• Title/Summary/Keyword: regression formula

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The Benefit Cost Analysis of the Accident Prevention Cost in Construction Work(II) (건설공사의 사고예방비용에 대한 효과분석(II))

  • Lim Heon-Jin;Kim Chang-Eun;Kim Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2005
  • This study delivers the actual condition of investment for industrial accident prevention based on survey of 526 construction sites. The various research techniques were used such as technical statistic analysis for construction industry, construction and civil engineering works, cost comparison of industrial accident prevention and accident loss. A formula was deduced to calculate accident loss and accident frequency by accident prevention cost through regression analysis.

Review of appropriateness of existing formula for estimating the depth of scour and the experimental study on development of the formula to estimated the depth of scour (기존 세굴심 산정식의 적정성 검토 및 세굴심 산정식 개발에 대한 실험적 연구세요)

  • Choi, Han-Kuy;Lee, Yeong-Seop
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.29 no.A
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2009
  • In this study, the investigation of hydraulic characteristics and the pier data for the rivers in Youngseo area of Gangwon Province was carried out and the evaluation and comparison between the values from existing formulas and the values from the model tests was conducted, along with the statistical sensitivity analysis of the elements influencing the scour. As a result, the deviation between the values calculated from the existing formulas and the model tests appeared to be 1.09%~63.98% as the piers were getting larger, which indicated that the existing formulas were not appropriate to estimate the scour in the rivers in Gangwon area. And the formula which estimates the scour with the size of the pier only, among the existing ones, was far behind in estimating the sensitivity because of insufficient incorporation of the hydraulic characteristics, though it is convenient to estimate the value. The sensitivity analysis of the value from the model tests and the depth of the scour proved the significant impact on scour by the size of the pier and water depth, indicating 64% and 36%, respectively. In this study, the formula developed through the regression analysis performed based on the values from the model tests, which appeared to be appropriate for the rivers in Gangwon Province, was proposed.

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Development of stress correction formulae for heat formed steel plates

  • Lim, Hyung Kyun;Lee, Joo-Sung
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2018
  • The heating process such as line heating, triangular heating and so on is widely used in plate forming of shell plates found in bow and stern area of outer shell in a ship. Local shrinkage during heating process is main physical phenomenon used in plate forming process. As it is well appreciated, the heated plate undergoes the change in material and mechanical properties around heated area due to the harsh thermal process. It is, therefore, important to investigate the changes of physical and mechanical properties due to heating process in order to use them plate the design stage of shell plates. This study is concerned with the development of formula of plastic hardening constitutive equation for steel plate on which line heating is applied. In this study the stress correction formula for the heated plate has been developed based on the numerical simulation of tension test with varying plate thickness and heating speed through the regression analysis of multiple variable case. It has been seen the developed formula shows very good agreement with results of numerical simulation. This paper ends with usefulness of the present formula in examining the structural characteristic of ship's hull.

Applicability Evaluation on the Analytical Formulas of the Scour Depth Estimation in the Bight River (교량세굴심 산정을 위한 만곡부하천에서의 산정식 적용성 평가)

  • Park, Soo-Jin;Park, Jae-Wan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.4845-4852
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    • 2012
  • This research calculated the scour depth of bridge according to inflow and outflow changes of stream's flood discharge and curves by applying scour depth formula for piers and abutments, and by comparing and examining them, evaluated the applicability of scour depth formulas. Overall, if the angles of flood discharge and inflow and outflow increase, the deviation rate of scour depth in bight increased. Especially the deviation rate was 58% at the inflow and outflow angle of $105^{\circ}$ that the bridge plan for this geography need careful examination. Next, as a result of calculating the deviation rate of scour depth at the bight by scour depth formulas, in case of pier, Andru formula showed 58% deviation rate, Laursen formula showed 26% deviation rate, and CSU. formula showed 17% deviation rate. In the case of abutment, Froehlich formula shows 44% deviation rate that when applying above scour depth formulas, scour depth calculation considering repairable characteristics of bight is necessary. Finally, about inflow and outflow angles of $45^{\circ}{\sim}135^{\circ}$ that showed big deviation rate of scour depth, this research performed regression analysis of deviation rates of scour depth due to flood discharge to suggest the regression formula.

A Study on the Compensation of the Difference of Driving Behavior between the Driving Vehicle and Driving Simulator (가상주행과 실차주행의 운전자 주행행태 차이에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jinho;Lim, Joonbeom;Joo, Sungkab;Lee, Soobeom
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.107-122
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The use of virtual driving tests to determine actual road driving behavior is increasing. However, the results indicate a gap between real and virtual driving under same road conditions road based on ergonomic factors, such as anxiety and speed. In the future, the use of virtual driving tests is expected to increase. For this reason, the purpose of this study is to analyze the gap between real and virtual driving on same road conditions and to use a calibration formula to allow for higher reliability of virtual driving tests. METHODS : An intelligent driving recorder was used to capture real driving. A driving simulator was used to record virtual driving. Additionally, a virtual driving map was made with the UC-Win/Road software. We gathered data including geometric structure information, driving information, driver information, and road operation information for real driving and virtual driving on the same road conditions. In this study we investigated a range of gaps, driving speeds, and lateral positions, and introduced a calibration formula to the virtual record to achieve the same record as the real driving situation by applying the effects of the main causes of discrepancy between the two (driving speed and lateral position) using a linear regression model. RESULTS: In the virtual driving test, driving speed and lateral position were determined to be higher and bigger than in the real Driving test, respectively. Additionally, the virtual driving test reduces the concentration, anxiety, and reality when compared to the real driving test. The formula includes four variables to produce the calibration: tangent driving speed, curve driving speed, tangent lateral position, and curve lateral position. However, the tangent lateral position was excluded because it was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: The results of analyzing the formula from MPB (mean prediction bias), MAD (mean absolute deviation) is after applying the formula to the virtual driving test, similar to the real driving test so that the formula works. Because this study was conducted on a national, two-way road, the road speed limit was 80 km/h, and the lane width was 3.0-3.5 m. It works in the same condition road restrictively.

Development of Scour Depth Calculation Equation Based on Hydraulic Model Test Data (수리모형실험 자료를 활용한 교각세굴심 산정식의 개발)

  • Chang, Hyung-Joon;Lee, Ho Jin;Lee, Hyo Sang;Kim, Sung-Duk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2020
  • Since the industrialization in the 1960s, Korea has been expanding its transportation infrastructure, such as building bridges. Owing to bridge construction, studies on stability review have been carried out, and stability-securing technology has been developed. On the other hand, these were applied mainly to the upper part of the bridge, so applications to the lower part are limited. In particular, scour at the bridge pier causes erosion in the riverbed and bridge collapse. Hence, prevention studies and countermeasures are needed. In this study, an empirical formula was developed to evaluate the scour depth of a bridge, which was calculated through multiple linear regression analysis using the hydraulic model study data conducted in previous studies. The formula, which had a value of 0.91, was applied to the model test data that was not used for development to verify the developed formula. When the pier scour depths were compared in 23 cases, the error rate was less than 20% in 16 cases (70%). The empirical formula developed in this study is applicable to pier scour-depth calculations. Further research will be needed to develop a more accurate empirical formula for pier scour-depth calculations, and it is expected to reduce bridge damage caused by scour.

Analysis of the Change in the Area of Haeundae Beach Based on Wave Characteristics (파랑특성을 고려한 해운대 해수욕장의 해빈면적 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Beom;Kim, Jong-Kyu;Kang, Tae-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.324-339
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we determined the correlation between the wave characteristics and the change in the area of Haeundae Beach, conducted regression analysis between the wave characteristics and the change in beach area, and derived a formula for calculating the change in beach area. The change in beach area was calculated by applying the derived formula to wave observation data corresponding to a period of approximately 10 months, and the formula was subsequently validated by comparing the obtained results with the observed area. It is found that the error associated with the formula for calculating the change in beach area ranges from 1.5 m to 2.7 m based on the average beach width, and the correlation coefficient corresponding to the observed area ranges from 0.91 to 0.94. Furthermore, it is observed that the change in beach area is af ected by the wave direction in the western zone, wave height in the central zone, and wave height and wave period in the eastern zone. These results can contribute to understanding the impact of a coastal improvement project on the beach area fluctuation characteristics of Haeundae Beach and the ef ectiveness of such a coastal improvement project. By applying the aforementioned derived formula to highly accurate wave prediction data, the change in beach area can be calculated and incorporated for predicting significant long-term changes in beach areas. Furthermore, such a prediction can be considered as the basis for making decisions while establishing preemptive countermeasure policies to prevent coastal erosion.

Bayesian Typhoon Track Prediction Using Wind Vector Data

  • Han, Minkyu;Lee, Jaeyong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.241-253
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    • 2015
  • In this paper we predict the track of typhoons using a Bayesian principal component regression model based on wind field data. Data is obtained at each time point and we applied the Bayesian principal component regression model to conduct the track prediction based on the time point. Based on regression model, we applied to variable selection prior and two kinds of prior distribution; normal and Laplace distribution. We show prediction results based on Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) estimator and Median Probability Model (MPM) estimator. We analysis 8 typhoons in 2006 using data obtained from previous 6 years (2000-2005). We compare our prediction results with a moving-nest typhoon model (MTM) proposed by the Korea Meteorological Administration. We posit that is possible to predict the track of a typhoon accurately using only a statistical model and without a dynamical model.

Reliability Improvement of In-Place Concreter Strength Prediction by Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method (초음파 속도법에 의한 현장 콘크리트 강도추정의 신뢰성 향상)

  • 원종필;박성기
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2001
  • The ultrasonic pulse velocity test has a strong potential to be developed into a very useful and relatively inexpensive in-place test for assuring the quality of concrete placed in structure. The main problem in realizing this potential is that the relationship between compressive strength ad ultrasonic pulse velocity is uncertain and concrete is an inherently variable material. The objective of this study is to improve the reliability of in-place concrete strength predictions by ultrasonic pulse velocity method. Experimental cement content, s/a rate, and curing condition of concrete. Accuracy of the prediction expressed in empirical formula are examined by multiple regression analysis and linear regression analysis and practical equation for estimation the concrete strength are proposed. Multiple regression model uses water-cement ratio cement content s/a rate, and pulse velocity as dependent variables and the compressive strength as an independent variable. Also linear regression model is used to only pulse velocity as dependent variables. Comparing the results of the analysis the proposed equation expressed highest reliability than other previous proposed equations.

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An Adaptive Weighted Regression and Guided Filter Hybrid Method for Hyperspectral Pansharpening

  • Dong, Wenqian;Xiao, Song
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.327-346
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    • 2019
  • The goal of hyperspectral pansharpening is to combine a hyperspectral image (HSI) with a panchromatic image (PANI) derived from the same scene to obtain a single fused image. In this paper, a new hyperspectral pansharpening approach using adaptive weighted regression and guided filter is proposed. First, the intensity information (INT) of the HSI is obtained by the adaptive weighted regression algorithm. Especially, the optimization formula is solved to obtain the closed solution to reduce the calculation amount. Then, the proposed method proposes a new way to obtain the sufficient spatial information from the PANI and INT by guided filtering. Finally, the fused HSI is obtained by adding the extracted spatial information to the interpolated HSI. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves better property in preserving the spectral information as well as enhancing the spatial detail compared with other excellent approaches in visual interpretation and objective fusion metrics.