with one source including failure rates of equipment. In this paper, we focus on not only configuration but power sources as distributed generations. New reliability evaluation method using power supplied probability (PSP) is proposed. The proposed evaluation method are proved through case studies.

• 전기학회논문지P
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• 제63권3호
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• pp.163-168
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• 2014

In this paper, when photovoltaic systems are connected to distribution system, most effective capacity and location of PV system are studied considering customer interruption costs of power distribution system. The reliability model of PV system considering the duration of sunshine, the model of time-varying load and Roy Billinton test system (bus2 model) are used. To simulate the effects of PV system, various cases are selected; (1) base case which is no connection of PV system to power distribution system when faults are occurred, (2) 3MW case which is 3[MW] connection of PV system (3) 4[MW] case, and (4) 20[MW] case which is 20[MW] connection of PV system to the bus of power distribution system. The capacity limit of connected PV system is settled to 14[MW] for all cases except case 4. The reliability and customer interruption costs for residential, general, industrial, and educational customer is evaluated.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2010

In this paper we will discuss the stochastic analysis of a three state semi-Markov reliability model. Maximum likelihood procedure will be used to obtain the estimators of the parameters included in this reliability model. Based on the assumption that the lifetime and repair time of the system units are generalized linear failure rate random variables, the reliability function of this system is obtained. Also, the distribution of the first passage time of this system will be derived. Some important special cases are discussed.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.201-210
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• 2010

본 연구에서는 HSPDA모형을 기반으로 한 상수관망의 신뢰도분석 방안을 제안하였다. 대표적인 상수관망의 신뢰도분석 방법으로는 수량과 수압의 확보가 불가능한 수요절점을 산정하고 필요수량/공급가능수량 혹은 압력확보절점수/전체절점수 등을 계산하여 상수관망이 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는가를 판단하는 것이 있다. 이를 계산하기 위해서는 수리모형을 이용한 상수관망의 모의가 필요하나 절점의 압력과는 상관없이 항상 모든 용수량은 공급가능하다는 가정을 사용하는 Demand-Driven Analysis (DDA) 를 신뢰도 분석에 사용할 경우 신뢰도가 과소 산정될 수 있으며, 절점수요는 절점수두에 비례한다는 가정을 사용하는 Pressure-Driven Analysis (PDA)의 적용이 필요하다. 그러나 기존에 수행된 많은 연구에서는 관망의 특성에 따라 제한적인 적용성을 가지는 PDA 모형과 semi-PDA모형이 비정 상운영상태의 상수관망 수리모의에 이용되었고 이로 인하여 정확한 상수관망의 신뢰도 산정이 어려웠다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 PDA모형의 가지는 단점을 보완한 HSPDA 모형과 Available Demand Fraction (ADF) 지수를 이용하여 상수관망의 신뢰도 산정이 가능한 모형을 제안하였다. HSPDA를 활용하여 상수관망의 비정상운영상태를 모의하고, 이를 이용하여 절점별 ADF 지수를 산정, 상수관망의 신뢰도를 산정하였다. 제안된 신뢰도분석기법을 대상관망에 적용하여 기존의 연구결과와 비교하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 수립 가능한 신뢰도 확보방안을 제시하였다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.1482-1488
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• 2014

The reliability evaluation of the electrical distribution networks (EDN) requires sufficient consideration of the effects of planned outages. The planned outages of the EDN can be divided, by outage models and their effects on the reliability into two major categories: by equipment and by feeder. After studying the characteristics of different categories of planned outages, this paper expands the classification of load points by outage time from 4 types to 7 types and defines corresponding reliability parameters for the different types. By using the section algorithm, this paper proposes a reliability evaluation technique of EDN considering equipment random failures and two categories of planned outages. The proposed technique has been applied to the RBTS-BUS6 test system and some practical EDNs in China. The study results demonstrate that the proposed technique is of higher practical value and can be used for evaluating the reliability performance of EDN more efficiently considering the planned outages.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제15권6호
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• pp.90-96
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• 1998

Helical gear system is widely used to transmit heavy duty power with harmonies and silences between parallel shafts. This paper predicts a life with Weibull distribution and estimates a reliability based on recycle principle of helical gear systems. 2-parameter Weibull distribution is generally adopted to estimate the mechanical life and the reliability of most gear systems, because this Weibull distribution is proper to explain a characteristics or a life of parts of gear systems with linearity of probability density data on weibull data sheet. For a high reliability, this paper estimates a number of overhaul times and a number of needed substitutes (exchange attachment,1 or parts) with following renewal theory, One is make an exchange of whole module include failure attachments/parts and second estimating method is only exchange of a failure attachments / parts.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제51권1호
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• pp.7-14
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• 2002

In power system study, relibility assessment has been an important topic during past several decards because sudden power interruption can bring about enormous economic loss. although the size of a substation is smaller than that of generation system or transmission system, switching actions after fault(s) make reliability assessment of substation rather complex situations such as switching actions easily and permit various probability distributions in describing substation elements. Despite this ability of Monte Carlo simulation, one-parameter exponential distribution is still popular in this reliability assessment. This paper examines the characteristics of several two-parameter probability distributions, and offers new parameter decision rule based on average and variance of the target to be modelled. In case study, this paper shows the profits by using Weibull distribution which is one of two-parameter probabilistic distributions instead of exponential one.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.332-342
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• 2017

Purpose: In this study, the lifetime distribution of a k-out-of-n system with heterogeneous components is suggested as Markov model, and the time-to-failure (TTF) distribution of each component is considered as phase-type distribution (PHD). Furthermore, based on the model, a redundancy allocation problem with a mix of components (RAPMC) is proposed. Methods: The lifetime distribution model for the system is formulated by the structured Markov chain. From the model, the various information on the system lifetime can be ascertained by the matrix-analytic (or-geometric) method. Conclusion: By the generalization of TTF distribution (PHD) and the consideration of heterogeneous components, the lifetime distribution model can delineate many real systems and be exploited for developing system operation policies such as preventive maintenance, warranty. Moreover, the effectiveness of the proposed RAPMC is verified by numerical experiments. That is, under the equivalent design conditions, it presented a system with higher reliability than RAP without component mixing (RAPCM).

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1987년도 정기총회 및 창립40주년기념 학술대회 학회본부
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• pp.154-156
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• 1987

An important aspects of power system design involves consideration of service reliability requirements of load to be supplied and service reliability provided by any proposed system. This paper shows the investigation of the 1984 KEPCO service reliability to the large electric consumer whose contracted maximum demand is over 500 kw. 68 customers of the total 111 investigated are located in Myungdong area and Yuido in Seoul. Of the customers are included hotel Lotte, Giobo and Seoul national University Hospital. The average service reliability of Myungdong area customers is 316min/yr/customer and about 7 times/yr/customer, and 160 min, 6 times for Yuido. Which the service reliability the interruption and the interruption frequency which caused by the customers receiving facilities were showed. The investigation is telling that the service reliability of the underground distribution area are very superior to the other area reliability. The investigated reliability seem not appropriate to be improved by change of distribution System as well as equipments and facilities improvement in the near future.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.277-284
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• 1998

The reliability and an estimate for it are derived for series-parallel and parallel-deries stress-strength model under assumption that all components are subjected to a common stress. We also obtain the asymptotic normal distribution of the estimate.