• 제목/요약/키워드: probit analysis

검색결과 214건 처리시간 0.024초

농작물재해보험 가입 결정요인에 관한 분석 -수도작 농가를 중심으로- (Factors Influencing Purchase of the Crop Insurance : The Case of Rice Farms)

  • 이지혜;송경환
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2015
  • This thesis has analyzed the determination factor for the crop insurance of rice focused on paddy rice. The analysis on each farmer has been used with integrated probit model & random effects probit model. It has shown in the analysis result of determination factor for buying the crop insurance of paddy rice farmer through integrated probit model & random effects probit model that the higher age, degree of education, cultivated area, and amount of received insurance money and the lower in a number of family member have revealed the higher possibility to buy the crop insurance in the integrated probit model. While the random effects probit model has shown a higher possibility to buy the crop insurance as the higher age, cultivated area, and amount of received insurance money.

빈곤과 실업의 원인과 복지정책의 효과 (Interdependence of Poverty and Unemployment and the Welfare Policy Effectiveness)

  • 안종범;김철희;전승훈
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.75-95
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 빈곤과 실업의 결정요인과 상호관계를 살펴보고, 복지정책의 효과를 분석해 본다. 특히, 빈곤가구와 가구주의 특성, 가구주의 경제활동상태 변화 및 이들 변수에 영향을 미치는 결정요인을 분석해 본다. probit 모형과 bivariate probit 모형을 이용한 실증분석 결과, 빈곤의 주된 원인으로 실업이 작용했고, 가구월수, 가구주의 연령 및 저학력 등도 원인으로 작용했음이 밝혀졌다. 사회보험 수급 등을 포함하는 복지정책은 이러한 실업이 빈곤에 미치는 영향을 축소시키는 요인으로 역할하고 있음이 추정 결과 나타났다.

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Development of a Recursive Multinomial Probit Model and its Possible Application for Innovation Studies

  • Jeong, Gicheol
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2011
  • This paper develops a recursive multinomial probit model and describes its estimation method. The recursive multinomial probit model is an extension of a recursive bivariate probit model. The main difference between the two models is that a single decision among two or more alternatives can be considered in each choice equation in the proposed model. The recursive multinomial probit model is developed based on a standard framework of the multinomial probit model and a Bayesian approach with a Gibbs sampling is adopted for the estimation. The simulation exercise with artificial data sets is showed that the model performed well. Since the recursive multinomial probit model can be applied to analyze the causal relationship between discrete dependent variables with more than two outcomes, the model can play an important role in extending the methodology of the causal relationship analysis in innovation research.

Probit 모델에 의한 증기운폭발 충격파의 인체피해예측 (A Study on Estimation of Human Damage for Shock Wave by Vapor Cloud Explosion using Probit Model)

  • 임사환;허용정;이종락
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제31권11호
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    • pp.936-941
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    • 2007
  • This paper is on the influence of gas explosion caused by Vapor Cloud Explosion(VCE). Also, it is to understand the influence of the booth for explosion experiment which is installed to let the trainees for legal education which is managed by IGTT(Institute or Gas Technology Training) know the riskiness of explosion. In this study, the influence of explosion shock wave caused by VCE in enclosure was calculated by using the Hopkinson's scaling law and the accident damage was estimated by applying the influence on the adjacent human into the probit model. As a result of the damage estimation conducted by using the probit model, both the damage possibility of explosion overpressure to human 8 meters away and that of shock wave to hurt 15 meters away showed nothing.

A Study on the Estimation of Human Damage Caused by the LP Gas Flame in Enclosure using Probit Model

  • Leem, Sa-Hwan;Huh, Yong-Jeong
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2009
  • The energetic and environmental problems have been getting serious after the revolution of modern industry. Therefore, demand of gas as an eco-friendly energy source is increasing. With the demand of gas, the use of gas is also increased, so injury and loss of life by the fire have been increasing every year. Hence the influence on flame caused by Vapor Cloud Explosion in enclosure of experimental booth was calculated by using the API regulations. And the accident damage was estimated by applying the influence on the adjacent structures and people into the PROBIT model. According to the probit analysis, the spot which is 5meter away from the flame has nearly 100% of the damage probability by the first-degree burn, 27.8% of the damage probability by the second-degree burn and 14.5% of the death probability by the fire.

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The Effect of Bribery on Firm Innovation: An Analysis of Small and Medium Firms in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Toan Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.259-268
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to provide empirical evidence on the causal relationship between bribery and firm innovation. To this end, we use a micro-dataset of small and medium firms in Vietnam surveyed in 2015. Given the binary nature of the dependent variable, a simple probit regression model is employed. However, as bribery variable is potentially endogenous, a simple probit regression may give biased estimates. We deal with the potential endogeneity by making use of the bivariate probit model. A property of the bivariate probit model is that it can produce efficient estimates of a typical probit model with endogenous binary explanatory variable. A Hausman-like likelihood ratio test is implemented following the estimation to test the existence of endogeneity. We find that bribery significantly undermines firm innovation. Also, firms run by household appear less innovative. The probability of innovation diminishes significantly if firm owners or managers have previous experience in firm products. As expected, larger firms seem to be more innovative. Exporters tend to be more innovative compared to non-exporters. Our findings provide support to the hypothesis that bribery is detrimental to firm innovation and, thus, innovation may be a mediating channel, through which, bribery impedes firm long-term performance.

Probit 회귀분석을 통한 ISMS 인증 취득 전략 탐색: 조직 특성을 중심으로 (Exploring the Strategy for Acquiring ISMS Certification through Probit Regression: Focusing on Organizational Characteristics)

  • 김선주;김태성
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2024
  • In the field of information security management systems, one of the representative certifications in Korea is ISMS-P certification, and internationally, ISO/IEC 27001 certification is recognized. When companies acquire both ISMS-P (or ISMS) and ISO/IEC 27001 certifications, budget and manpower are duplicated in similar areas. Therefore, it is necessary for the company to choose and invest in a certification that is suitable for its conditions. This paper proposes a strategy for obtaining information security management system certification that is suitable for the characteristics of the company, allowing for effective information security management based on the company's conditions. To achieve this, data were collected from the Ministry of Science and ICT's Information Security Disclosure System (ISDS), the Korea Internet & Security Agency (KISA), and the Financial Supervisory Service's Data Analysis, Retrieval and Transfer System (DART), and Probit regression analysis was conducted. During the Probit regression analysis, the relationships between seven independent variables and five cases of ISMS-P (or ISMS) acquisition, ISMS-P acquisition, ISMS acquisition, ISO/IEC 27001 acquisition, and both ISMS-P (or ISMS) and ISO/IEC 27001 acquisition were analyzed. The analysis results revealed the relationship between company characteristics, including industry, and certification acquisition in the ISMS field. Through this, strategies for certification acquisition based on company types could be suggested.

J도 LPG충전소 가스 누출로 인한 폭발사례와 피해예측 프로그램의 비교 분석 (Comparative Analysis between a Real-Life Explosion Case and A Damage Prediction Program)

  • 양용호;김순주;공하성
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to estimate the scope of damage impact with a real-life explosion case and a damage prediction program (ALOHA) and suggest measures to reduce risk by comparing and analyzing the results using a Probit model. After applying it to the ALOHA program, the toxicity, overpressure, and radiant heat damage of 5 tons of storage scopes between 66 to 413 meters, and the real-life case also demonstrated that most of the damage took place within 300 meters of the LPG gas station. In the Probit analysis, the damages due to radiant heat were estimated as first-degree burns (13-50%), while structural damage (0-75%) and glass window breakage (94-100%) were expected from overpressure, depending on the storage volume. After comparing the real-life case and the damage prediction program, this study concluded that the ALOHA program could be used as the scope of damage impacts is nearly the same as the actual case; it also concluded that the analysis using the Probit model could reduce risks by applying calculated results and predicting the probability of human casualties and structural damages.

CH-6를 적용한 격벽 착화모듈 설계 및 신뢰도 분석 (Design and Reliability Analysis of the Through-Bulkhead Initiation Module Using CH-6)

  • 장승교;차홍석;강원규
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.327-330
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    • 2009
  • CH-6를 이용한 격벽 착화모듈을 설계하였다. 격벽 착화모듈은 도우너 화약에 의해 발생한 충격파가 격벽을 통해 도우너 화약에 전달되었을 때 동작한다. 격벽 착화모듈의 구조적 안전성은 구조해석을 통해 확인하였고 점화 성능은 10cc 밀폐용기 시험을 통하여 검증하였다. 동작시험 결과를 토대로 통계적처리방법인 Probit Method를 이용하여 신뢰도 분석을 하였다. 신뢰도 분석 결과를 통하여 격벽 착화모듈의 중요한 설계변수인 격벽두께를 결정하였다.

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