• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.101-106
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• 2009

The unsafe act and unsafe condition is due to human error that experience 80% of safety accidents. Accordingly, one of the most important issues to reduce industrial accidents as a whole, is how to reduce the accident rate by the human error. Therefore, this paper describes the development of quantitative risk assessment (QRA) model by ergonomics for reform of safety consciousness on the semiconductor industry. Unconsciousness, disregard, ignorance, recklessness, and stress among the human factors are selected for conscious reform. Finally, the QRA model is efficiently expected to contribute towards improving continuous self-safety and health and safety culture campaign in order to prevent industrial accidents.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제35권5호
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• pp.15-21
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• 2020

Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is used as a legal or voluntary safety management tool for the hazardous material industry and the utilization of the method is gradually increasing. Therefore, a leak frequency analysis based on reliable generic data is a critical element in the evolution of QRA and safety technologies. The aim of this paper is to derive the leak frequency function that can be applied more flexibly in QRA based on OGP report with high reliability and global utilization. For the purpose, we first reviewed the data on the 16 equipments included in the OGP report and selected the predictors. And then we found good equations to fit the OGP data using non-linear regression analysis. The various expectation functions were applied to search for suitable parameter to serve as a meaningful reference in the future. The results of this analysis show that the best fitting parameter is found in the form of DNV function and connection function in natural logarithm. In conclusion, the average percentage error between the fitted and the original value is very small as 3 %, so the derived prediction function can be applicable in the quantitative frequency analysis. This study is to contribute to expand the applicability of QRA and advance safety engineering as providing the generic equations for practical leak frequency analysis.

• Ocean Systems Engineering
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.267-284
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• 2022

A subsea pipeline designed across active shipping lane prones to failure against external interferences such as anchorage activities, hence risk assessment is essential. It requires quantifying the geometric probability derived from ship traffic distribution based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. The actual probability density function from historical vessel traffic data is ideal, as for rapid assessment, conceptual study, when the AIS data is scarce or when the local vessels traffic are not utilised with AIS. Recommended practices suggest the probability distribution is assumed as a single peak Gaussian. This study compares several fitted Gaussian distributions and Monte Carlo simulation based on actual ship traffic data in main ship direction in an active shipping lane across a subsea pipeline. The results shows that a Gaussian distribution with five peaks is required to represent the ship traffic data, providing an error of 0.23%, while a single peak Gaussian distribution and the Monte Carlo simulation with one hundred million realisation provide an error of 1.32% and 0.79% respectively. Thus, it can be concluded that the multi-peak Gaussian distribution can represent the actual ship traffic distribution in the main direction, but it is less representative for ship traffic distribution in other direction. The geometric probability is utilised in a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) for subsea pipeline against vessel anchor dropping and dragging and vessel sinking.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한안전경영과학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.173-186
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• 2007

• 에너지공학
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.48-60
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• 2019

정부는 2015년 파리협정 이후, 미세먼지 종합관리 대책(2017), 수소경제 활성화 로드맵(2019) 등을 통해 수소 보급을 위한 다양한 정책을 추진하고 있다. 그 일환으로 2022년까지 수소공급을 위한 충전소 310개소의 구축 목표를 발표하였다. 이를 위해 융·복합, 패키지형, 이동식 수소충전소의 도입을 위한 특례를 제정·공포하였다. 이동식 수소충전소는 여러 지역에 수소를 공급가능한 장점이 있는 반면, 설비의 이동과 집약적 설치로 인해 적정한 설치기준과 운영안전성 확보가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 이동식 수소충전소 표준모델 설계와 정량적 위험성 평가(QRA)를 실시하여 도입 가능성을 검토하였다. QRA 결과, 개인적, 사회적 위험도는 가용한 것으로 나타났으며, 도입에 대한 실증방향과 시사점을 도출하였다.

• 한국재난관리표준학회지
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• 제1권3호
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• pp.69-76
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• 2008

본 연구는 철도를 통한 위험물 운송시 발생할 수 있는 위험을 정량화하는 방법을 개발하고, 이를 통한 경감대책을 제시한다. 본 논문에서는 철도위험물 수송에 관한 위험도를 평가하기 위한 방법으로 정량적 위험도 평가 방법을 채택하였으며, 과거 사고이력과 더불어 위험이 높을 것으로 판단되는 익산시를 대상으로 했다. 노출인원에 대한 평균개인의 위험을 거리에 따른 위험도로 표현한 결과 원자력 기준 미만으로 안전한 것으로 판단되고, 또한 사회적 위험도로 표현한 결과, 위험경감대책 적용요구 구간(ALARP)범위 내에 포함되어 이에 대한 경감대책을 제시하였다. 위험 경감대책으로 차량설계, 운영, 피해확대 방지, 발생빈도 감소를 위한 탈선사고 방지, 경로변경 방안 등을 제시하였으며 경감대책의 적용으로 높은 수준의 안전성을 확보할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.37-41
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• 2018

Process safety technology has developed from qualitative methods such as HAZOP (hazard and operability study) to semi-quantitative methods such as LOPA (layer of protection analysis), and quantitative methods are actively studied these days. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is often based on fault tree analysis (FTA). FTA is efficient, but difficult to apply when failure events are not independent of each other. This problem can be avoided using a Markov process (MP). MP requires definition of all possible states, and thus, generally, is more complicated than FTA. A method is proposed in this work that uses an MP model and a Weibull distribution model in order to construct a reliability model for multiple dependent failures. As a case study, a pressure safety valve (PSV) is considered, for which there are three kinds of failure, i.e. open failure, close failure, and gas tight failure. According to recently reported inspection results, open failure and close failure are dependent on each other. A reliability model for a PSV group is proposed in this work that is to reproduce these results. It is expected that the application of the proposed method can be expanded to QRA of various systems that have partially dependent multiple failure states.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.144-149
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• 2009

The safety assessment for facility industry is now being periodically performed in Korea. For the purpose of scientific safety management, QRA(Quantitative Risk Assessment) is also being performed, and reliability data of the facilities is essential to perform the assessment. The necessary reliability data for QRA have been generally announced the values in other process industries, which results in the drop of risk reliability. The most appropriate method is to perform a direct reliability analysis towards the facilities undergoing safety assessment. In this study, the distinction between homogeneous sample estimation and multi-sample estimation of reliability data clarify using 2-Bayes theory.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제55권3호
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• pp.215-221
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• 2018

The structural design of offshore installations against explosions has been required to protect vital areas (e.g. control room, worker's area etc.) and minimize the damage from explosion accidents. Because the explosion accident will not only result in significant casualties and economic losses, but also cause serious pollution and damage to surrounding environment and coastal marine ecosystems. Over the past two decades, an incredible efforts was made to develop reliable methods to reduce and manage the explosion risk. Among the methods Quantitative Risk Assessment and Management (QRA&M) is the one of cutting-edge technologies. The explosion risk can be quantitatively assessed by the product of explosion frequency based on probability calculation and consequence analyzed using computer simulations, namely Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) and Finite Element Analysis (FEA). However to obtain reliable consequence analysis results by CFD and FEA, uncertainties associate with modeling and simulation are needed to be identified and validated by comparison with experimental data. Therefore, large-scaled explosion test procedure is developed in this study. And developed test procedure can be helpful to obtain precious test data for the validation of consequence analysis using computer simulations, and subsequently allow better assessment and management of explosion risks.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.18-23
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• 2010

이 논문에서는 실제 설치예정인 도시가스 고압배관에 대하여 정량적 위험성 평가를 실시하고, 평가 결과 위험이 허용영역 밖에 위치하는 경우에는 위험경감조치를 도출하였다. 또한, 도출한 위험경감조치별 위험감소율을 계산하였다. 정량적 위험성 평가결과, 복사열에 의한 사고피해거리는 바람의 속도와 대기안정도에 따라 크게 좌우됨을 알 수 있었다. 위험감소율이 가장 큰 조치는 배관의 부식관리, MOV 설치 및 타공사로 인한 배관손상방지조치를 모두 이행하도록 하는 10번 조치로서 75%의 위험감소효과가 있었다.