• 제목/요약/키워드: quantitative risk assessment

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대용량 멀티포트 동시 충전 기반 수소충전소 안전성 평가 연구 (Risk Assessment for High Capacity Multiport Hydrogen Refueling Station)

  • 조충희;강승규;김부승;이경식
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.505-513
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    • 2023
  • Hydrogen infrastructure is expanding. High-capacity hydrogen refueling stations offer advantages because they can refuel a variety of light and heavy-duty vehicles, and multi-port refueling technology is developing to reduce charging time for heavy-duty vehicles. In this study, we suggest directions to lower the risk by analyzing the risk factors for each process involved in the installation of a high-capacity multi-port hydrogen refueling station in Changwon city. We conducted both qualitative and quantitative risk assessments of the equipment to evaluate the station. A hazard and operability study was performed for qualitative risk assessment, and PHAST/SAFETI were used for quantitative risk assessment. Quantitative risk assessment was used to calculate the consequence analysis of the facility to ensure secure design prior to station development and to predict individual and societal risks in various scenarios. As a result, the station's risk level was determined to be as low as reasonably practicable.

건설공사의 위험도분석을 위한 확률적 위험도 평가 (Probabilistic Risk Assessment Techniques for the Risk Analysis of Construction Projects)

  • 조효남;임종권;박영빈
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1997년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, systematic and comprehensive approaches are suggested for the application of quantitative PRA techniques especially for those risk events that cannot be easily evaluated quantitatively In addition, dominant risk events are identified based on their occurrence frequency assessed by both actual survey of construction site conditions and the statistical data related with the probable accidents. Practical FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) and ETA(Event Tree Analysis) models are used for the assessment of the identified risks. When the risk events are lack of statistical data, appropriate Bayesian models incorporating engineering judgement and test results are also introduced in this paper. Moreover, a fuzzy probability technique is used for the quantitative risk assessment of those risk components which are difficult to evaluate quantitatively.

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햄 및 소시지류에서의 Clostridium perfringens에 대한 정량적 미생물 위해평가 (Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment of Clostridium perfringens on Ham and Sausage Products in Korea)

  • 고은경;문진산;위성환;박경진
    • 한국축산식품학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 햄 및 소시지류에서의 Clostridium perfringens에 대한 정량적 미생물 위해평가(Quantitative microbial risk assessment; QMRA)를 국제기준(Codex)의 원칙과 지침에 따라 수행하였으며, 오염수준에 대한 직접적인 분석결과와 현재의 국내 유통환경, 관련제품의 특성, 섭취량 및 소비행태 등을 반영한 노출평가용 "product-retail-consumption pathway" frame-work 모델을 구성하였고, 이를 바탕으로 엑셀(Excel)기반 노출평가용 시뮬레이션 모델을 개발하여 제시하였다. 개발된 모델을 시뮬레이션 프로그램인 @RISK를 활용하여 위해(risk) 수준을 산출하였으며, 그 결과 국내에서 1일 1인이 햄 및 소시지류의 섭취를 통한 Cl. perfringens에 의한 식중독발생 확률은 평균적으로 $3.97{\times}10^{-11}{\pm}1.80{\times}10^{-9}$으로 추정하였다. 또한 본 연구에서 수행한 QMRA결과를 바탕으로 현재수준에서의 한계점과 미래에 더욱 발전된 국내 QMRA 연구 및 활용을 위한 제언을 추가하였다

위험성 평가를 통한 패키지형 수소충전소 안전성 향상에 관한 연구 (A Study on Safety Improvement for Packaged Hydrogen Refueling Station by Risk Assessment)

  • 강승규;허윤실;문종삼
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the components of packaged hydrogen filling station were analyzed and risk factors were examined. Risk scenarios were constructed and quantitative risk assessments were conducted through a general risk assessment program (phast/safeti 7.2). Through the risk assessment, the range of damage according to accident scenarios and the ranking that affects the damage according to the risk factors are listed, and scope of damage and countermeasures for risk reduction are provided. The quantitative risk assessment result of the packaged hydrogen filling station through this task will be used as the basic data for improving the safety of the packaged filling system and preparing safety standards.

Comparison of Monte Carlo Simulation and Fuzzy Math Computation for Validation of Summation in Quantitative Risk Assessment

  • Im, Myung-Nam;Lee, Seung-Ju
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.361-366
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    • 2007
  • As the application of quantitative risk assessment (QRA) to food safety becomes widespread, it is now being questioned whether experimental results and simulated results coincide. Therefore, this paper comparatively analyzed experimental data and simulated data of the cross contamination, which needs summation of the simplest calculations in QRA, of chicken by Monte Carlo simulation and fuzzy math computation. In order to verify summation, the following basic operation was performed. For the experiment, thigh, breast, and a mixture of both parts were preserved for 24 hr at $20^{\circ}C$, and then the cell number of Salmonella spp. was measured. In order to examine the differences between experimental results and simulated results, we applied the descriptive statistics. The result was that mean value by fuzzy math computation was more similar to the experimental than that by Monte Carlo simulation, whereas other statistical descriptors by Monte Carlo simulation were more similar.

대심도지하공간의 정량적위험성 평가기법 (Quantitative Risk Assessment Method for Deep Placed Underground Spaces)

  • 이창욱
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.92-119
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    • 2010
  • As the necessity to utilize deep-placed underground spaces is increasing, we have to seriously consider the safety problems arising from the U/G spaces which is a restricted environment. Due to the higher cost of land compensation for above ground area and environmental issues, the plan to utilize deep-placed U/G spaces is currently only being established for the construction of U/G road network and GTX. However it is also expected that the U/G spaces are to be used as a living space because of the growing desires to change the above ground areas into the environmentally green spaces. Accordingly it is necessary to protect the U/G environments which is vulnerable against desasters caused by fire, explosion, flooding, terrorism, electric power failure, etc. properly. We want to introduce the principles of the Quantitative Risk Assessment(QRA) method for preparedness against the desasters arising from U/G environments, and also want to introduce an example of QRA which was implemented for the GOTTHARD tunnel which is the longest one in Europe.

수돗물을 통해 노출되는 녹조독소의 인체위해성 평가 (Quantitative Risk Assessment of the Adverse Effects due to Exposure to Cyanobacteria Toxin (Microcystin-LR) through Drinking Water in the Nakdong River Watershed)

  • 이재현;신귀암
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.345-362
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    • 2017
  • The primary purpose of this study was to determine the risk of various disease outcomes due to exposure to cyanobacteria toxin (microcystin-LR) through drinking water in a Korean watershed. In order to determine the risk in a more quantitative way, the risk assessment framework developed by the National Research Council (NRC) of the United States (US) - hazard identification, dose-response relationship, exposure assessment, and risk characterization - was used in this study. For dose-response relationships, a computer software (BenchMark Dose Software (BMDS)) developed by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) was used to fit the data from previous studies showing the relationship between the concentration of microcystin-LR and various disease outcomes into various dose-response models. For exposure assessment, the concentrations of microcystin-LR in the source water and finished water in a Korean watershed obtained from a recent study conducted by the Ministry of Environment of Korea were used. Finally, the risk of various disease outcomes due to exposure to cyanobacteria toxin (microcystin-LR) through drinking water was characterized by Monte-Carlo simulation using Crystall Ball program (Oracle Inc.) for adults and children. The results of this study suggest that the risk of disease due to microcystin-LR toxin through drinking water is very low and it appears that current water treatment practice should be able to protect the public from the harmful effects of cyanobacteria toxin (microcystin-LR) through drinking water.

소형차 전용 도로터널의 화재 위험도 평가기법개발 및 적용성에 관한 연구 (A study on the development and applicability of fire risk assessment method for small road tunnels passing only small cars)

  • 류지오;최판규
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.917-930
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    • 2018
  • 도로터널의 방재시설 설계에 화재 위험을 정량적으로 평가하기 위한 정량적 위험도 평가기법이 소방시설물에 대한 성능위주 설계의 일환으로 도입되어 전차종이 통과하는 대단면 터널에 대한 방재시설의 적정성을 평가하는데 활용되고 있다. 그러나 현재 도로 터널에 도입하고 있는 정량적 위험도 평가기법은 대단면 터널에만 적용이 가능하기 때문에 최근 건설이나 계획이 증가하는 소형차 전용 도로터널에 대한 정량적 위험도 평가기법의 개발 필요성이 대두되게 되었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기존의 터널에 대한 정량적 위험도 평가기법을 기반으로 하여 소형차 전용 도로터널에 적합한 화재발생 시나리오를 제시하고 소형차 전용의 모델터널에 대해서 피난연결통로 간격에 따른 위험도를 분석하고 적용성을 검토하였다. 그 결과로 소형차 전용도로터널의 경우, 현행 사회적 위험도 평가기준을 만족하기 위한 피난연결통로의 적정 간격은 200 m로 평가되었다. 또한 소형차 전용터널에 대한 제배연방식에 따른 위험도를 비교한 결과, 제트팬에 의해서 기류제어가 가능한 대배기구방식이 피난안전확보에 효과적인 것으로 분석되었다.

화학공장 설비 및 기기에 대한 신뢰도 데이터베이스 구축 (Equipment Reliability Database for Chemical Plants)

  • 고재욱;권혁면
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2006
  • 산업재해를 방지하고 사고시에 적절한 대책을 마련하기 위해서는 각 위험설비와 위험물질로부터 발생할 수 있는 사고유형, 발생가능성 및 피해를 객관적인 단위로 평가하는 정략적 위험성평가가 수행되어야 하며, 이러한 정량적 평가를 수행하기 위해서는 신뢰도 데이터베이스가 필수적이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 사업장에서 설비 및 기기에 대한 신뢰도 데이터베이스를 구축하기 위해서 신뢰도 데이터 수집 및 분석체계구축, 자료 입력 및 분석 소프트웨어를 개발하여 구축된 자료를 토대로 정량적 위험성 평가에 활용할 수 있는 방법론을 제시하였다.

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빌딩공사의 안전관리정보시스템 개발 (A Development on the Safety Management Information System in Building Work)

  • 박종근
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2005
  • There are insufficient models that find problems and solutions for accident prevention through risk assessment and suggest safe work process and work instruction from foundation works to finish work for accident decrease. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment model by analysis of risk factors in each process such as foundation, erection, structure, equipment finish and etc based on accident examples and investigation on actual condition in building. In addition, the safety management system was developed to perform risk assessment of construction and use it for effective safety training for labor.