• Title/Summary/Keyword: relative error

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Comparison of Methods of Selecting the Threshold of Partial Duration Series for GPD Model (GPD 모형 산정을 위한 부분시계열 자료의 임계값 산정방법 비교)

  • Um, Myoung-Jin;Cho, Won-Cheol;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.527-544
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    • 2008
  • Generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is frequently applied in hydrologic extreme value analysis. The main objective of statistics of extremes is the prediction of rare events, and the primary problem has been the estimation of the threshold and the exceedances which were difficult without an accurate method of calculation. In this paper, to obtain the threshold or the exceedances, four methods were considered. For this comparison a GPD model was used to estimate parameters and quantiles for the seven durations (1, 2, 3, 6, 12, 18 and 24 hours) and the ten return periods (2, 3, 5, 10, 20, 30, 50, 70, 80 and 100 years). The parameters and quantiles of the three-parameter generalized Pareto distribution were estimated with three methods (MOM, ML and PWM). To estimate the degree of fit, three methods (K-S, CVM and A-D test) were performed and the relative root mean squared error (RRMSE) was calculated for a Monte Carlo generated sample. Then the performance of these methods were compared with the objective of identifying the best method from their number.

An Improved Calibration Method for the COCOMO II Post-Architecture Model

  • Yoon, Myoung-Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2000
  • To date many software engineering cost models have been developed to predict cost, schedule, and effort of the software under development. The COCOMO Ⅱ is well- suited for the new software development life cycle such as non-sequential and rapid- development processes. The traditional regression approach based on the least square criterion is the most commonly used technique for empirical calibration in the COCOMO Ⅱ model. It has a few assumptions frequently violated by software engineering data sets. The source data is also generally imprecise in reporting size effort, and cost-driver ratings, particularly across different organizations. And that the outlier for the source data is a peculiarity and indicates a data point. To cope with difficulties, in this paper, we propose a new regression method for calibrating COCOMO Ⅱ post-architecture model based on the minimum relative error(MRE) criterion. The characteristic of the proposed method is insensitive to the extreme values of the data in the empirical calibration. As the experimental results, It is evident that our proposed calibration method MRE was shown to be superior to the traditional regression approach for model calibration, as illustrated by the values obtained for standard deviation(^σ), and prediction at level LPRED(L) measures.

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Effectiveness Evaluation of Scanogram Using Longbone Detector (Longbone 검출기를 이용한 Scanogram의 유효성 평가)

  • Jang, Su-han;Heo, Ji-eun
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2020
  • Scanogram is that combine several practical images into one image to observation. So it is an important consideration in many clinical situation such as iliac measurement, leg alignment measurement and Scoliosis. Currently, scanogram examinations are mainly conducted for children and elderly patients. In this study, in order to apply the longbone detector to children or elderly patients who are difficult to cooperate with, we compared the longbone detector from D equipment with the G equipment discovery 656 Puls equipment in reproducibility of images, distribution of irradiation dose, scattering dose, irradiation time and image acquisition time. D equipment took more than twice as much time as G equipment. The scattered dose generated about 50% more G equipment than D equipment. In the whole spine scanogram and the measurement length of the lower leg, D equipment was also measured longer than G equipment. However, both methods did not show much difference from the CT scanogram, so there was no problem in measurement. The height of the thyroid radiation dose of G equipment was produced more radiation than D equipment. However, the longbone detector deviated from the x-ray center line relative to the tube rotation method, and was measured lower by the directionality of the measuring instrument, so that the error could not be corrected. In the conclusion of study, using the longbone detector is excellent for applying to children or elderly patients to reduce scattering dose. However, using CR may be useful to normal patients. Because, the image quality may deteriorate due to an imbalance of dose difference in thickness depending on the body part. So, it is useful to using a compensation filter or tube rotation method when we take a whole spine scanogram.

A Study on the Development and the Verification of a Sonar Sensor System of a Socket Roughness Measurement Device for A Lagre-diamter Drilled Shaft (대구경 현장타설말뚝의 소켓 벽면 거칠기 측정장치(SRPS)에 사용되는 소나센서부의 개발 및 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Byeong-Han;Choi, Yong-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2012
  • A sonar sensor system of a new socket roughness profiling system (SRPS) which can measure the socket roughness of the large-diameter drilled shafts under the in-situ condition was developed and verified. In model tests, the salinity, temperature, and high-turbidity have been changed for simulating the in-situ borehole water conditions. From the test results, it was found that the sonar sensor can measure the distance within an accuracy of 1mm. Because of the wave form characteristics of sonar sensor, the relative error exists in case of the inclined and curved surface, however, the shape of specimen was confirmed relatively exactly using the developed sonar sensor. Moreover, the salinity, temperature, and high-turbidity did not affect the measured data of socket roughness.

Speech Recognition based on Environment Adaptation using SNR Mapping (SNR 매핑을 이용한 환경적응 기반 음성인식)

  • Chung, Yong-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.543-548
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    • 2014
  • Multiple-model based speech recognition framework (MMSR) has been known to be very successful in speech recognition. Since it uses multiple hidden Markov modes (HMMs) that corresponds to various noise types and signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) values, the selected acoustic model can have a close match with the test noisy speech. However, since the number of HMM sets is limited in practical use, the acoustic mismatch still remains as a problem. In this study, we experimentally determined the optimal SNR mapping between the test noisy speech and the HMM set to mitigate the mismatch between them. Improved performance was obtained by employing the SNR mapping instead of using the estimated SNR from the test noisy speech. When we applied the proposed method to the MMSR, the experimental results on the Aurora 2 database show that the relative word error rate reduction of 6.3% and 9.4% was achieved compared to a conventional MMSR and multi-condition training (MTR), respectively.

An Empirical Study on Pricing Model for Software Operation (소프트웨어 운영 대가산정 방식에 대한 실증적 연구)

  • Kim, Heungshik;Kim, Choong Nyoung;Seo, Yongwon
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.67-82
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to improve the calculation method of the software operation pricing proposed by the software business price calculation guide from 'input manpower method' to 'rate calculation method'. The software operation pricing of the input manpower method is not objectively calculated in the domestic IT outsourcing situation where the statistical data based on the activity based estimating is insufficient and it is decided by agreement between the owner and the client. In addition, there was no standard for adjusting the productivity according to the characteristics of the operation service. In order to improve this, an operational correction factor item that can affect the software operation productivity was selected based on foreign and domestic standards, and it was confirmed through the first questionnaire to IT operation managers. In order to determine the level of difficulty of the fixed operational correction factors, the operational correction factor using AHP technique was confirmed through a second questionnaire for pairwise comparison. The operational difficulty calculation table was developed with reference to COCOMO and ITIL standards. Finally, we propose a new pricing scheme that reflects the operating rate. Regression analysis was carried out by collecting the data of the domestic public institutions on the estimated cost and the actual cost calculated from the new rate method software operation pricing. The results of the regression analysis show that the estimated cost and the actual cost are related to each other. Mean magnitude of relative error(MMRE) and PRED[25] analysis were added for accuracy analysis. MMRE and PRED also showed satisfactory results, confirming the possibility of replacing the rate method software operation pricing.

Decoupling Analysis between GHGs and GDP in Korea (국내 온실가스 배출량과 경제성장 간 장단기 비동조화 분석)

  • Kim, Daesoo;Lee, Sang-youp
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.583-615
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    • 2019
  • This paper investigates the level of decoupling between greenhouse gas emissions and economic growth in Korea. Despite previous studies mainly stressed the existence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve, the lack of investigations in the level of decoupling constraints further policy suggestions. This study analyzes the level of decoupling in the short- and long-term, focusing on short-term volatility of GHG emissions income elasticity. In the long run, there is no decoupling in Korea because a robust causal relationship exists between GHGs, GDP, and fossil fuels. However, the short-term volatility is clearly identified under the long-term equilibrium(coupling), indicating there is the relative decoupling in the short run. The results show that fossil fuel dependence is a significant factor that increases short-term volatility(decoupling) and breaks the causal link(coupling) between GHGs and GDP.

Measurements of thermal neutron distribution of nuclear fuel using a plastic fiber-optic sensor (플라스틱 광섬유 센서를 이용한 핵 연료의 열중성자 분포도 측정)

  • Jang, Kyoung-Won;Cho, Dong-Hyun;Yoo, Wook-Jae;Seo, Jeong-Ki;Heo, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Bong-Soo;Moon, Joo-Hyun;Park, Byung-Gi;Kim, Sin;Cho, Young-Ho
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.402-407
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    • 2009
  • In this study, plastic optical fiber sensors which can measure thermal neutron dose in a mixed neutron-gamma field are developed and characterized. Using $^{252}Cf$ and $^{60}Co$ sources, the scintillators suitable for thermal neutron detection, are tested and the scintillating lights generated from a plastic optical fiber sensor in the Kyoto University Critical Assembly (kuca) core are measured. Also, the distributions of thermal neutron and gamma-ray are measured in a mixed field as a function of the distance from the center of the reactor core at KUCA and the distribution of thermal neutron is obtained using a subtraction method. Sensitivity of the fiber-optic radiation sensor system is about 0.49 V/mW according to power of the KUCA core and its relative error is about 1.2 %.

Performance Evaluation of an Auto Sampling and Filtering Unit of Substrate Solution using a Diaphragm Pump (소형 판막 펌프를 이용한 기질용액 채취 및 여과 자동화 장치의 성능검증)

  • Song, D.B.;Jung, H.S.;Lee, S.K.;Jung, D.H.;Park, S.W.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.263-268
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    • 2007
  • An auto sampling and filtering unit was developed for monitoring automation of a fermentation process and its performance was evaluated. The automatic sampling and filtering unit was constructed with a glass filter, a diaphragm suction pump, and a flow direction change valve. To evaluate operating stability, delivery volumes of the suction pump were measured according to the experimental conditions of cellulose powder, pore size of the glass filter and suction head of the pump. The developed unit could deliver the sample solution under any experimental conditions except the filter pore size of $16{\mu}m$ and the suction head of 20cm. In case of the suction head of 30cm, the pump could not deliver the sample solution at all. Concentrations of the sample solutions were converged on those of the standard glucose solution after 8 minutes from the initial sampling time. The relative error of concentration between the sample and the standard solution showed 3.8, 4.8, 7.0% for the 1, 3, 5% contents of cellulose powder, respectively.

Simultaneous Separation Analysis of Some Metal Ions in Piperidinedothiocarbamate Chelates by Reversed-Phase Liquid Chromatography (역상 액체 크로마토그래피에 의한 몇가지 금속 이온들의 Piperidinedithiocarbamate 킬레이트 동시분리분석)

  • Lee, Won;Bahng, Seung-Hoon;Kim, Mi-Kyoung
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2000
  • Simultaneous separation and analysis of Ni(II), Pd(II), Co(II), Cu(II) and Hg(II) in peperidinedithiocarbamate (PDTC) chelates were investigated by reversed phase liquid chromatography. The optimum conditions for the separation of PDTC metal chelates were examined with respect to the pH, extraction solvent, and mobile phase strength on Novapak $C_{18}$ column using methanol/water mixture as mobile phase. All metal PDTC chelates were eluted in an acceptable range of capacity factor value ($0{\leq}log\;k^{\prime}{\leq}1$). The linear calibration curves were obtained in the concentration range of $0{\sim}1.2{\mu}g/mL$ for five metal ions, and also good precision in the range of 1.96~3.41% RSD was obseved. Under the optimum conditions, trace metat ions in the composite water sample were successfully separated and determined with relative error of ${\pm}2.0%$.

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