• Title/Summary/Keyword: radar-rainfall

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Radar-based rainfall prediction using generative adversarial network (적대적 생성 신경망을 이용한 레이더 기반 초단시간 강우예측)

  • Yoon, Seongsim;Shin, Hongjoon;Heo, Jae-Yeong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.8
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    • pp.471-484
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    • 2023
  • Deep learning models based on generative adversarial neural networks are specialized in generating new information based on learned information. The deep generative models (DGMR) model developed by Google DeepMind is an generative adversarial neural network model that generates predictive radar images by learning complex patterns and relationships in large-scale radar image data. In this study, the DGMR model was trained using radar rainfall observation data from the Ministry of Environment, and rainfall prediction was performed using an generative adversarial neural network for a heavy rainfall case in August 2021, and the accuracy was compared with existing prediction techniques. The DGMR generally resembled the observed rainfall in terms of rainfall distribution in the first 60 minutes, but tended to predict a continuous development of rainfall in cases where strong rainfall occurred over the entire area. Statistical evaluation also showed that the DGMR method is an effective rainfall prediction method compared to other methods, with a critical success index of 0.57 to 0.79 and a mean absolute error of 0.57 to 1.36 mm in 1 hour advance prediction. However, the lack of diversity in the generated results sometimes reduces the prediction accuracy, so it is necessary to improve the diversity and to supplement it with rainfall data predicted by a physics-based numerical forecast model to improve the accuracy of the forecast for more than 2 hours in advance.

Effect of R-Z Relationships Derived from Disdrometer Data on Radar Rainfall Estimation during the Heavy Rain Event on 5 July 2005 (2005년 7월 5일 폭우 사례 시 우적계 R-Z 관계식이 레이더 강우 추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, GyuWon;Kwon, Byung-Huk
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.596-607
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    • 2012
  • The R-Z relationship is one of important error factors to determine the accuracy of radar rainfall estimation. In this study, we have explored the effect of the R-Z relationships derived from disdrometer data in estimating the radar rainfall. The heavy rain event that produced flooding in St-Remi, Quebec, Canada has been occurred. We have tried to investigate the severity of rain for this event using high temporal (2.5 min) and spatial resolution ($1^{\circ}$ by 250 m) radar data obtained from the McGill S-band radar. Radar data revealed that the heavy rain cells pass directly over St-Remi while the coarse raingauge network was not sufficient to detect this rain event. The maximum 30 min (1 h) accumulation reaches about 39 (42) mm in St-Remi. During the rain event, the two disdrometers (POSS; Precipitation Occurrence Sensor System) were available: One used for the reflectivity calibration by comparing disdrometer Z and radar Z and the other for deriving disdrometric R-Z relationships. The result shows the significant improvement with the disdrometric reflectivity-dependent R-Z relationships against the climatological R-Z relationship. The bias in radar rain estimation is reduced from +12% to -2% and the root-mean squared error from 16 to 10% for daily accumulation. Using the estimated radar rainfall rate with disdrometric R-Z relationships, the flood event was well captured with proper timing and amount.

Application of Rainfall-Runoff Models and Provision of Radar Rainfall Data during Flood in Imjin River Basin (임진강 유역의 홍수기 강우-유출모형 적용 및 레이더강우 자료의 활용방안)

  • Kim Seong-joon;Park Roh-hyuk;Maeng Sung-jin
    • KCID journal
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.47-62
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate storm runoff models of Imjin river basin(8,117.5$km^2$) for the provision of radar rainfall situation. Two lumped models, Storage Function Model(SFM) and HEC-1 model which are now in use broadly and prov

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Impact Assessment of Spatial Resolution of Radar Rainfall and a Distributed Hydrologic Model on Parameter Estimation (레이더 강우 및 분포형 수문모형의 공간해상도가 매개변수 추정에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Choi, Shin Woo;Choi, Yun Seok;Kim, Kyung Tak
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1443-1454
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we assess impact of spatial resolution of radar rainfall and a distributed hydrologic model on parameter estimation and rainfall-runoff response. Radar data measured by S-band polarimetric radar located at Mt. Bisl in the year of 2012 are used for the comparative study. As different rainfall estimates such as R-KDP, R-Z, and R-ZDR show good agreement with ground rainfall, R-KDP are applied for rainfall-runoff modeling due to relatively high accuracy in terms of catchment averaged and gauging point rainfall. GRM (grid based rainfall-runoff model) is implemented for flood simulations at the Geumho River catchment with spatial resolutions of 200m, 500m, and 1000m. Automatic calibration is performed by PEST (model independent parameter estimation tool) to find suitable parameters for each spatial resolution. For 200m resolution, multipliers of overlandflow and soil hydraulic conductivity are estimated within stable ranges, while high variations are found from results for 500m and 1000m resolution. No tendency is found in the estimated initial soil moisture. When parameters estimated for different spatial resolution are applied for other resolutions, 200m resolution model shows higher sensitivity compared to 1000m resolution model.

A Study on Vector-based Converting Method for Hydrological Application of Rainfall Radar Image (레이더 영상의 수문학적 활용을 위한 벡터 변환방법 연구)

  • Jee, Gye-Hwan;Oh, Kyoung-Doo;An, Won-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.7
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    • pp.729-741
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    • 2012
  • Among the methods of precipitation data acquisition, a rain gauge station has a distinctive advantage of direct measurement of rainfall itself, but multiple stations should be installed in order to obtain areal precipitation data required for hydrological analysis. On the other hand, a rainfall radar may provide areal distribution of rainfall in real time though it is an indirect measurement of radar echoes on rain drops. Rainfall radars have been shown useful especially for forecasting short-term localized torrential storms that may cause catastrophic flash floods. CAPPI (Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator), which is one of the several types of radar rainfall image data, has been provided on the Internet in real time by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). It is one of the most widely available rainfall data in Korea with fairly high level of confidence as it is produced with bias adjustment and quality control procedures by KMA. The objective of this study is to develop an improved way to extract quantitative rainfall data applicable to even very small watersheds from CAPPI using CIVCOM, which is a new image processing method based on a vector-based scheme proposed in this study rather than raster-based schemes proposed by other researchers. This study shows usefulness of CIVCOM through comparison of rainfall data produced by image processing methods including traditional raster-based schemes and a newly proposed vector-based one.

Effect of Combined Rainfall Observation with Radar and Rain Gauge (강우 레이더와 지상 우량계의 통합관측효과)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Kyoung-Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.11
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    • pp.841-849
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    • 2007
  • This study evaluated the effect of combined rainfall observation of using rain gauge and rain radar. The effect of combined observations is to be evaluated by considering the decrease of measurement error due to combined use of design orthogonal observation methods. As an example, this study evaluated the rain gauge network of the Keum river basin, and showed how the density of rain gauges could be decreased by combining the radar observation. This study applied the researches on sampling error by North and Nakamoto(1989), Yoo et al. (1996) and Yoo (1997), also the simple NFD model for representing the rainfall field. The model parameters were decided using the rainfall characteristics (correlation time and length) estimated using the data collected in the Keum River Basin by 28 rain gauges and the operation rule of radar was assumed arbitrarily. This study considered the rain gauge density criteria provided by WMO(1994) and the rain gauge density installed in the Keum river basin to decrease the rain gauge density under the condition of introducing the radar.

Application of an empirical method to improve radar rainfall estimation using cross governmental dual-pol. radars (범부처 이중편파레이더의 강우 추정 향상을 위한 경험적 방법의 적용)

  • Yoon, Jungsoo;Suk, Mi-Kyung;Nam, Kyung-Yeub;Park, Jong-Sook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.7
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    • pp.625-634
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    • 2016
  • Three leading agencies under different ministries - Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in the ministry of Environment, Han river control office in the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT) and Weather Group of ROK Air Force in the Ministry of National Defense (MND) - have been operated radars in the purpose of observing weather, hydrology and military operational weather in Korea. Eight S-band dual-pol. radars have been newly installed or replaced by these ministries over different places by 2015. However each ministry has different aims of operating radars, observation strategies, data processing algorithms, etc. Due to the differences, there is a wide level of accuracy on observed radar data as well as the composite images made of the cross governmental radar measurement. Gaining fairly high level of accuracy on radar data obtained by different agencies has been shared as a great concern by the ministries. Thus, "an agreement of harmonizing weather and hydrological radar products" was made by the three ministries in 2010. Particularly, this is very important to produce better rainfall estimation using the cross governmental radar measurement. Weather Radar Center(WRC) in KMA has been developed an empirical method using measurements observed by Yongin testbed radar. This study is aiming to examine the efficiency of the empirical method to improve the accuracies of radar rainfalls estimated from cross governmental dual-pol. radar measurements. As a result, the radar rainfalls of three radars (Baengnyeongdo, Biseulsan, and, Sobaeksan Radar) were shown improvement in accuracy (1-NE) up to 70% using data from May to October in 2015. Also, the range of the accuracies in radar rainfall estimation, which were from 30% to 60% before adjusting polarimetric variables, were decreased from 65% to 70% after adjusting polarimetric variables.

Decision of G/R Ratio for the Correction of Mean-Field Bias of Radar Rainfall and Linear Regression Problem (레이더 강우의 평균보정을 위한 G/R 비의 결정과 선형 회귀 문제)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Park, Cheolsoon;Yoon, Jungsoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2011
  • This study theoretically reviewed the empirical G/R ratio by considering three regression and trend lines; the general linear regression curve, linear regression curve passing the origin, and the line passing the origin and the mass center of observed data. This review included the problem of choosing the independent variable and that of considering the zero measurements. This review result was also applied to the Typhoon Maemi in 2003 for their evaluation. Additionally, those regression and trend lines were compared using the RMSE between the corrected radar rainfall and observed rain gauge rainfall to select the most appropriate G/R ratio. Summarizing the results is as follows. First, the results of selecting the rain gauge rainfall as the independent variable were found better than the opposite case. Second, the effect of zero measurements varies depending on the structure of radar and rain gauge rainfall. Finally, the results from the comparison of three regression and trend lines shows that the slope of the regression line passing the origin with its independent variable of rain gauge rainfall would be used most appropriately for the G/R ratio, especially when the corrected radar rainfall is used for the flood analysis. The effect of zero measurements in this case was found not so significant.

Evaluation of Spatially Disproportionate Rain Gauge Network for the Correction of Mean-Field Bias of Radar Rainfall: A Case Study of Ganghwa Rain Radar (레이더 강우의 편의 보정을 위한 지역적으로 편중된 우량계망의 평가: 강화 강우레이더의 사례 연구)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Yoon, Jung-Soo;Kim, Byoung-Soo;Ha, Eun-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.493-503
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    • 2009
  • Estimation of the mean-field bias of radar rainfall is to determine the difference between the areal means of radar and rain gauge rainfall, where the rain gauge rainfall is assumed to be the truth. To exactly determine this bias, the variance of the difference between two observations must be small enough, thus, enough number of observations is indispensible. So, the problem becomes to determine the number of rain gauges to satisfy the level of variance of the difference between two observations. Especially, this study focuses on the case when the rain gauges are disproportionate spatially. This is the problem for the Ganghwa rain radar for the observation of rainfall within the Imjin river basin and the same problem also occurs when a radar is located in between land and ocean. This study considered the Imjin river basin, and compared two cases when rain gauges are available only within the downstream part, about one third of the whole basin, and over the whole basin. Based on the results derived, the rain gauge density within the downstream part of the Imjin river basin was proposed to secure the same accuracy obtained when the rain gauges are available over the whole Imjin river basin.

Flood Runoff Analysis using Radar Rainfall and Vflo Model for Namgang Dam Watershed (레이더강우와 Vflo모형을 이용한 남강댐유역 홍수유출해석)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Kang, Boo-Sik;Lee, Geun-Sang;Lee, Eul-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2007
  • Recently, very short-term rainfall forecast using radar is required for regional flash flood according to climate change. This research is to evaluate the feasibility of GIS based distributed model using radar rainfall which can express temporal and spatial distribution in actual dam watershed during flood runoff period. Vflo model which was developed Oklahoma university was used as physical based distributed model, and Namgang dam watershed ($2,293km^2$) was applied as study site. Distributed rainfall according to grid resolution was generated by using K-RainVieux, preprocess program of radar rainfall, from JIN radar. Also, GIS hydrological parameters were extracted from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map, and used as input data of distributed model(Vflo). Results of this research can provide a base for building of real-time short-term rainfall runoff forecast system according to flash flood in near future.

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