• 제목/요약/키워드: predictor-based control

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배터리 팩 내부 과방전 사전 진단을 위한 모델기반 셀 간 불균형 특성 파라미터 분석 연구 (Model-based Analysis of Cell-to-Cell Imbalance Characteristic Parameters in the Battery Pack for Fault Diagnosis and Over-discharge Prognosis)

  • 박진형;김재원;이미영;김병철;정성철;김종훈
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.381-389
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    • 2021
  • Most diagnosis approaches rely on historical failure data that might not be feasible in real operating conditions because the battery voltage and internal parameters are nonlinear according to various operating conditions, such as cell-to-cell configuration and initial condition. To overcome this issue, the estimator and the predictor require integrated approaches that consider comprehensive data, with the degradation process and measured data taken into account. In this paper, vector autoregressive models (VAR) with various parameters that affect overdischarge to the cell in the battery pack were constructed, and the cell-to-cell parameters were identified using an adaptive model to analyze the influence of failure prognosis. The theoretical analysis is validated using experimental results in terms of the feasibility and advantages of fault prognosis.

문제도박자의 단도박 의도를 예측하는 계획된 행동 이론 검증 (Verification of the Theory of Planned Behavior that Predicts the Intention for Gambling Abstinence of Problem Gamblers)

  • 박근우;서미경
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제20권11호
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    • pp.232-238
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 계획된 행동이론에 근거하여 문제도박자의 단도박 의도를 예측하는 모형의 적용가능성을 검증하기 위함이다. 지역사회 기관을 이용하는 문제도박자 100명을 대상으로 단도박 태도, 주관적 규범, 지각된 통제력과 단도박 의도를 조사하였다. 그리고 계획된 행동이론에 기반한 모형검증을 위해 단도박 태도, 주관적 규범, 지각된 통제력이 단도박 의도에 영향을 미치는지 구조방정식 모형으로 분석하였다. 연구모형 분석결과 단도박 의도에 가장 강력한 예측요인은 지각된 통제력이고 그다음이 단도박 태도였다. 그러나 주관적 규범은 단도박 의도에 의미 있는 영향력을 가지지 않았다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 본 연구자들은 문제도박자의 회복을 위해 단도박 효능감과 단도박 행동에 대한 긍정적 태도를 향상시키기 위한 인지행동적 개입을 제안하였다. 즉, 도박문제로부터 회복할 수 있다는 신념 강화를 위해 지속적인 지지와 대처기술훈련이 필요하고, 긍정적 태도를 향상하기 위한 도박문제 정보제공과 교육 역시 도움이 될 수 있다. 따라서 중독관리기관을 중심으로 도박문제에 대한 치료뿐만 아니라 예방 차원의 개입을 고려해 볼 수 있다.

미국 Medicare 투석환자 치료의 질 지표 개발 : 4가지 주요 치료영역을 바탕으로 (Developing a Composite Quality Indicator to Assess The Quality of Care for US Medicare End-stage Renal Disease Patients)

  • 강혜영
    • 한국의료질향상학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.204-216
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    • 2000
  • Background : There has been a concern that the quality of care provided to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients in the United States may not be as good as recommended. This paper illustrates a composite measure to assess, the quality of care received by ESRD patients undergoing in-center hemodialysis by incorporating outcomes for 4 major treatment areas. The 4 treatment areas are: dialysis treatments, anemia control, nutritional management, and blood pressure control. Methods : The major data source for the study was the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) Dialysis Morbidity and Mortality Study Wave 1 (DMMS-1) d Sixteen categories of a composite quality indicator were constructed by combining 4 dichotomous variables (16=2*2*2*2). representing the optimal vs. less than optimal level of outcome for each of the 4 treatment outcome measure respectively. Optimal outcome level for each treatment area was defined based on the recommendation from the National Kidney Foundation: (a) delivered dialysis doses (Kt/V) ${\geq}$ 1.2; (b) hematocrit level ${\geq}$ 30%; (c) serum albumin concentration ${\geq}$ 3.8g/dl ; and (d) blood pressure of <140 / <90mmHg. The 16 quality indicator were ranked according to their relative quality weights, which were estimated from its association with the relative risk of survival, adjusting for patient's baseline severity and dialysis facility characteristics. Results : Out of the entire sample of 2,179 patients, only 229 (10%) meet th recommended outcome levels for all 4 treatment areas. Overall, the study patients were distributed evenly over the 16 quality indicators, indicating a great variation in the quality of ESRD care. It appears that the rank of the 16 quality-indicators is driven by serum albumin concentration, suggesting that serum albumin concentration may be the most powerful predictor of ESRD patient survival among the 4 outcome measures. Conclusion : The developed quality indicator has the advantage of describin a range of care for dialysis patients and thus providing a more complete picture of care as compared to previous studies that have focused on only single or few components of the ESRD care.

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약물복용 중인 고혈압 환자의 혈압관리양상 예측을 위한 의사결정나무분석 (Decision-Tree Analysis to Predict Blood Pressure Control Status Among Hypertension Patients Taking Antihypertensive Medications)

  • 김희선;정석희;박숙경
    • Journal of Korean Biological Nursing Science
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study was performed to analyze the levels of blood pressure and to identify good or poor blood pressure control (BPC) groups among hypertension patients. The study was based on the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES VI and VII) conducted from 2013 to 2016. Methods: The sociodemographic and clinical data of 4,151 Korean hypertension patients aged 20-79 years and who were taking antihypertensive medications was extracted from the KNHANES VI and VII database. Descriptive statistics for complex samples and a decision-tree analysis were performed using the SPSS WIN 24.0 program. Results: The mean age was $62.46{\pm}0.21years$. The mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) was $128.07{\pm}0.28mmHg$, and the diastolic blood pressure (DBP) was $76.99{\pm}0.21mmHg$. 71.9% of participants showed normal blood pressure (SBP < 140mmHg and DBP < 90mmHg). From the decisiontrees analysis, the characteristics of participants related to good BPC group were presented with 9 different pathways same as those from the poor BPC group. Good or poor BPC groups were classified according to the patients' characteristics such as age, living status, occupation, education, hypertension diagnosis period, numbers of comorbidity, perceived health status, total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein-cholesterol, alcohol drinking per month, and depressive mood. Total cholesterol level (< 201mg/dL or ${\geq}201mg/dL$ cutoff point) was the most significant predictor of the participants' BPC group. Conclusion: This decision-tree model with the 18 different pathways can form a basis for the screening of hypertension patients with good or poor BPC in either clinical or community settings.

중동호흡기증후군과 지카바이러스의 대응사례분석을 통한 해외유입 신종감염병 예방시스템 구축 방안 (Developing Prevention System of Overseas Infectious Disease Based on MERS and Zika Virus Outbreak)

  • 김자영;방준석
    • 한국임상약학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.330-340
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    • 2016
  • Objective: The outbreak of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) started in South Korea in May 2015 and the end of crisis was declared in December 2015 by Korea Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC). However, Zika virus emerged in less than 2 months following MERS and showed higher mortality than other countries. This study is to assess the current prevention system of overseas infectious diseases, based on MERS and Zika virus outbreak and to suggest effective response system for the future. Methods: We conducted two surveys on medical specialists working at tertiary general hospitals regarding the effectiveness of responding system by KCDC against MERS and Zika virus and education in individual medical institutions using 5-Likert points. Response system was examined in three different periods as initial period, spreading period, and post disease period. Results: Although medical specialists received the notifications in initial period, no practical prevention was proven to be placed in responding stage by medical facilities (averagely 3.5/5 points in total and sub-analyses). During spreading period, there were several academic seminars conducted, which were evaluated as helpful. In post disease period, all answered that there were changes on patient treatment in all medical facilities, with mainly report system and the treatment regulations in case of suspicious patients for infection. Only 49% respondents answered positive on the possibility of initial responses. For questionnaire items regarding Zika virus, all answered that there were notifications prior to the first outbreak of the infected patient. Eighty% of respondents were aware of 'the Guideline system for traveling to dangerous areas', and answered that the system was moderately effective (averagely 3.8/5 points in total). For the effectiveness of prevention measures for foreign novel disease by KCDC, the average point was 3.0 in both of total and sub-analyses. Conclusion: There is not enough response system to prevent infectious disease in medical institutional and governmental levels in Korea. It would warrant the modification of overall medical system to improve preventive measures for initial spread of such diseases.

Breast Density and Risk of Breast Cancer in Asian Women: A Meta-analysis of Observational Studies

  • Bae, Jong-Myon;Kim, Eun Hee
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제49권6호
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    • pp.367-375
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: The established theory that breast density is an independent predictor of breast cancer risk is based on studies targeting white women in the West. More Asian women than Western women have dense breasts, but the incidence of breast cancer is lower among Asian women. This meta-analysis investigated the association between breast density in mammography and breast cancer risk in Asian women. Methods: PubMed and Scopus were searched, and the final date of publication was set as December 31, 2015. The effect size in each article was calculated using the interval-collapse method. Summary effect sizes (sESs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by conducting a meta-analysis applying a random effect model. To investigate the dose-response relationship, random effect dose-response meta-regression (RE-DRMR) was conducted. Results: Six analytical epidemiology studies in total were selected, including one cohort study and five case-control studies. A total of 17 datasets were constructed by type of breast density index and menopausal status. In analyzing the subgroups of premenopausal vs. postmenopausal women, the percent density (PD) index was confirmed to be associated with a significantly elevated risk for breast cancer (sES, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.52 to 3.21; $I^2=50.0%$). The RE-DRMR results showed that the risk of breast cancer increased 1.73 times for each 25% increase in PD in postmenopausal women (95% CI, 1.20 to 2.47). Conclusions: In Asian women, breast cancer risk increased with breast density measured using the PD index, regardless of menopausal status. We propose the further development of a breast cancer risk prediction model based on the application of PD in Asian women.

신경망과 퍼지논리를 이용한 최대수요전력 제어시스템에 관한연구 (A Study on the Control System of Maximum Demand Power Using Neural Network and Fuzzy Logic)

  • 조성원
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.420-425
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    • 1999
  • 최대수요전력 예측과 제어의 목적은 공장 또는 빌딩등의 전력수용가의 입장에서 수시로 변동하는 부하의추이를 파악 예측하여 에너지 합리화 경제성 증대 산업기기의 보호 수용가의 비용절감과 더불어 크게는 국가적인 전력시스템안정화를 가져가기 위함에 있다. 최대수요전력 예측/제어를 위한 기존의 방법들은 수용가 특성이나 계절별 요일별 차이를 고려하지 않고 고정된 알고리즘에 의해 예측값이 결정되므로 환경변화에 적극적인 대응능력이 부족한 단점이있다. 이와같은 문제점의 해결을 위해 본 논문에서는 현재 많은 연구가 되고 있는 SOFM 신경망을 이용한 예측 방법과 예측치의 보정방법으로 퍼지제어길르 추가한 형태의 최대수요전력예측 제어기를 제안한다, 예측방법의 경우 유동적이며 적은 구간을 통하여 순시부하처럼 변동이 많은 데이터에 대하여 예측시간을 단축함과 동시에 오차를 줄여나갈수 있다. 또한 2단계의 학습을 통하여 SOFMd의 출력값이 패턴이 아닌 예측치가 될 수 있도록 변형하였으며 패턴자체의 변화에 대응하여 패턴오차를 이용하여재학습을 하도록 하여 불안정한 전력에 대하여 보완한다. 그리고 예측후반부에 퍼지제어기를 연결하여 예측의 신뢰성을 높이는 안정된 예측구조를 가지고 있다. 실험결과 시계열 예측방법인 지수평활법보다 제안된 예측/제어 방법이 우수함을 확인하였다.

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자조집단 프로그램이 유방절제술 환자의 적응과 삶의 질에 미치는 효과 (The Effect of Self-help Group Program on Adaptation and Quality of Life of Mastectomy Patients)

  • 박영신;임난영
    • 재활간호학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 1999
  • This quasi-experimental study was intended to test the effect of self-help group program, which is one of the way to enhance adaptation and quality of life to mastectomy patients. Data was collected from July 14, 1998 to Oct. 31, 1998 at two Medical Center in Seoul. The subjects for this study were the patients who had undergone mastectomy and were follow-up ; 14 in experimental group and 14 in control group matched with age and treatment. The instruments for this study were adaptation in Lee(1994)'s physical symptom questionnaire, Zung's Self-rating Depression Scale(SDS, 1965), and Self-rating Anxiety Scale(SAS, 1970), quality of life in Spranger(1996)'s and No(1988)'s Quality of Life Questionnaire. The self-help group program for mastectomy patients was developed based on literature review and pilot study by the investigator. The subjects of experimental group were participated in 6 weeks self-help group program and were received arm and shoulder exercise, informational support, and interpersonal support by group members. The control group were received no intervention, Both group answered questionnaires prior to intervention and 6 weeks later. The data analyzed by frequency, $X^2$-test, Mann-Whitney U test. Wilcoxon Signed Rank test, Pearson's Correlation Coefficient and Stepwise Multiple Regression using SPSS WIN. The results are as follows ; Hypothesis 1. "The experimental group with the self-help group program will have a higher score on adaptation state than control group." was not supported. But the post test score of anxiety and depression in experimental group were declined and the depression score was reduced relatively. Hypothesis 2. "The experimental group with the self-help group program will have a higher score on quality of life than control group." was not supported. But the posttest score of quality of life in experimental group was reduced relatively. Hypothesis 3. "The higher adaptation state of mastectomy patients, the higher quality, of life." was supported(r=,80, p<.001). Additionally, the lower physical symptom, depression and anxiety, the higher quality of life And depression, which was the main predictor of quality of life, accounted for 59.5%, depression and anxiety accounted for 65.5% of the variance in quality of life. In conclusion, when the self-help group program was intervened to mastectomy patients, it was tended to increase quality of life and to reduce depression and anxiety. So self-help group program can be considered useful nursing inter vention effect on adaptation and quality of life of mastectomy patients. With discussion, I suggest repeated further re search on self-help group with appropriate sample size and longitudinal study. Also during adjuvant therapy, it is needed to develop convenient method to be supported from peer group and family, such as computer mediated support group.

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간호·보건계열 대학생의 성격유형, 자아탄력성 및 대학생활적응 (Personal types, Ego-resilience, and College Adaptation in Nursing and Health Care related Students)

  • 이미라;전현숙
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권12호
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    • pp.8861-8869
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 간호 보건계열 1, 2학년 대학생 623명을 대상으로 성격유형과 자아탄력성 정도를 알아보고, 대학생활적응 정도에 미치는 영향 요인을 알아보기 위한 서술적 조사연구이다. 자료수집은 2014년 10월 7일부터 10월 23일까지 진행하였고 수집된 자료는 SPSS 19.0 프로그램을 이용하여 빈도와 백분율, 평균과 표준편차, t-test, ANOVA, Scheffe's 검증, Pearson's Correlation Coefficient, 다중회귀분석을 통하여 분석하였다. 연구결과는 다음과 같다. 에니어그램 성격유형에 따른 자아탄력성과 대학생활적응 정도는 통계적으로 의미가 있었으며 4유형과 5유형에서 자아탄력성과 대학생활적응 정도 모두 가장 낮았다. 대학생활적응 정도와 자아탄력성과는 순상관관계가 있었으며, 대학생활적응 정도에 가장 큰 영향력을 미치는 요인은 낙관적 태도였으며 그 외 영향요인은 자신감, 감정조절, 성적이었고, 총 61.6%의 설명력을 보였다. 개인의 성격유형이 자아탄력성과 대학생활적응 정도에 영향을 주므로, 개인의 성격유형에 따른 긍정적태도와 자신감, 감정조절 등을 강화하여 건강한 측면의 성격이 유지되게 함으로써 자아탄력성을 높이고, 일정한 학교 성적을 유지할 수 있게 지도한다면 대학생의 대학생활적응력도 높아질 것이다.

생물심리사회모델에 근거한 여대생의 월경전증후군 대처 예측모형 (A Structural Model for Premenstrual Coping in University Students: Based on Biopsychosocial Model)

  • 채명옥;전해옥;김아린
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The aims of this study were to construct a hypothetical structural model which explains premenstrual coping in university students and to test the fitness with collected data. Methods: Participants were 206 unmarried women university students from 3 universities in A and B cities. Data were collected from March 29 until April 30, 2016 using self-report structured questionnaires and were analyzed using IBM SPSS 23.0 and AMOS 18.0. Results: Physiological factor was identified as a significant predictor of premenstrual syndrome (t=6.45, p<.001). This model explained 22.1% of the variance in premenstrual syndrome. Psychological factors (t=-2.49, p=.013) and premenstrual syndrome (t=8.17, p<.001) were identified as significant predictors of premenstrual coping. Also this model explained 30.9% of the variance in premenstrual coping in university students. A physiological factors directly influenced premenstrual syndrome (${\beta}=.41$, p=.012). Premenstrual syndrome (${\beta}=.55$, p=.005) and physiological factor (${\beta}=.23$, p=.015) had significant total effects on premenstrual coping. Physiological factor did not have a direct influence on premenstrual coping, but indirectly affected it (${\beta}=.22$, p=.007). Psychological factors did not have an indirect or total effect on premenstrual coping, but directly affected it (${\beta}=-.17$, p=.036). Conclusion: These findings suggest that strategies to control physiological factors such as menstrual pain should be helpful to improve premenstrual syndrome symptoms. When developing a program to improve premenstrual coping ability and quality of menstrual related health, it is important to consider psychological factors including perceived stress and menstrual attitude and premenstrual syndrome.