• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제23권9호
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• pp.37-46
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• 2023

The main aim of the article is to solve the problem of automating price monitoring using marketing forecasting methods and Excel functionality under martial law. The study used the method of algorithms, trend analysis, correlation and regression analysis, ANOVA, extrapolation, index method, etc. The importance of monitoring consumer price developments in market pricing at the macro and micro levels is proved. The introduction of a Dummy variable to account for the influence of martial law in market pricing is proposed, both in linear multiple regression modelling and in forecasting the components of the Consumer Price Index. Experimentally, the high reliability of forecasting based on a five-factor linear regression model with a Dummy variable was proved in comparison with a linear trend equation and a four-factor linear regression model. Pessimistic, realistic and optimistic scenarios were developed for forecasting the Consumer Price Index for the situation of the end of the Russian-Ukrainian war until the end of 2023 and separately until the end of 2024.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제12권12호
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• pp.733-741
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• 2012

최근 많은 소비자들이 관심 있는 물품 카테고리에 대한 정보를 얻기 위한 목적으로 종합 쇼핑몰이나 가격 비교 사이트를 방문하고 있다. 하지만, 이러한 웹 사이트들은 종종 이들에게 많은 상품들과 판매자가 포함된 지나치게 방대한 정보를 제공하여 소비자들의 구매 결정을 효과적으로 지원하지 못한다. 따라서 현대 온라인 쇼핑 에이전트들은 검색된 정보를 사용자들에게 제공하기 전에 보다 지능적인 방법으로 이를 가공할 필요가 있다. 본 논문은 특정 물품 카테고리 내에서 많은 상품들이 분포하고 있는 주요 가격대를 식별하는 방법을 제안하고자 한다. 이를 위해 한 개 카테고리 내 상품의 가격들을 벡터로 표현하고, 여기에 k-means 군집 분석을 적용하여 서로 비슷한 가격 벡터들을 포함하는 군집을 형성한 다음, 각 군집에서 주요 가격대를 추출하는 방법을 적용하였다. 일반적으로 가격은 소비자들의 구매 결정에서 가장 중요한 요인 중 하나이기 때문에, 추출된 주요 가격대들은 온라인 쇼핑 이용자들이 효과적으로 상품을 검색하는데 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제11권10호
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• pp.73-79
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• 2013

Purpose - This study examines the impact of oil price volatility on economic activities in Korea. The new millennium has seen a deregulation in the crude oil market, which invited immense capital inflow into Korea. It has also raised oil price levels and volatility. Drawing on the recent theoretical literature that emphasizes the role of volatility, this paper attends to the asymmetric changes in economic growth in response to the oil price movement. This study further examines several key macroeconomic variables, such as interest rate, production, and inflation. We come to the conclusion that oil price volatility can, in some part, explain the structural changes. Research design, data, and methodology - We use two methodological frameworks in this study. First, in regards to the oil price uncertainty, we use an Exponential-GARCH (Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity: EGARCH) model estimate to elucidate the asymmetric effect of oil price shock on the conditional oil price volatility. Second, along with the estimation of the conditional volatility by the EGARCH model, we use the estimates in a VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). The study thus examines the dynamic impacts of oil price volatility on industrial production, price levels, and monetary policy responses. We also approximate the monetary policy function by the yield of monetary stabilization bond. The data collected for the study ranges from 1990: M1 to 2013: M7. In the VECM analysis section, the time span is split into two sub-periods; one from 1990 to 1999, and another from 2000 to 2013, due to the U.S. CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) deregulation on the crude oil futures that became effective in 2000. This paper intends to probe the relationship between oil price uncertainty and macroeconomic variables since the structural change in the oil market became effective. Results and Conclusions - The dynamic impulse response functions obtained from the VECM show a prolonged dampening effect of oil price volatility shock on the industrial production across all sub-periods. We also find that inflation measured by CPI rises by one standard deviation shock in response to oil price uncertainty, and lasts for the ensuing period. In addition, the impulse response functions allude that South Korea practices an expansionary monetary policy in response to oil price shocks, which stems from oil price uncertainty. Moreover, a comparison of the results of the dynamic impulse response functions from the two sub-periods suggests that the dynamic relationships have strengthened since 2000. Specifically, the results are most drastic in terms of industrial production; the impact of oil price volatility shocks has more than doubled from the year 2000 onwards. These results again indicate that the relationships between crude oil price uncertainty and Korean macroeconomic activities have been strengthened since the year2000, which resulted in a structural change in the crude oil market due to the deregulation of the crude oil futures.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제21권7호
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• pp.211-220
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• 2021

The aim of the study is to implement a factor analysis of the determinants of pricing in a state-regulated competitive market using economic and mathematical modelling methods and to develop ways to improve the pricing environment of the market under study. The purpose of the work defines the main objectives: (i) to investigate the features of the competitive model of the Ukrainian flour market; (ii) to analyse the current price conjuncture of the flour market and the dynamics of the main determinants of pricing; (iii)to develop ways of improving the price situation on the flour market on the basis of the factor analysis on the results of economic and mathematical modelling. In order to ensure the reliability and validity of the research results, the following methods were applied: the logical-dialectical method of scientific knowledge in the study of the main theoretical aspects of flour market functioning, the method of logical generalisation and synthesis, comparison, factor analysis, correlation and regression analysis, the graphical method, etc. It has been shown that pricing in a state-regulated competitive market has its own characteristics. For example, in the flour market the price of goods cannot be influenced by producers (sellers) by any methods, therefore determinants of pricing by indirect influence have been taken into account. The five-factor power model of wheat flour price has been constructed. It was substantiated that the price of wheat flour in Ukraine is mostly influenced by consumer price index (0.92 %). The received complex model of wheat flour price may be used also for medium-term forecasting and working out the ways of price formation optimization in the flour market.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.18-30
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• 2023

We compared empirically the forecast accuracies of the LSTM model, and the ARIMA model. ARIMA model used auto.arima function. Data used in the model is 100 days. We compared with the forecast results for 50 days. We collected the stock closing prices of the top 4 companies by market capitalization in Korea such as "Samsung Electronics", and "LG Energy", "SK Hynix", "Samsung Bio". The collection period is from June 17, 2022, to January 20, 2023. The paired t-test is used to compare the accuracy of forecasts by the two methods because conditions are same. The null hypothesis that the accuracy of the two methods for the four stock closing prices were the same were rejected at the significance level of 5%. Graphs and boxplots confirmed the results of the hypothesis tests. The accuracies of ARIMA are higher than those of LSTM for four cases. For closing stock price of Samsung Electronics, the mean difference of error between ARIMA and LSTM is -370.11, which is 0.618% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of LG Energy, the mean difference is -4143.298 which is 0.809% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of SK Hynix, the mean difference is -830.7269 which is 1.00% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of Samsung Bio, the mean difference is -4143.298 which is 0.809% of the average of the closing stock price. The auto.arima function was used to find the ARIMA model, but other methods are worth considering in future studies. And more efforts are needed to find parameters that provide an optimal model in LSTM.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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• pp.29-32
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• 2000

We proposed a neural network based “left shoulder”detector. The auto-associative neural network was trained with the “left shoulder”patterns obtained from the Korea Composite Stock Price Index, and then tested out-of-sample with a reasonably good result. A hypothetical investment strategy based on the detector achieved a return of 132% in comparison with 39% return from a buy and hold strategy

• Journal of Community Nutrition
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.96-101
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• 2006

This study compares brand equity of the fast food industry between Korea and the Philippines. This comparison is conducted by measuring a price premium that the college students in both countries would pay for hamburgers. Three popular fast food chains in each country, Lotteria, McDonalds', and Burger King in Korea and Jollibee, McDonalds', and Burger King in the Philippines, were chosen for the study. Utilizing a brand-based comparative approach, the findings of the study indicated that Burger King showed the highest brand equity for the premium brand image in both countries, whereas both local brands had a lower brand equity compared to international brands. The results of the study provide useful information for international and local brand managers that wish to establish strategies for a brand image, as well as to manage brand equity effectively. (J Community Nutrition 8(2): 96-101, 2006)

• 경영과학
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.33-56
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• 2012

Domestic LCD TV market is composed of two groups of products produced by major firms and small and medium enterprises. The major companies make the price relatively high, but the other makes lower in the same sizes. The model of the low price products does not make consumers choice when they choose LCD TV. This makes the questions of capability between difference price products. The reason above mentioned, the firms that include group of comparatively lower price, are worried about not increasing sale because of prejudice. This study is to find any interrelationship and evaluate the efficiency between the products using performance, exterior and brand power of product. In order to do this, a hybrid AHP/DEA evaluation model for comparison/valuation of LCD TV products is developed. The proposed process is; first, to derive hierarchy structure of LCD TV evaluation criteria using axiomatic design, second, to calculate the score of each LCD TV product through AHP analysis including weight calculation of evaluation criteria, and last, to evaluate the efficiency of LCD TV product by applying DEA by defining product scores as output and prices as input. It concludes that the high price products shows good efficiency, but there are some products with good exterior and brand power, not performance, also presenting good efficiency.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.201-220
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• 2005

최근 들어, 우리는 유례 없는 국제 유가의 급등현상을 목격하고 있다. 이러한 시점에서, 의문점은 유가에 대한 예측 가능성과 이의 정확도에 관한 것이다. 본 연구에서는 전문가 예측시스템과 비교하여 선물가격의 상대적인 예측력에 관하여 통계적으로 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해, 미국 텍사스 중질유(WTI)의 현물가격과 선물가격을 활용하여, 예측 정확도에 관한 단순한 형태의 통계적 분석과 함께 분석수단별 예측오차 차이의 유의성에 관한 체계적 분석을 시도하였다. 통계적 검정결과에 따르면, WTI 선물시장을 활용한 예측은 미국 에너지정보기구(EIA)의 예측과 비교하여 뒤지지 않는 것으로 판명되었다. 결과적으로, 석유 생산자와 소비자 모두가 WTI 선물시장을 유가 예측의 유용한 수단으로 활용할 수 있고, 이로써 효율적인 자원배분 측면에서도 유익할 것으로 판단된다.

• 경영정보학연구
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.3-18
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• 2001

The Internet is taking up every single life of us with a huge speed of growth. If the ideal market called 'perfect competition' in economics will ever come true in this digital world, the sellers won't be able to have monopolistic profits above the marginal cost any more, letting the resource allocation much more efficient. This paper attempts to test whether this theory is true in e-market as well through observing price differences between online and offline retailers of extremely homogeneous products, CDs. Since most results from previous research were supporting the inefficiency of e-market in price level, price adjustment, and especially price dispersion, this article designed the research methodology most carefully. The results of pervious works are partly due to the immaturity of the Internet market or due to the uniqueness of the American CD market, where oligopolistic market players are significantly dominant. The analysis of price data of 20 titles from 20 retailers for five weeks supports that online market is more efficient than offline market with statistical significance in all the three dimensions. We could conclude that the e-market is going much more efficient at least compared to the offline market and the more would it be unless the sellers resist and prevent comparison-shopping.