• 제목/요약/키워드: relationship dynamics

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시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 남북한 항공수요 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Forecasting of Inter-Korea Air Passenger Demand Using System Dynamics)

  • 최지헌;원동욱;김규왕
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to forecast of Air Passenger Demand between South Korea and North Korea using the system dynamics analysis methodology that is based on the system thinking. System dynamics is not only a tool that makes the systematic thought to a model but also a computer program-based analysis methodology that mathematically models the system varying according to time variation. This study analyzed the causal relationship based on the interrelation among variables and structured them by considering various variables that affect aviation cooperation from the perspective of Air passenger demand forecasting. In addition, based on the causal relationship between variables, this study also completed the causal loop diagram that forms a feedback loop, constructed the stock-flow diagram of Inter-Korean model using Vensim program. In this study, Air passenger demand was using by the simulation variable value into System Dynamics. This study was difficult to reflect the various variables constituting the North Korea environment, and there is a limit to the occurrence of events in North Korea.

다운사이징과 기술혁신의 순환적 인과관계에 대한 탐색적 연구: 시스템 사고에 의한 접근 (An Exploratory Study on the Circular Causal-Relationship of Downsizing and Technological Innovation in Organization.: System Thinking Approach)

  • 전상길;정우수
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.33-60
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    • 2000
  • This study aims to conceptually identify the circular causal-relationship which is structured between downsizing and technological innovation in organization. First, through the literature review concerning downsizing and (technological) innovations, we have outlined the conceptual building blocks and research boundaries in this field. Second, we used system thinking method to accomplish our research purpose. The research findings are as follows. First, the promotion of financial resources by downsizing have trade-off relations that have negative of effects in short terms, but positive effects in long time. Second, workforce reduction by downsizing usually has negative influence on employees. Third, capital reduction by downsizing generates not only the climates of cost-cut but also the fact that although the climates may increase economic performance in short terms, it may interrupt technological innovations in long terms. In conclusion, this theses suggests that the relationship of downsizing and technological innovations have complex causal and feedback structures. Therefore, the results of this thesis propose that the argument or practices of downsizing with partial emphasis is very dangerous. Finally some limitations are also discussed.

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현물, 선도, 옵션 시장 간의 동태적 관계에 대한 시스템 사고적 접근 (Systems Thinking Approach to the Dynamic Relationship between Cash Market, Forward Market, and Options Market)

  • 권오상
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.5-23
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    • 2012
  • This paper studies dynamic relationship between cash market, forward market, and options market, from the perspective of systems thinking. It is shown that an exogenous shock to forward market can yield almost the same impact to the cash market, given a practically reasonable condition, but not vice versa. As far as options market is concerned, it matters what kind of options we deal with, who are long the option, and whether the option market maker performs dynamic hedging or not. In some cases, it is possible for the spot price to become unstable and diverge rather violently due to a strong negative feedback between the markets.

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시스템사고로 본 주택 재개발 지역의 사회 통합과 사회적 자본과의 동태적 관계 (Dynamic Relationship between Social Integration and Social Capital in the Residential Redevelopment Districts Based on the System Thinking Perspectives)

  • 김병석
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.61-76
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to review relationship between social integration and social capital in the residential redevelopment districts based on the system thinking perspective using causal loop analysis. The results are as follows. First, social exclusion phenomena brings about relative deprivation for rental housing occupants feeling left out and close by area residents. This acts as a motive triggering antisocial activities for the rental housing occupants. Second, rental housing and housing for installment should be mix-developed to improve social exclusion phenomenon issues. Third, increase of creating work program in the relationship between residential redevelopment districts and social capital boosts employments, individual earnings, and local area investments. The conclusion provides some research implications and future research direction.

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제약산업에서 FDA규제 영향에 관한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링: FDA규제가 R&D비용에 미치는 영향을 중심으로 (System Dynamics Modeling for FDA Regulation Effect of Pharmaceutical Industry)

  • 고성필;최정환;남동욱;이정동
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.57-80
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    • 2012
  • This research studies effect of FDA regulations in pharmaceutical industry on new drug development. System dynamics is implemented to demonstrate dynamic relationship between FDA regulations and R&D costs, firm's profits, sales. This research is focused on clinical trials of new medical entity process 50~60% portion of total development cost. Simulation results say that firm's profit is more sensitive to increasing the regulation than alleviating the regulation and effect of regulation policy make different result depending on the intensity of regulation and policy direction. Our simulation model provides the instrumental means for the policy makers and strategic decision in pharmaceutical industry.

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Methodological Challenges of Empirical Studies on Government-Nonprofit Service Delivery: Toward a Dynamic Approach

  • 조성숙
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.199-218
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    • 2008
  • Empirical studies have shown that government and human service nonprofit organizations have maintained active partnerships to deliver human services for the past several decades. However, the previous researches on resource dependent government-nonprofit service delivery have revealed serious methodological limitations to adequately demonstrate the dynamic relationship between both sectors over time. Since the dynamics underlying the government-nonprofit service delivery is a complex process, in which multiple factors dynamically interact over time, the assumptions of system dynamics can help improve these methodological drawbacks. This study aims to explore methodological issues and weaknesses observed in empirical studies on resource dependent government-nonprofit service delivery in the United States, and further attempts to provide insights on future research toward a dynamic approach, bringing the assumptions of system dynamics to the challenges of the previous researches.

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Factors Affecting Restaurant Consumers' Tipping Behavior

  • Cho, Sun Bai
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.15-32
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    • 2014
  • This study examines the relationship between tip amount and its possible antecedents: bill size, the Big Five personality types, meal type, food quality, atmosphere, service quality, consumer gender, server gender, customer hospitality experience, race, and alcohol consumption. A survey of southeastern undergraduate students was conducted to collect information about the customer, server and customer tipping habits. While the analysis suggests that service is an important factor, it shows that other factors affect tip amount. Furthermore, these factors affect tip amounts in many different ways. Some examples of these factors include bill size, alcohol consumption, gender dynamics, meal type, food quality, and personality type. The conclusion suggests the intuition behind these factors by providing a dissection of their meaning and their importance to servers, customers, and managers alike. Purpose: This study tests restaurant customer tipping habits and some personality traits that have received limited previous attention as predictors of tipping. Methods: This study is that the tip amount was self-reported, business students at a university in a large southeastern city of USA were asked to complete a tipping journal. Results: This study was able to replicate the service-tipping relationship. Moreover, this study reiterated that server friendliness is a very powerful tool to increasing tips. Conclusion: This study strongly indicate that service has a positive relationship with tip amount, and also produce a positive relationship with emotional stability and a negative relationship to conscientiousness.

한강의 「채식주의자」 부부 관계 분석 : 대상관계이론을 중심으로 (Analysis of the Marital Relationship in "Vegetarian" of the Han Gang : Focusing on Object Relation Theory)

  • 최지원
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제20권12호
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    • pp.582-592
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구의 목적은 한강의 소설 「채식주의자」에 등장하는 인물의 심리 역동과 체계 속에서의 관계 패턴을 위니컷의 대상관계이론을 적용하여 분석하고자 한다. '채식주의자'는 이미 다양한 각도로 분석되고 재해석된 바 있으나 대상관계이론을 적용하여 살펴본다면 가족 체계 안에서의 인물 심리 분석과 부부 관계 역동, 세대간에 걸친 필연적 역사를 이해할 수 있다. 먼저 채식주의자 인물의 대사 속에서 표현되는 각 인물의 성격과 심리역동을 탐색하고 대상관계이론과 개념으로 부부관계를 분석할 것이다. 실제 임상 사례가 아닌 소설 속 인물을 이론에 근거하여 심리 분석 및 탐색하는 과정은 추후 임상 장면에서 상담자가 내담자들의 삶의 스토리를 재해석하는데 근거 자료로 사용될 수 있을 것이다. 더불어 실제 사례만이 아니라 예술을 활용하여 인물 및 관계 분석을 함으로써 윤리적이고 실천적인 임상 교육을 실현할 수 있을 것이다. 문화적으로 다양한 인물 분석을 통한 의미 탐색이 누적될 때 임상 실천의 장 또한 함께 확장된다고 제언하고자 한다.

An Empirical Investigation of Triple Helix and National Innovation System Dynamics in ASEAN-5 Economies

  • Afza, Munshi Naser Ibne;Mansur, Kasim Bin HJ. MD.;Sulong, Rini Suryati
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.313-331
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    • 2017
  • This paper exhibits the concept of Triple Helix model to explain and link university-industry-government (Triple Helix) connections to national innovation systems theory. The driver of this paper is to test the dynamics of Triple Helix concept under national innovation system in the Association of South East Asian Countries (ASEAN)-5 economies. Panel econometric analysis with cross-sectional dependence (CD) test is applied to investigate the relationship amongst Triple Helix variables. The empirical analysis employs innovation indicators of five founding ASEAN countries namely Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, the Philippines and Thailand for the period of 2000-2015 from an existing WDI and WCY database. Econometric results support the two research questions of this study; firstly, there is a significant relationship between innovation outcome and its key drivers under Triple Helix context of National Innovation System in ASEAN-5 economies; secondly, the extent of the relationship among government R&D expenditure with high-tech productions are positive and significant while new ideas coming from universities as scientific publications and high-tech production have positive relationship but not significant yet in ASEAN-5 countries. Overall labor productivity is positive and significant with innovation outcomes in ASEAN-5.

Capturing the Short-run and Long-run Causal Behavior of Philippine Stock Market Volatility under Vector Error Correction Environment

  • CAMBA, Abraham C. Jr.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권8호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the short-run and long-run causal behavior of the Philippine stock market index volatility under vector error correction environment. The variables were tested first for stationarity and then long-run equilibrium relationship. Moreover, an impulse response function was estimated to examine the extent of innovations in the independent variables in explaining the Philippine stock market index volatility. The results reveal that the volatility of the Philippine stock market index exhibit long-run equilibrium relationship with Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil prices. The short-run dynamics-based VECM estimates indicate that in the short-run, increases (i.e., depreciation) in Peso-Dollar exchange rate cause PSEI volatility to increase. As for the London Interbank Offered Rate, it causes increases in PSEI volatility in the short-run. The adjustment coefficients used with the long-run dynamics validates the presence of unidirectional causal long-run relationship from Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil prices to PSEI volatility, and bidirectional causal long-run relationship between PSEI volatility and London Interbank Offered Rate. The impulse response functions developed within the VECM framework demonstrate the positive and negative reactions of PSEI volatility to unanticipated Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil price shocks.