• Title/Summary/Keyword: rank prediction

Search Result 91, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Development of Evaluation Model for Black Spot Improvement Priorities by using Emperical Bayes Method (EB기법을 이용한 사고잦은 곳 개선사업 우선순위 판정기법 개발)

  • Jeong, Seong-Bong;Hwang, Bo-Hui;Seong, Nak-Mun;Lee, Seon-Ha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.81-90
    • /
    • 2009
  • The safety management of a road network comprises four basic inter-related components:identification of sites(black spot) requiring safety investigation, diagnosis of safety problems, selection of feasible treatments for potential treatment candidates, and prioritization of treatments given limited budgets(Persaud, 2001). Identification process of selecting black spot is very important for efficient investigation of sites. In this study, the accident prediction model for EB method was developed by using accident data and geometric conditions of black spots selected from four-leg signalized intersections in In-cheon City for three years (2004-2006). In addition, by comparing the rank nomination technique using EB method to that by using accident counts, we managed to show the problems which the existing method have and the necessity for developing rational prediction model. As a result, in terms of total number of accidents, both the counts predicted by existing non-linear regression model and that by EB method have high good of fitness, but EB method, considering both the accident counts by sites and total number of accident, has better good of fitness than non-linear poison model. According to the result of the comparison of ranks nominated for treatment between two methods, the rank for treatment of almost sites does not change but SeoHae intersection and a few other intersections have significant changes in their rank. This shows that, with the technique proposed in the study, the RTM problem caused by using real accident counts can be overcome.

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Time-Dependent Deformation in Prestressed Concrete Box Girder Bridges (프리스트레스트 콘크리트 박스 거더 교량의 시간에 따른 변형의 확률 해석 및 민감도 해석)

  • 오병환;양인환
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
    • /
    • v.10 no.6
    • /
    • pp.149-159
    • /
    • 1998
  • The reasonable prediction of time-dependent deformation of prestressed concrete(PSC) box girder bridges is very important for accurate construction as well as good serviceability. The long-term behavior is mostly influenced by the probabilistic characteristic of creep and shrinkage. This paper presents a method of statistical analysis and sensitivity analysis of creep and shrinkage effects in PSC box been taken into account - model uncertainty, parameter variation and environmental condition. The statistical and sensitivity analyses are performed by using the numerical simulation of Latin Hypercube sampling. For each sample, the time-dependent structural analysis is performed to produce response data, which are then statistically analyzed. The probabilistic prediction of the confidence limits on long-term effects of creep and shrinkage is then expressed. Three measure are examined to quantify the sensitivity of the outputs of each of the input variables. These are rank correlation coefficient(RCC), partical rank correlation coefficient(PRCC) and standardiozed rank regression coefficient(SRRC) computed on the ranks of the observations. Three creep and shrinkage models - i. e., ACI model. CEB-FIP model and the model in Korea Highway Bridge Specification - are studied. The creep model uncertainy factor and the relative humidity appear to be the most dominant factors with regard to the model output uncertainty.

Prediction of Fatigue Life using Extreme Statistics Analysis (표면미소균열의 극치통계해석을 이용한 피로수명예측)

  • Lee, Dong-U;Hong, Sun-Hyeok;Jo, Seok-Su;Ju, Won-Sik
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.26 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1746-1752
    • /
    • 2002
  • Fatigue fracture in machine components is produced by surface micro-crack from stress concentration area such as notch and material defect. It is difficult to predict the remaining fatigue lift of mechanical components because the surface micro-crack on critical area initiates and grows with statistical distribution. Plane bending fatigue tests were carried out on the plain specimen of Al 2024-T3 and the initiation and growth behavior of surface micro cracks were observed. The statistical distribution of surface length of multiple micro cracks and their maximum length were investigated. The maximum surface crack length distributions were analyzed on the basis of the statistics of extremes in order to examine the prediction of remaining life.

An Experimental Study or the Prediction Method of Floor Impact Sound Insulation Performance in Apartment House Using Impedance Method(II) (임피던스법을 이용한 공동주택 바닥 충격음 차음성능 예측방법에 관한 실험 적 연구(II) - 경량 표준충격원을 중심으로 -)

  • 김재수;장길수;김선우
    • Journal of KSNVE
    • /
    • v.2 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-31
    • /
    • 1992
  • In the previous paper, we report a practical floor impact sound level prediction method for a heavyweight impact source(Tire), soft impact source such as children jumping and running. According to these results, the calculated value and the measured value correspond comparatively well, regardless of differences in the floor structures. And the floor impact sound for a heavyweight impact source, soft source was strongly influenced by structural factors such as floor slab stiffness and peripheral support conditions. But the floor impact sound for a light impact source (Tapping machine), hard impact source was influenced by resilient layers, composed of multi-layer in floor structures. Thus, In this paper, 4 actual floor structures, all with differing resilient layers, were calculated using impedance method. When these calculation values were compared with the measured values, approximately all the values fell with one rank of the sound insulation grade, reference curve(L curve) by the JIS standard. So, a sample of measured values and calculated values from floor structures is presented to show the accuracy and appropriateness of the impedance method in domestic.

  • PDF

A Study on the Filtering Technique of LiDAR Data (라이다 자료의 필터링기법에 관한 연구)

  • 이정호;한수희;유기윤;변영기
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
    • /
    • 2004.04a
    • /
    • pp.471-475
    • /
    • 2004
  • LiDAR의 표고점 데이터에서 건물, 수목 등과 같이 주위보다 높은 고도 값을 가지는 대상물을 제거하여 DEM을 생성하기 위한 여러 가지 필터링 기법들이 개발되고 있으며 대표적인 필터링 방법으로는 분산을 이용한 linear prediction 기법, 주변 점들과의 경사관계를 이용한 slope-based 기법, morphology 필터, dual rank 필터 등이 있다. 이러한 기법들은 커널(kernel)의 크기를 대상 지역에 맞도록 사용자가 직접 지정해주어야 하고, 건물의 크기가 다양한 지역에 적용하기 위해서는 가변 크기(variable size)의 커널을 필요로 한다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 크기의 건물이 존재하는 지역에 대하여 커널의 크기를 변화시키지 않고 필터링을 수행하는 새로운 커널 연산 기법을 제안하였다. 또한 기존 필터링 기법에서는 커널에 의해 갱신된 연산값이 다음 연산에 반영되지 않으나 본 연구에서는 갱신된 값이 바로 다음 연산에 반영되도록 하였다. 건물과 수목 등을 제거하기 위하여 주변 화소와의 높이 차를 이용하였으며 대상물이 제거된 부분은 주변 화소를 이용하여 보간하였다.

  • PDF

Frequency Estimation of Multiple Sinusoids From MR Method (MR 방법으로부터 다단 정현파의 주파수 추정)

  • 안태천;탁현수;이종범
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
    • /
    • v.29B no.2
    • /
    • pp.18-26
    • /
    • 1992
  • MR(Model Reduction) is presented in order to estimate the frequency of multiple sinusoids from the finite noisy data with the white or colored noises. MR, using the reduced rank models, is designed, appling the approximation of linear system to LP(Linear Prediction). The MR method is analyzed. Monte-carlo simulations are conducted for MR and Lp. The results are compared with in terms of mean, root-mean square and relative bias. MR eliminates effectevely the extremeous and exceptional poles appearing in LP and improves the accuracy of LP. Especially, MR gives promising results in short noisy measurements, low SNR's and colored noises. Power spectral density and angular frequency position are showed by figures, for examples. Finally, the new method is utilized to the communication and biomedical systems estimating the characteristics of the signal and the system identification modelling the dynamic systems from experimental data.

  • PDF

Fracture Probability Properties of Torsion Fatigue of STS304 Steel (STS304강의 비틀림 피로파괴 확률특성)

  • Park, Dae-Hyun;Jeong, Soon-Ug
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
    • /
    • 2003.04a
    • /
    • pp.201-206
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study is test for STS304 specimen using bending and torsion state. Rounded specimen and notched specimen including fracture surface investigation was comparatively experimented, fatigue life according to degree of surface finishing was examined. Fatigue fracture probability of notched canilever specimens were predicted by P-S-N curve, median rank and Weibull distribution. And at the relation with the rotational speed and stress, the fatigue life of the test specimen was higher at high speed than low speed If summarize STS304 torsion result of fatigue test, is as following. Fatigue life prediction was available by Weibull statistics distribution, and 50% breakdown probability correlation equation was appeared as following.

  • PDF

Sire Evaluation Using Animal Model and Conventional Methods in Murrah Buffaloes

  • Jain, A.;Sadana, D.K.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • v.13 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1196-1200
    • /
    • 2000
  • First lactation records of 683 Murrah buffaloes maintained at National Dairy Research Institute, Karnal, were used for comparing the sire evaluation for age at first calving, first lactation 305-day or less milk yield and first service period. The sires were evaluated using Simple daughters average, Contemporary comparison, Least-squares and BLUP methods. The BLUP evaluations were obtained under single-, two- and three-trait individual animal models. The results revealed that for taking a decision regarding the method of sire evaluation to be used for selecting sires with high breeding values, criteria of the rank correlation could be misleading and comparison of the selected sires is likely to give a veritable picture. The Best Linear Unbiased Prediction method under multi-trait animal model incorporating first lactation milk yield with first service period as a covariable and age at first calving in the model was found to be more efficient and accurate for sire selection in Murrah buffaloes.

Applying a modified AUC to gene ranking

  • Yu, Wenbao;Chang, Yuan-Chin Ivan;Park, Eunsik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.307-319
    • /
    • 2018
  • High-throughput technologies enable the simultaneous evaluation of thousands of genes that could discriminate different subclasses of complex diseases. Ranking genes according to differential expression is an important screening step for follow-up analysis. Many statistical measures have been proposed for this purpose. A good ranked list should provide a stable rank (at least for top-ranked gene), and the top ranked genes should have a high power in differentiating different disease status. However, there is a lack of emphasis in the literature on ranking genes based on these two criteria simultaneously. To achieve the above two criteria simultaneously, we proposed to apply a previously reported metric, the modified area under the receiver operating characteristic cure, to gene ranking. The proposed ranking method is found to be promising in leading to a stable ranking list and good prediction performances of top ranked genes. The findings are illustrated through studies on both synthesized data and real microarray gene expression data. The proposed method is recommended for ranking genes or other biomarkers for high-dimensional omics studies.

Comparison of Caco-2 and MDCK Cells As an In-Vitro ADME Screening Model (In-Vitro 흡수특성 검색모델로서 Caco-2 및 MDCK 세포배양계의 특성 비교 평가)

  • Go, Woon-Jung;Cheon, Eun-Pa;Han, Hyo-Kyung
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
    • /
    • v.38 no.3
    • /
    • pp.183-189
    • /
    • 2008
  • The present study compared the feasibility of Caco-2 and MDCK cells as an efficient in-vitro model for the drug classification based on Biopharmaceutics Classification System (BCS) as well as an in-vitro model for drug interactions mediated by P-gp inhibition or P-gp induction. Thirteen model drugs were selected to cover BCS Class I{\sim}IV$ and their membrane permeability values were evaluated in both Caco-2 and MDCK cells. P-gp inhibition studies were conducted by using vinblastine and verapamil in MDCK cells. P-gp induction studies were also performed in MDCK cells using rifampin and the P-gp expression level was determined by western blot analysis. Compared to Caco-2 cells, MDCK cells required shorter period of time to culture cells before running the transport study. Both Caco-2 and MDCK cells exhibited the same rank order relationship between in-vitro permeability values and human permeability values of all tested model compounds, implying that those in-vitro models may be useful in the prediction of human permeability (rank order) of new chemical entities at the early drug discovery stage. However, in the case of BCS drug classification, Caco-2 cells appeared to be more suitable than MDCK cells. P-gp induction by rifampin was negligible in MDCK-cells while MDCK cells appeared to be feasible for P-gp inhibition studies. Taken all together, the present study suggests that Caco-2 cells might be more applicable to the BCS drug classification than MDCK-cells, although MDCK cells may provide some advantage in terms of capacity and speed in early ADME screening process.