• Title/Summary/Keyword: quantitative models

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Quantitative microbial risk assessment of Clostridium perfringens in beef jerky (육포에서 Clostridium perfringens의 정량적 미생물 위해평가)

  • Nam, Gun Woo;Kim, Su Jin;Yoon, Ki Sun
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.50 no.6
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    • pp.621-628
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    • 2018
  • We developed a quantitative microbial risk assessment model for determning the effect of seasoning on Clostridium perfringens behavior in beef jerky under aerobic and anaerobic conditions. C. perfringens was not detected (<0.5 log CFU/g) in beef jerky samples (n=275), regardless of storage conditions or the presence of seasoning. Survival models of C. perfringens on beef jerky were developed as a function of temperature (10, 17, 25, and $35^{\circ}C$). Risk of C. perfringens due to the consumption of beef jerky was estimated with @RISK and FDA-iRISK. The probability of foodborne illness due to C. perfringens through consumption of seasoned, vacuum packed beef jerky was estimated to be $2.77{\times}10^{-16}$ per person per day. Overall, the risk of contamination of beef jerky with C. perfringens is very low.

Regression model for the preparation of calibration curve in the quantitative LC-MS/MS analysis of urinary methamphetamine, amphetamine and 11-nor-Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol-9-carboxylic acid using R (소변 중 메트암페타민, 암페타민 및 대마 대사체 LC-MS/MS 정량분석에서 검량선 작성을 위한 R을 활용한 회귀모델 선택)

  • Kim, Jin Young;Shin, Dong Won
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2021
  • Calibration curves are essential in quantitative methods and for improving the accuracy of analyte measurements in biological samples. In this study, a statistical analysis model built in the R language (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing) was used to identify a set of weighting factors and regression models based on a stepwise selection criteria. An LC-MS/MS method was used to detect the presence of urinary methamphetamine, amphetamine, and 11-nor-9-carboxy-Δ9 -tetrahydrocannabinol in a sample set. Weighting factors for the calibration curves were derived by calculating the heteroscedasticity of the measurements, where the presence of heteroscedasticity was determined via variance tests. The optimal regression model and weighting factor were chosen according to the sum of the absolute percentage relative error. Subsequently, the order of the regression model was calculated using a partial variance test. The proposed statistical analysis tool facilitated selection of the optimal calibration model and detection of methamphetamine, amphetamine, and 11-nor-9-carboxy-Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol in urine. Thus, this study for the selection of weighting and the use of a complex regression equation may provide insights for linear and quadratic regressions in analytical and bioanalytical measurements.

Quantitative Estimation Method for ML Model Performance Change, Due to Concept Drift (Concept Drift에 의한 ML 모델 성능 변화의 정량적 추정 방법)

  • Soon-Hong An;Hoon-Suk Lee;Seung-Hoon Kim
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.259-266
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    • 2023
  • It is very difficult to measure the performance of the machine learning model in the business service stage. Therefore, managing the performance of the model through the operational department is not done effectively. Academically, various studies have been conducted on the concept drift detection method to determine whether the model status is appropriate. The operational department wants to know quantitatively the performance of the operating model, but concept drift can only detect the state of the model in relation to the data, it cannot estimate the quantitative performance of the model. In this study, we propose a performance prediction model (PPM) that quantitatively estimates precision through the statistics of concept drift. The proposed model induces artificial drift in the sampling data extracted from the training data, measures the precision of the sampling data, creates a dataset of drift and precision, and learns it. Then, the difference between the actual precision and the predicted precision is compared through the test data to correct the error of the performance prediction model. The proposed PPM was applied to two models, a loan underwriting model and a credit card fraud detection model that can be used in real business. It was confirmed that the precision was effectively predicted.

Predicting Future ESG Performance using Past Corporate Financial Information: Application of Deep Neural Networks (심층신경망을 활용한 데이터 기반 ESG 성과 예측에 관한 연구: 기업 재무 정보를 중심으로)

  • Min-Seung Kim;Seung-Hwan Moon;Sungwon Choi
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.85-100
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    • 2023
  • Corporate ESG performance (environmental, social, and corporate governance) reflecting a company's strategic sustainability has emerged as one of the main factors in today's investment decisions. The traditional ESG performance rating process is largely performed in a qualitative and subjective manner based on the institution-specific criteria, entailing limitations in reliability, predictability, and timeliness when making investment decisions. This study attempted to predict the corporate ESG rating through automated machine learning based on quantitative and disclosed corporate financial information. Using 12 types (21,360 cases) of market-disclosed financial information and 1,780 ESG measures available through the Korea Institute of Corporate Governance and Sustainability during 2019 to 2021, we suggested a deep neural network prediction model. Our model yielded about 86% of accurate classification performance in predicting ESG rating, showing better performance than other comparative models. This study contributed the literature in a way that the model achieved relatively accurate ESG rating predictions through an automated process using quantitative and publicly available corporate financial information. In terms of practical implications, the general investors can benefit from the prediction accuracy and time efficiency of our proposed model with nominal cost. In addition, this study can be expanded by accumulating more Korean and international data and by developing a more robust and complex model in the future.

Quantitative Deterioration and Maintenance Profiles of Typical Steel Bridges based on Response Surface Method (응답면 기법을 이용한 강교의 열화 및 보수보강 정량화 이력 모델)

  • Park, Seung-Hyun;Park, Kyung Hoon;Kim, Hee Joong;Kong, Jung-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6A
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    • pp.765-778
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    • 2008
  • Performance Profiles are essential to predict the performance variation over time for the bridge management system (BMS) based on risk management. In general, condition profiles based on experts opinion and/or visual inspection records have been used widely because obtaining profiles based on real performance is not easy. However, those condition profiles usually don't give a good consistency to the safety of bridges, causing practical problems for the effective bridge management. The accuracy of performance evaluation is directly related to the accuracy of BMS. The reliability of the evaluation is important to produce the optimal solution for distributing maintenance budget reasonably. However, conventional methods of bridge assessment are not suitable for a more sophisticated decision making procedure. In this study, a method to compute quantitative performance profiles has been proposed to overcome the limitations of those conventional models. In Bridge Management Systems, the main role of performance profiles is to compute and predict the performance of bridges subject to lifetime activities with uncertainty. Therefore, the computation time for obtaining an optimal maintenance scenario is closely related to the efficiency of the performance profile. In this study, the Response Surface Method (RSM) based on independent and important design variables is developed for the rapid computation. Steel box bridges have been investigated because the number of independent design variables can be reduced significantly due to the high dependency between design variables.

Geotechnical Hybrid Simulation System for the Quantitative Prediction of the Residual Deformation in the Liquefiable Sand During and After Earthquake Motion (액상화 가능 지반의 진동 도중 및 후의 잔류 변형에 대한 정량적 예측을 위한 하이브리드 시뮬레이션 시스템)

  • Kwon, Young Cheul
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1C
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2006
  • Despite several constitutive models have been proposed and applied, it is still difficult to choose a suitable model and to estimate adequate analysis parameters. Furthermore, a cyclic shear behavior under the volume change caused by the seepage is more complex. None of the constitutive model is available at present in the expression of the cyclic behavior of soil under an additional volume change condition by seepage. Therefore, a new geotechnical hybrid simulation system which can control the pore water immigration was developed. The system enables a quantitative evaluation of the residual deformation such as lateral spreading and settlement caused by the liquefaction. The seismic responses in a one-dimensional slightly inclined multilayered soil system are taken into consideration, and the soils are governed by both equation of motion and the continuity equation. Furthermore, the estimation and the selection of the soil parameter for the representation of the strong nonlinearity of the material are not required, because soil behaviors under the earthquake motions are directly introduced instead of a numerical soil constitutive model. This paper presents the concept and specifications of the system. By applying the system to an example problem, the permeability effect on the seismic response during cyclic shear is studied. The importance of the volume change characteristics of sandy soil during and after cyclic shear is shown in conclusion.

Detection and Grading of Compost Heap Using UAV and Deep Learning (UAV와 딥러닝을 활용한 야적퇴비 탐지 및 관리등급 산정)

  • Miso Park;Heung-Min Kim;Youngmin Kim;Suho Bak;Tak-Young Kim;Seon Woong Jang
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2024
  • This research assessed the applicability of the You Only Look Once (YOLO)v8 and DeepLabv3+ models for the effective detection of compost heaps, identified as a significant source of non-point source pollution. Utilizing high-resolution imagery acquired through Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs), the study conducted a comprehensive comparison and analysis of the quantitative and qualitative performances. In the quantitative evaluation, the YOLOv8 model demonstrated superior performance across various metrics, particularly in its ability to accurately distinguish the presence or absence of covers on compost heaps. These outcomes imply that the YOLOv8 model is highly effective in the precise detection and classification of compost heaps, thereby providing a novel approach for assessing the management grades of compost heaps and contributing to non-point source pollution management. This study suggests that utilizing UAVs and deep learning technologies for detecting and managing compost heaps can address the constraints linked to traditional field survey methods, thereby facilitating the establishment of accurate and effective non-point source pollution management strategies, and contributing to the safeguarding of aquatic environments.

Development of a Tourist Satisfaction Quantitative Index for Building a Rating Prediction Model: Focusing on Jeju Island Tourist Spot Reviews (평점 예측 모델 개발을 위한 관광지 만족도 정량 지수 구축: 제주도 관광지 리뷰를 중심으로)

  • Dong-kyu Yun;Ki-tae Park;Sang-hyun Choi
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.185-205
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    • 2023
  • As the tourism industry recovers post the COVID-19 pandemic, an increasing number of tourists are utilizing various platforms to leave reviews. However, amidst the vast amount of data, finding useful information remains challenging, often leading to time and cost inefficiencies in selecting travel destinations. Despite ongoing research, there are limitations due to the absence of ratings or the presence of different rating formats across platforms. Moreover, inconsistencies between ratings and the content of reviews pose challenges in developing recommendation models. To address these issues, this study utilized 7,104 reviews of tourist spots in Jeju Island to develop a specialized satisfaction index for Jeju tourist attractions and employed this index to construct a 'Rating Prediction Model.' To validate the model's performance, we predicted the ratings of 700 experimental data points using both the developed model and an LSTM approach. The proposed model demonstrated superior performance with a weighted accuracy of 73.87%, which is approximately 4.67% higher than that of the LSTM. The results of this study are expected to resolve the discrepancies between ratings and review contents, standardize ratings in reviews without ratings or in various formats, and provide reliable rating indicators applicable across all areas of travel in different domains.

Qualitative and Quantitative Magnetic Resonance Imaging Phenotypes May Predict CDKN2A/B Homozygous Deletion Status in Isocitrate Dehydrogenase-Mutant Astrocytomas: A Multicenter Study

  • Yae Won Park;Ki Sung Park;Ji Eun Park;Sung Soo Ahn;Inho Park;Ho Sung Kim;Jong Hee Chang;Seung-Koo Lee;Se Hoon Kim
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2023
  • Objective: Cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor (CDKN)2A/B homozygous deletion is a key molecular marker of isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH)-mutant astrocytomas in the 2021 World Health Organization. We aimed to investigate whether qualitative and quantitative MRI parameters can predict CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion status in IDH-mutant astrocytomas. Materials and Methods: Preoperative MRI data of 88 patients (mean age ± standard deviation, 42.0 ± 11.9 years; 40 females and 48 males) with IDH-mutant astrocytomas (76 without and 12 with CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion) from two institutions were included. A qualitative imaging assessment was performed. Mean apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), 5th percentile of ADC, mean normalized cerebral blood volume (nCBV), and 95th percentile of nCBV were assessed via automatic tumor segmentation. Logistic regression was performed to determine the factors associated with CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion in all 88 patients and a subgroup of 47 patients with histological grades 3 and 4. The discrimination performance of the logistic regression models was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: In multivariable analysis of all patients, infiltrative pattern (odds ratio [OR] = 4.25, p = 0.034), maximal diameter (OR = 1.07, p = 0.013), and 95th percentile of nCBV (OR = 1.34, p = 0.049) were independent predictors of CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion. The AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the corresponding model were 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.72-0.91), 90.4%, 83.3%, and 75.0%, respectively. On multivariable analysis of the subgroup with histological grades 3 and 4, infiltrative pattern (OR = 10.39, p = 0.012) and 95th percentile of nCBV (OR = 1.24, p = 0.047) were independent predictors of CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion, with an AUC accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the corresponding model of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.60-0.88), 87.8%, 80.0%, and 58.1%, respectively. Conclusion: The presence of an infiltrative pattern, larger maximal diameter, and higher 95th percentile of the nCBV may be useful MRI biomarkers for CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion in IDH-mutant astrocytomas.

The Effects of Bambusae caulis in liquamen and Bambusae concretio silicae on Blood Sugar Reduction and Improvement of Peripheral Nerve Function in Diabetic Rats Induced with Streptozotocin (죽력(竹瀝)과 천축황(天竺黃)이 Streptozotocin으로 당뇨가 유발된 백서의 혈당강하 및 말초신경기능회복에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Soo-Gon;Bae, Kil-Joon;Lee, Ook-Jae;Kim, Seon-Jong;Jung, Min-Young
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.13-30
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    • 2014
  • Objectives This study was designed to investigate the effects of Bambusae caulis in liquamen and Bambusae concretio silicae on blood sugar reduction and improvement of peripheral nerve function in diabetic rat models. Methods Diabetic rat models induced by streptozotocin were divided into five groups. We fed experimental group I of rats basal diet and administered normal saline (3 ml, 1 time/1 day) for 6 weeks. We fed experimental group II of rats basal diet and administered Bambusae caulis in liquamen (100 mg/kg, 1 time/1 day) for 6 weeks. We fed experimental group III, IV, V of rats basal diet and administered Bambusae concretio silicae (100 mg/kg, 200 mg/kg, 400 mg/kg once a day) for 6 weeks. We investigated weight and glucose level of rats, and carried out touch test, hot plate test, sensory & motor nerve conduction velocity test and immunohistochemical study after 48 hours, 2 weeks, 4 weeks and 6 weeks. Results 1. The weight of all experimental group was gradually decreased. And glucose level was significantly decreased in the experimental group II, III, IV, V as compared with experimental group I. Especially experimental group II, IV, V were significantly decreased as compared with experimental group III. 2. In the quantitative analysis by touch test and hot plate test, mechanical pain threshold and heat pain threshold were significantly decreased in the other experimental groups as compared with experimental group I. Especially experimental group II, IV, V were significantly decreased as compared with experimental group III. 3. In the sensory and motor nerve conduction velocity test, sensory and motor nerve conduction velocity were significantly increased in the other experimental groups as compared with experimental group I. Especially experimental group II, IV, V were significantly increased as compared with experimental group III. 4. In the substance P immunohistochemical study, experimental group II, IV, V showed strong immune response in spinal cord. Conclusions Bambusae caulis in liquamen and Bambusae concretio silicae were probably useful to treat patients with diabetic peripheral neuropathy.