• 한국수학사학회지
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• 제31권5호
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• pp.251-269
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• 2018

Empirical probability and classical probability, which are two interpretations of Kolmogorov's axiom, are two ways to recognize the chances of events occurring in the real world. In this paper, I analyzed and suggested the contents of the high school textbooks ${\ll}$Probability and Statistics${\gg}$, associated with two interpretations of probability and experiments on which two interpretations are based. By presenting the cases required expressly stating what the experiment is for supporting students' understanding of some concepts, it was discussed that stating or not stating what the experiment is should be carefully determined by the educational intent. Especially, I suggested that in the textbooks we contrast the good idea of calculating the ratios of two possibilities in the imaginary world of the classical probability with the normal idea of grasping the chances of events through the frequencies in the real world of the empirical probability, with distinguishing the experiments in two interpretations of probability. I also suggested that in the textbooks we make it clear that the Weak Law of Large Numbers justifies our expectations of the frequencies' reflecting the chances of events occurring in the real world under ideal conditions. Teaching and learning about the aesthetic elements and the practicality of imaginary mathematical thinking supported by these textbooks statements could be one form of Humanities education in mathematics as STEAM education.

• 한국학교수학회논문집
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.49-60
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• 2001

This paper is dedicated to the enhancement of the second-grade students of middle school students' understanding of the basic principles and concepts of probability with the help of Web-browser-used WBI programs relating to probability and statistics in teaching them the unit of probability. I have come up with the following research problems with a view to applying and analyzing the findings. (1) A web sites in relation to the learning of probability and statistics is to be developed with the second graders of middle school in mind. (2) Is there any difference between the experiment group exposed to web-sites-aided classes and the control group going through the conventional ways of math classes when the sites is made trial use of \ulcorner (3) What response do the learners show in regard to classes which makes use of the web sites when the sites is applied\ulcorner After making an experiment with the aid of the web sites and teaching plans, I made a measurement and an analysis of the academic achievement of the subjects, their understanding of classes based on the web sites, the concentration of the learners, and their responses relating to the contents of web sites concentrating on probability and statistics. I have come to the following conclusions based on the findings. First there was a significant difference between the classes of honor students and the classes of backward pupils when T-Test was made with regard to the achievement of the subjects who divided into the experiment group and the control group. The former made use of the web sites whereas the latter stuck to the conventional way of teaching math. The former scored higher than the latter. Second, the research based on questionnaire findings shows that the web-site-aided experiment classes proved to be more effective than the traditional control classes. All in all, I think that web-aided classes will have a more positive influence on the students' interest in math and on the scholastic achievement of math than conventional classes.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제4권
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• pp.121-130
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• 1993

불균형 일원 변량모형에서 AOV추정량과 사전값이 0, 1, ${\infty}$인 MINQUE에 국한하여 정규분포를 가정할 때 분산성분의 추정량이 음이 될 이론적 확률을 구하고, 비정규분포에 대해서는 모의실험을 통해 추정량이 음이 될 확률을 구하였다. 이 때 정차분포에서의 이론적 확률과 모의실험에 의해 계산된 확률간에 유의한 차이가 없고 표본수, 수준수 그리고 ${\rho}$가 커지면 각 추정량은 음이 될 확률이 작아지며, 고려된 추정량 중에서 AOV추정량이 대부분의 경우에 음이 될 확률이 가장 작게 나타났다.

• 한국학교수학회논문집
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.43-53
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• 1999

Two (second-grade) classes of Yu-song middle school were chosen to research the effect of the visualization in the learning of probability calculation at a middle school. One class, as an experiment class, was taught the probability calculation of probability unit by the visualization learning and the other, as a controlled class, was taught it by the traditional lecture, and then through the writing tests there was a verification on the effect of right after test and the delaying test after 3 weeks to examine the learning effect of high- and low-level groups. It was difficult for the students to visualize the problems of the probability calculation, but I suggested simple models to the students and helped them to learn meaningfully. As a result of this study, there showed statistically significant difference in high-level group in the right after test.(P< .05) In the delaying test after 3 weeks, there also showed statistically significant marks only in high-level group.(P< .05) The visualization in the learning of probability calculation took more affirmative effect in the experiment class than the comparative class only in high-level group. The students in low-level group has difficulties in the visualization activities, but all the students in high-and low-level group thought the visualization was a great help to them in learning probability calculation.

• 논리연구
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.115-131
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• 2002

The problem of disjunctive causal factors is generalized as follows. Suppose that there are no factors of the kind considered so far that need to be held fixed in background contexts. Nevertheless, it is still possible that within the background contexts, each disjunct of a disjunctive causal factor X v W confers a different probability on an effect factor in Question. So a problem arises of how we identify a single causally significant probability of the effect factor in the presence of the disjunctive causal factor, assuming that each disjunct of the disjunctive causal factor confers a different probability on the effect factor. In this paper, I first introduce an experiment in which disjunctive causal factors seem to pose a problem for the theory of probabilistic causation. Second, I show how Eells' solution to the problem of disjunctive causal factors meets the problem that arises in the experiment. Third, I examine Hitchcock's arguments against Eells' solution, arguing that Hitchcock misconstrues Eells' solution, and disregards the feature of the theory of probabilistic causation such that a factor is a causal factor for another factor relative to a population P of a population type Q.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.577-585
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• 2008

This paper suggests a marginal probability model for analyzing repeated polytomous response data when some factors are nested in others in treatment structures on a larger experimental unit. As a repeated measures factor, time is considered on a smaller experimental unit. So, two different experiment sizes are considered. Each size of experimental unit has its own design structure and treatment structure, and the marginal probability model can be constructed from the structures for each size of experimental unit. Weighted least squares(WLS) methods are used for estimating fixed effects in the suggested model.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.49-55
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• 2004

This study presents an analysis of comparison of P-type fire detection system with fuzzy logic-applied fire detection system. The fuzzy logic-applied fire detection system has input variables obtained by fire experiment of small scale with K-type temperature sensor and optical smoke sensor. And the antecedent part of fuzzy rules consists of temperature and smoke density, and the consequent part consists of fire probability. Also triangular fuzzy membership function is used for input variables and fuzzy rules. To calculate the final fire probability a centroid method is introduced. A fire experiment is conducted with controlling wood crib layer, cigarette to simulate actual fire and false alarm situation. The results show that peak fire probability is 25[%] for non-fire and is more than 80[%] for fire situation, respectively. The fuzzy logic-applied fire detection system suggested here is able to distinguish fire situation and non-fire situation very precisely.

• 대한전자공학회논문지
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• 제25권12호
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• pp.1541-1547
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• 1988

In this paper, a new model for isolated word recognition called segment probability model is proposed. The proposed model is composed of two procedures of segmentation and modelling each segment. Therefore the spoken word is devided into arbitrary segments and observation probability in each segments is obtained using vector quantization. The proposed model is compared with pattern matching method and hidden Markov model by recognition experiment. The experimental results show that the proposed model is better than exsisting methods in terms of recognition rate and caculation amounts.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.1806-1814
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• 2015

유통업체에서 PB(Private Brand)의 선택확률을 높이기 위하여 기존 PB보다 열등한 다른 PB를 사용하는 전략은 비용적인 측면에서 어려운 문제가 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 이를 해결하고자 2개의 현실적인 실험방법을 통해 PB의 유인 및 타협효과를 검증하고자 한다. 검증결과를 살펴보면 제조업체 브랜드(NB; National Brand)와 PB에 새로운 브랜드인 무상표(GB :Generic Brand)를 추가한 경우 유인 및 타협 효과가 발생하여 PB의 선택확률이 높아짐을 발견하였다. 구체적으로 실험 1에서는 NB와 PB의 특성상 경쟁대안과 표적대안의 선호도와 선택확률의 차이가 많은 경우에도 유인브랜드 진입 시 표적대안인 PB의 선택확률 변화를 확인하였다. 실험2에서는 경쟁사 PB를 열등한 대안에 위치시킬 때도 유인효과가 발생하여 자사 PB의 선택확률이 증가한다는 것을 확인하였다. 이러한 연구결과에 대한 전략적 시사점과 연구의 한계 및 향후 방향을 제시하였다.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2008년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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• pp.228-229
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• 2008

This paper presents stochastic methodology based fault diction and diagnosis algorithm for induction motor systems. First, we construct probability distribution model from healthy motors and then probability distribution for faulty motors is recursively calculated by means of the proposed probability estimation. We measure motor current with hall sensors as system state. The estimated probability is compared to the model to generate a residue signal which is utilized for fault detection and diagnosis, that is, where a fault is occurred. We carry out real-time induction motor experiment to evaluate efficiency and reliability of the proposed approach.