• 제목/요약/키워드: real-time prediction

검색결과 1,189건 처리시간 0.026초

HILS 시스템을 통한 IPMSM의 철손저항 추정 (Prediction of Iron Loss Resistance by Using HILS System)

  • 정기윤;강래청;이형철
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents the d-q axis equivalent circuit model of an interior permanent magnet (IPM) which includes the iron loss resistance. The model is implemented to be able to run in real-time on the FPGA-based HIL simulator. Power electronic devices are removed from the motor control unit (MCU) and a separated controller is interfaced with the real-time simulated motor drive through a set of proper inputs and outputs. The inputs signals of the HIL simulation are the gate driver signals generated from the controller, and the outputs are the winding currents and resolver signals. This paper especially presents iron loss prediction which is introduced by means of comparing the torque calculated from d-q axis currents and the desired torque; and minimizing the torque difference. This prediction method has stable prediction algorithm to reduce torque difference at specific speed and load. Simulation results demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed methods.

실시간 앙상블 가뭄전망정보 생산 체계 구축 및 평가 (Development & Evaluation of Real-time Ensemble Drought Prediction System)

  • 배덕효;안중배;김현경;김헌애;손경환;조세라;정의석
    • 대기
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate the system to produce the real-time ensemble drought prediction data. Ensemble drought prediction consists of 3 processes (meteorological outlook using the multi-initial conditions, hydrological analysis and drought index calculation) therefore, more processing time and data is required than that of single member. For ensemble drought prediction, data process time is optimized and hardware of existing system is upgraded. Ensemble drought data is estimated for year 2012 and to evaluate the accuracy of drought prediction data by using ROC (Relative Operating Characteristics) analysis. We obtained 5 ensembles as optimal number and predicted drought condition for every tenth day i.e. 5th, 15th and 25th of each month. The drought indices used are SPI (Standard Precipitation Index), SRI (Standard Runoff Index), SSI (Standard Soil moisture Index). Drought conditions were determined based on results obtained for each ensemble member. Overall the results showed higher accuracy using ensemble members as compared to single. The ROC score of SRI and SSI showed significant improvement in drought period however SPI was higher in the demise period. The proposed ensemble drought prediction system can be contributed to drought forecasting techniques in Korea.

기계학습 알고리즘을 활용한 지역 별 아파트 실거래가격지수 예측모델 비교: LIME 해석력 검증 (Comparative Analysis for Real-Estate Price Index Prediction Models using Machine Learning Algorithms: LIME's Interpretability Evaluation)

  • 조보근;박경배;하성호
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.119-144
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Real estate usually takes charge of the highest proportion of physical properties which individual, organizations, and government hold and instability of real estate market affects the economic condition seriously for each economic subject. Consequently, practices for predicting the real estate market have attention for various reasons, such as financial investment, administrative convenience, and wealth management. Additionally, development of machine learning algorithms and computing hardware enhances the expectation for more precise and useful prediction models in real estate market. Design/methodology/approach In response to the demand, this paper aims to provide a framework for forecasting the real estate market with machine learning algorithms. The framework consists of demonstrating the prediction efficiency of each machine learning algorithm, interpreting the interior feature effects of prediction model with a state-of-art algorithm, LIME(Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation), and comparing the results in different cities. Findings This research could not only enhance the academic base for information system and real estate fields, but also resolve information asymmetry on real estate market among economic subjects. This research revealed that macroeconomic indicators, real estate-related indicators, and Google Trends search indexes can predict real-estate prices quite well.

실시간 공정 모니터링을 통한 제품 품질 예측 모델 개발 (A Product Quality Prediction Model Using Real-Time Process Monitoring in Manufacturing Supply Chain)

  • 오영광;박해승;유아름;김남훈;김영학;김동철;최진욱;윤성호;양희종
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.271-277
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    • 2013
  • In spite of the emphasis on quality control in auto-industry, most of subcontract enterprises still lack a systematic in-process quality monitoring system for predicting the product/part quality for their customers. While their manufacturing processes have been getting automated and computer-controlled ever, there still exist many uncertain parameters and the process controls still rely on empirical works by a few skilled operators and quality experts. In this paper, a real-time product quality monitoring system for auto-manufacturing industry is presented to provide the systematic method of predicting product qualities from real-time production data. The proposed framework consists of a product quality ontology model for complex manufacturing supply chain environments, and a real-time quality prediction tool using support vector machine algorithm that enables the quality monitoring system to classify the product quality patterns from the in-process production data. A door trim production example is illustrated to verify the proposed quality prediction model.

Apache Spark를 활용한 실시간 주가 예측 (Real-Time Stock Price Prediction using Apache Spark)

  • 신동진;황승연;김정준
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 2023
  • 최근 분산 및 병렬 처리 기술 중 빠른 처리 속도를 제공하는 Apache Spark는 실시간 기능 및 머신러닝 기능을 제공하고 있다. 이러한 기능에 대한 공식 문서 가이드가 제공되고 있지만, 기능들을 융합하여 실시간으로 특정 값을 예측하는 방안은 제공되고 있지 않다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 이러한 기능들을 융합하여 실시간으로 데이터의 값을 예측할 수 있는 연구를 진행했다. 전체적인 구성은 Python 프로그래밍 언어에서 제공하는 주가 데이터를 다운로드하여 수집한다. 그리고 머신러닝 기능을 통해 회귀분석의 모델을 생성하고, 실시간 스트리밍 기능을 머신러닝 기능과 융합하여 실시간으로 주가 데이터 중 조정종가를 예측한다.

해양정보기반 방제지원시스템 프로토타입 구축에 관한 연구 (Prototype Development of Marine Information based Supporting System for Oil Spill Response)

  • 김혜진;이문진
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.182-192
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    • 2008
  • 효율적인 방제전략 수립 지원시스템 개발의 일환으로 환경민감정보 기반의 유출유 확산예측 시스템과 피해위험도 예측시스템을 연계하여 인천-대산해역을 대상으로 해양오염 방제지원시스템의 프로토타입을 개발하였다. 유출유 확산예측시스템에서는 실시간 바람과 실시간 해수유동을 기반으로 유출유의 이동을 계산하고, 유출유 특성에 따라 해상 유출유의 풍화작용을 모델링하여 유출유의 잔류량 및 확산분포를 계산하였다. 유출유 확산예측의 실시간 바람은 국립환경과학원의 실시간 기상모델 결과를 ftp를 이용하여 실시간으로 연계하여 활용하며, 실시간 해수유동으로서 조류는 수치모델결과와 검조소 관측결과의 결합을 통해 실시간 조석을 예측하는 CHARRY(Current by Harmonic Response to the Reference Yardstick) 모델을 이용하여 예측하고, 실시간 취송류는 바람과 취송류간의 상관관계와 반응함수를 이용하여 예측하였다. 실시간 해수유동을 따라 이동하면서 풍화되는 유출유의 풍화작용은 유출유 특성에 따라 결정된 감소율을 적용하여 모델링하였다. 본 시스템은 GIS 기술을 이용하여 해양 정보를 ESI(Environmental Sensitivity Index) 및 방제자원 정보와 통합하고 종합적으로 제공함으로써 방제전략 수립을 지원할 수 있다.

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실시간 데이터를 위한 64M DRAM s-Poly 식각공정에서의 웨이퍼 상태 예측 (Wafer state prediction in 64M DRAM s-Poly etching process using real-time data)

  • 이석주;차상엽;우광방
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1997년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국전력공사 서울연수원; 17-18 Oct. 1997
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    • pp.664-667
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    • 1997
  • For higher component density per chip, it is necessary to identify and control the semiconductor manufacturing process more stringently. Recently, neural networks have been identified as one of the most promising techniques for modeling and control of complicated processes such as plasma etching process. Since wafer states after each run using identical recipe may differ from each other, conventional neural network models utilizing input factors only cannot represent the actual state of process and equipment. In this paper, in addition to the input factors of the recipe, real-time tool data are utilized for modeling of 64M DRAM s-poly plasma etching process to reflect the actual state of process and equipment. For real-time tool data, we collect optical emission spectroscopy (OES) data. Through principal component analysis (PCA), we extract principal components from entire OES data. And then these principal components are included to input parameters of neural network model. Finally neural network model is trained using feed forward error back propagation (FFEBP) algorithm. As a results, simulation results exhibit good wafer state prediction capability after plasma etching process.

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도시 빅데이터를 활용한 스마트시티의 교통 예측 모델 - 환경 데이터와의 상관관계 기계 학습을 통한 예측 모델의 구축 및 검증 - (Big Data Based Urban Transportation Analysis for Smart Cities - Machine Learning Based Traffic Prediction by Using Urban Environment Data -)

  • 장선영;신동윤
    • 한국BIM학회 논문집
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2018
  • The research aims to find implications of machine learning and urban big data as a way to construct the flexible transportation network system of smart city by responding the urban context changes. This research deals with a problem that existing a bus headway model is difficult to respond urban situations in real-time. Therefore, utilizing the urban big data and machine learning prototyping tool in weathers, traffics, and bus statues, this research presents a flexible headway model to predict bus delay and analyze the result. The prototyping model is composed by real-time data of buses. The data is gathered through public data portals and real time Application Program Interface (API) by the government. These data are fundamental resources to organize interval pattern models of bus operations as traffic environment factors (road speeds, station conditions, weathers, and bus information of operating in real-time). The prototyping model is implemented by the machine learning tool (RapidMiner Studio) and conducted several tests for bus delays prediction according to specific circumstances. As a result, possibilities of transportation system are discussed for promoting the urban efficiency and the citizens' convenience by responding to urban conditions.

Displacement prediction in geotechnical engineering based on evolutionary neural network

  • Gao, Wei;He, T.Y.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.845-860
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    • 2017
  • It is very important to study displacement prediction in geotechnical engineering. Nowadays, the grey system method, time series analysis method and artificial neural network method are three main methods. Based on the brief introduction, the three methods are analyzed comprehensively. Their merits and demerits, applied ranges are revealed. To solve the shortcomings of the artificial neural network method, a new prediction method based on new evolutionary neural network is proposed. Finally, through two real engineering applications, the analysis of three main methods and the new evolutionary neural network method all have been verified. The results show that, the grey system method is a kind of exponential approximation to displacement sequence, and time series analysis is linear autoregression approximation, while artificial neural network is nonlinear autoregression approximation. Thus, the grey system method can suitably analyze the sequence, which has the exponential law, the time series method can suitably analyze the random sequence and the neural network method almostly can be applied in any sequences. Moreover, the prediction results of new evolutionary neural network method is the best, and its approximation sequence and the generalization prediction sequence are all coincided with the real displacement sequence well. Thus, the new evolutionary neural network method is an acceptable method to predict the measurement displacements of geotechnical engineering.

GPS Satellite Orbit Prediction Based on Unscented Kalman Filter

  • Zheng, Zuoya;Chen, Yongqi;Xiushan, Lu;Zhixing, Du
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 International Symposium on GPS/GNSS Vol.1
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2006
  • In GPS Positioning, the error of satellite orbit will affect user's position accuracy directly, it is important to determine the satellite orbit precise. The real-time orbit is needed in kinematic GPS positioning, the precise GPS orbit from IGS would be delayed long time, so orbit prediction is key to real-time kinematic positioning. We analyze the GPS predicted ephemeris, on the base of comparison of EKF and UKF, a new orbit prediction method is put forward based on UKF in this paper, the result shows that UKF improves the orbit predicted precision and stability. It offers a new method for others satellites orbit determination as Galileo, and so on.

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