• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.1162-1181
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• 2023

Tourism flow is not only the manifestation of tourists' special displacement change, but also an important driving mode of regional connection. It has been considered as one of significantly topics in many applications. The existing research on tourism flow prediction based on tourist number or statistical model is not in-depth enough or ignores the nonlinearity and complexity of tourism flow. In this paper, taking Nanjing as an example, we propose a prediction method of urban tourism flow based on deep learning methods using travel diaries of domestic tourists. Our proposed method can extract the spatio-temporal dependence relationship of tourism flow and further forecast the tourism flow to attractions for every day of the year or for every time period of the day. Experimental results show that our proposed method is slightly better than other benchmark models in terms of prediction accuracy, especially in predicting seasonal trends. The proposed method has practical significance in preventing tourists unnecessary crowding and saving a lot of queuing time.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.101-113
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• 2001

Since late 1970s. one of the principal research areas in transportation problem is dynamic traffic assignment (DTA). Although many models have been developed regarding DTA, yet they have some limits of describing real traffic patterns. This reason comes from the fact that DTA model has the time varying constraints such as state equation, flow propagation constraint, first in first out(FIFO) rule and queuing evolution. Thus, DTA model should be designed to satisfy these constraints as well as dynamic route choice condition, dynamic user equilibrium. In this respect, link-based DTA models have difficulty in satisfying such constraints because they have to satisfy the constraints for each link, while path-based DTA models may easily satisfy them. In this paper we develop a path-based DTA model. The model includes point queue theory to describe the queue evolution and simulation loading method for depicting traffic patterns in more detail. From a numerical test, the model shows promising results.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.7 no.1 s.29
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• pp.73-79
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• 2006

Even though graphical simulation is very useful for construction planning, the application of graphical simulation has a limitation in dealing with objects without fixed form like earthmoving process. In this case, the mathematical/statistical simulation about the productivity of the whole processes based on the numerical data of working time, waiting time and working capacity of using equipment becomes effective. The mathematical/statistical simulation is not fully utilized in the field of construction due to the difficulties of creating process models and securing trust the numerically expressed results of simulation. In this research, the output of discrete-event simulation programs which are the most common mathematical/statistical simulation tool for construction processes were analyzed for the purpose of earthmoving process visualization. The purpose of this research is to develop a graphical simulation system that can help the construction planner select most suitable equipment and construction methods through the visualize the numerical simulation results of the working time, the queuing time as well as the amount resources etc.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.543-547
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• 2004

Visualization of construction process simulation and physical modeling were considered to overcome the limitations of current graphical simulation. The output of discrete-event simulation programs which are the most common mathematical statistical simulation tool for construction processes were analyzed for the visualization of earthmoving process that dealing with objects without fixed. Object-oriented models for equipment, material and work environments were devised to effectively visualize the numerical simulation results of the working time, the queuing time as well as the amount resources etc. The oscillation of the crane's cable and the lifted material that should be considered to rationally modeled and simulated by construction graphical simulation. The derived equation of motion was solved by numerical analysis procedure. Then obtained results was used for physical modeling.

• Journal of Communications and Networks
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• v.16 no.5
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• pp.548-558
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• 2014

Load distribution is vital to the performance of multipath transport. The task becomes more challenging in real-time multimedia applications (RTMA), which impose stringent delay requirements. Two key issues to be addressed are: 1) How to minimize end-to-end delay and 2) how to alleviate packet reordering that incurs additional recovery time at the receiver. In this paper, we propose sub-packet based multipath load distribution (SPMLD), a new model that splits traffic at the granularity of sub-packet. Our SPMLD model aims to minimize total packet delay by effectively aggregating multiple parallel paths as a single virtual path. First, we formulate the packet splitting over multiple paths as a constrained optimization problem and derive its solution based on progressive approximation method. Second, in the solution, we analyze queuing delay by introducing D/M/1 model and obtain the expression of dynamic packet splitting ratio for each path. Third, in order to describe SPMLD's scheduling policy, we propose two distributed algorithms respectively implemented in the source and destination nodes. We evaluate the performance of SPMLD through extensive simulations in QualNet using real-time H.264 video streaming. Experimental results demonstrate that: SPMLD outperforms previous flow and packet based load distribution models in terms of video peak signal-to-noise ratio, total packet delay, end-to-end delay, and risk of packet reordering. Besides, SPMLD's extra overhead is tiny compared to the input video streaming.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.683-701
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• 2012

IEEE 802.11 standard has achieved huge success in the past decade and is still under development to provide higher physical data rate and better quality of service (QoS). An important problem for the development and optimization of IEEE 802.11 networks is the modeling of the MAC layer channel access protocol. Although there are already many theoretic analysis for the 802.11 MAC protocol in the literature, most of the models focus on the saturated traffic and assume infinite buffer at the MAC layer. In this paper we develop a unified analytical model for IEEE 802.11 MAC protocol in ad hoc networks. The impacts of channel access parameters, traffic rate and buffer size at the MAC layer are modeled with the assistance of a generalized Markov chain and an M/G/1/K queue model. The performance of throughput, packet delivery delay and dropping probability can be achieved. Extensive simulations show the analytical model is highly accurate. From the analytical model it is shown that for practical buffer configuration (e.g. buffer size larger than one), we can maximize the total throughput and reduce the packet blocking probability (due to limited buffer size) and the average queuing delay to zero by effectively controlling the offered load. The average MAC layer service delay as well as its standard deviation, is also much lower than that in saturated conditions and has an upper bound. It is also observed that the optimal load is very close to the maximum achievable throughput regardless of the number of stations or buffer size. Moreover, the model is scalable for performance analysis of 802.11e in unsaturated conditions and 802.11 ad hoc networks with heterogenous traffic flows.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.71-78
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• 2012

This research discusses the application of the control variables to achieve a more precise estimation for the target response in queueing network simulation. The efficiency of control variable method in estimating the response depends upon how we choose a set of control variables strongly correlated with the response and how we construct a function of selected control variables. For a class of queuing network simulations, the random variables that drive the simulation are basically the service-time and routing probability random variables. Most of applications of control variable method focus on utilization of the service time random variables for constructing a controlled estimator. This research attempts to suggest a controlled estimator which uses these two kinds of random variables and explore the efficiency of these estimators in estimating the reponses for computer network system. Simulation experiments on this model show the promising results for application of routing probability control variables. We consider the applications of the routing probability control variables to various simulation models and combined control variables using information of service time and routing probability together in constructing a control variable as future researches.

• Journal of Communications and Networks
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• v.14 no.5
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• pp.524-532
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• 2012

In this paper, we present the performance evaluation of the reliable cooperative media access control (RCO-MAC) protocol, which has been proposed in [1] by us in order to enhance system throughput in bad wireless channel environments. The performance of this protocol is evaluated with computer simulation as well as mathematical analysis in this paper. The system throughput, two types of average delays, average channel access delay, and average system delay, which includes the queuing delay in the buffer, are used as performance metrics. In addition, two different traffic models are used for performance evaluation: The saturated traffic model for computing system throughput and average channel access delay, and the exponential data generation model for calculating average system delay. The numerical results show that the RCO-MAC protocol proposed by us provides over 20% more system throughput than the relay distributed coordination function (rDCF) scheme. The numerical results show that the RCO-MAC protocol provides a slightly higher average channel access delay over a greater number of source nodes than the rDCF. This is because a greater number of source nodes provide more opportunities for cooperative request to send (CRTS) frame collisions and because the value of the related retransmission timer is greater in the RCO-MAC protocol than in the rDCF protocol. The numerical results also confirm that the RCO-MAC protocol provides better average system delay over the whole gamut of the number of source nodes than the rDCF protocol.

• Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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• v.26 no.7
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• pp.847-862
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• 1999

본 논문에서는 유한버퍼의(finite-buffered) 동기화된(synchronous) 큐잉모델(queueing model)을 이용하여 명령어들간의 병렬성, 분기명령의 빈도수, 분기예측(branch prediction)의 정확도, 캐쉬미스 등의 파라미터들을 고려하여 프로세서의 명령어 실행율을 예측하며 캐쉬의 성능과 파이프라인 성능간의 관계를 분석할 수 있는 새로운 해석적 모델을 제안하였다. 해석적 모델은 모델의 타당성을 검증하기 위해서 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 얻은 결과와 비교하였다. 해석적 모델과 시뮬레이션을 비교한 결과 대부분 10% 오차 내에서 일치하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 얻은 해석적 모델을 사용하면 시뮬레이션에서는 드러나지 않는 성능제약의 원인에 대한 명확한 규명이 가능하기 때문에 성능향상을 위한 설계자료를 얻을 수 있으며, 시스템 성능 밸런스를 위한 캐쉬와 비순차이슈 파이프라인 성능간의 관계에 대한 정확한 분석이 가능하다.Abstract This research presents a novel analytic model to predict the instruction execution rate of superscalar processors using the queuing model with finite-buffer size and synchronous operation mode. The proposed model is also able to analyze the performance relationship between cache and pipeline. The proposed model takes into account various kinds of architectural parameters such as instruction-level parallelism, branch probability, the accuracy of branch prediction, cache miss, and etc.. To prove the correctness of the model, we performed extensive simulations and compared the results with the analytic model. Simulation results showed that the proposed model can estimate the average execution rate accurately within 10% error compared to simulation results. The proposed model can explain the causes of performance bottleneck which cannot be uncovered by the simulation method only. The model is also able to show the effect of the cache miss on the performance of out-of-order issue superscalar processors, which can provide an valuable information in designing a balanced system.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.44 no.4
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• pp.154-168
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• 2021

COVID-19 has been spreading all around the world, and threatening global health. In this situation, identifying and isolating infected individuals rapidly has been one of the most important measures to contain the epidemic. However, the standard diagnosis procedure with RT-PCR (Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction) is costly and time-consuming. For this reason, pooled testing for COVID-19 has been proposed from the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic to reduce the cost and time of identifying the COVID-19 infection. For pooled testing, how many samples are tested in group is the most significant factor to the performance of the test system. When the arrivals of test requirements and the test time are stochastic, batch-service queueing models have been utilized for the analysis of pooled-testing systems. However, most of them do not consider the false-negative test results of pooled testing in their performance analysis. For the COVID-19 RT-PCR test, there is a small but certain possibility of false-negative test results, and the group-test size affects not only the time and cost of pooled testing, but also the false-negative rate of pooled testing, which is a significant concern to public health authorities. In this study, we analyze the performance of COVID-19 pooled-testing systems with false-negative test results. To do this, we first formulate the COVID-19 pooled-testing systems with false negatives as a batch-service queuing model, and then obtain the performance measures such as the expected number of test requirements in the system, the expected number of RP-PCR tests for a test sample, the false-negative group-test rate, and the total cost per unit time, using the queueing analysis. We also present a numerical example to demonstrate the applicability of our analysis, and draw a couple of implications for COVID-19 pooled testing.