• Title/Summary/Keyword: rainfall events

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Assessment of Flash Flood Forecasting based on SURR model using Predicted Radar Rainfall in the TaeHwa River Basin

  • Duong, Ngoc Tien;Heo, Jae-Yeong;Kim, Jeong-Bae;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.146-146
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    • 2022
  • A flash flood is one of the most hazardous natural events caused by heavy rainfall in a short period of time in mountainous areas with steep slopes. Early warning of flash flood is vital to minimize damage, but challenges remain in the enhancing accuracy and reliability of flash flood forecasts. The forecasters can easily determine whether flash flood is occurred using the flash flood guidance (FFG) comparing to rainfall volume of the same duration. In terms of this, the hydrological model that can consider the basin characteristics in real time can increase the accuracy of flash flood forecasting. Also, the predicted radar rainfall has a strength for short-lead time can be useful for flash flood forecasting. Therefore, using both hydrological models and radar rainfall forecasts can improve the accuracy of flash flood forecasts. In this study, FFG was applied to simulate some flash flood events in the Taehwa river basin by using of SURR model to consider soil moisture, and applied to the flash flood forecasting using predicted radar rainfall. The hydrometeorological data are gathered from 2011 to 2021. Furthermore, radar rainfall is forecasted up to 6-hours has been used to forecast flash flood during heavy rain in August 2021, Wulsan area. The accuracy of the predicted rainfall is evaluated and the correlation between observed and predicted rainfall is analyzed for quantitative evaluation. The results show that with a short lead time (1-3hr) the result of forecast flash flood events was very close to collected information, but with a larger lead time big difference was observed. The results obtained from this study are expected to use for set up the emergency planning to prevent the damage of flash flood.

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Interpretation of the influence of hydrogeological characteristics on rainwater inflow into Sumgol, Jeju Island, South Korea (제주도 수리지질 특성이 빗물 숨골 유입에 미치는 영향 해석)

  • Koh Chang-Seong;Koh Eun-Hee;Kim Min-Chul
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2024
  • Sumgol in Jeju Island plays a significant role in groundwater recharge due to its permeable hydrogeological characteristics. However, a quantitative assessment of the interrelationship between rainfall characteristics and rainwater inflows into Sumgols has not yet been conducted. Therefore, this study examined the characteristics of rainwater inflow into three Sumgols located in the eastern and western regions of Jeju Island and assessed hydrogeologic factors influencing these inflows. During two rainfall events, the studied locations in Sumgol exhibited different characteristics of rainwater inflows, despite experiencing similar rainfall events. Additionally, the delay time for rainwater to reach the Sumgol locations after the rainfall was influenced more by rainfall intensity than by cumulative amount of rainfall. In Sumgols located in non-volcanic ash soil with low hydraulic conductivity, such as those in agricultural areas, rainwater inflows were observed even with small rainfall and low rainfall intensity. This study suggests that rainfall intensity, soil characteristics, permeability of lava flows, and land use are key factors influencing rainwater inflow into Sumgols, revealing that soil characteristics and the permeability of lava flows have a greater impact on surface runoff than land use.

Scavenging Properties of Atmospheric Carbon by Precipitation

  • Hwang, Kyung-Chul;Ma, Chang-Jin;Cho, Ki-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.20 no.E2
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2004
  • In order to investigate the scavenging property of airborne carbonaceous particles by precipitations, rainwater, snow sample, and total suspended particulate matter (TSP) were collected at a heavily industrialized urban site. Elemental carbon (EC) contents of both rainwater and snow water were deter-mined using elemental analysis system. EC concentrations in rain samples varied from 33.6 to 166.6 $\mu\textrm{g}$ L$^{-1}$ with an average 47.2 $\mu\textrm{g}$ L$^{-1}$ . On the other hand, those of snow samples in three times snow events were ranged from 122.4 to 293.3 $\mu\textrm{g}$ L$^{-1}$ . As might be expected, EC showed the significantly high scavenging rate at the initial rainfall. The average total carbon (TC) scavenging rate by washout mechanisms was 57.6% for five rainfall events. The scavenging rate of EC gradually increased in proportion to the increasing rainfall intensity and rainfall amount.

Characteristics Analyses of Timely Rainfall Events Above Probability Precipitation on Each Frequency (빈도별 확률강우량을 초과하는 시간강우사상의 특성 분석)

  • Oh, Tae Suk;Kim, Eun Cheol;Moon, Young-Il;Ahn, Jae Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.6B
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    • pp.513-526
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    • 2009
  • The flood control countermeasure establish for reducing of the flood damages. Design frequency usually reflects the current situation of the station, the importance and the design rainfall. Therefore, this study calculated frequency for duration maximum rainfall with the area which happened the flood damages by main heavy rainfall events recently. Also, to analyze for the temporal characteristics of rainfall event exceed by design rainfall, excess rainfall and excess frequency and excess rainfall per event calculated. To grasp the temporal variation, About excess rainfall and excess frequency and excess rainfall per event have analyzed by change and trend test. Also, rainfall observatory did grouping by cluster analysis using position of rainfall observatory and characteristic timely rainfall. For the grouping rainfall observatory by the cluster analysis calculated average of excess rainfall and excess frequency and excess rainfall per event. To compare for the temporal characteristics, the change and trend test had analyzed about excess rainfall, excess frequency by regional groups.

Review of Parameter Estimation Procedure of Freund Bivariate Exponential Distribution (Freund 이변량 지수분포의 매개변수 추정과정 검토)

  • Park, Cheol-Soon;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2012
  • This study reviewed the parameter estimation procedure of the Freund bivariate exponential distribution for the decision of the annual maximum rainfall event. The method of moments was reviewed first, whose results were compared with those from the method of maximum likelihood. Both methods were applied to the hourly rainfall data of the Seoul rain gauge station measured from 1961 to 2010 to select the annual maximum rainfall events, which were also compared each other. The results derived are as follows. First, when applying the method of moments for the parameter estimation, it was found necessary to consider the correlation coefficient between the two variables as well as the mean and variance. Second, the method of maximum likelihood was better to reproduce the mean, but the method of moments was better to reproduce the annual variation of the variance. Third, The annual maximum rainfall events derived were very similar in both cases. Among differently selected annual maximum rainfall events, those with the higher rainfall amount were selected by the method of maximum likelihood, but those with the higher rainfall intensity by the method of moments.

Assessing Unit Hydrograph Parameters and Peak Runoff Responses from Storm Rainfall Events: A Case Study in Hancheon Basin of Jeju Island

  • Kar, Kanak Kanti;Yang, Sung-Kee;Lee, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.437-447
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    • 2015
  • Estimation of runoff peak is needed to assess water availability, in order to support the multifaceted water uses and functions, hence to underscore the modalities for efficient water utilization. The magnitude of storm rainfall acts as a primary input for basin level runoff computation. The rainfall-runoff linkage plays a pivotal role in water resource system management and feasibility level planning for resource distribution. Considering this importance, a case study has been carried out in the Hancheon basin of Jeju Island where distinctive hydrological characteristics are investigated for continuous storm rainfall and high permeable geological features. The study aims to estimate unit hydrograph parameters, peak runoff and peak time of storm rainfalls based on Clark unit hydrograph method. For analyzing observed runoff, five storm rainfall events were selected randomly from recent years' rainfall and HEC-hydrologic modeling system (HMS) model was used for rainfall-runoff data processing. The simulation results showed that the peak runoff varies from 164 to 548 m3/sec and peak time (onset) varies from 8 to 27 hours. A comprehensive relationship between Clark unit hydrograph parameters (time of concentration and storage coefficient) has also been derived in this study. The optimized values of the two parameters were verified by the analysis of variance (ANOVA) and runoff comparison performance were analyzed by root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) estimation. After statistical analysis of the Clark parameters significance level was found in 5% and runoff performances were found as 3.97 RMSE and 0.99 NSE, respectively. The calibration and validation results indicated strong coherence of unit hydrograph model responses to the actual situation of historical storm runoff events.

Installation and operation of automatic nonpoint pollutant source measurement system for cost-effective monitoring

  • Jeon, Jechan;Choi, Hyeseon;Shin, Dongseok;Kim, Lee-hyung
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2019
  • In Korea, nonpoint pollutants have a significant effect on rivers' water quality, and they are discharged in very different ways depending on rainfall events. Therefore, preparing an optimal countermeasure against nonpoint pollutants requires much monitoring. The present study was conducted to help prepare a method for installing an automatic nonpoint pollutant measurement system for the cost-effective monitoring of the effect of nonpoint pollutants on rivers. In the present study, monitoring was performed at six sites of a river passing through an urban area with a basin area of $454.3km^2$. The results showed that monitoring could be performed for a relatively long time interval in the upstream and downstream regions, which are mainly comprised of forests, regardless of the rainfall amount. On the contrary, in the urban region, the monitoring had to be performed at a relatively short time interval each time when the rainfall intensity changed. This was because the flow rate was significantly dependent on the rainfall's intensity. The appropriate sites for installing an automatic measurement system were found to be a site before entering the urban region, a site after passing through the urban region, and the end of a river where the effects of nonpoint pollutant sources can be well-decided. The analysis also showed that the monitoring time should be longer for the rainfall events of a higher rainfall class and for the sites closer to the river end. This is because the rainfall runoff has a longer effect on the river. However, the effect of nonpoint pollutant sources was not significantly different between the upstream and the downstream in the cases of rainfall events over 100 mm.

Appropriate identification of optimum number of hidden states for identification of extreme rainfall using Hidden Markov Model: Case study in Colombo, Sri Lanka

  • Chandrasekara, S.S.K.;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.390-390
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    • 2019
  • Application of Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to the hydrological time series would be an innovative way to identify extreme rainfall events in a series. Even though the optimum number of hidden states can be identify based on maximizing the log-likelihood or minimizing Bayesian information criterion. However, occasionally value for the log-likelihood keep increasing with the state which gives false identification of the optimum hidden state. Therefore, this study attempts to identify optimum number of hidden states for Colombo station, Sri Lanka as fundamental approach to identify frequency and percentage of extreme rainfall events for the station. Colombo station consisted of daily rainfall values between 1961 and 2015. The representative station is located at the wet zone of Sri Lanka where the major rainfall season falls on May to September. Therefore, HMM was ran for the season of May to September between 1961 and 2015. Results showed more or less similar log-likelihood which could be identified as maximum for states between 4 to 7. Therefore, measure of central tendency (i.e. mean, median, mode, standard deviation, variance and auto-correlation) for observed and simulated daily rainfall series was carried to each state to identify optimum state which could give statistically compatible results. Further, the method was applied for the second major rainfall season (i.e. October to February) for the same station as a comparison.

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Comparison of Chukwooki and Modern data Using Annual Maximum Rainfall Event Series (연최대 호우사상 계열을 이용한 측우기자료 및 현대자료의 비교)

  • Park, Minkyu;Yoo, Chulsang;Kim, Hyeon Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.2B
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2010
  • In this study, Chukwooki and modern data were compared using annual maximum rainfall event series. Annual maximum series for specified rainfall duration in modern frequency analysis can not be constructed from Chukwooki data, so the concept of independent rainfall event is introduced to compare Chukwooki and modern data. Annual maximum rainfall event is determined by applying the bivariate exponential distribution and the parameters estimated annually are selected. The results using the annual parameter show that the hydrological meaning of the parameters is related to the variation of annual total rainfall amounts. For the whole independent rainfall events, the total rainfall and the rainfall intensity of Chukwooki data are greater than those of modern data, and rainfall duration of the two periods is similar. However modern annual maximum rainfall events show different characteristics that rainfall duration is much longer, rainfall intensity is similar and the total rainfall is greater than those of Chukwooki period. The increasing trend of rainfall duration and total rainfall of the modern annual rainfall events may be regarded as the one of components of the long-term cycle.

A Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of Rainfall in the Han River Basin (한강유역 강우의 시. 공간적 특성)

  • 이동률;정상만
    • Water for future
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 1992
  • Continuous recorded hourly rainfalls during the wet season in the Han River basin are separated into single storm events between storms. For the storm events, storm numbers, total rainfall, duration, and intensity are analyzed, and the basin is divided into three areas, which have a similar rainfall characteristics. The criterion of separation of independent storms, which is proposed by Restrepo and Eagleson, is examined and its criterion is compared with temporal characteristics of single storm events separated with wime between storms.

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