• Title/Summary/Keyword: rating curve

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Development of optimization algorithm to set transition point for multi-segmented rating curve (구간 분할된 레이팅 커브의 천이점 선정을 위한 최적화 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Yeonsu;Noh, Joonwoo;Kim, Sunghoon;Yu, Wansik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.421-421
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    • 2018
  • 효율적인 수자원 관리를 위하여 전국유역조사, 수자원 장기종합계획 등 다양한 사업이 수행되고 있으며, 이를 위하여 유출해석은 필수적인 항목이라 할 수 있다. 유출해석을 위하여 수문모형 또는 관측소의 유량자료가 활용되고 있으나, 이는 기존에 관측된 유량자료를 바탕으로 구축된 수위-유량관계 곡선식(Rating-curve)을 활용하여 재생산된 자료라 할 수 있다. 즉, 수위자료는 매시간 관측소에서 측정이 되지만, 유량자료의 경우 측정이 어려울 뿐만 아니라 변동성 및 불확실성이 크기 때문에 시계열 수위를 곡신식을 통해 유량으로 변환하여 활용하고 있다. 이와 같이 수위-유량관계 곡선식의 정확성이 수문자료 생산에 핵심 요소임에도 불구하고 이에 대한 연구는 제한적이며, 특히 홍수터 등의 영향을 고려하여 분할된 곡선의 천이점 접합시 곡선식의 정확도 향상을 위한 연구도 드문 편이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 구간 분할된 곡선의 최적 천이점 선정을 위하여 Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)기법을 활용하였으며, 총 5개 구간까지 구간별 목적함수로 RMSE, RSR, 결정계수 적용시 특성변화에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 구간에 대하여 절대적인 오차를 산정하는 RMSE를 활용하는 경우 저수위 부분에 대한 오차가 증가하는 것을 확인할 수 있었으며, 상대적인 오차인 RSR, 결정계수를 활용하는 경우 전체 구간에 대한 오차를 보완할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. PSO기법을 활용하여 도출된 곡선식에 대해서는 구간 및 전체구간에 대한 오차(RMSE, 결정계수, RSR, MAPE)를 활용하여 불확실성을 검토할 수 있도록 하였고, 잔차분석을 통한 이상치 및 회귀곡선에 대한 정규성 검토를 수행할 수 있는 툴을 개발하였다. 레이팅 커브를 작성하는데 있어 최적화 알고리즘을 활용하여 구간분할시 천이점 선정의 자동화로 천이점 선정에 소요되는 시간을 대폭 감축할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라, 구간별 오차를 종합적으로 고려하여 우수한 품질의 레이팅 커브를 도출할 수 있는 기반을 구축하였다.

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Prediction of response of reinforced concrete frames exposed to fire

  • Balaji, Aneesha;Muhamed Luquman, K.;Nagarajanb, Praveen;Pillai, T.M. Madhavan
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this work is to study the restraining effect in fire resistance of framed structures and to evaluate the global response of reinforced concrete frames when exposed to fire based on advanced finite element method. To study the response a single portal frame is analyzed. The effect of floor slab on this frame is studied by modeling a beam-column-slab assembly. The evolution of temperature distribution, internal stresses and deformations of the frame subjected to ISO 834 standard fire curve for both the frames are studied. The thermal and structural responses are evaluated and a comparison of results of individual members and entire structure is done. From the study it can be seen that restraining forces has significant influence on both stresses and deflection and overall response of the structure when compared to individual structural member. Among the various structural elements, columns are the critical members in fire and failure of column causes the failure of entire structure. The fire rating of various structural elements of the frame is determined by various failure criteria and is compared with IS456 2000 tabulated fire rating.

Analysis of flood and sediment discharge characteristics on Cheonggyecheon (청계천 홍수량, 유사량 특성 분석)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Kee-Wook;Kim, Kyoung-Jun;Park, Yong-Hee;Lee, Ji-Ho;Park, Hyun-Keun;Kim, Dae-Ha;Park, Sang-Hyoung;Park, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Byoung-Soo;Kim, Hyeon-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1849-1853
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    • 2007
  • In this study, flow-sediment discharge characteristics and relationships are estimated for the Cheonggyecheon basin, newly restored in 2005. Flow and sediment discharge measurement is performed on Ogansugyo, Majanggyo 2 and Yongdugyo during the rainy seasons in 2005-2006. The parameters of Clark UH are estimated using measured data, and sediment rating curves are derived by using grading and concentration analysis. Concentration time and storage coefficient of Clark UH are estimated 0.5 hr and 0.63 hr for Majanggyo 2, and 0.4 hr and 0.45 hr for Yongdugyo, respectively. Grain size of sediments are composed of fine silt to fine sand (0.008-0.25mm) based on the sediment grain size classification (Lane, 1947). Flow-sediment relationships derived by using concentration analysis shows that sediment discharge has no obvious relationship with flow discharge.

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Transitions between Uncontrolled Submerged and Uncontrolled Free in Low-Head Ogee Spillway

  • Hong, Seung Ho;Hong, Da Hee;Song, Yang Heon;Lee, Jeong Myeong;Jegal, Jin A
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.155-155
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    • 2022
  • Low head, ogee spillways is popularly used to defense against floods as well as to provide water for irrigation. Spillway is also used to assess compliance with water quality regulations by controlling amount of discharge to the downstream of a channel. For the purpose of water resource management and/or environmental aspects as explained above, the flow discharge through spillways need to be correctly rated as a function of geometry and hydraulic variables. Typically, four flow conditions are encountered during the operation of spillway: (a) uncontrolled free flow (UF); (b) uncontrolled submerged flow (US); controlled free flow (CF); and controlled submerged flow (CS), and each condition has a unique rating equation. However, one of the tricky part of the spillway operation is finding correct flow type over the spillway because structures can operate under both submerged and free flow conditions, and the types are continuously changing over time depending on the amount of discharge, head water and tail water elevation. Quite obviously, if the wrong rating curve relationship is applied because of misjudgment of the flow type due to a transition, a serious error can occur. Thus, an hydraulic model study of one of spillway structure located in South Florida was conducted for the purpose of developing transition relationships. In this presentation, US to UF transition is highlighted.

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Experimental Comparison and Analysis of Measurement Results Using Various Flow Meters (유량측정 기기별 측정성과에 대한 실험적 비교분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Hyug;Lee, Suk-Ho;Jung, Sung-Won;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2010
  • Discharge data examine the process of hydrologic cycle and used significantly in water resource planning and irrigation and flood control planning. However, it needs lots of time and money to get the discharge data. So discharge rating curve is usually used in converting discharge data. Therefore reliability of discharge rating curve absolutely depends on quality of discharge data. Many engineers who study hydrologic engineering make high quality discharge data to develop reliable discharge rating curve. And they carry out research on standard and method of discharge measurement, and equipment improvement. Now various flow meters are utilized to make discharge data in Korea. However, accuracy of equipment and experimental research data from measurement are not enough. In this paper, constant discharge flowed through standard concrete channel, and the velocity is measured using various flow meters. Also Discharge is calculated by measured data to compare and analyze. The equipment for the experiment is Price AA(USGS Type AA Current meter), flow meter, ADC, C2 small current meter, flow tracker, Electromagnetic current meter. The discharge got form various flow meters which are widely used for discharge measurement. The various depths of water were examined and compared such as 0.30 m, 0.35 m, 0.40 m, 0.45 m, 0.50 m, 0.55 m. The experiment progresses a round-measurement on 6-case. Wading measurement(one point method : the 60 % height in surface of the water) was applied to improve creditability and accuracy among measurement methods. USGS Type AA current Meter, Flow Meter, ADC, C2 Small Current meter got the certificate of quality guaranteed. So the results of experiment were used to compare discharge. The Results showed the difference based on USGS Type AA current Meter at average discharge and velocity. Electromagnetic current meter made differences over $\pm$ 10 % and Flow Meter made differences under $\pm$ 10 %. Also ADC, Flow Meter, C2 Small Current meter made differences under $\pm$ 5 %.

A Comparison of Different Depression Instruments for Stroke Patients (뇌졸중 환자의 우울증 평가도구 비교)

  • Lee, Dong-Jin;Shim, Jae-Kwang;An, Seung-Heon
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of depressive symptoms in stroke patients and to compare characteristics of different rating scales - Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS), Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale-Depression (HAD.D)- with regard to diagnosis and severity assessment for post-stroke depression. Methods: Participants included 44 stroke patients who could communicate. At admission, all study participants received a semi-structured interview using the HDRS and a self-completed questionnaire using the BDI and the HAD-D. Pearson's correlation method was used to examine associations among the three depression scales. The BDI and HAD-D were compared based on HDRS criteria, and the sensitivity and specificity using cut-off values were analyzed. Results: The HDRS showed that 52.30% of stroke patients had depressive symptoms on the BDI and HAD-D it was 59.10%. The HDRS correlated significantly with the BDI (r=0.81, p<0.01) and HAD-D (r=0.55, p<0.01). The BDI correlated significantly with HADS (r=0.50, p<0.01). After calculating the area under the ROC curve to decide on HDRS criteria, the BDI (AUC=0.91, 95% CI: 0.83.0.99) showed a significantly larger area compared to the HAD.D (AUC=0.82, 95% CI: 0.69-0.94). The cut-off value of the BDI was 12.50 points with a sensitivity of 81.00% and a specificity of 76.20%. Conclusion: These findings show that the BDI is a useful screening test for depression that most closely predicts the HRDS score.

A Study on the Prediction of Discharge by Estimating Optimum Parameter of Mean Velocity Equation (평균유속공식의 최적매개변수 산정에 의한 유량예측에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Tai Ho;Chae, Soo Kwon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.5578-5586
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    • 2012
  • The accurate estimation of discharge is very essential as the important factor of river design for the utilization and flood control, hydraulic construction design. The present discharge production is using the stage-discharge relationship curve in the river. The rating curve uses the method by predicting the discharge based on regression analysis using the measured stage and discharge data in a flood season. The method is comparatively convenient and has especially advantages in that it can predict the discharge having the difficulty of observation in a flood season. However, this method has basically room for improvement because the method only uses the relationship between stage and discharge, and doesn't reflect the hydraulic parameters such as hydraulic radius, energy slope, roughness, topography, etc.. Therefore, in this study, discharge was predicted using the convenient calculation method with empirical parameters of the Manning and Chezy equations, which were proposed by Choo et at (2011) in KSCE as a new methodology for estimating discharge in open channel. The proposed method can conveniently estimate empirical parameters in both of Manning and Chezy equations and the discharge is estimated in the open channels. There are proved by using data measured in meandering lab. channel and India canal and the accuracies show about determination coefficient 0.8. Accordingly, this method will be used in actual field if this study is continuously conducted.

English Vocabulary Learning Application Development Applying Forgetting Curve and Match Result Based Rating System (망각곡선과 대결 기반 순위 결정 시스템을 적용한 영어 단어 학습 어플리케이션 개발)

  • Youm, Kiho;Oh, Kyoungsu;Chun, Youngjae
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.151-160
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents English vocabulary memorization system using forgetting curve to automatically adjust the vocabulary difficulty to match learner's level. Our system will decide the appropriate repetition cycle, depending on the number of memorizing words through the forgetting curve, then requires an iterative learning. No matter what learners know or do not know, words are reviewed. To save time by reviewing some words which have the highest probability that learners forget. And it provides vocabulary based on learner level, which makes learner maintain their interest and achievement. A general system provides vocabularies which difficulty matches with evaluated ones, or randomly provides some vocabularies without consideration of users' level. But we apply the "Glicko" system which is being used in the online chess game ranking system to adjust the vocabulary's difficulty. We utilize the system used in the one-by-one player system to our vocabulary-human system. As a result, learners's level and the vocabularies's difficulty is measured in the review process. Moreover it maximizes the performance of English vocabulary memorization by applying feedbacks from practice testing and distributed learning.

Development of Cerebral Amyloid Positivity Predicting Models Using Clinical Indicators (임상적 지표를 이용한 대뇌 아밀로이드 단백 축적 여부 예측모델 개발)

  • Chun, Young Jae;Joo, Soo Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Biological Psychiatry
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.94-100
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    • 2020
  • Objectives Amyloid β positron emission tomography (Aβ PET) is widely used as a diagnostic tool in patients who have symptoms of cognitive impairment, however, this diagnostic examination is too expensive. Thus, predicting the positivity of Aβ PET before patients undergo the examination is essential. We aimed to analyze clinical predictors of patients who underwent Aβ PET retrospectively, and to develop a predicting model of Aβ PET positivity. Methods 468 patients who underwent Aβ PET with cognitive impairment were recruited and their clinical indicators were analyzed retrospectively. We specified the primary outcome as Aβ PET positivity, and included variables such as age, sex, body mass index, diastolic blood pressure, systolic blood pressure, education, dementia family history, Mini Mental Status Examination (MMSE), Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR), Clinical Dementia Rating-Sum of Box (CDR-SB), hypertension (HTN), diabetes mellitus (DM) and presence of apolipoprotein E (ApoE) E4 as potential predictors. We developed three final models of amyloid positivity prediction for total subjects, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia using a multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed and the area under curve (AUC) value was calculated for the ROC curve. Results Aβ PET negative patients were 49.6% (n = 232), and Aβ PET positive patients were 50.4% (n = 236). In the final model of all subjects, older age, female sex, presence of ApoE E4 and lower MMSE are associated with Aβ PET positivity. The AUC value was 0.296. In the final model of MCI subjects (n = 244), older age and presence of ApoE E4 are associated with Aβ PET positivity. The AUC value was 0.725. In the final model of AD subjects (n = 173), lower MMSE scores, the presence of ApoE E4 and history of HTN are associated with Aβ PET positivity. The AUC value was 0.681. Conclusions The cerebral amyloid positivity model, which was based on commonly available clinical indicators, can be useful for prediction of amyloid PET positivity in MCI or AD patients.

Development of rating curve in tidal river (감조 하천의 수위-유량 관계 곡선식 개발)

  • Lee, Myung Jin;Yoo, Young Hun;Kim, Hosang;Kim, Hung Soo;Kim, Soo Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.236-236
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    • 2019
  • 전 세계 인구의 90% 이상은 북반구 지역에 거주하고 있으며, 약 67%는 해안 지역에 거주하고 있다. 최근 기후변화로 인해 해수면 높이가 상승하고 있으며, 태풍, 폭풍해일 등의 자연재해로 인해 해안 지역의 인명과 재산 피해가 점점 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 특히 조석의 영향에 따라 수위 및 유량이 변동하는 특성을 가지고 있는 감조하천의 경우, 만조시에 하천의 유량이 배수되지 않아 홍수피해가 가중되기도 한다. 본 연구에서는 조위의 영향을 받는 감조하천의 수위-유량 관계곡선식을 개발하였다. 이를 위해 울산 수위시계열을 wavelet 분석, curve fitting, high pass filter 방법을 이용하여 4가지의 성분(조석 성분, 파고성분, 강우-유출 성분, 잡음 성분)으로 분리하고, 분포형 모형인 GRM 모형을 통해 유출량을 산정하였다. 모의 유출량과 강우-유출 성분을 이용하여 수위-유량 관계곡선식을 개발하고, 모의 유출량에 따른 수위를 추정하였다. 나머지 3가지 성분과 합하여 통합 수위를 산정하고 관측 유량과 비교한 결과 오차가 약 10%이내로 감조 하천의 수위를 정확하게 예측할 수 있었다. 본 연구를 통해 감조하천에서 수위-유량 관계곡선식을 개발할 수 있었으며, 본 연구 결과를 활용하여 유량에 따른 수위를 예측하고 추가적인 다른 성분의 영향을 고려한다면 홍수기에 감조하천의 수위를 원활하게 관리할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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