• 제목/요약/키워드: probability calculation

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Evaluation and Comparison of the Solubility Models for Solute in Monosolvents

  • Min-jie Zhi;Wan-feng Chen;Yang-bo Xi
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제62권1호
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    • pp.53-69
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    • 2024
  • The solubility of Cloxacillin sodium in ethanol, 1-propanol, isopropanol, and acetone solutions was measured at different temperatures. The melting property was also tested by using a differential scanning calorimeter (DSC). Then, the solubility data were fitted using Apelblat equation and λh equation, respectively. The Wilson model and NRTL model were not utilized to correlate the test data, since Cloxacillin sodium will decompose directly after melting. For comparison purposes, the four empirical models, i.e., Apelblat equation, λh equation, Wilson model and NRTL Model, were evaluated by using 1155 solubility curves of 103 solutes tested under different monosolvents and temperatures. The comparison results indicate that the Apelblat equation is superior to the others. Furthermore, a new method (named the calculation method) for determining the Apelblat equation using only three data points was proposed to solve the problem that there may not be enough solute in the determination of solubility. The log-logistic distribution function was used to further capture the trend of the correlation and to make better quantitative comparison between predicted data and the experimental ones for the Apelblat equation determined by different methods (fitting method or calculation method). It is found that the proposed calculation method not only greatly reduces the number of test data points, but also has satisfactory prediction accuracy.

모호수 연산을 적용한 네트워크 신뢰도 (Reliability Approach to Network Reliability Using Arithmetic of Fuzzy Numbers)

  • 김국
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.103-107
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    • 2014
  • An algorithm to get network reliability, where each link has probability of fuzzy number, is proposed. Decomposition method and fuzzy numbers arithmetic are applied to the algorithm. Pivot link is chosen one by one from start node recursively at time of decomposition, and arithmetic of fuzzy complementary numbers is included at the same time. No criteria of pivot link selection and the recursive calculation make the algorithm simple.

ON THE STOCHASTIC OPTIMIZATION PROBLEMS OF PLASTIC METAL WORKING PROCESSES UNDER STOCHASTIC INITIAL CONDITIONS

  • Gitman, Michael B.;Trusov, Peter V.;Redoseev, Sergei A.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 1999
  • The article is devoted to mathematical modeling of prob-lems of stochastic optimization of the plastic metal working. Classifi-cation and mathematical statements of such problems are proposed. Several calculation techniques of the single goal function are pre-sented. The probability theory and the Fuzzy numbers were applied for solution of the problems of stochastic optimization.

RAIM 알고리즘의 허용오차 경계 비교 (A Comparison of HPL of RAIM Algorithm)

  • 이중원;지규인
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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    • pp.52-52
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    • 2000
  • The HPL(Horizontal Protection Limit) means bound of radial horizontal error with given probability in satellite navigation system. RAIM algorithm is not available if HPL exceeds HAL (Horizontal Alert Limit). So exact calculation of HPL is very significant in RAIM algorithm. In this paper the methods that calculate HPL their own way a]:e studied and compared by simulation. And availability of RAIM algorithm is evaluated also.

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Reliability Calculation of Power Generation Systems Using Generalized Expansion

  • Kim, Jin-O
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and information Science
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    • 제2권6호
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a generalized expansion method for calculating reliability index in power generation systems. This generalized expansion with a gamma distribution is a very useful tool for the approximation of capacity outage probability distribution of generation system. The well-known Gram-Charlier expansion and Legendre series are also studied in this paper to be compared with this generalized expansion using a sample system IEEE-RTS(Reliability Test System). The results show that the generalized expansion with a composite of gamma distributions is more accurate and stable than Gram-Charlier expansion and Legendre series as addition of the terms to be expanded.

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전기철도 고압배전시스템의 공급신뢰도 향상 방안 연구 (Improvement Method of Supplying Reliability on the Electric Railway Power Distribution System)

  • 김영선;창상훈;김왕곤
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.682-687
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    • 2005
  • High quality power supplying of power distribution system in electric railway system is the important function. Power feeding system is complicated witch is compose with distribution line, circuit break, protection facilities and so on. Among this components, role of substation is most important for elevation of reliability in electric power system. Therefore, the enhanced reliability considering the preventive inspection, repair work, replacement is necessary. In this study, a proposed the enhanced reliability method through a calculation of fault probability in power feeding system.

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An Application of Realistic Evaluation Methodology for Large Break LOCA of Westinghouse 3 Loop Plant

  • Choi, Han-Rim;Hwang, Tae-Suk;Chung, Bub-Dong;Jun, Hwang-Yong;Lee, Chang-Sub
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국원자력학회 1996년도 춘계학술발표회논문집(2)
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    • pp.513-518
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    • 1996
  • This report presents a demonstration of application of realistic evaluation methodology to a posturated cold leg large break LOCA in a Westinghouse three-loop pressurized water reactor with 17$\times$17 fuel. The new method of this analysis can be divided into three distinct step: 1) Best Estimate Code Validation and Uncertainty Quantification 2) Realistic LOCA Calculation 3) Limiting Value LOCA Calculation and Uncertainty Combination RELAP5/MOD3/K [1], which was improved from RELAP5/MOD3.1, and CONTEMPT4/MOD5 code were used as a best estimate thermal-hydraulic model for realistic LOCA calculation. The code uncertainties which will be determined in step 1) were quantified already in previous study [2], and thus the step 2) and 3) for plant application were presented in this paper. The application uncertainty parameters are divided into two categories, i.e. plant system parameters and fuel statistical parameters. Single parameter sensitivity calculations were performed to select system parameters which would be set at their limiting value in Limiting Value Approach (LVA) calculation. Single run of LVA calculation generated 27 PCT data according to the various combinations of fuel parameters and these data provided input to response surface generation. The probability distribution function was generated from Monte Carlo sampling of a response surface and the upper 95$^{th}$ percentile PCT was determined. Break spectrum analysis was also made to determine the critical break size. The results show that sufficient LOCA margin can be obtained for the demonstration NPP.

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셀룰러 이동통신망의 적응성 가변경계에서 Overflow와 Preemption을 갖는 호 접속제어 방안 연구 (A Study on the Call Admission Control with Overflow and Preemption at Adaptive Moving Boundary in Cellular Mobile Communications)

  • 노희정
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 2004
  • 멀티미디어를 응용한 서비스 제공이 확대되고 있는 셀룰러 이동통신망에서는 핸드오프호의 절단을(CDP)과 신규 호의 차단을(CBP)을 호레델 QoS 파라미터로 사용하고 있다. 망 서비스 사업자는 CBP보다 CDP에 관심을 두고 CDP를 개선하기 위한 방법으로 핸드오프호에 우선순위를 두어 채널을 할당하는 방법을 사용한다. 그러나 핸드오프호를 위한 채널의 크기에 따라 CDP는 감소시키지만CBP를 증가시키고 채널사용의 효율을 저하시킨다. 본 논문에서는 셀의 채널용량을 신규호 채널영역과 핸드오프호 채널영역으로 구분하고 각 영역을 토큰버킷으로 모델하여 큐잉이론을 적용함으로써 간략한 식으로 CDP 및 CBP를 구하고 이들로 구성된 서비스 등급을 정의하여 서비스 등급이 최소가 되는 핸드오프호 채널영역의 크기를 계산하여 측정기반 적응성 가변경계로 사용하는 기존 연구의 문제점인 트래픽 부하가 높을 경우 증가하는 CDP의 증가를 보완하는 호접속제어를 제안한다. 적응성 가변경계에서 CBP를 고려함으로써 발생된 CDP의 증가는 핸드오프호의 Overflow를 허용함으로써 보완하고 Overflow된 신규호 채널영역의 채널에 대해 신규호의 Preemption을 허용함으로써 CBP에 대한 Overflow의 영향을 제거하여 CDP의 증가를 억제하고 채널사용의 효율을 증가시킨다. 본 연구는 미디어별 QoS에 따라 채널을 할당하여 멀티미디어 서비스를 제공하는 셀룰러 이동통신망에 미디어별 QoS를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Spectral Fatigue Analysis for Topside Structure of Offshore Floating Vessel

  • Kim, Dae-Ho;Ahn, Jae-Woo;Park, Sung-Gun;Jun, Seock-Hee;Oh, Yeong-Tae
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • 제1권4호
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    • pp.239-251
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    • 2015
  • In this study, a spectral fatigue analysis was performed for the topside structure of an offshore floating vessel. The topside structure was idealized using beam elements in the SACS program. The fatigue analysis was carried out considering the wave and wind loads separately. For the wave-induced fatigue damage calculation, motion RAOs calculated from a direct wave load analysis and regular waves with different periods and unit wave heights were utilized. Then, the member end force transfer functions were generated covering all the loading conditions. Stress response transfer functions at each joint were produced using the specified SCFs and member end force transfer functions. fatigue damages were calculated using the obtained stress ranges, S-N curve, wave spectrum, heading probability of each loading condition, and their corresponding occurrences in the wave scatter diagrams. For the wind induced fatigue damage calculation, a dynamic wind spectral fatigue analysis was performed. First, a dynamic natural frequency analysis was performed to generate the structural dynamic characteristics, including the eigenvalues (natural frequencies), eigenvectors (mode shapes), and mass matrix. To adequately represent the dynamic characteristic of the structure, the number of modes was appropriately determined in the lateral direction. Second, a wind spectral fatigue analysis was performed using the mode shapes and mass data obtained from the previous results. In this analysis, the Weibull distribution of the wind speed occurrence, occurrence probability in each direction, damping coefficient, S-N curves, and SCF of each joint were defined and used. In particular, the wind fatigue damages were calculated under the assumption that the stress ranges followed a Rayleigh distribution. The total fatigue damages were calculated from the combination with wind and wave fatigue damages according to the DNV rule.

핵연료 파손 예측을 위한 경험적 자료와 결정론적 모델의 접합 방법 (A Study on the Method of Combining Empirical Data and Deterministic Model for Fuel Failure Prediction)

  • Cho, Byeong-Ho;Yoon, Young-Ku;Chang, Soon-Heung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 1987
  • 본 연구는 제한된 수의 핵연료의 경험적 파손자료로부터 핵연료 파손 확률을 현실적으로 예측하기 위해 결정론적 모델로부터의 파손화률 예측치와 실제 경험적 자료로부터의 파손 확률 예측치를 접합하는 방법을 시도하였다. 이 접합 방법에 의한 파손 화률 예측치는 결정론적 모델 또는 경험적 파손 자료로부터의 독립적인 예측치보다 신뢰도가 높다. 본 연구에서는 핵연료 성능 예측코드인 SPEAR의 방법론을 응용한 핵연료 파손 패턴의 체계적 발견법 (hierarchical pattern discovery)이 접합 모델에서의 결정론적 모델로부터의 예측치에 대한 가중치와 패턴 경계를 체계적으로 찾기 위해 고안되었다. 이 연구에서 개발된 접합 방법을 PROFIT모델과 경험적 파손자료를 이용하여 CANDU형 핵연료 재장전중 출력 상승에 의해 수반되는 핵연료파손 예측에 적응시켜 보았다.

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