• 제목/요약/키워드: regional bias

검색결과 139건 처리시간 0.025초

지역 불균형 발전의 결정요인 : 지역간 이질성 편의를 고려한 희귀모형의 적용 (A Study on the Determinants of Imbalanced Regional Development : An Application of Regression Model for a Bias due to Heterogeneity across Region)

  • 박범조;고석찬
    • 지역연구
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 1998
  • This paper examines the determinants of imbalanced regional development in Korea during the period of 1985-1995. The review of previous analytical techniques have been used to analyze the determinants of disparities in regional development of disparities in regional development, but few has applied the regression technique which reduces a bias due to heterogeneity across region. The results of the study show that Kmenta model with per capita GRDP as dependent variable can reduce the heterogeneity bias in regional development and can minimize the statical errors in estimation and interpretation of the coefficients of the explanatory variables. According to the results of Kmenta model, urban infrastructure such as roads, information and communication facilities are major causes of regional disparity over the period of 1985-1995. The results of the study also indicate that local government should devote their policy efforts to identify and utilize the unique soci-economic characteristics of each locality in the process of regional development.

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미래 기상 시나리오에 대한 편의 보정 방법에 따른 지역 기후변화 영향 평가의 불확실성 (Uncertainty in Regional Climate Change Impact Assessment using Bias-Correction Technique for Future Climate Scenarios)

  • 황세운;허용구;장승우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2013
  • It is now generally known that dynamical climate modeling outputs include systematic biases in reproducing the properties of atmospheric variables such as, preciptation and temerature. There is thus, general consensus among the researchers about the need of bias-correction process prior to using climate model results especially for hydrologic applications. Among the number of bias-correction methods, distribution (e.g., cumulative distribution fuction, CDF) mapping based approach has been evaluated as one of the skillful techniques. This study investigates the uncertainty of using various CDF mapping-based methods for bias-correciton in assessing regional climate change Impacts. Two different dynamicailly-downscaled Global Circulation Model results (CCSM and GFDL under ARES4 A2 scenario) using Regional Spectial Model for retrospective peiod (1969-2000) and future period (2039-2069) were collected over the west central Florida. Total 12 possible methods (i.e., 3 for developing distribution by each of 4 for estimating biases in future projections) were examined and the variations among the results using different methods were evaluated in various ways. The results for daily temperature showed that while mean and standard deviation of Tmax and Tmin has relatively small variation among the bias-correction methods, monthly maximum values showed as significant variation (~2'C) as the mean differences between the retrospective simulations and future projections. The accuracy of raw preciptiation predictions was much worse than temerature and bias-corrected results appreared to be more significantly influenced by the methodologies. Furthermore the uncertainty of bias-correction was found to be relevant to the performance of climate model (i.e., CCSM results which showed relatively worse accuracy showed larger variation among the bias-correction methods). Concludingly bias-correction methodology is an important sourse of uncertainty among other processes that may be required for cliamte change impact assessment. This study underscores the need to carefully select a bias-correction method and that the approach for any given analysis should depend on the research question being asked.

기후변화 시나리오 편의보정 기법에 따른 강우-유출 특성 분석 (Analysis of Rainfall-Runoff Characteristics on Bias Correction Method of Climate Change Scenarios)

  • 금동혁;박윤식;정영훈;신민환;류지철;박지형;양재의;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.241-252
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    • 2015
  • Runoff behaviors by five bias correction methods were analyzed, which were Change Factor methods using past observed and estimated data by the estimation scenario with average annual calibration factor (CF_Y) or with average monthly calibration factor (CF_M), Quantile Mapping methods using past observed and estimated data considering cumulative distribution function for entire estimated data period (QM_E) or for dry and rainy season (QM_P), and Integrated method of CF_M+QM_E(CQ). The peak flow by CF_M and QM_P were twice as large as the measured peak flow, it was concluded that QM_P method has large uncertainty in monthly runoff estimation since the maximum precipitation by QM_P provided much difference to the other methods. The CQ method provided the precipitation amount, distribution, and frequency of the smallest differences to the observed data, compared to the other four methods. And the CQ method provided the rainfall-runoff behavior corresponding to the carbon dioxide emission scenario of SRES A1B. Climate change scenario with bias correction still contained uncertainty in accurate climate data generation. Therefore it is required to consider the trend of observed precipitation and the characteristics of bias correction methods so that the generated precipitation can be used properly in water resource management plan establishment.

포켓 이온 주입된 MOSFET소자의 1/f 잡음 특성 (An Analysis of the 1/f Noise Characteristics of Pocket Implanted MOSFETS)

  • 이병헌;이기영
    • 대한전자공학회논문지SD
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 소오스와 드레인 근처에 포켓형상으로 이온이 주입되어 halo구조를 갖고 있는 MOSFET 소자의 1/f 잡음 특성에 대하여 고찰하였다. 채널 방향으로 전도도가 균일하지 않은 MOSFET 소자가 선형영역에서 동작할 때, 영역구분 근사기법(regional approach)을 근간으로 논의된 기존의 1/f 잡음모델을 영역별로 서로 다른 전기적 성질이 정의될 수 있는 halo MOSFET 소자에 적용하여 그 타당성을 조사하였다. 잡음모델의 검증을 위하여 기존의 모델에서와 같이 영역구분 근사를 사용하여 보다 넓은 동작범위에서 적용될 수 있도록 기존의 모델식을 개선하였다. 개선된 잡음식은 선형영역에서 기존에 보고된 잡음식에 수렴한다. 실험적으로 측정된 1/f 잡음 특성과의 비교에서 영역구분 근사기법으로 정리된 잡음식은 게이트 전압이 비교적 큰 경우에 한해서 적용될 수 있음을 보였다.

Log-Pearson Type III 분포형에 의한 강우의 점빈도 및 지역빈도 비교분석 (Comparative Analysis of regional and at-site frequency for the design rainfall by Log-Pearson Type III Distribution)

  • 류경식;이순혁;맹승진;송기헌;김기창
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2003년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.475-478
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to compare the design rainfall derived by the at-site and regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. The regional and at-site design rainfalls were calculated by Log-Pearson type III distribution using Indirect Methods of Moments(WRC). The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), Relative bias(RBIAS) and Relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared between design rainfalls resulted from observed and simulated data using the regional and at-site analysis. It was shown that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS in comparison with those of at-site analysis. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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지점 및 지역빈도분석에 의한 설계강우량의 추정 (Estimation of Design Rainfall derived by At-site and Regional Frequency Analysis)

  • 류경식;이순혁;맹승진
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.318-322
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. For the estimation of the regional design rain(all, classification of the climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions should be preceded preferentially The optimal regionalization of the precipitation data were classified by the above mentioned conditions for all over the regions except Jeju and Ulleung islands in Korea. Relative root mean square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared between the regional and at-site frequency analysis. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the classified regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis using GEV distribution which was identified to be more optimal one than the other applied distributions.

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Gamma 및 비Gamma군 분포모형에 의한 강우의 지점 및 지역빈도 비교분석 (Ⅱ) (Comparative Analysis of Regional and At-site Analysis for the Design Rainfall by Gamma and Non-Gamma Family (Ⅱ))

  • 이순혁;류경식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. The optimal regionalization of the precipitation data were classified by the above mentioned regionalization for all over the regions except Jeju and Ulleung islands in Korea. Design rainfalls following the consecutive duration were derived by the regional analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root mean square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared between the regional and at-site frequency analysis. It has shown that the regional frequency analysis procedure can substantially more reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than those of at-site analysis in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the classified regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis using Generalized extreme value distribution which was identified to be more optimal one than the other applied distributions. Diagrams for the design rainfall derived by the regional frequency analysis using L-moments were drawn according to the regions and consecutive durations by GIS techniques.

L 및 LH-모멘트법과 지역빈도분석에 의한 가뭄우량의 추정 (II)- LH-모멘트법을 중심으로 - (Estimation of Drought Rainfall by Regional Frequency Analysis Using L and LH-Moments (II) - On the method of LH-moments -)

  • 이순혁;윤성수;맹승진;류경식;주호길;박진선
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2004
  • In the first part of this study, five homogeneous regions in view of topographical and geographically homogeneous aspects except Jeju and Ulreung islands in Korea were accomplished by K-means clustering method. A total of 57 rain gauges were used for the regional frequency analysis with minimum rainfall series for the consecutive durations. Generalized Extreme Value distribution was confirmed as an optimal one among applied distributions. Drought rainfalls following the return periods were estimated by at-site and regional frequency analysis using L-moments method. It was confirmed that the design drought rainfalls estimated by the regional frequency analysis were shown to be more appropriate than those by the at-site frequency analysis. In the second part of this study, LH-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test on the Gumbel (GUM), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO) and Generalized Pareto (GPA) distributions were accomplished to get optimal probability distribution. Design drought rainfalls were estimated by both at-site and regional frequency analysis using LH-moments and GEV distribution, which was confirmed as an optimal one among applied distributions. Design rainfalls were estimated by at-site and regional frequency analysis using LH-moments, the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlotechniques. Design drought rainfalls derived by regional frequency analysis using L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments (LH-moments) method have shown higher reliability than those of at-site frequency analysis in view of RRMSE (Relative Root-Mean-Square Error), RBIAS (Relative Bias) and RR (Relative Reduction) for the estimated design drought rainfalls. Relative efficiency were calculated for the judgment of relative merits and demerits for the design drought rainfalls derived by regional frequency analysis using L-moments and L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments applied in the first report and second report of this study, respectively. Consequently, design drought rainfalls derived by regional frequency analysis using L-moments were shown as more reliable than those using LH-moments. Finally, design drought rainfalls for the classified five homogeneous regions following the various consecutive durations were derived by regional frequency analysis using L-moments, which was confirmed as a more reliable method through this study. Maps for the design drought rainfalls for the classified five homogeneous regions following the various consecutive durations were accomplished by the method of inverse distance weight and Arc-View, which is one of GIS techniques.

다문화 가정 학생 편견 감소를 위한 다문화교육 방향성 모색 -광주.전남지역을 사례로 - (Investigation into the Future Direction of Multicultural Education to Decrease Bias against Multicultural Students: A Case Study of Kwangju.Jeonnam Region)

  • 홍기대
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.381-394
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    • 2011
  • 한국내 외국인 인구가 약 126만 명으로 현재 우리사회는 다인종 다문화사회로 급속하게 변화하고 있다. 유, 초, 중, 고에 취학하고 있는 다문화 가정 학생수도 약 3만6천명 (2010년 기준)이 넘고 있어 앞으로 다문화가정의 학생이 더욱 증가할 것으로 예상할 수 있는데 실제로 국제결혼과 이민자들의 가장 큰 고민거리중의 하나는 자녀들에 대한 편견과 차별에 대한 우려이다. 연구의 결과는 다문화 가정 학생들이 피부색, 언어의 발음, 학교생활에 부적응 등으로 집단 따돌림을 당하고 있는 실정에 있다. 다문화교육 대상학년은 사실상 초등학교 l 학년부터 지도되어야 하고 다문화 가정 학생과 일반학생이 통합 교육으로 지도해야하고, 다문화 교육 주요자료는 영상자료, 사진자료를 사용하는 것이 좋을 것으로 밝혀졌다. 안내 자료는 책자나 CD자료가 적합하다고 하였고 지도 시기는 교과와 관련하여 지도하는 것이 바람직하다고 하였다.

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지역화빈도분석에 의한 설계강우량 추정 - L-모맨트법을 중심으로 - (Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis - On the method of L-moments -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식;지호근;전택기;신용희
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2001년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.319-323
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among apt]lied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the Generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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