• Title/Summary/Keyword: quantitative risk assessment

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A Development on the Safety Management Information System in Building Work (빌딩공사의 안전관리정보시스템 개발)

  • Park, Jong-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.20 no.4 s.72
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2005
  • There are insufficient models that find problems and solutions for accident prevention through risk assessment and suggest safe work process and work instruction from foundation works to finish work for accident decrease. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment model by analysis of risk factors in each process such as foundation, erection, structure, equipment finish and etc based on accident examples and investigation on actual condition in building. In addition, the safety management system was developed to perform risk assessment of construction and use it for effective safety training for labor.

Application of Fuzzy Math Simulation to Quantitative Risk Assessment in Pork Production (돈육 생산공정에서의 정량적 위해 평가에 fuzzy 연산의 적용)

  • Im, Myung-Nam;Lee, Seung-Ju
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.589-593
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate the use of fuzzy math strategy to calculate variability and uncertainty in quantitative risk assessment. We compared the propagation of uncertainty using fuzzy math simulation with Monte Carlo simulation. The risk far Listeria monocytogenes contamination was estimated for carcass and processed pork by fuzzy math and Monte Carlo simulations, respectively. The data used in these simulations were taken from a recent report on pork production. In carcass, the mean values for the risk from fuzzy math and Monte Carlo simulations were -4.393 log $CFU/cm^2$ and -4.589 log $CFU/cm^2$, respectively; in processed pork, they were -4.185 log $CFU/cm^2$ and -4.466 log $CFU/cm^2$ respectively. The distribution of values obtained using the fuzzy math simulation included all of the results obtained using the Monte Carlo simulation. Consequently, fuzzy math simulation was found to be a good alternative to Monte Carlo simulation in quantitative risk assessment of pork production.

- Development of a Safety Assessment System Model in the Manufacturing Industry - (제조업에 대한 안전성평가시스템 모델 구축에 관한 연구)

  • 성호경
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.11-26
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    • 2003
  • While a number of Korean companies have undergone ceaseless restructuring to survive today's rapidly changing global economy, the brick and mortar industry has been exerting their efforts to enhance the productivity through the development of new products, quality improvement, cost reduction measures. At present, various risk-evaluation measures have been taken in the fields at the discretion of an enterpriser, though, the effective methods enabling quantitative analysis are insufficient. Accordingly, this study is intended to contribute to the synthetic safety manage -ment in the factory fields and to suggest the quantitative -risk-analysis system by introducing such safety-estimation steps as assortment of processes, pre-assessment of risk factors, decision of risks, counter measures against studied risks, establishment of remedies.

A Study on the Development of Ship's Passage Risk Assessment Simulator (선박항로 위험도 평가 시뮬레이터 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Il;Jeong, Jung Sik;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.220-225
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    • 2013
  • Accidents between ships occur frequently at the traffic congestion area. Once a maritime accidents occur, it is likely to end up with critical damaged accidents. This paper develop a simulator for assessing quantitative risk based on statical maritime traffic data and realtime traffic distribution. Ship's passage risk assessment simulator consist of import of division of passage data, traffic distribution analysis and passage risk assessment analysis. Maritime traffic data of WANDO waterway apply to simulator for calculation of quantitative risk rate of waterway.

Procedure of Quantitative Safety Assessment for Risk Management System (위험관리시스템 구축을 위한 정량적 안전평가 절차)

  • Jung, Won
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2009
  • The risk management case is an organization's formal arrangement to ensure the safety of its work activity within risk management system. It allows an organization to demonstrate its capability in achieving its safety objectives and in meeting regulatory requirements. This paper presents how the safety assessments are described, prepared and maintained to meet the criteria specified by the upcoming safety regulations. We propose the elements of risk management system that include arrangements for the ongoing identification of hazards, assessment of risks and the implementation of necessary control measures.

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Risk Factors Analysis and Quantitative Risk Assessment Model for Tunnel Construction Project (터널 건설 프로젝트 리스크 분석 및 리스크 정량화 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Seung-A;Ahn, Sungjin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.363-364
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    • 2023
  • The tunnel construction projects is demanded more efficient risk management measures and loss forecasts to prepare for risk losses from an increase in the trend of tunnel construction. This study aims to analyze the risk factors that caused the loss of material in actual tunnel construction and to develop a quantified predictive loss model, based on the past loss record of tunnel construction projects.

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A Study on Safety Guidelines for Hydrogen Refueling Stations at Expressway Service Area using Quantitative Risk Assessment (정량적 위험성 평가를 통한 고속도로 휴게소 수소 충전소 안전 가이드라인 연구)

  • KIM, HEE JIN;JANG, KYEONG MIN;KIM, SOO HYEON;KIM, GI BEOM;JUNG, EUN SANG
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.551-564
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    • 2021
  • The use of clean energy based on the hydrogen economy is increasing rapidly due to the greenhouse gas reduction policies and the increase in the need for hydrogen. Currently, South Korea government have been considering a plan to construct hydrogen refueling stations at expressway service area for the purpose of supplying hydrogen vehicles. In the case of a hydrogen refueling stations, a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) must be performed because it includs and uses a high pressurized hydrogen storage tank. In this study, QRA was conducted using societal risk and F-N curve by the consequence assessment (CA) of jet fire and explosion according to the population density, capacity of the high pressurized hydrogen storage tank and frequency assessment (FA) data to the general hydrogen refueling stations systems in expressway service area. In the cases of jet with a leak diameter of 7.16 mm, regardless of expressway service area location, the societal risk was over 1E-04 that was acceptable for as Low As reasonably practicable (ALARP) region (workforce), but unacceptable for ALARP region (public). In the cases of gas explosion, all expressway service area satisfy ALARP region. In the case of the population density is over 0.0727, QRA for constructing the hydrogen refueling stations, must be conducted.

Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment of Wastewater Reuse for Irrigation in Paddy Field (하수처리수의 논 관개용수 재이용을 위한 미생물 위해성 평가)

  • Yoon Chun-Gyeong;Han Jung-Yoon;Jung Kwang-Wook;Jang Jae-Ho
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2006
  • The reuse of wastewater for agricultural irrigation may cause human health risk as a result of exposure to pathogens. This study conducted the quantitative microbial risk assessment in paddy field irrigated with treated wastewater. Six treatments were used to irrigate the paddy field from Year 2003 to Year 2005: biofilter-effluent, UV-disinfected water (6, 16, 40, 68 $mW s cm^{-2}$), pond-treated water, wetland-treated water, conventional irrigation water and tap water. Total coliforms, fecal coliforms and E. coli were monitored during rice growing period. Beta - Poisson model was employed to calculate the microbial risk of pathogens ingestion that may occur to farmers and neighbor children. Uncertainty of risk was estimated using Monte Carlo simulation. In this study, the microbial risk was higher during initial cultivation (end of May$\sim$June), and it decreased with time. Biofilter effluent (secondary effluent) irrigation showed higher risk values than others (>$10^{-4}$) and irrigation with UV-disinfected water has the lowest risk range ($10^{-6}{\sim}10^{-5}$). The risk value estimated in 2005 was lower than risk value in 2003 and 2004, it is likely due to clean tap water irrigation in initial transplanting stage. It is suggested that irrigation with UV-disinfected water and pond-treated water would reduce the microbial risk associated with wastewater irrigation in paddy field. In addition, the first irrigation water quality significantly affected the subsequent microbial risk.

A Study on Quantitative Risk Assessment Method and Risk Reduction Measures for Rail Hazardous Material Transportation (철도위험물수송에 관한 위험도 정량화방안 및 경감대책 연구)

  • Lee, Sang Gon;Cho, Woncheol;Lee, Tae Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2008
  • The object of this study is to develop a tool for quantifying risks related to the rail transportation of hazardous commodities and to present mitigation measures. In this study, the Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) is used as a risk analysis tool. Based on the previous explosion history (Iri explosion) and consideration of its high risk, Iksan-si is selected as a model city. The result, expressed as average individual risk for exposed people with various distance, indicates that the model city is considered to be safe according to the nuclear energy standard. Also, the mitigation measures are provided since Societal risk of Iksan-si is set within ALARP. Risk reduction measures include rail car design, rail transportation operation, demage spread control as well as derail prevention and alternative routes for reducing accident frequencies. Finally, it is expected to achieve high level of public safety by appling the risk reduction measures.

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Semi-quantitative Risk Assessment using Bow-tie Method for the Establishment of Safety Management System of Hydrogen Fuel Storage Facility in a Combined Cycle Power Plant (복합화력발전소 내 수소연료 저장설비의 안전관리 체계 구축을 위한 Bow-tie 기법을 활용한 반정량적 위험성 평가)

  • Hee Kyung Park;Si Woo Jung;Yoo Jeong Choi;Min Chul Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2024
  • Hydrogen has been selected as one of the key technologies for reducing CO2 emissions to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. However, hydrogen safety issues should be fully guaranteed before the commercial and widespread utilization of hydrogen. Here, a bow-tie risk assessment is conducted for the hydrogen fuel supply system in a gas turbine power plant, which can be a mass consumption application of hydrogen. The bow-tie program is utilized for a qualitative risk assessment, allowing the analysis of the causes and consequences according to the stages of accidents. This study proposed an advanced bow-tie method, which includes the barrier criticality matrix and visualized maps of quantitative risk reduction. It is based on evaluating the importance of numerous barriers for the extent of their impact. In addition, it emphasizes the prioritization and concentrated management of high-importance barriers. The radar chart of a bow tie allows the visual comparison of risk levels before/after the application of barriers (safety measures). The risk reduction methods are semi-quantitatively analyzed utilizing the criticality matrix and radar chart, and risk factors from multiple aspects are derived. For establishing a secure hydrogen fuel storage system, the improvements suggested by the bow-tie risk assessment results, such as 'Ergonomic equipment design to prevent human error' and 'Emergency shutdown system,' will enhance the safety level. It attempts to contribute to the development and enhancement of an efficient safety management system by suggesting a method of calculating the importance of barriers based on the bow-tie risk assessment.