• 제목/요약/키워드: rainfall modeling

검색결과 329건 처리시간 0.03초

강우자료의 공간해상도에 따른 모의 유출특성 민감도 고찰 (A Sensitivity of Simulated Runoff Characteristics on the Different Spatial Resolutions of Precipitation Data)

  • 이도길;황세운
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권6호
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2023
  • Rainfall data is one of the most important data in hydrologic modeling. In this study, the impacts of spatial resolution of precipitation data on hydrological responses were assessed using SWAT in the Santa Fe River Basin, Florida. High correlations were found between the FAWN and NLDAS rainfall data, which are observed weather data and simulated weather data based on observed data, respectively. FAWN-based scenarios had higher maximum rainfall and more rainfall days and events compared to NLDAS-based scenarios. Downstream areas showed lower correlations between rainfall and peak discharge than upstream areas due to the characteristics of study site. All scenarios did not show significant differences in base flow, and showed less than 5% of differences in high flows among NLDAS-based scenarios. The impact of resolution will appear differently depending on the characteristics of the watershed and topography and the applied model, and thus, is a process that must be considered in advance in runoff simulation research. The study suggests that applying the research method to watersheds in Korea may yield more pronounced results, and highlights the importance of considering data resolution in hydrologic modeling.

습윤-건조 반복작용에 노출되는 옹벽의 거동에 관한 수치해석 연구 (Numerical Investigation into Behavior of Retaining Wall Subject to Cycles of Wetting and Drying)

  • 유충식
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문에서는 계절적 환경변화로 인한 습윤-건조 반복과정에 노출되는 옹벽의 시간 의존적 거동에 대한 수치 해석 연구 내용을 다루었다. 이를 위해 먼저 습윤-건조 과정에 노출되는 옹벽에 대한 응력-간극수압 연계해석 기반의 모델링 기법을 정립하였으며 이러한 모델링 기법을 토대로 다양한 옹벽조건 및 강우조건에 대한 매개변수 연구를 수행하였다. 그 결과 다양한 강우 특성 중 옹벽의 거동에 미치는 주된 영향인자는 강우강도로 나타났다. 한편, 강우가 발생하기 이전 선행하는 선행강우는 지반내 포화도, 즉 모관흡수력, 분포를 좌우하는 것으로 나타나 지반구조물의 안정성은 선행강우량에 의해 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 검토 되어 강우로 인한 습윤-건조 반복 사이클에 노출되는 옹벽구조물의 거동 예측시 선행강우량에 대한 현실적인 평가가 매우 중요한 것으로 검토되었다.

극한수문사상의 모의를 위한 포아송 클러스터 강우생성모형의 적용성 평가 (Evaluation of the Applicability of the Poisson Cluster Rainfall Generation Model for Modeling Extreme Hydrological Events)

  • 김동균;권현한;황석환;김태웅
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.773-784
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 우리나라의 극한강우와 극한홍수를 모의하기 위한 MBLRP 포아송 클러스터 강우생성모형의 적용성을 평가하였다. 국내 61개의 기상청 지상기상관측시스템의 강우량 관측지점에 대하여 고립입자 군집화 최적화(ISPSO) 기법을 적용하여 모형의 매개변수를 추정하고, 추정된 매개변수를 바탕으로 각 강우관측지점에서 100년치의 가상 강우시계열을 생성하였다. 생성된 강우시계열을 이용하여 확률강우량 및 확률홍수량을 산정하고 이 값들을 관측치에 근거하여 산정된 값들과 비교하였다. 비교 결과, 모형에 의한 확률강우량은 관측치보다 평균적으로 20~42% 작았으며, 강우의 재현기간이 증가할수록 과소산정되는 정도가 증가하였다. 확률홍수량의 경우, 모형에 의한 값이 관측치에 근거한 값보다 31%에서 50% 작았으며, 이 과소산정량은 홍수의 재현기간의 증가 및 유역의 불투수도의 증가와 함께 증가하였다.

Assessment of causality between climate variables and production for whole crop maize using structural equation modeling

  • Kim, Moonju;Sung, Kyungil
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제63권2호
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    • pp.339-353
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    • 2021
  • This study aimed to assess the causality of different climate variables on the production of whole crop maize (Zea mays L.; WCM) in the central inland region of the Korea. Furthermore, the effect of these climate variables was also determined by looking at direct and indirect pathways during the stages before and after silking. The WCM metadata (n = 640) were collected from the Rural Development Administration's reports of new variety adaptability from 1985-2011 (27 years). The climate data was collected based on year and location from the Korean Meteorology Administration's weather information system. Causality, in this study, was defined by various cause-and-effect relationships between climatic factors, such as temperature, rainfall amount, sunshine duration, wind speed and relative humidity in the seeding to silking stage and the silking to harvesting stage. All climate variables except wind speed were different before and after the silking stage, which indicates the silking occurred during the period when the Korean season changed from spring to summer. Therefore, the structure of causality was constructed by taking account of the climate variables that were divided by the silking stage. In particular, the indirect effect of rainfall through the appropriate temperature range was different before and after the silking stage. The damage caused by heat-humidity was having effect before the silking stage while the damage caused by night-heat was not affecting WCM production. There was a large variation in soil surface temperature and rainfall before and after the silking stage. Over 350 mm of rainfall affected dry matter yield (DMY) when soil surface temperatures were less than 22℃ before the silking stage. Over 900 mm of rainfall also affected DMY when soil surface temperatures were over 27℃ after the silking stage. For the longitudinal effects of soil surface temperature and rainfall amount, less than 22℃ soil surface temperature and over 300 mm of rainfall before the silking stage affected yield through over 26℃ soil surface temperature and less than 900 mm rainfall after the silking stage, respectively.

LONG-TERM STREAMFLOW SENSITIVITY TO RAINFALL VARIABILITY UNDER IPCC SRES CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO

  • Kang, Boo-sik;Jorge a. ramirez, Jorge-A.-Ramirez
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.81-99
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    • 2004
  • Long term streamflow regime under virtual climate change scenario was examined. Rainfall forecast simulation of the Canadian Global Coupled Model (CGCM2) of the Canadian Climate Center for modeling and analysis for the IPCC SRES B2 scenario was used for analysis. The B2 scenario envisions slower population growth (10.4 billion by 2010) with a more rapidly evolving economy and more emphasis on environmental protection. The relatively large scale of GCM hinders the accurate computation of the important streamflow characteristics such as the peak flow rate and lag time, etc. The GCM rainfall with more than 100km scale was downscaled to 2km-scale using the space-time stochastic random cascade model. The HEC-HMS was used for distributed hydrologic model which can take the grid rainfall as input data. The result illustrates that the annual variation of the total runoff and the peak flow can be much greater than rainfall variation, which means actual impact of rainfall variation for the available water resources can be much greater than the extent of the rainfall variation.

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밭에서의 유효우량 산정모형 개발 (Modeling Effective Rainfall for Upland Crops)

  • 정하우;김성준
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 1993
  • A model for estimating daily effective rainfall of upland crops was developed. The infiltration process was described by Green-Ampt infiltration model developed by Chu(1978). The model considers delayed surface ponding and surface detention storage under a uniform soil profile. The Green-Ampt parameters, that is, average hydraulic conductivity and average capillary pressure head on a sandy loam soil were determined from field experiment using Air-entry permeameter developed by Bouwer(1966). The model was verified by comparing measured and simulated surface runoff. The ratios of effective rainfall to total rainfall for red pepper, soybean, sesame and Chinese cabbage were evaluated using Borg's root growth model( 1986) respectively. The followings are a summary of this study results; 1.In a sandy loam soil average hydraulic conductivity was 3.28cm/hr and average capillary pressure head was 3.00cm. 2.The root growth of upland crops could be expressed by Borg's root growth model successively. 3.The measured and simulated surface runoff was agreed well with each other. 4.As the rainfall amount was increased, the ratio of effective rainfall to total rainfall was decreased exponentially till a certain growing period.

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물리적 표토침식모형의 개발과 적용 (Development and Application of a Physics-based Soil Erosion Model)

  • 유완식;박준구;양재의;임경재;김성철;박윤식;황상일;이기하
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2017
  • Empirical erosion models like Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) models have been widely used to make spatially distributed soil erosion vulnerability maps. Even if the models detect vulnerable sites relatively well utilizing big data related to climate, geography, geology, land use, etc within study domains, they do not adequately describe the physical process of soil erosion on the ground surface caused by rainfall or overland flow. In other words, such models are still powerful tools to distinguish the erosion-prone areas at large scale, but physics-based models are necessary to better analyze soil erosion and deposition as well as the eroded particle transport. In this study a physics-based soil erosion modeling system was developed to produce both runoff and sediment yield time series at watershed scale and reflect them in the erosion and deposition maps. The developed modeling system consists of 3 sub-systems: rainfall pre-processor, geography pre-processor, and main modeling processor. For modeling system validation, we applied the system for various erosion cases, in particular, rainfall-runoff-sediment yield simulation and estimation of probable maximum sediment (PMS) correlated with probable maximum rainfall (PMP). The system provided acceptable performances of both applications.

댐 하류 지점에 대한 분포형 모형의 적용성 평가 (Evaluation of the Applicability of a Distributed Model at the Downstream of Dam)

  • 최윤석;김경탁;심명필
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권9호
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    • pp.703-713
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    • 2009
  • 유역에서의 댐은 이수와 치수 측면에서 매우 큰 역할을 담당하고 있으며, 특히 집중호우 기간 동안의 댐 방류는 강우에 의해서 발생되는 유출과 더불어 댐 하류의 홍수조절에 직접적인 영향을 미치고 있다. 본 연구에서는 댐 방류와 강우에 의한 유출의 영향을 동시에 받는 댐 하류 지점에 대한 유출모의를 위해서 HyGIS (Hydro Geographic Information System) 환경에서 운영되는 분포형 강우-유출 모형인 GRM (Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model)을 적용하고 이에 대한 적용성을 평가하고자 한다. 대상 유역은 한강 수계의 여주 수위관측소 상류로 선정하였으며, 충주 조정지댐과 횡성댐의 방류량 및 강우의 영향을 반영하여 유출모의를 수행하고, 이를 여주 수위관측소에 대해서 검증 하였다. 모형의 적용결과 모의된 유출 수문곡선은 관측 수문곡선을 잘 재현하였으며, 이를 통해서 GRM 모형은 댐방류와 강우가 유역유출에 미치는 영향을 적절히 모의할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다.

설계강우의 지속시간 및 시간분포에 따른 배수개선 농경지 침수 영향 분석 (Effects of Duration and Time Distribution of Probability Rainfall on Paddy Fields Inundation)

  • 전상민;김귀훈;이현지;강기호;유승환;최진용;강문성
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권2호
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2022
  • The objective of this study was to analyze the effect of the duration and time distribution of probability rainfall on farmland inundation for the paddy fields in the drainage improvement project site. In this study, eight drainage improvement project sites were selected for inundation modeling. Hourly rainfall data were collected, and 20- and 30-year frequency probability rainfalls were estimated for 14 different durations. Probability rainfalls were distributed using Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) and Huff time distribution methods. Design floods were calculated for 48 hr and critical duration, and IDF time distribution and Huff time distribution were used for 48 hr duration and critical duration, respectively. Inundation modeling was carried out for each study district using 48 hr and critical duration rainfalls. The result showed that six of the eight districts had a larger flood discharge using the method of applying critical duration and Huff distribution. The results of inundation depth analysis showed similar trends to those of design flood calculations. However, the inundation durations showed different tendencies from the inundation depth. The IDF time distribution is a distribution in which most of the rainfall is concentrated at the beginning of rainfall, and the theoretical background is unclear. It is considered desirable to apply critical duration and Huff time distribution to agricultural production infrastructure design standards in consideration of uniformity with other design standards such as flood calculation standard guidelines.

Estimating Unsteady Soil Loss due to Rainfall Impact according to Rim Fire at California

  • Choi, Hyun;Kim, Gihong
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.269-280
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    • 2017
  • Recently, in the United States, there has been short-term intensive rainfall due to El Ni?o and Rania. The Rim Fire was a wildland fire that was started in a remote canyon in Stanislaus National Forest in California. This portion of the central Sierra Nevada spans Tuolumne and Mariposa counties. This study is about estimating unsteady soil loss due to rainfall impact according to Rim Fire at California. It implies that caution needs to be taken in selecting the grid size for estimating soil loss using numerical modeling approach. Soil loss increased in all duration times before Rim fire. But it increased until 7 days and reduced or kept stable after that. Based on the 2014 average rainfall 1388 mm/yr, soil loss was estimated to be 247,518 ton/ha/yr before Rim Fire, and 9,389,937 ton/ha/yr after that.