• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability theory

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A RCS investigation of Multiple Chaff clouds using Probability Distribution Characteristics (확률분포를 이용한 다중 채프의 RCS 특성 분석)

  • Chae, Gyoo-Soo;Lim, Joong-Soo;Kim, Young-Ho
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2017
  • In order to estimate chaff RCS, we suggest here a novel method using the probability distribution. Normally, a chaff is assumed that it is a thin dipole antenna and the RCS can be calculated by the scattering wave theory. Most of the theoretical methods presented were mainly focusing on a single chaff cloud. In this paper, the RCS calculation was done for two or more chaff clouds and the changes of RCS with azimuth angle were observed. Matlab was used for presenting the probability distribution of chaff clouds and RCS calculation. A more accurate RCS estimation method is suggested by estimating the number of chaffs except the blocked elements.

Broadcast Scheduling for Wireless Networks Based on Theory of Complex Networks (복잡계 네트워크 기반 무선 네트워크를 위한 브로드캐스트 스케줄링 기법)

  • Park, Jong-Hong;Seo, Sunho;Chung, Jong-Moon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a novel broadcast scheduling algorithm for wireless large-scale networks based on theory of complex networks. In the proposed algorithm, the network topology is formed based on a scale-free network and the probability of link distribution is analyzed. In this paper, the characteristics of complex systems are analyzed (which are not concerned by the existing broadcast scheduling algorithm techniques) and the optimization of network transmission efficiency and network time delay are provided.

A Study on the Risk Analysis of the RC Structure Subjected to Seismic Loading (철근콘크리트 구조물의 지진 위험성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 이성로
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 1994
  • Seismic safety of RC structure can be evaluated by numerical analysis considering randomness of earthquake motion and hysteretic behavior of reinforced concrete, which is more rational than determirustic analysis. In the safety assessment of aseismatic structures by the deterministic theory, it is not easy to consider th effects of random variables but the reliability theory and random vibration theory are useful to assess seismic safety with considering random effects. This study aims at the evaluation of sesmic damage and risk of the RC frame structure by stochastic response analysis of hysteretic system and then the calculation stages of the prob ability of failure are presented.

The Effects of Female Leadership on Job Stress and Promotion of Female Workers (여자의 적은 여자인가?: 상사 성별이 여성 근로자의 노동시장 성과에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jung, Han Na
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.61-89
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of sex of supervisor on the stress and promotion of Korean women workers in the workplace using the Korean Women Manager Panel. The results demonstrate that when the direct boss of female workers was female, stress in the workplace was high and the promotion rate of staff and assistant managers was low. According to the theory of queen bee phenomenon and role congruity theory, a structure of glass ceiling and the male-dominated working culture does not require positive qualities of female leadership but requires a high recognition standard or competitiveness. It can be interpreted that the female worker with the female supervisor showed more stress in the workplace and the probability of female promotion in staff and assistant managers is low.

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Neighbor Discovery in a Wireless Sensor Network: Multipacket Reception Capability and Physical-Layer Signal Processing

  • Jeon, Jeongho;Ephremides, Anthony
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.566-577
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    • 2012
  • In randomly deployed networks, such as sensor networks, an important problem for each node is to discover its neighbor nodes so that the connectivity amongst nodes can be established. In this paper, we consider this problem by incorporating the physical layer parameters in contrast to the most of the previous work which assumed a collision channel. Specifically, the pilot signals that nodes transmit are successfully decoded if the strength of the received signal relative to the interference is sufficiently high. Thus, each node must extract signal parameter information from the superposition of an unknown number of received signals. This problem falls naturally in the purview of random set theory (RST) which generalizes standard probability theory by assigning sets, rather than values, to random outcomes. The contributions in the paper are twofold: First, we introduce the realistic effect of physical layer considerations in the evaluation of the performance of logical discovery algorithms; such an introduction is necessary for the accurate assessment of how an algorithm performs. Secondly, given the double uncertainty of the environment (that is, the lack of knowledge of the number of neighbors along with the lack of knowledge of the individual signal parameters), we adopt the viewpoint of RST and demonstrate its advantage relative to classical matched filter detection method.

TREATING UNCERTAINTIES IN A NUCLEAR SEISMIC PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT BY MEANS OF THE DEMPSTER-SHAFER THEORY OF EVIDENCE

  • Lo, Chung-Kung;Pedroni, N.;Zio, E.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.11-26
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    • 2014
  • The analyses carried out within the Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessments (SPRAs) of Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) are affected by significant aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. These uncertainties have to be represented and quantified coherently with the data, information and knowledge available, to provide reasonable assurance that related decisions can be taken robustly and with confidence. The amount of data, information and knowledge available for seismic risk assessment is typically limited, so that the analysis must strongly rely on expert judgments. In this paper, a Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) framework for handling uncertainties in NPP SPRAs is proposed and applied to an example case study. The main contributions of this paper are two: (i) applying the complete DST framework to SPRA models, showing how to build the Dempster-Shafer structures of the uncertainty parameters based on industry generic data, and (ii) embedding Bayesian updating based on plant specific data into the framework. The results of the application to a case study show that the approach is feasible and effective in (i) describing and jointly propagating aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in SPRA models and (ii) providing 'conservative' bounds on the safety quantities of interest (i.e. Core Damage Frequency, CDF) that reflect the (limited) state of knowledge of the experts about the system of interest.

The Differentiating Effects of Job Seekers' Spec on Actual Employment: Focusing on Screening Hypothesis and Dual Labor Market Theory (구직자의 취업스펙이 실제취업에 미치는 영향에 대한 탐색적 연구: 선별이론 및 이중노동시장이론을 중심으로)

  • Jisung Park;Chiho Ok
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was to examine how job seekers' spec influence their actual employment especially focusing on the differentiating effects of applicants' specs depending on whether general or decent job employment. Design/methodology/approach - This study conducted analyses on 54,443 samples that incorporated data from the Graduates Occupational Mobility Survey for three years (2017-2019) collected by the Korea Employment Information Service. The linear probability model and logit model were used to examine the research questions. Findings - The results analyzed with the hierarchical regression model showed that most job seekers' specs were statistically significant in predicting employment status. Interestingly, there is a difference between the factors predicting employment for a general job and a decent job. This study suggests academic and practical implications for future research in the selection/ recruitment field by clarifying the critical factors to influence applicants' employment. Research implications or Originality The results of this study follow the screening hypothesis which explains that the applicants' specs have significant impacts on actual employment. Also, the dual labor market theory, which explains that applicants' specs differently affect actual employment between general and decent jobs, was reaffirmed.

Efficient Spectrum Sensing Based on Evolutionary Game Theory in Cognitive Radio Networks (인지무선 네트워크에서 진화게임을 이용한 효율적인 협력 스펙트럼 센싱 연구)

  • Kang, Keon-Kyu;Yoo, Sang-Jo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39B no.11
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    • pp.790-802
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    • 2014
  • In cognitive radio technology, secondary users can determine the absence of PU by periodic sensing operation and cooperative sensing between SUs yields a significant sensing performance improvement. However, there exists a trade off between the gains in terms of probability of detection of the primary users and the costs of false alarm probability. Therefore, the cooperation group must maintain the suitable size. And secondary users should sense not only the currently using channels and but also other candidates channel to switch in accordance with sudden appearance of the primary user. In this paper, we propose an effective group cooperative sensing algorithm in distributed network situations that is considering both of inband and outband sensing using evolutionary game theory. We derived that the strategy group of secondary users converges to an ESS(Evolutionary sable state). Using a learning algorithm, each secondary user can converge to the ESS without the exchange of information to each other.

Probability-based IoT management model using blockchain to expand multilayered networks (블록체인을 이용하여 다층 네트워크를 확장한 확률 기반의 IoT 관리 모델)

  • Jeong, Yoon-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2020
  • Interest in 5G communication security has been growing recently amid growing expectations for 5G technology with faster speed and stability than LTE. However, 5G has so far included disparate areas, so it has not yet fully supported the issues of security. This paper proposes a blockchain-based IoT management model in order to efficiently provide the authentication of users using IoT in 5G In order to efficiently fuse the authentication of IoT users with probabilistic theory and physical structure, the proposed model uses two random keys in reverse direction at different layers so that two-way authentication is achieved by the managers of layers and layers. The proposed model applied blockchain between grouped IoT devices by assigning weights to layer information of IoT information after certification of IoT users in 5G environment is stratified on a probabilistic basis. In particular, the proposed model has better functions than the existing blockchain because it divides the IoT network into layered, multi-layered networks.

Propeller racing of ocean-going ships with multiple screw propellers (다축선의 프로펠러 레이싱 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.222-231
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    • 2007
  • This paper represents a basic statistical examination on the navigability of ocean-going ship from the point of estimating the time lasting period when propeller racing occurred by using the basic probability theory and the statistics. The propeller racing is one of the most important seakeeping qualities in relation to the safety of the main engine and shafting system. The trend of the racing has been mainly investigated in order to estimate allowable maximum propeller diameter, operation of ocean-going ships, etc.. In those studies, the propeller racing generally and mainly means the situation (propeller exposed) in which the relative motion amplitude between ship hull and wave surface would exceed a depth of point in rotary disk propeller. Therefore, it seems that the magnitude of the amplitude and its exceeding frequency of propeller racing have been examined as a principal subject of study as usual. However, the time during which the amplitude exceeds the depth of point, that is, the propeller exposes in the air, must be also one of most important factor affecting the trend of propeller racing. Then, this paper proposes a new practical method for estimating the time lasting of exposed propeller related to propeller racing in rough-confused seas on the basis of the linear strip theory and the statistics. And, numerical examples of estimating the propeller racing probability are given for four wide ship forms. Finally the usefulness of the proposed method for predicting propeller racing based on the time lasting period is discussed.