• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.61-70
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• 1999

The two-dimensional Random-Walk model in which fluid and pollutant particles are tracked using statistical concept was developed to simulate dispersion processes in natural streams. The calibration of the model shows that the error decreases as the number of grid increases, and/or the number of particles in each grid increases. The proposed model is tested against the dispersion data collected in the Grand River, Canada. The simulation results show that the 2-D Random-Walk model describes two-dimensional mixing phenomena occurred in the irregular meandering stream very accurately.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.515-525
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• 2014

Recently, because of increasing in downpour and typhoon, which are caused by climate changes, those sedimentation disasters, such as landslide and debris flow, have become frequent. Those sedimentation disasters take place in natural slope. In order to predict debris flow damage range within wide area, the response model is more appropriate than numerical analysis. However, to make a prediction using Random Walk Model, the regional parameters is needed to be decided, since the regional environments conditions are not always same. This random Walk Model is a probability model with easy calculation method, and simplified slope factor. The objective of this study is to calculate the optimal parameters of Random Walk Model for Umyeon mountain in Seoul, where the large debris flow has occurred in 2011. Debris flow initiation zones and sedimentation zones were extracted through field survey, aerial photograph and visual reading of debris flow before and after its occurrence via LiDAR DEM.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.185-192
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• 1996

In order to simulate the coastal dispersion effectively, hybrid concept of operator split Eulerian-lagrangian concentration model and random-walk particle tracking model are developed. Especially the random-walk model is adequate for region with steep slope of concentration. According to model tests, it agrees perfectly with analytical solution on around the source point for therefore. ▽C $\geq$ 0.005, meanwhile it shows poor results for ▽C$\leq$0.002. trial modeling for real situation therefore, random-walk model is applied for near field henceforth Eulerian-Lagrangian concentration model is adoped for whole domain so that overall performance and accuracy can be achieved by using developed hybrid model.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.7 no.5
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• pp.79-87
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• 2006

This paper presents the numerical model developed to simulate the solute transport in rough and smooth single fractures. The roughness of these fractures is represented by using the fractal surface method. In this study, the 3D transport model, which is based on the random walk technique, is used to simulate the dispersion process of a solute which is represented by numerical particles. As the simulation results, it can be observed that the dispersion of solute in the fracture is significantly affected by the fracture roughness and particle size.

• Proceeding of EDISON Challenge
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• 2015.03a
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• pp.53-60
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• 2015

본 연구에서는 random walk하는 입자와 암세포 확산을 비교하여 Fick's law를 따르는 확산 모형과 암세포 확산의 차이를 밝힌다. 암세포 확산은 암 전이 메커니즘을 이해하는데 매우 중요하다. 하지만 아직까지 암세포 확산은 정확하게 이해되지 않고 있다. 따라서 이번 연구에서는 가장 간단한 2차원 random walk와 암세포 확산을 비교하고, 동역학적인 차이를 규명해 암세포 확산을 이해하고자 한다. Random walk하는 입자는 EDISON 전산화학 전문센터의 프로그램 중 dynamic Monte Carlo(dynamic MC) 전산 모사 소프트웨어를 이용하여 2차원에서 움직이는 레나드-존스 입자의 운동을 통해 살펴보았다. 암세포 확산은 실제 암세포의 시간에 따른 위치 변화 정보 (세포의 궤적)를 직접 구하여 분석하였다. Dynamic MC 결과는 Fickian 확산 모형을 잘 따르는 것을 평균 제곱 거리와 밀도 함수를 통해 확인할 수 있었다. 암세포 확산의 경우 평균 제곱 거리는 시간에 대해서 선형적으로 비례하지만 밀도 함수는 가우시안 형태로 나오지 않으며 Fick's law를 따르는 확산 모형과 다른 확산 형태를 보인다. 이러한 확산 형태는 암세포의 동역학적인 다양성 때문에 나타나며 각각의 암세포가 다른 운동성을 가지는 것에 기인하는 것으로 보인다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 1994.02a
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• pp.191-198
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• 1994

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.10 no.5
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• pp.210-219
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• 2010

Consumers differ in both horizontally and vertically. Market segmentation aims to divide horizontally different (or heterogeneous) consumers into more similar (or homogeneous) small segments. A specific consumer, however, may differ in vertically. He (or she) may belong to a different market segment from another one where he (or she) belonged to before. In consumer panel data, the vertical difference can be observed by his (or her) choice among brand alternatives are changing over time. The consumer's vertical difference has been defined as 'dynamics'. In this research, we have developed a binary probit model with random-walk coefficients to capture the consumer's dynamics. With an application to a consumer panel data, we have examined how have the random-walk coefficients changed over time.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.73-82
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• 1998

In order to simulate surface discharged heat dispersion in costal area, a 2-dimensional Eulerian-Lagrangian model for far field and semi-active particle tracking random walk model in near field has been combined. The mass of discharged heat water in near field has treated as particles with buoyancy and this is eventually converted to horizontal additive dispersion in random walk equations. This model is applied to both a simplified coastal geometry and a real site. In simple application it can simulate plume-like characteristics around discharging point than a near field-model, CORMIX/3. Actual application in the Chonsu Bay shows farther spreading of heat water in near field comparing the observed data, and this shows that the developed model might be applied with satisfaction.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.207-218
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• 2010

The purpose of the study is to predict the shipping business during the period of 2011 using the ARIMA-type models. This include the ARIMA and Intervention-ARIMA models. The multivariate cause-effect econometric model is not employed for not assuring a higher degree of forecasting accuracy than the univariate variable model. Such a cause-effect econometric model also fails in adjusting itself for the post-sample. This article introduces the four ARIMA models and six Intervention-ARIMA models. The monthly data cover the period January 2000 through October 2010. The out-of-sample forecasting performance is compared between the ARIMA-type models and the random walk model. Forecasting performance is measured by three summary statistics: root mean squared percent error, mean absolute percent error and mean percent error. The root mean squared percent errors of all the ARIMA-type models are somewhat higher than normally expected. Furthermore, the random walk model outperforms all the ARIMA-type models. This reveals that the BDI is just a random walk phenomenon and it's meaningless to predict the BDI using various econometric techniques. The ARIMA-type models show that the shipping market is expected to be bearish in 2011. These pessimistic ex-ante forecasts are supported by the Hodrick-Prescott filtering technique.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.132-135
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• 2001

마이크로셀 시스템에서 트래픽(통화량) 성능은 가입자(사용자)들의 이동성에 민감한 영향을 받는다. 셀 내 체류시간 및 채널점유시간은 이동 속도 및 방향의 추계적인 변화에 의하여 특성지어진다. 셀 내 체류시간은 채널점유시간과 같은 통화량 성능을 분석하는데 기초적으로 이용되는 중요한 정보를 제공한다. 차세대 이동통신 네크워크로 진화해 가는 과정에서 증가하는 사용자들의 접속요청을 수용하고 주파수 효용도를 높이기 위하여 셀의 크기는 매우 작아진다. 셀의 크기가 작아질수록 통화량 성능은 사용자들, 특히 보행자들의 가변적인 이동성에 더욱더 영향을 받게된다. 단순화된 모형을 이용한 기존연구는 제2세대 이동통신에서는 수용할만한 정확성을 보였으나, 통화량 분포의 변화가 시간적으로 크고, 보행자의 이동성에 영향을 많이 받는 picocell (피코셀)의 특성을 적절히 반영하지 못하여 성능분석의 정확성을 기대하기 어렵다. 보행자의 가변적인 이동성을 수리적으로 분석하기 '위하여 랜덤 웍 (random-walk)모형을 적용하여 기존의 연구보다 개선시킨 확률모형을 제안한다. 제안된 모형으로 추계적 상관관계가 있는 보행자 이동성의 가변적 특성을 분석할 수 있다. 주요 통화량 성능지표를 제안된 모형으로 분석하였다.