• 제목/요약/키워드: probability trajectory

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A Study on the Dispersion of Fuel Particles in the Homogeneous Turbulent Flow Field (균일 난류 유동장내에서 연료입자의 퍼짐에 관한 연구)

  • 김덕줄;최연우
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.1330-1337
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    • 1994
  • This study is to predict the lateral dispersion of the particles with time in a vertical pipe. Particle is released downward and located in the center of a pipe through which stationary, homogeneous turbulent air is flowing. We assume that gas turbulence velocities have a Gaussian probability density distribution and the presence of particle is not to alter turbulent structures. Particle trajectory is computed by numerically integrating the particle Lagrangian equation of motion, with a random sampling to determine the fluctuating air velocity experienced by each particle, which considered inertia effect and crossing-trajectories effect. The result shows characterestics of particle dispersion according to flow field condition and droplet size by using the parameters and scales, which expressed characterestics of flow field and particle. Predictions agree reasonably with experimental data.

Windborne debris risk analysis - Part I. Introduction and methodology

  • Lin, Ning;Vanmarcke, Erik
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.191-206
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    • 2010
  • Windborne debris is a major cause of structural damage during severe windstorms and hurricanes owing to its direct impact on building envelopes as well as to the 'chain reaction' failure mechanism it induces by interacting with wind pressure damage. Estimation of debris risk is an important component in evaluating wind damage risk to residential developments. A debris risk model developed by the authors enables one to analytically aggregate damage threats to a building from different types of debris originating from neighboring buildings. This model is extended herein to a general debris risk analysis methodology that is then incorporated into a vulnerability model accounting for the temporal evolution of the interaction between pressure damage and debris damage during storm passage. The current paper (Part I) introduces the debris risk analysis methodology, establishing the mathematical modeling framework. Stochastic models are proposed to estimate the probability distributions of debris trajectory parameters used in the method. It is shown that model statistics can be estimated from available information from wind-tunnel experiments and post-damage surveys. The incorporation of the methodology into vulnerability modeling is described in Part II.

A Study of Optimal Impact Angle Control Laws (최적 충돌각 제어법칙에 관한 연구)

  • 송택렬;신상진
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 1998
  • As a part of trajectory modulation to increase system survivability and terminal effectiveness, impact angle control is required in the terminal phase of tactical missile systems. The missile systems are not allowed to have high altitude to reduce probability of detection by sensors of missile defense systems. In this paper, an analytic form of a time-optimal control law is suggested in the case of constrained missile maneuverability and impact angle under the assumption of a zero-lag autopilot. The control law is obtained by establishing optimal missile-target engagement geometry in the vertical plane. Extension of the law for missiles with autopilot response lags requiring a numerical solution is studied by introducing an iterative algorithm for optimal switching time determination of which the initial switching instants are obtained from the analytic solution. Also suggested is a closed-form impact angle control law derived by an energy-optimal approach. The performances of the proposed guidance laws are evaluated by a series of computer runs.

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Multi-Sensor Multi-Target Passive Locating and Tracking

  • Liu, Mei;Xu, Nuo;Li, Haihao
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.200-207
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    • 2007
  • The passive direction finding cross localization method is widely adopted in passive tracking, therefore there will exist masses of false intersection points. Eliminating these false intersection points correctly and quickly is a key technique in passive localization. A new method is proposed for passive locating and tracking multi-jammer target in this paper. It not only solves the difficulty of determining the number of targets when masses of false intersection points existing, but also solves the initialization problem of elastic network. Thus this method solves the problem of multi-jammer target correlation and the elimination of static false intersection points. The method which dynamically establishes multiple hypothesis trajectory trees solves the problem of eliminating the remaining false intersection points. Simulation results show that computational burden of the method is lower, the elastic network can more quickly find all or most of the targets and have a more probability of locking the real targets. This method can eliminate more false intersection points.

Molecular Simulation Studies of Scattered and Penetrated Hydrogen Ions II. 45° Incident Angle to Ni (100) Surface (산란 및 투과된 수소 이온의 분자 전산 연구 II. 니켈 (100) 표면의 45° 입사)

  • Suh, Soong-Hyuck;Min, Woong-Ki
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2001
  • In this paper molecular dynamics simulations were employed to investigate the structural and dynamic properties of hydrogen ions impacted on the Ni (100) surface with the $45^{\circ}$ incident angle. The initial kinetic energies of the hydrogen ion range from 100 to 1,600 eV. Together with the trajectory visualization of hydrogen ions, we computed scattering and penetration yields, mean energies and angles, and probability and energy distributions as a function of longitudinal and azimuthal directions. In the case of lower energy scattering ions, the multiple collision effects were found to be important to the third layers or lower. For higher energy penetrating ions, compared with the normal incident angle, it was significant the effective channeling effects through the Ni layers and the angle dependencies were indicated both in the longitudinal and the azimuthal angle directions.

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Clarifying Warhead Separation from the Reentry Vehicle Using a Novel Tracking Algorithm

  • Liu Cheng-Yu;Sung Yu-Ming
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.4 no.5
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2006
  • Separating a reentry vehicle into warhead and body is a conventional and efficient means of producing a huge decoy and increasing the kinetic energy of the warhead. This procedure causes the radar to track the body, whose radar cross section is larger, and ignore the warhead, which is the most important part of the reentry vehicle. However, the procedure is difficult to perform using standard tracking criteria. This study presents a novel tracking algorithm by integrating input estimation and modified probabilistic data association filter to solve this difficulty in a clear environment. The proposed algorithm with a new defined association probability in this filter provides a good tracking capability for the warhead ignoring the radar cross section. The simulation results indicate that the errors between the estimated and the warhead trajectories are reduced to a small interval in a short time. Therefore, the radar can produce a beam to illuminate to the right area and keep tracking the warhead all the way. In conclusion, this algorithm is worthy of further study and application.

On the modification of particle dispersion in isotropic turbulence by free rotation of particle (등방성 난류에서 입자의 회전에 의한 분산 특성의 변화)

  • Park, Yong-Nam;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.2554-2557
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    • 2008
  • Effect of a particle's spin is investigated numerically by considering the effect of lift occurring due to difference of rotations of a particle and of fluid such as the Saffman lift and Magnus force. These lift forces have been neglected in many previous works on particle-laden turbulence. The trajectory of particles can be changed by the lift forces, resulting in significant modification of the stochastic characteristics of heavy particles. Probability density functions and autocorrelations are examined of velocity, acceleration of solid particle and acceleration of fluid at the position of solid particle. Changes in velocity statistics are negligible but statistics related with acceleration are a little bit changed by particle's rotation. When a laden particle encounters with coherent structures during the motion, the particle's rotation might significantly affects the motion due to intermittently large fluid acceleration near coherent structures.

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Performance Evaluation of the WiMAX Network Based on Combining the 2D Markov Chain and MMPP Traffic Model

  • Saha, Tonmoy;Shufean, Md. Abu;Alam, Mahbubul;Islam, Md. Imdadul
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.653-678
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    • 2011
  • WiMAX is intended for fourth generation wireless mobile communications where a group of users are provided with a connection and a fixed length queue. In present literature traffic of such network is analyzed based on the generator matrix of the Markov Arrival Process (MAP). In this paper a simple analytical technique of the two dimensional Markov chain is used to obtain the trajectory of the congestion of the network as a function of a traffic parameter. Finally, a two state phase dependent arrival process is considered to evaluate probability states. The entire analysis is kept independent of modulation and coding schemes.

Flow Pattern Identification of Vertical Upward Two-Phase Flow Using the Attractor-Density-Map Analysis of the Void Fraction Signal in the Nonlinear Phase Space (비선형 위상공간에서의 기포 분율 신호의 끌개밀도분식을 이용한 수직 상향 이상유동의 유동패턴분류)

  • Kim, Nam-Seok;Lee, Jae-Young
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.1398-1406
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    • 2004
  • The nonlinear signals from an impedance meter for the area average void fraction in two-phase flow have been analyzed to construct a phase space trajectory. The pseudo phase space was constructed with the time delay and proper dimensions. The time delay and the embedding dimension were chosen by the average mutual information and by the false nearest neighborhood, respectively. The attractor-density-map of projected states was used to produce the two dimensional probability distribution functions (2D-PDF). Since the developed 2D-PDF showed clear distinction of the flow patterns, the flow regime identification was made with three rules and with the 2D-PDF. Also, the transition criteria of Mishima-Ishii agree well with the present results.

An estimation method of probability of infection using Reed - Frost model (Reed - Frost 모형을 이용한 전염병 감염 확률 추정)

  • Eom, Eunjin;Hwang, Jinseub;Choi, Boseung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2017
  • SIR model (Kermack and McKendrik, 1927) is one of the most popular method to explain the spread of disease, In order to construct SIR model, we need to estimate transition rate parameter and recovery rate parameter. If we don't have any information of the two rate parameters, we should estimate using observed whole trajectory of pandemic of disease. Thus, with restricted observed data, we can't estimate rate parameters. In this research, we introduced Reed-Frost model (Andersson and Britton, 2000) to calculate the probability of infection in the early stage of pandemic with the restriction of data. When we have an initial number of susceptible and infected, and a final number of infected, we can apply Reed - Frost model and we can get the probability of infection. We applied the Reed - Frost model to the Vibrio cholerae pandemic data from Republic of the Cameroon and calculated the probability of infection at the early stage. We also construct SIR model using the result of Reed - Frost model.