• 제목/요약/키워드: receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve

검색결과 289건 처리시간 0.024초

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Serum CA 242 in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Cases

  • Feng, Ji-Feng;Huang, Ying;Chen, Qi-Xun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.1803-1806
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: Carbohydrate antigen (CA) 242 is inversely related to prognosis in many cancers. However, few data regarding CA 242 in esophageal cancer (EC) are available. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of CA 242 and propose an optimum cut-off point in predicting survival difference in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted of 192 cases. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for survival prediction was plotted to verify the optimum cuf-off point. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate prognostic parameters for survival. Results: The positive rate for CA 242 was 7.3% (14/192). The ROC curve for survival prediction gave an optimum cut-off of 2.15 (U/ml). Patients with CA 242 ${\leq}$ 2.15 U/ml had significantly better 5-year survival than patients with CA 242 >2.15 U/ml (45.4% versus 22.6%; P=0.003). Multivariate analysis showed that differentiation (P=0.033), CA 242 (P=0.017), T grade (P=0.004) and N staging (P<0.001) were independent prognostic factors. Conclusions: Preoperative CA 242 is a predictive factor for long-term survival in ESCC, especially in nodal-negative patients. We conclude that 2.15 U/ml may be the optimum cuf-off point for CA 242 in predicting survival in ESCC.

노인과 비노인 외상환자의 손상중증도에 따른 특성 비교 (Comparison of the Characteristics according to Injury Severity Score between Elderly and Non-elderly with Trauma)

  • 김현주;김윤경
    • 한국보건간호학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.304-318
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study examined the characteristic of the Injury Severity Score (ISS) of Korean geriatric patients with a traumatic injury in a nationally representative sample to determine the optimal cutoff of ISS of mortality according to age. Methods: The subjects were 3,018 non-elderly patients and 1,584 elderly patients with an ISS and Korean Triage and Acuity Scale (KTAS) in 2016 from the data of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. The traumatic characteristics of the elderly and non-elderly were compared by stratifying the ISS. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to find the optimal cutoff of ISS of mortality according to age. Results: The elderly were more prone to severe trauma than the non-elderly were. The distribution of KTAS grades was lower, even though the severity of ISS was as high as that of the non-elderly. The optimal cutoff score of the ISS for mortality in the ROC curve was lower in elderly over 65 years than in the other age group. Conclusion: The elderly are more prone to severe trauma and death than non-elderly, even though their ISS is low. Therefore, a strategy to prevent elderly from experiencing serious trauma and managing their geriatric trauma actively is needed.

고속도로 이용자의 승차감 평가특성 및 만족도 분석과 ROC 곡선을 이용한 평탄성 관리기준 적정성 검토 (Analysis of Riding Quality Acceptability and Characteristics of Expressway Users and Evaluation of MRI Thresholds using Receiver Operating Characteristic curves)

  • 이재훈;손덕수;류성우;김용원;박준영
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2018
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this research is to analyze the characteristics of panels that affect the evaluating results of riding quality and to evaluate the appropriateness of roughness management criteria based on ride comfort satisfaction. METHODS : In order to analyze the influence of panel characteristics of riding quality, 33 panels, consisting of civilians and experts, were selected. Also, considering the roughness distribution of the expressway, 35 sections with MRI ranging from 1.17 m/km to 4.65 m/km were selected. Each panel boarded a passenger car and evaluated the riding quality with grades from 0 to 10, and assessed whether it was satisfied or not. After removing outlier results using a box plot technique, 964 results were analyzed. An ANOVA was conducted to evaluate the effects of panel expertise, age, driving experience, vehicle ownership, and gender on the evaluation results. In addition, by using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve, the MRI value, which can most accurately evaluate the satisfaction with riding quality, was derived. Then, the compatibility of MRI was evaluated using AUC as a criterion to assess whether the riding quality was satisfactory. RESULTS : Only the age of the panel participants were found to have an effect on the riding quality satisfaction. It was found that satisfaction with riding quality and MRI are strongly correlated. The satisfaction rate of roughness management criteria on new (MRI 1.6 m/km) and maintenance (MRI 3.0 m/km) expressways were 95% and 53%, respectively. As a result of evaluating the roughness management criteria by using the ROC curve, it was found that the accuracy of satisfaction was the highest at MRI 3.1-3.2 m/km. In addition, the AUC of the MRI was about 0.8, indicating that the MRI was an appropriate index for evaluating the riding quality satisfaction. CONCLUSIONS : Based on the results, the distribution of the panels' age should be considered when panel rating is conducted. From the results of the ROC curve, MRI of 3.0 m/km, which is a criterion of roughness management on maintenance expressways, is considered as appropriate.

인지기능 저하평가를 위한 MR 영상 소견 조합의 진단능 (Diagnostic Performance Using a Combination of MRI Findings for Evaluating Cognitive Decline)

  • 변진영;이민경;정소령
    • 대한영상의학회지
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    • 제85권1호
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    • pp.184-196
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    • 2024
  • 목적 인지기능 저하를 진단하기 위해서 자기공명영상을 이용한 영상 소견의 진단능을 평가하였다. 대상과 방법 총 138명의 주관적인 인기지능 저하를 호소하며, MRI 검사를 시행한 환자를 대상으로 하였다. 이 환자 그룹은 신경정신학적 평가를 통해 알츠하이머군과 비알츠하이머군으로 분류되었다. 우리는 이들의 white matter hyperintensity와 cerebral microbleed를 평가하였으며, Kruskal- Wallis test를 통해 그룹 간의 비교를, receiver operating characteristic (이하 ROC)를 통해 영상학적 소견의 진단능을 평가하였다. 결과 인지기능 정상인 경우와 경도인지장애 환자와 비교해서 알츠하이머 환자에서 엽 혹은 심부 미세출혈이 빈번하게 관찰되었으며, 심한 심부 혹은 뇌실주위, 전체 백질 신호강도 또한 인지기능 정상에 비해서 알츠하이머 환자에서 많이 관찰되었다. 알츠하이머 환자와 다른 환자 그룹(정상 혹은 경도인지장애)을 비교할 때 엽미세출혈과 뇌실주위 뇌백질 신호강도 증가가 같이 존재하는 경우 가장 높은 진단능을 보였다(area under the ROC curve = 0.702[95% 신뢰구간: 0.599-0.806], p < 0.001). 결론 자기공명영상에서 확인한 영상 소견을 바탕으로 인지기능 저하의 진단능을 평가하였다. 인지기능 저하의 진단에 있어서 엽미세출혈과 뇌실주위 뇌백질 신호강도 증가가 같이 존재하는 경우에 높은 진단능을 보였으며, 이러한 소견을 바탕으로 인지기능 저하를 진단하는 데 있어 영상 소견이 도움을 줄 수 있을 것이라는 가능성을 보여주었다.

African American Race and Low Income Neighborhoods Decrease Cause Specific Survival of Endometrial Cancer: A SEER Analysis

  • Cheung, Min Rex
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.2567-2570
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    • 2013
  • Background: This study analyzed Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data to assess if socio-economic factors (SEFs) impact on endometrial cancer survival. Materials and Methods: Endometrial cancer patients treated from 2004-2007 were included in this study. SEER cause specific survival (CSS) data were used as end points. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were computed for predictors. Time to event data were analyzed with Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify independent risk factors. Results: This study included 64,710 patients. The mean follow up time (S.D.) was 28.2 (20.8) months. SEER staging (ROC area of 0.81) was the best pretreatment predictor of CSS. Histology, grade, race/ethnicity and county level family income were also significant pretreatment predictors. African American race and low income neighborhoods decreased the CSS by 20% and 3% respectively at 5 years. Conclusions: This study has found significant endometrial survival disparities due to SEFs. Future studies should focus on eliminating socio-economic barriers to good outcomes.

The Unified Framework for AUC Maximizer

  • Jun, Jong-Jun;Kim, Yong-Dai;Han, Sang-Tae;Kang, Hyun-Cheol;Choi, Ho-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.1005-1012
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    • 2009
  • The area under the curve(AUC) is commonly used as a measure of the receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve which displays the performance of a set of binary classifiers for all feasible ratios of the costs associated with true positive rate(TPR) and false positive rate(FPR). In the bipartite ranking problem where one has to compare two different observations and decide which one is "better", the AUC measures the quantity that ranking score of a randomly chosen sample in one class is larger than that of a randomly chosen sample in the other class and hence, the function which maximizes an AUC of bipartite ranking problem is different to the function which maximizes (minimizes) accuracy (misclassification error rate) of binary classification problem. In this paper, we develop a way to construct the unified framework for AUC maximizer including support vector machines based on maximizing large margin and logistic regression based on estimating posterior probability. Moreover, we develop an efficient algorithm for the proposed unified framework. Numerical results show that the propose unified framework can treat various methodologies successfully.

다시기 원격탐사자료 기반 무감독 변화탐지의 계절적 영향 제거 (Seasonal Effects Removal of Unsupervised Change Detection based Multitemporal Imagery)

  • 박홍련;최재완;오재홍
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2018
  • 최근, 다양한 위성센서가 개발되면서 다시기 위성영상의 취득이 용이해지고 있다. 이에 따라, 재난/재해, 국토모니터링 등과 같은 활용분야에 다시기 위성영상을 적용하기 위한 변화탐지 기법에 대한 연구들이 수행되고 있다. 특히, 빠른 시간 내에 변화지역의 추출이 가능한 무감독 변화탐지 기법의 개발과 관련된 연구들이 수행되고 있지만, 계절적 변화 등과 같은 방사적 차이로 인해 오탐지가 발생하는 단점이 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 무감독 변화탐지 기법 중의 하나인 $S^2CVA$ 기법을 적용하여 생성한 변화방향 벡터를 이용하여 계절적 영향으로 인한 오탐지를 감소시키고자 하였다. 이를 위하여, 동일한 계절을 가지는 RapidEye 위성영상과 다른 계절에 촬영된 RapidEye 위성 영상에 $S^2CVA$ 기법을 적용하였으며, $S^2CVA$의 변화방향벡터가 계절적 영향에 따른 오탐지를 제거할 수 있는지를 분석하였다. 정량적 평가를 위해 변화탐지 결과의 ROC 곡선과 AUC 분석을 통해 기존의 방법에 비해 변화탐지 성능이 향상된 것을 확인하였다.

Under-use of Radiotherapy in Stage III Bronchioaveolar Lung Cancer and Socio-economic Disparities in Cause Specific Survival: a Population Study

  • Cheung, Min Rex
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권9호
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    • pp.4091-4094
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    • 2014
  • Background: This study used the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) to analyze Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) bronchioaveolar carcinoma data to identify predictive models and potential disparity in outcomes. Materials and Methods: Socio-economic, staging and treatment factors were assessed. For the risk modeling, each factor was fitted by a Generalized Linear Model to predict cause specific survival. The area under the ROC was computed. Similar strata were combined to construct the most parsimonious models. A random sampling algorithm was used to estimate modeling errors. Risk of cause specific death was computed for the predictors for comparison. Results: There were 7,309 patients included in this study. The mean follow up time (S.D.) was 24.2 (20) months. Female patients outnumbered male ones 3:2. The mean (S.D.) age was 70.1 (10.6) years. Stage was the most predictive factor of outcome (ROC area of 0.76). After optimization, several strata were fused, with a comparable ROC area of 0.75. There was a 4% additional risk of death associated with lower county family income, African American race, rural residency and lower than 25% county college graduate. Radiotherapy had not been used in 2/3 of patients with stage III disease. Conclusions: There are socio-economic disparities in cause specific survival. Under-use of radiotherapy may have contributed to poor outcome. Improving education, access and rates of radiotherapy use may improve outcome.

한국 물리치료사 국가 면허시험 합격 여부의 예측요인 탐색 (Exploring the Predictive Factors of Passing the Korean Physical Therapist Licensing Examination)

  • 김소현;조성현
    • 대한통합의학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2022
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to establish a model of the predictive factors for success or failure of examinees undertaking the Korean physical therapist licensing examination (KPTLE). Additionally, we assessed the pass/fail cut-off point. Methods : We analyzed the results of 10,881 examinees who undertook the KPTLE, using data provided by the Korea Health Personnel Licensing Examination Institute. The target variable was the test result (pass or fail), and the input variables were: sex, age, test subject, and total score. Frequency analysis, chi-square test, descriptive statistics, independent t-test, correlation analysis, binary logistic regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed on the data. Results : Sex and age were not significant predictors of attaining a pass (p>.05). The test subjects with the highest probability of passing were, in order, medical regulation (MR) (Odds ratio (OR)=2.91, p<.001), foundations of physical therapy (FPT) (OR=2.86, p<.001), diagnosis and evaluation for physical therapy (DEPT) (OR=2.74, p<.001), physical therapy intervention (PTI) (OR=2.66, p<.001), and practical examination (PE) (OR=1.24, p<.001). The cut-off points for each subject were: FPT, 32.50; DEPT, 29.50; PTI, 44.50; MR, 14.50; and PE, 50.50. The total score (TS) was 164.50. The sensitivity, specificity, and the classification accuracy of the prediction model was 99 %, 98 %, and 99 %, respectively, indicating high accuracy. Area under the curve (AUC) values for each subject were: FPT, .958; DEPT, .968; PTI, .984; MR, .885; PE, .962; and TS, .998, indicating a high degree of fit. Conclusion : In our study, the predictive factors for passing KPTLE were identified, and the optimal cut-off point was calculated for each subject. Logistic regression was adequate to explain the predictive model. These results will provide universities and examinees with useful information for predicting their success or failure in the KPTLE.

초기 성인기 주관적 건강상태에 따른 절단 값 제시 (The Optimal Cut Off Score According to Self-Rated Health in Early Adulthood)

  • 김윤영;장은수
    • 보건의료산업학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2017
  • Objectives : The aim of this study was to suggest the optimal cut off for best, very good, good, slightly bad, and bad grades. Methods : The subjects were recruited from 4 areas of South Korea and 487 questionnaires were analyzed. The nominal and continuous self-rated health questions were used to reveal the optimal cut off and the Short Form-12 Health Survey questionnaire (SF-12) was additionally used. Frequency, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and ROC-curve analysis were used; the significance level was <.05. Results : Subjects assigned 15(3.1%), 90(18.5%), 237(48.7%), 130(26.7%), and 15(3.1%) to best, very good, good, slightly bad and bad groups respectively. The self-rated health score was associated with total Component (r=.563, p<.001), Physical Component (r=.520, p<.001) and Mental Component of SF-12 (r=.303, p<.001). The optimal cut off was 80.5, 70.5, 53.5, and 40.5 for best, very good or more, good or more, and under slightly bad respectively and area under curve was 0.898, 0.908, 0.945, and 0.908 accordingly. Conclusions : This study suggests that the self-rated health score and grade could be integrated with the optimal cut off.