• Title/Summary/Keyword: presidential election

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A Interdisciplinary Study about Voice Change of the Presidential Candidate and Cognition Change of the Voters (선거 연설에서 대통령 후보자의 목소리 변화에 따른 유권자의 인지 변화에 대한 융합 연구)

  • Hahm, Sang-Woo;Park, Hyungwoo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2018
  • In a formal speech, the speaker's voice has a variety of effects on the listener. Depending on the voice characteristics, the effectiveness and efficiency of the speech change as well. In the presidential election, the candidate's voice characteristics will affect the cognition of voters. Thus, we need to understand about the a more effective voice of candidate. This study proves whether voters will change their cognition if the candidate changes owe voice. If the cognition of voters can be changed according to the changed voice characteristics of the candidate, we will be able to explain what voices are needed for the candidate. We will also be able to suggest the necessary voice change strategies for effective speech. We describe cognition change of the voters according to the change of the voices of the presidential candidates by the dimension of the sori-engineering and the cognitive dimension. Hence, this study explains the voice characteristics and change strategies needed for candidates for effective speech.

Message Framing Effect in Political Publicity Campaign: Focused on Prospect Theory (정치홍보 캠페인의 메시지 프레이밍 효과: 전망이론을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jin-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.30-39
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    • 2018
  • This study was conducted with the aim of presenting a strategic implication for effective political campaign in the election situation which is held almost every year including the early presidential election. For this purpose, the $2{\times}2{\times}2$ triad experiment design of framing, involvement, political efficacy. The result shows that the main effect of framing and political efficacy was found, but the main effect of involvement was not shown. And also a result of two-way ANOVA, the interaction between framing and involvement was significant, but the interaction effect between framing and political efficacy was not significant. In addition, the three-way interaction effects of framing, involvement, and political efficacy were also significant. This study suggests that prospect theory is not often used to test the effects of political campaign messages and suggests new perspectives on political campaign strategies by introducing the prospect theory into election campaign message research.

The Macroeconomic Impacts of Korean Elections and Their Future Consequences (선거(選擧)의 거시경제적(巨視經濟的) 충격(衝擊)과 파급효과(波及效果))

  • Shim, Sang-dal;Lee, Hang-yong
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.147-165
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    • 1992
  • This paper analyzes the macroeconomic effects of elections on the Korean economy and their future ramifications. It measures the shocks to the Korean economy caused by elections by taking the average of sample forecast errors from four major elections held in the 1980s. The seven variables' Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model which includes the Monetary Base, Industrial Production, Consumption, Consumer Price, Exports, and Investment is based on the quarterly time series data starting from 1970 and is updated every quarter before forecasts are made for the next quarter. Because of this updating of coefficients, which reflects in part the rapid structural changes of the Korean economy, this study can capture the shock effect of elections, which is not possible when using election dummies with a fixed coefficient model. In past elections, especially the elections held in the 1980s, $M_2$ did not show any particular movement, but the currency and base money increased during the quarter of the election was held and the increment was partly recalled in the next quarter. The liquidity of interest rates as measured by corporate bond yields fell during the quarter the election and then rose in the following quarter, which is somewhat contrary to the general concern that interest rates will increase during election periods. Manufacturing employment fell in the quarter of the election because workers turned into campaigners. This decline in employment combined with voting holiday produce a sizeable decline in industrial production during the quarter in which elections are held, but production catches up in the next quarter and sometimes more than offsets the disruption caused during the election quarter. The major shocks to price occur in the previous quarter, reflecting the expectational effect and the relaxation of government price control before the election when we simulate the impulse responses of the VAR model, imposing the same shocks that was measured in the past elections for each election to be held in 1992 and assuming that the elections in 1992 will affect the economy in the same manner as in the 1980s elections, 1992 is expected to see a sizeable increase in monetary base due to election and prices increase pressure will be amplified substantially. On the other hand, the consumption increase due to election is expected to be relatively small and the production will not decrease. Despite increased liquidity, a large portion of liquidity in circulation being used as election funds will distort the flow of funds and aggravate the fund shortage causing investments in plant and equipment and construction activities to stagnate. These effects will be greatly amplified if elections for the head of local government are going to be held this year. If mayoral and gubernatorial elections are held after National Assembly elections, their effect on prices and investment will be approximately double what they normally will have been have only congressional and presidential elections been held. Even when mayoral and gubernatorial elections are held at the same time as congressional elections, the elections of local government heads are shown to add substantial effects to the economy for the year. The above results are based on the assumption that this year's elections will shock the economy in the same manner as in past elections. However, elections in consecutive quarters do not give the economy a chance to pause and recuperate from past elections. This year's elections may have greater effects on prices and production than shown in the model's simulations because campaigners' return to industry may be delayed. Therefore, we may not see a rapid recall of money after elections. In view of the surge in the monetary base and price escalation in the periods before and after elections, economic management in 1992 should place its first priority on controlling the monetary aggregate, in particular, stabilizing the growth of the monetary base.

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A Study on the Policy Possibility for Public Journalism of korea Newspaper (한국언론의 공공저너리즘의 역할에 관한 고찰)

  • Shin, Yun-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 2009
  • In this research, the first online journalism in South Korea on the research itself in reality only have 3, only 2 cases in the United States the study of online journalism deulyigie, in online journalism for the public to feel the necessity of research and These online agents not jeoneolriseuteuna the role of public journalism, the media can perform that role, she felt the need for the rest, in the process of the last 16 presidential election, as reported salpyeobomeu in South Korea of jourmalism online newspapers will want to research about the policy.

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A Combinatorial Optimization for Influential Factor Analysis: a Case Study of Political Preference in Korea

  • Yun, Sung Bum;Yoon, Sanghyun;Heo, Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.415-422
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    • 2017
  • Finding influential factors from given clustering result is a typical data science problem. Genetic Algorithm based method is proposed to derive influential factors and its performance is compared with two conventional methods, Classification and Regression Tree (CART) and Chi-Squared Automatic Interaction Detection (CHAID), by using Dunn's index measure. To extract the influential factors of preference towards political parties in South Korea, the vote result of $18^{th}$ presidential election and 'Demographic', 'Health and Welfare', 'Economic' and 'Business' related data were used. Based on the analysis, reverse engineering was implemented. Implementation of reverse engineering based approach for influential factor analysis can provide new set of influential variables which can present new insight towards the data mining field.

A Study on the Policy Possibility for Public Journalism of korea Newspaper (한국신문의 공공저너리즘의 이용에 관한 정책)

  • Shin, Yun-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.110-119
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the first online journalism in South Korea on the research itself in reality only have 3, only 2 cases in the United States the study of online journalism, in online journalism for the public to feel the necessity of research. These online agents not journalist the role of public journalism, the media can perform that role, we felt the need for the rest. In the process of the last 16 presidential election, as reported in South Korea of journalism online newspapers will want to research about the policy.

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EPIDEMIOLOGICAL APPROACH TO THE SOUTH KOREAN BEEF PROTESTS WITH HIDDEN AGENDA

  • Do, Tae-Sug;Lee, Young-S.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2009
  • Hundreds of thousands of South Korean protesters staged candlelight vigils and demonstrations against US beef imports in 2008. The problems, however, went far beyond that of beef imports. The political party veterans, who lost the presidential election, exploited labor unions that were discontent with the economy and ideological student groups to weaken the majority party. In this study, an epidemiological model is constructed with a system of three nonlinear differential equations. The model seeks to examine the dynamics of the system through stability analysis. Two threshold conditions that spread the protests are identified and a sensitivity analysis on the conditions is performed to isolate the parameters to which the system is most responsive. The results are also explored by deterministic simulations. This model can be easily modified to apply to other protests that may occur in various circumstances.

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More than popularity matters: How would voters like to get social networking with candidates?

  • Chang, Shao-Liang;Chen, Chi-Ying
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2015
  • An online survey was conducted to assess motivations for using, reliance on, and perceived credibility of political blogs and microblogs during both the Taiwanese general election of 2009 (the blog epoch) and the presidential elections of 2012 (the microblog epoch). Results indicated higher reliance on and motivation for using political blogs than microblogs. Blogs were also perceived to be more credible than microblogs. Respondents who primarily engaged in blogging for information purposes were more likely to judge candidate blogs as highly credible, whereas interest in entertainment emerged as the strongest predictor of the perceived credibility of microblogs. This research also provided quantitative evidence showing how users viewed blogs and microblogs differently in the context of political campaigns. The aim is to explore the pros and cons of blogging and microblogging as a tool for political communication.

SNS Analysis Related to Presidential Election Using Text Mining (텍스트 마이닝을 활용한 대선 관련 SNS 분석)

  • Kwon, Young-Woo;Jung, Deok-Gil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.361-363
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    • 2017
  • 최근 소셜 미디어의 이용률이 폭발적으로 증가함에 따라, 방대한 데이터가 네트워크로 쏟아져 나오고 있다. 이들 데이터는 기존의 정형 데이터뿐만 아니라 이미지, 동영상 등의 비정형 데이터가 있으며, 이들을 포괄하여 빅데이터라고 불린다. 이러한 빅데이터는 오피니언 마이닝, 테스트 마이닝 등의 기술적인 분석 기법과 빅데이터 요약 및 효과적인 표현방법에 대한 시각화 기법에 대하여 활발한 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 이 논문은 인기 있는 사회연결망 서비스인 Twitter의 트윗을 수집하고, 빅데이터 분석 기법인 텍스트 마이닝을 활용하여 2017년 대선에 대하여 분석하였다. 또한 분석된 자료의 효과적인 전달을 위해 워드 클라우드 진행하였다. 이 논문을 위하여 인기 있는 SNS인 Twitter의 최근 7일간 트윗(tweet)을 수집하고 분석하였다.

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2008 Republican Nomination Struggle and Choice of the Republican Party (2008년 공화당 예비선거: 공화당의 선택과 매케인)

  • Yoo, Sung-jin
    • American Studies
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.169-198
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    • 2009
  • Unlike the Democratic nomination, Republican nomination struggle has ended with an easy victory of Senator John McCain. This paper claims that the easy victory of McCain should not be interpreted as Republican's return to the median voter, because it masks religious schism and ideological discord among the Republicans. Christian rights were still reluctant to support McCain mostly due to his liberal position on social issues. In addition, the conservatives who request stricter immigration policy presented the mixed feeling toward the Republican candidate. Even though McCain chose the harmony inside the Republican party, rather than sticked to his liberal attitude toward social issues during the campaign for 2008 general election, McCain's defeat is unlikely to result in a rapid change in the Republican party.