• 상하수도학회지
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.609-617
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• 2008

Water pipes are supposed to deliver the predetermined demand safely to a certain point in water distribution system. However, pipe burst or crack can be happened due to so many reasons such as the water hammer, natural pipe ageing, external impact force, soil condition, and various environments of pipe installation. In the present study, the reliability model which can calculate the probability of pipe breakage was developed regarding unsteady effect such as water hammer. For the reliability model, reliability function was formulated by Barlow formula. AFDA method was applied to calculate the probability of pipe breakage. It was found that the statistical distribution for internal pressure among the random variables of reliability function has a good agreement with the Gumbel distribution after unsteady analysis was performed. Using the present model, the probability of pipe breakage was quantitatively calculated according to random variables such as the pipe diameter, thickness, allowable stress, and internal pressure. Furthermore, it was found that unsteady effect significantly increases the probability of pipe breakage. If this reliability model is used for the design of water distribution system, safe and economical design can be accomplished. And it also can be effectively used for the management and maintenance of water distribution system.

• 전산구조공학
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.143-154
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• 1997

본 연구에서는 지하암반구조물의 구조해석시 불연속암반체의 물성변이를 고려할 수 있는 확률론적 해석기법을 개발하였다. 수치해석적 접근은 몬테칼로모사기법의 단점을 보완한 LHS기법을 사용하였고, 불연속면의 영향은 단층, 벽개 등과 같이 불연속성이 뚜렷한 지역에서 적용성이 높은 절리유한요소모델을 사용하였다. 재료특성에 대한 확률변수는 불연속면의 수직강성과 전단강성을 다확률변수로 사용하였으며, 이들은 확률공간에서 정규분포를 갖는 경우에 대하여 고려하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 수치해석프로그램은 검증예제를 통하여 타당성을 확인하였으며, 가상의 불연속면군이 존재하는 지하원형공동에 대한 해석을 통하여 프로그램의 적용성을 확인하였다.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.399-416
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• 2018

In order to reveal the independent relationship between track irregularity and wind loads, the stochastic characteristics of train-bridge coupling systems subjected to wind loads were investigated by the multi-sample calculation. The vehicle was selected as 23 degrees of freedom dynamical model, and the bridge was described by three-dimensional finite element model. It was assumed that the wind loads were random processes with strong spatial correlation, while the track irregularities were stationary random ones. As a case study, a high-speed train running on a cable-stayed bridge subjected to wind loads was studied. The effect of rail irregularities was deemed to be independent of the effect of wind excitations on the coupling system in the same wind circumstance for the same project, leading to the conclusion that the effect of wind loads and moving vehicle could be calculated separately. The variance results of the stochastic responses of vehicle-bridge coupling system under the action of wind loads and rail irregularities together were equivalent to the sum of the variance of the responses induced by each excitation. Therefore, when one of the input excitations is different, only the effect of changed loads needs to be assessed. Moreover, the new calculated results were combined with the effect of unchanged loads to present the stochastic response of coupling system subjected to the different excitations, reducing the cost of computations. The stochastic characteristics, the CFD (cumulative distribution function) of the coupling system with different wind velocities, vehicle speed, and vehicle marshalling were studied likewise.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.3-18
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• 2018

본고는 2003~2013년 기간 동안 62개 국가의 양자 무역자료를 이용하여 양자 간의 수출과 수입에 FTA와 FTA의 파급효과가 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 이를 분석하기 위해 본고에서는 1) FTA더미변수와 2) FTA더미변수를 이용한 가중평균수출입 규모를 FTA의 파급효과 변수로 구축하였으며, GMM, 패널 고정효과 및 확률효과, 그리고 PPML 추정방법을 이용하였다. 분석결과, FTA변수는 양자 간의 수출과 수입에 양(+)의 관계를 보여, 양자 간의 FTA가 무역창출 및 무역전환 효과에 의해 수출입을 증가시키는 것으로 나타났다. FTA의 파급효과를 나타내는 FTA 가중평균수출입 규모 변수도 모든 분석모형에서 양(+)의 값을 갖는 것으로 분석되어, 주변국 또는 제3국들의 다양한 FTA 체결은 양자 간의 무역규모를 증가시키는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 본고는 무역을 증가시키기 위해서는 다양한 FTA를 체결한 국가와의 무역을 하는 것이 바람직하며, 향후 FTA의 분석은 기존의 2개국 모형에서 3개국 모형 분석으로 확대될 필요성이 있다는 시사점을 제시하였다.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.387-398
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• 2020

In the design stage of the very large container ships, some methodologies for the whipping effects have been developed, but most of them are based on single sea state. We developed a methodology that considers multiple sea states. Fluid-structure Interaction (FSI) analyses with one dimensional structural model were carried out to capture slamming-induced transient whipping behaviors. Because of the nature of random phases of the applied wave spectra, the required period for entire FSI analyses was determined from the convergence study where the whipping effect became stable. Low pass filtering was applied to the transient whipping responses to obtain the hull girder bending moment processes. Peak counting method for the filtered whipping responses was used to obtain collection of the vertical bending moment peaks. The whipping effect from this new method is compared with that from based on single sea state approach. The efficiency and advantage of the new methodology are presented.

• 한국음향학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국음향학회 2000년도 하계학술발표대회 논문집 제19권 1호
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• pp.283-286
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• 2000

흡음률을 예측 및 평가하기 위한 연구로서 우선 수직입사 흡음률을 예측하는 경험식 모델에 대한 비교 연구를 수행하였다. 비교결과는 Voronina 가 제안한 경험식이 상대적으로 실험치와 잘 일치하고 있다. 한편 수직입사와 랜덤입사와의 상관관계를 실험 연구를 통하여 조사하였다. 이 상관관계는 주파수에 따라서 다르게 나타나고 있다. 저주파수 대역에서는 랜덤 입사가 수직입사 보다 크게 나타나고 있지만 고주파수에서는 수평입사 성분의 영향으로 랜덤입사에서는 감소하는 경향을 보이고 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.755-762
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• 2015

One of the main objectives of the U.S. Census Bureau is the proper estimation of median household income for small areas. These estimates have an important role in the formulation of various governmental decisions and policies. Since direct survey estimates are available annually for each state or county, it is desirable to exploit the longitudinal trend in income observations in the estimation procedure. In this study, we consider Fay-Herriot type small area models which include time-specific random effect to accommodate any unspecified time varying income pattern. Analysis is carried out in a hierarchical Bayesian framework using Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology. We have evaluated our estimates by comparing those with the corresponding census estimates of 1999 using some commonly used comparison measures. It turns out that among three types of time-specific random effects the small area model with a time series random walk component provides estimates which are superior to both direct estimates and the Census Bureau estimates.

• 소음진동
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.399-407
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• 1998

An investigation into the modal interaction of an autoparameteric systemunder broad-band random excitation is made. The specific system examined is a spring-pendulum system with internal resonance, which is known to be a good model for a variety of engineering systems, including ship motions with nonlinear coupling between pitching and rolling motions. By means of the Gaussian closure method the dynamic moment equations explaining the random responses of the system are reduced to a system of autonomous ordinanary differential equations of the first and second moments. In view of equilibrium solutions of this system and their stability we examine the system responses. The stabilizing effect of system damping is also examined.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제46권3호
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• pp.435-449
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• 2023

Time domain method and frequency domain method are commonly used in the current fatigue life calculation theory. The time domain method has complicated procedures and needs a large amount of calculation, while the frequency domain method has poor applicability to different materials and different spectrum, and improper selection of spectrum model will lead to large errors. Considering that artificial neural network has strong ability of nonlinear mapping and generalization, this paper applied this technique to random fatigue life prediction, and the effect of average stress was taken into account, thereby achieving more accurate prediction result of random fatigue life.

• 정보관리학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.273-296
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• 2008

본 연구는 선행연구의 연구결과를 데이터로 간주하여 통계분석하는 메타분석방법을 사용하여 사서의 직무만족에 영향을 미치는 요인을 연구하였다. 선행연구 27편으로부터 집단변수로는 남녀성별과 결혼유무, 종속변수로는 전체직무만족도와 7개 하위변수(직무자체, 급여, 승진, 감독, 근무환경, 사회적 인식, 자아실현)가 선정되어 분석되었다. 분석결과 남녀간 사회적 인식과, 승진, 감독, 근무환경의 효과크기는 유의한 차이를 보였으나, 감독과 근무환경의 효과크기만 동질적인 것으로 분석되었다. 이질적으로 분석된 사회적 인식과 승진에 대해서는 랜덤효과분석을 추가로 수행한 결과 승진의 효과크기만 유의한 차이를 보였다. 결혼여부에서는 직무자체와 급여, 자아실현의 효과크기가 유의한 차이를 보였으나, 이질적으로 판명된 직무자체의 효과크기는 랜덤효과분석에서 유의한 차이를 보이지 못하였다. 연구시기 (2000년전후)는 중재변수가 되지 못한 것으로 분석되었다.