• Title/Summary/Keyword: rainfall simulation

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Impact of Urban Canopy and High Horizontal Resolution on Summer Convective Rainfall in Urban Area: A case Study of Rainfall Events on 16 August 2015 (도시 캐노피와 수평 고해상도가 여름철 대류성 도시 강수에 미치는 영향: 2015년 8월 16일 서울 강수 사례 분석)

  • Lee, Young-Hee;Min, Ki-Hong
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.141-158
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to examine the impact of urban canopy and the horizontal resolution on simulated meteorological variables such as 10-m wind speed, 2-m temperature and precipitation using WRF model for a local, convective rainfall case. We performed four sensitivity tests by varying the use of urban canopy model (UCM) and the horizontal resolution, then compared the model results with observations of AWS network. The focus of our study is over the Seoul metropolitan area for a convective rainfall that occurred on 16 August 16 2015. The analysis shows that mean diurnal variation of temperature is better simulated by the model runs with UCM before the convective rainfall. However, after rainfall, model shows significant difference in air temperature among sensitivity tests depending on the simulated rainfall amount. The rainfall amount is significantly underestimated in 0.5 km resolution model run compared to 1.5 km resolution, particularly over the urban areas. This is due to earlier occurrence of light rainfall in 0.5 km resolution model. Earlier light rainfall in the afternoon eliminates convective instability significantly, which prevents occurrence of rainfall later in the evening. The use of UCM results in a higher maximum rainfall in the domain, which is due to higher temperature in model runs with urban canopy. Earlier occurrence of rainfall in 0.5 km resolution model is related to rapid growth of PBL. Enhanced mixing and higher temperature result in rapid growth of PBL, which provides more favorable conditions for convection in the 0.5 km resolution run with urban canopy. All sensitivity tests show dry bias, which also contributes to the occurrence of light precipitation throughout the simulation period.

Hydrological Evaluation of Rainwater Harvesting: 1. Hydrological Analysis (빗물이용의 수문학적 평가: 1. 수문해석)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Kim, Kyoungjun;Yun, Zuhwan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2008
  • This study revised a model for hydrologically analyzing rainwater harvesting facilities considering their rainfall-runoff properties and the data available. This model has only a few parameters, which can be estimated with rather poor measurements available. The model has a non-linear module for rainfall loss, and the remaining rainfall excess (effective rainfall) is assumed to be inflow to the storage tank. This model has been applied for the rainwater harvesting facilities in Seoul National University, Korea Institute of Construction Technology, and the Daejon World Cup Stadium. As a result, the runoff coefficients estimated were about 0.9 for the building roof as a rainwater collecting surface and about 0.18 for the playground. This result is coincident with that for designing the rainwater harvesting facilities to show the accuracy of model and the simulation results.

Utilization of Radar-Raingauge for Flood Management

  • Shigeki, Sakakima;Kazumasa, Ito;Chikao, Fukami
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2003
  • In order to use radar rainfall data for flood management, it is necessary to study and develop a method for optimum error correction to obtain radar rainfall values that agree closely with surface rainfall data. This paper proposes an optimum estimation method for calculating rainfall in a river basin by using data from surface raingauges and radar raingauge systems. This paper also reports on recent applications of radar raingauge systems for accurate simulation of flood discharge based on river basin rainfall values obtained from radar raingauge systems.

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Inundation Analysis on the Flood Plain in Ungauged Area Using Satellite Rainfall and Global Geographic Data: In the case of Tumen/Namyang Area in Duman-gang(Riv.) (위성강우와 글로벌 지형 자료를 이용한 미계측 지역 홍수터 침수모의 : 두만강 도문/남양 지역을 중심으로)

  • CHOI, Yun-Seok;KIM, Joo-Hun;KIM, Ji-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to present a method for quantitative analysis of flooding at the flood plain in an ungauged area using satellite rainfall and global geographic data. For this, flooding of the Tumen/Namyang area in the Duman-gang(Riv.) was simulated and the flood conditions were quantitatively analyzed. The IMERG data, a rainfall data derived from satellite images, was used as rainfall data. The GRM model was applied to the watershed runoff simulation, and the G2D model was applied to the flooding simulation of the Tumen/Namyang area. Flood event caused by Typhoon Lionrock in August 2016 was applied. Recorded peak discharge of the Tumen/Namyang region was used to verify the runoff simulation results. To verify the result of the inundation simulation, the flood situation collected through field survey and satellite image data before and after the flood were used. The peak flow rates by the runoff simulation and flood record were 7,639㎥/s and 7,630㎥/s, respectively, with a relative error of about 0.1%. In the flood simulation, the results were similar to the flooding ranges identified in the survey data and satellite images. And the changes of flooding depth and flooding time in the flood plain in Tumen/Namyang area could also be assessed. The methods and results of this study will be useful for the quantitative assessment of floods in the ungauged areas.

Direct Runoff Simulation using CN Regression Equation for Bocheong Stream (유출곡선지수 회귀식을 이용한 보청천유역의 직접유출 모의연구)

  • Kwak, Jae Won;Kim, Soo Jun;Yin, Shan hua;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.590-597
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    • 2010
  • NRCS Curve Number (CN) method is widely used for practical purposes in the field by engineers and researchers to calculate direct runoff from total rainfall. However, CN is obtained from antecedent moisture condition and soil characteristics and so it has some problems due to its uncertainty. Therefore this study estimated CN of a watershed using asymptotic CN method which can estimate CN by rainfall and runoff data and compared the result with representative CN given by WAMIS. And we performed runoff simulation for rainy season of Bocheong stream by CN regression equation. From the result, we showed that it could be more reasonable to simulate direct runoff using watershed CN regression equation than WAMIS CN. Furthermore, we knew that the equation is more sensitive to small rainfall event.

Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis - On the method of L-moments - (지역화빈도분석에 의한 설계강우량 추정 - L-모맨트법을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Park, Jong-Hwa;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Jee, Ho-Keun;Jeon, Taek-Ki;Shin, Yong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.319-323
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among apt]lied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the Generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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Uncertainty Analysis of Spatial Distribution of Probability Rainfall: Comparison of CEM and SGS Methods (확률강우량의 공간분포에 대한 불확실성 해석: CEM과 SGS 기법의 비교)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Yeo, Woon-Ki;Lee, Seung-Yoon;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.11
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    • pp.933-944
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    • 2010
  • This study compares the CEM and SGS methods which are geostatistical stochastic simulation methods for assessing the uncertainty by spatial variability in the estimation of the spatial distribution of probability rainfall. In the stochastic simulations using CEM and SGS, two methods show almost similar results for the reproduction of spatial correlation structure, the statistics (standard deviation, coefficient of variation, interquartile range, and range) of realizations as uncertainty measures, and the uncertainty distribution of basin mean rainfall. However, the CEM is superior to SGS in aspect of simulation efficiency.

Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques(l ) - On the method of L-moments- (고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정(II) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.70-82
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among applied distributions. Regional and at-site parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the probability weighted moments, L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the legions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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Decision of GIS Optimum Grid on Applying Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model with Radar Resolution (레이더 자료의 해상도를 고려한 분포형 강우-유출 모형의 GIS 자료 최적 격자의 결정)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Chang, Kwon-Hee;Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.105-116
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    • 2011
  • Changes in climate have largely increased concentrated heavy rainfall, which in turn is causing enormous damages to humans and properties. Therefore, the exact relationship and the spatial variability analysis of hydrometeorological elements and characteristic factors is critical elements to reduce the uncertainty in rainfall -runoff model. In this study, radar rainfall grid resolution and grid resolution depending on the topographic factor in rainfall - runoff models were how to respond. In this study, semi-distribution of rainfall-runoff model using the model ModClark of Inje, Gangwon Naerin watershed was used as Gwangdeok RADAR data. The completed ModClark model was calibrated for use DEM of cell size of 30m, 150m, 250m, 350m was chosen for the application, and runoff simulated by the RADAR rainfall data of 500m, 1km, 2km, 5km, 10km from 14 to 17 on July, 2006. According to the resolution of each grid, in order to compare simulation results, the runoff hydrograph has been made and the runoff has also been simulated. As a result, it was highly runoff simulation if the cell size is DEM 30m~150m, RADAR rainfall 500m~2km for peak flow and runoff volume. In the statistical analysis results, if every DEM cell size are 500m and if RADAR rainfall cell size is 30m, relevance of model was higher. Result of sensitivity assessment, high index DEM give effect to result of distributed model. Recently, rainfall -runoff analysis is used lumped model to distributed model. So, this study is expected to make use of the efficiently decision criteria for configurated models.

Hourly Water Level Simulation in Tancheon River Using an LSTM (LSTM을 이용한 탄천에서의 시간별 하천수위 모의)

  • Park, Chang Eon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.4
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2024
  • This study was conducted on how to simulate runoff, which was done using existing physical models, using an LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model based on deep learning. Tancheon, the first tributary of the Han River, was selected as the target area for the model application. To apply the model, one water level observatory and four rainfall observatories were selected, and hourly data from 2020 to 2023 were collected to apply the model. River water level of the outlet of the Tancheon basin was simulated by inputting precipitation data from four rainfall observation stations in the basin and average preceding 72-hour precipitation data for each hour. As a result of water level simulation using 2021 to 2023 data for learning and testing with 2020 data, it was confirmed that reliable simulation results were produced through appropriate learning steps, reaching a certain mean absolute error in a short period time. Despite the short data period, it was found that the mean absolute percentage error was 0.5544~0.6226%, showing an accuracy of over 99.4%. As a result of comparing the simulated and observed values of the rapidly changing river water level during a specific heavy rain period, the coefficient of determination was found to be 0.9754 and 0.9884. It was determined that the performance of LSTM, which aims to simulate river water levels, could be improved by including preceding precipitation in the input data and using precipitation data from various rainfall observation stations within the basin.