• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability of employment

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The wage determinants of college graduates using Heckman's sample selection model (Heckman의 표본선택모형을 이용한 대졸자의 임금결정요인 분석)

  • Cho, Jangsik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1099-1107
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we analyzed the determinants of wages of college graduates by using the data of "2014 Graduates Occupational Mobility Survey" conducted by Korea Employment Information Service. In general, wages contain two complex pieces of information about whether an individual is employed and the size of the wage. However, in many previous researches on wage determinants, sample selection bias tends to be generated by performing linear regression analysis using only information on wage size. We used the Heckman sample selection models for analysis to overcome this problem. The main results are summarized as follows. First, the validity of the Heckman's sample selection model is statistically significant. Male is significantly higher in both job probability and wage than female. As age increases and parents' income increases, both the probability of employment and the size of wages are higher. Finally, as the university satisfaction increases and the number of certifications acquired increased, both the probability of employment and the wage tends to increase.

Discontinuity of Representativeness Heuristic

  • 이호창
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 1999
  • The individual behavior on considering prior information when one assesses the probability of uncertain event by representativeness heuristic has been investigated. While prior researches proposed two contrasting behaviors on the employment, we tested the mixed hypothesis that individual ignores the prior information to some extents and begins to consider it above certain threshold when the evidence of representativeness is not salient. The threshold effect of prior probability is positively experimented and the results strongly support the discontinuity hypothesis of representativeness heuristic.

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The Effect of Job Training in Korea on Employment and Wage (직업훈련의 취업 및 임금효과)

  • Kang, Soon-Hie;Nho, Heung-Sung
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.127-151
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    • 2000
  • The empirical study that used the logit model and the Heckman's selection bias model based upon 'Korea Labor & Income Panel Study' shows that the experience of job training has a positive effect on the probability of employment, as well as on the wage increase. The analysis also sheds light on the effect on employment with wage workers who experienced job training. When the discouraged unemployed are not classified as labor force participants, that is the unemployed, and the industrial dummy variables are excluded, logit estimation shows that training program in the public sector, not in the private sector, significantly increases their employment probability. However when these same workers are classified as the unemployed and the industrial dummies are included, logit estimation shows that public and private training programs has no effect on their employability.

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The Effect of On-the-Job Training on Employment Status and Employee Retention (재직자 직업훈련이 취업 및 이직에 미치는 영향)

  • Yang, Yonghyun;Choi, Koangsung;Choe, Chung
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.75-98
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the impact of on-the-job training (OJT) programs on turnover rates and employment status in the labor market. Exploiting the administrative data (the Employment Insurance Database), we apply the propensity score matching method to investigate 1) whether OJT participation increases the probability of remaining in the labor market after the job training, and 2) whether trainees are more likely to transition to a new employer. Our findings reveal positive effects of OJT on the continuous employment (2.4~5.3%p). We also observe that trainees show lower rates of turnover for some part of the study period, from 2008 to 2015.

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Determinants for the Employment of the Disabled: Focusing on Differences by Age Group (장애인 고용의 결정변인: 연령집단별 차이를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hyo-Sung;Ko, Greene
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.144-155
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to overcome the limitations of prior studies that have failed to take into account the impact of psycho-social factors on the employment of people with disabilities as well as the differences in employment by life stage. This study employs a research model that includes psycho-social factors along with human capital to examine how the determinants of employment differ for the disabled by life stage. The analysis in this study takes the form of logistic regression, using data from the fifth wave of the Korea Welfare Panel Survey. Analysis results show that the employment probability of young people with disabilities is significantly associated with their experience of discrimination, with their chance of employment decreasing when they have more experience of discrimination. Middle-aged people with disabilities are more likely to be employed when they have a lower level of education, a better health condition and a higher level of labor ability. For the disabled elderly, their labor ability is the only factor affecting their possibility of employment; they have a higher chance of getting a job when they have a higher level of labor ability.

Types of Support Services needed for hiring the Elderly and the Determinants of Elderly Employment Plan (노인 채용 관련 필요한 지원서비스 유형과 채용계획 결정요인)

  • Jeong, Kyu-Hyoung;Shin, Ji-Min;Park, Eun-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.287-294
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to type the necessary support services related to the employment of the elderly and to identify in-depth the relationship between the type of support services related to the employment of the elderly and factors that determine employment plans. Data provided by 182 small and medium-sized owners in Seoul A area were analyzed using latent profile analysis and logistic regression. As a result of the analysis, first, it was confirmed that the number of workers and the employment of the elderly were the factors that increased the probability of the elderly employment plans. Second, it was found that the "high-level group of necessary support services" is more likely to have plans to hire the elderly compared to other groups. Based on the results of the study, we would like to provide basic data regarding the direction of government support needed by private businesses to hire the elderly.

Is the Risk Unloaded on Dispatch and Service Supplier?: Influence of Indirect Employment on Safety, Health and Satisfaction (위험은 파견, 용역 직원에게 외주화 되는가?: 간접 고용이 안전, 건강, 만족에 미치는 효과)

  • Moon, Kwangsu;Ahn, Ji Yeon;Jang, Tong Il;Oah, Shezeen
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of employment type(direct employment, dispatch and service supplier) on risk factor exposure, health and satisfaction. The data of the 4th wave of Korean Working Conditions Survey (KWCS) conducted by Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency (KOSHA) in South Korea was used. Business support service industry and manufacturing industry were selected as appropriate industries for analysis. In the final analysis, 5,865 in the manufacturing industry and 1,361 in the service support industry were included. Various variables related risk, safety, satisfaction and health such as risk factor exposure, MSDs exposure, work environment satisfaction, injury probability, dangerous work, workload, physical health problem, perceived health, positive emotions, stress, participation for decision making and experience of accident/disease were analyzed and company size and age was controled. An ANCOVA was conducted to identify significant mean differences of risk, safety, satisfaction and health related variables among direct employed workers, dispatch and service supplier workers. The results showed that all the variables except stress showed a significant difference depending on employment type in the service supply industry. In the manufacturing industry, there were significant difference in the risk factor exposure, MSDs exposure, work environment satisfaction, workload, physical health problem, perceived health, and participation depending on employment type. These results indicated that the risks are unloaded to subcontract and outsourcing company workers. Based on these results, the implications of this study and suggestions for future research were discussed.

An Empirical Study on the Duration of Self-employment (자영업 지속기간의 결정요인)

  • Ahn, Joyup;Sung, Jaimie
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2003
  • The recent experience about self-employment shows three main trends: first, its share out of the total workers has steadily increased, recording 37.6% in 2001, implying its prevalence and importance; second, its share out of male workers has caught up female workers', implying its importance to males as well as females; and finally, during the recent Economic Crisis when there was mass layoff and large scale bankruptcy, its share rapidly increased, reflecting its role of a buffer to economic fluctuation. However, there have been few studies on self-employment, mainly focusing on what makes someone choose it as an alternative to being employed. This study analyzes the determinants of the duration to terminate self-employment, by applying the proportional hazard model to the Korea Labor and Income Panel Survey(KLIPS) by the Korea Labor Institute. The KLIPS started the first wave in 1998 with the 5,000 household sample (and about 12,000 individual sample of household members aged 15 and more). In this study, the first four waves are used for analysis. The average duration of 5,357 spells of self-employment is 130 months. It shows slight difference between males(124 months) and females(138 months) while it widely ranges over industries (296 months for agriculture industry while 50 months for restaurant and hotel industry). Estimates of the proportional hazard model of the self-employment duration show that females are more likely to terminate self-employment while it is not statistically significant. The effect of age at starting self-employment on the hazard shows the inverse V-shape, which implies that, until a certain age(47 years), the hazard become higher as aging while, since then, it become lower as aging. The level of education has a positive effect on the hazard, implying that more education is related to the higher probability to be employed. The measures of economic performances, annual sales and earnings, are positively related to continuing self-employment while hardship at the start of self-employment measured by several ways has a negative effect. Training before opening business has a positive effect on keeping on self-employment and its effects are different over its providers, significantly positive for public providers while insignificant for private providers. More and further research on self-employment is urgent in the rapidly ageing society. To help workers to be self-employed, more public assistance is necessary for education, training, financing, marketing, management, and human resource management in order to make the olders consider self-employment as a good alternative rather than an inevitable one.

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An Analysis of the Factors of Youth Unemployment and Nonparticipation in Korea (청년층 미취업의 실태 및 원인 분석)

  • Kim, Ahnkook
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.23-52
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    • 2003
  • This study focus on unemployment and nonparticipation of youth. By dividing youth nonparticipants into 'house work and child care', 'studying and training', 'the others' categories, we estimate the potential wages with selectivity bias model and analyse the factors of choosing unemployment or nonparticipation with multinomial logit model. The differences between the potential market wage and the desired wage of the groups of 'studying and training', 'the others' in the nonparticipants are greater than those of the unemployment group. In the case of the man and lower age, and low schooling the differences of potential and desire wage are larger than woman and higher age, and high schooling. In the choice of unemployment and nonparticipation, man and higher age, and householder, and holder of qualification are not likely to opt nonparticipation. The experience of job lower the rate of probability to choose employment, but raise the rate of probability to choose unemployment and nonparticipation. These results mean that the quality of youth employment is very inferior.

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The Effect of the Extended Benefit Duration on the Aggregate Labor Market (실업급여 지급기간 변화의 효과 분석)

  • Moon, Weh-Sol
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.131-169
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    • 2010
  • I develop a matching model in which risk-averse workers face borrowing constraints and make a labor force participation decision as well as a job search decision. A sharp distinction between unemployment and out of the labor force is made: those who look for work for a certain period but find no job are classified as the unemployed and those who do not look for work are classified as those out of the labor force. In the model, the job search decision consists of two steps. First, each individual who is not working obtains information about employment opportunities. Second, each individual who decides to search has to take costly actions to find a job. Since individuals differ with respect to asset holdings, they have different reservation job-finding probabilities at which an individual is indifferent between searching and not searching. Individuals, who have large asset holdings and thereby are less likely to participate in the labor market, have high reservation job-finding probability, and they are less likely to search if they have less quality of information. In other words, if individuals with large asset holdings search for job, they must have very high quality of information and face very high actual job-finding probability. On the other hand, individuals with small asset holdings have low reservation job-finding probability and they are likely to search for less quality of information. They face very low actual job-finding probability and seem to remain unemployed for a long time. Therefore, differences in the quality of information explain heterogeneous job search decisions among individuals as well as higher job finding probability for those who reenter the labor market than for those who remain in the labor force. The effect of the extended maximum duration of unemployment insurance benefits on the aggregate labor market and the labor market flows is investigated. The benchmark benefit duration is set to three months. As maximum benefit duration is extended up to six months, the employment-population ratio decreases while the unemployment rate increases because individuals who are eligible for benefits have strong incentives to remain unemployed and decide to search even if they obtain less quality of information, which leads to low job-finding probability and then high unemployment rate. Then, the vacancy-unemployment ratio decreases and, in turn, the job-finding probability for both the unemployed and those out of the labor force decrease. Finally, the outflow from nonparticipation decreases with benefit duration because the equilibrium job-finding probability decreases. As the job-finding probability decreases, those who are out of the labor force are less likely to search for the same quality of information. I also consider the matching model with two states of employment and unemployment. Compared to the results of the two-state model, the simulated effects of changes in benefit duration on the aggregate labor market and the labor market flows are quite large and significant.

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