• 제목/요약/키워드: predictive equation

검색결과 246건 처리시간 0.025초

관개용(灌漑用) 저수지(貯水池)의 연평균퇴사량(年平均堆砂量)과 저수용량(貯水容量) 감소율(減少率)의 산정(算定) (Estimation of Silting Load and Capacity Loss Rate of Irrigation Reservoirs)

  • 윤용남
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 1981
  • 현재(現在) 실무(實務)에 사용(使用)되고 있는 저수지내(貯水池內)에 퇴사량(堆砂量)의 추정방법(推定方法)에 대하여 광범위하게 조사(調査) 비교(比較)하였으며 국내(國內) 113개(個) 관개용(灌漑用) 저수지(貯水池)의 퇴사실측자료(堆砂實測資料)를 사용하여 저수지(貯水池) 퇴사량(堆砂量)과 유역면적(流域面積) 및 저수지(貯水池)의 토사포착효율간(土砂捕捉效率間)의 상관관계(相關關係)를 맺는 다회귀모형(多回歸模型)을 제안(提案)하였다. 제안(提案)된 모형(模型)의 적합성(適合性)을 실측자료(實測資料)로부터 증명하였으며 저수지내(貯水池內)로의 연비유사량(年比流砂量)을 유역면적(流域面積) 및 저수지(貯水池)의 토사포착효율(土砂捕捉效率)과 상관(相關)시켰다. 저수지내(貯水池內)로의 연평균퇴사율(年平均堆砂率)과 연평균저수지내용적(年平均貯水池內容積)의 변동(變動)은 저수지(貯水池)의 토사포착효율(土砂捕捉效率)에 의해 크게 좌우(左右)됨이 증명되었으며 저수지상류(貯水池上流)의 하천유로(河川流路)에 미치는 토사유출(土砂流出)의 영향을 양적(量的)으로 평가(評價)하기 위해서도 본(本) 연구(硏究)에서 제안(提案)된 퇴사량(堆砂量) 추정모형(推定模型)을 적용(適用)할 수 있음을 벽곡저수지(貯水池) 유역(流域)에 대하여 증명(證明)하였다.

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어묵의 유통기한 예측모델의 개발 (Developing a Predictive Model for the Shelf-life of Fish Cake)

  • 강지훈;송경빈
    • 한국식품영양과학회지
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.832-836
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    • 2013
  • 어묵의 유통기한을 예측하기 위해서 어묵을 30, 35, $40^{\circ}C$에서 각각 저장하면서 저장기간 중 총 호기성균 수를 측정하였다. Gompertz model을 이용하여 최대성장속도와 유도기를 구하였고, 각 parameter의 온도 의존성에 대한 식을 통해 유통기한에 관한 예측모델 식을 얻었다. 예측모델 식으로부터 계산된 유통기한은 0, 4, $10^{\circ}C$에서 각각 6.9, 5.5, 3.8일이었다. 이렇게 얻어진 예측모델 식의 적합성 평가를 위해 $A_f$$B_f$ 값을 산출한 결과, 각각 1.008, 1.003으로 나타나 예측모델식의 적합성이 뛰어났다. 이러한 결과로부터 본 연구에서 얻어진 유통기한예측 모델 식은 어묵의 유통기한 설정의 기초연구로써 활용될 수 있다고 판단된다.

Estimation of Shelf-life of Frankfurter Using Predictive Models of Spoilage Bacterial Growth

  • Heo, Chan;Choi, Yun-Sang;Kim, Cheon-Jei;Paik, Hyun-Dong
    • 한국축산식품학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this research was to develop predictive models for the growth of spoilage bacteria (total viable cells, Pseudomonas spp., and lactic acid bacteria) on frankfurters and to estimate the shelf-life of frankfurters under aerobic conditions at various storage temperatures (5, 15, and $25^{\circ}C$). The primary models were determined using the Baranyi model equation. The secondary models for maximum specific growth rate and lag time as functions of temperature were developed by the polynomial model equation. During 21 d of storage under various temperature conditions, lactic acid bacteria showed the longest lag time and the slowest growth rate among spoilage bacteria. The growth patterns of total viable cells and Pseudomonas spp. were similar each other. These data suggest that Pseudomonas spp. might be the dominant spoilage bacteria on frankfurters. As storage temperature increased, the growth rate of spoilage bacteria also increased and the lag time decreased. Furthermore, the shelf-life of frankfurters decreased from 7.0 to 4.3 and 1.9 (d) under increased temperature conditions. These results indicate that the most significant factor for spoilage bacteria growth is storage temperature. The values of $B_f$, $A_f$, RMSE, and $R^2$ indicate that these models were reliable for identifying the point of microbiological hazard for spoilage bacteria in frankfurters.

온도와 시간을 주요 변수로한 훈제연어에서의 Listeria monocytogenes 성장예측모델 (Predictive mathematical model for the growth kinetics of Listeria monocytogenes on smoked salmon)

  • 조준일;이순호;임지수;곽효선;황인규
    • 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.120-124
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    • 2011
  • 훈제연어의 L. monocytogenes에 대한 식중독 안전관리 방안 마련 및 위해평가 수행 등을 위하여 성장예측모텔을 개발하였다. 미생물 성장예측모델 개발 방법은 대상 식품 및 환경 조건에 따라 다양하며 통계적으로 유용한 모델을 사용하여야 하기에 본 연구에서는 미생물 성장예측모델 개발에 널리 사용되어 그 적용성이 검토된 Gompertz model과 Polynomial model equation을 이용하여 훈제연어의 L. monocytogenes 최대성장속도(SGR) 및 유도기(LT)에 관한 예측모텔을 개발하였다. 개발된 모델의 적합성 평가를 위해 $B_f$$A_f$ factor를 산출하였고 최대성장속도(SGR)의 경우 0.98, 1.06, 유도기(LT)의 경우 1.60, 1.63으로 나타나 유도기의 적합성이 최대성장속도에 비하여 떨어지는 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구에서 개발된 훈제연어에서의 L. monocytogenes 성장속도에 관한 모텔은, 수산업, 특히 훈제연어 생산, 가공, 보관 및 판매업에 다양한 방면으로 활용 가능할 것으로 판단되며, 더욱 정확한 예측모텔 개발을 위해서는 다양한 변수에 따른 미생물의 성장패턴 변화 등에 관한 연구가 추가적으로 시행되어야 할 것으로 생각되어 진다.

Bond strength of reinforcement in splices in beams

  • Turk, Kazim;Yildirim, M. Sukru
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.469-478
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    • 2003
  • The primary aim of this study was to investigate the bond strength between reinforcement and concrete. Large sized nine beams, which were produced from concrete with approximately ${f_c}^{\prime}=30$ MPa, were tested. Each beam was designed to include two bars in tension, spliced at the center of the span. The splice length was selected so that bars would fail in bond, splitting the concrete cover in the splice region, before reaching the yield point. In all experiments, the variable used was the reinforcing bar diameter. In the experiments, beam specimens were loaded in positive bending with the splice in a constant moment region. In consequence, as the bar diameter increased, bond strength and ductility reduced but, however, the stiffnesses of the beams (resistance to deflection) increased. Morever, a empirical equation was obtained to calculate the bond strength of reinforcement and this equation was compared with Orangun et al. (1977) and Esfahani and Rangan (1998). There was a good agreement between the values computed from the predictive equation and those computed from equations of Orangun et al. (1977) and Esfahani and Rangan (1998).

대형 컨테이너선의 해치 코밍 FCA 맞대기 용접부의 횡 방향 잔류응력 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Predicting Transverse Residual Stress at the Ultra Thick FCA Butt Weldment of Hatch Coaming in a Large Container Vessel)

  • 신상범;이동주;이주성
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a predictive equation of transverse residual stress at the thick FCA butt weldment of large container vessel. The variables used were restraint degree, yield strength of base material, thickness of weldment and welding heat input. Restraint degree at the thick weldment of container ship having the various welding sequence was calculated using FEA. From the result, the H-type specimen was designed to reproduce the level of restraint degree at the actual weldment of containership. Based on the results, the predictive equations of the mean value and the distribution of transverse residual stress at each location of the weldment were established using dimensional analysis and multiple-regression method. The predictive equations were verified by comparing with those measured by XRD in the actual weldment of the ship.

대형 컨테이너선의 해치 코밍 FCA 맞대기 용접부의 횡 방향 잔류응력 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Predicting Transverse Residual Stress at the ultra thick FCA butt weldment of hatch coaming in a Large Container Ship)

  • 신상범;이동주;박동환
    • 대한용접접합학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한용접접합학회 2009년 추계학술발표대회
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    • pp.102-102
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to establish the predictive equation of transversal residual stress at the thick weldment of large container ship. In order to do it, the variables used for this study were restraint degree, yield strength of base material, thickness of weldment and welding heat input. Here, the level of restraint degree at the thick weldment of container ship having the various welding sequence was calculated using FEA. From the result, the h-type specimen was designed to simulate the level of restraint degree at the actual weldment of containership. With H-type test specimen designed, the effect of the variables on the distribution of transversal residual stress at the weldment in a container ship was evaluated using the comprehensive FEA. Based on the results, the predictive equations of mean value and the distribution of transverse residual stress in each location of residual stress were established using dimensional analysis and multiple-regression method. The validation of predictive equations was verified by comparing with measured results by XRD in the actual weldment of the ship.

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A Comparison Study on Reinforcement Behaviors of Functional Fillers in Nitrile Rubber Composites

  • Seong, Yoonjae;Lee, Harim;Kim, Seonhong;Yun, Chang Hyun;Park, Changsin;Nah, Changwoon;Lee, Gi-Bbeum
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.306-313
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    • 2020
  • To investigate the reinforcing effects of functional fillers in nitrile rubber (NBR) materials, high-structure carbon black (HS45), coated calcium carbonate (C-CaCO3), silica (200MP), and multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs) were used as functional filler, and carbon black (SRF) as a common filler were used for oil-resistant rubber. The curing and mechanical properties of HS45-, 200MP-, and MWCNT-filled NBR compounds were improved compared to those of the SRF-filled NBR compound. The reinforcing effect also increased with a decrease in the particle size of the fillers. The C-CaCO3-filled NBR compound exhibited no reinforcing effect with increasing filler concentration because of their large primary particle size (2 ㎛). The reinforcing behavior based on 100% modulus of the functional filler based NBR compounds was compared by using several predictive equation models. The reinforcing behavior of the C-CaCO3-filled NBR compound was in accordance with the Smallwood-Einstein equation whereas the 200MP- and MWCNT-filled NBR compounds fitted well with the modified Guth-Gold (m-Guth-Gold) equation. The SRF- and HS45-filled NBR compounds exhibited reinforcing behavior in accordance with the Guth-Gold and m-Guth-Gold equations, respectively, at a low filler content. However, the values of reinforcement parameter (100Mf/100Mu) of the SRF- and HS45-filled NBR compounds were higher than those determined by the predictive equation model at a high filler content. Because the chains of SRF composed of spherical filler particles are similarly changed to rod-like filler particles embedded in a rubber matrix and the reinforcement parameter rapidly increased with a high content of HS45, the higher-structured filler. The reinforcing effectiveness of the functional fillers was numerically evaluated on the basis of the effectiveness index (��SRF/��f) determined by the ratio of the volume fraction of the functional filler (��f) to that of the SRF filler (��SRF) at three unit of reinforcing parameter (100Mf/100Mu). On the basis of their effectiveness index, MWCNT-, 200MP-, and HS45-filled compounds showed higher reinforcing effectiveness of 420%, 70%, and 20% than that of SRF-filled compound, respectively whereas C-CaCO3-filled compound exhibited lower reinforcing effectiveness of -50% than that of SRF-filled compound.

기혼직장여성의 가족건강성 구조모형 (A Structural Equation Model on Family Strength of Married Working Women)

  • 홍영선;한금선
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.900-909
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify the effect of predictive factors related to family strength and develop a structural equation model that explains family strength among married working women. Methods: A hypothesized model was developed based on literature reviews and predictors of family strength by Yoo. This constructed model was built of an eight pathway form. Two exogenous variables included in this model were ego-resilience and family support. Three endogenous variables included in this model were functional couple communication, family stress and family strength. Data were collected using a self-report questionnaire from 319 married working women who were 30~40 of age and lived in cities of Chungnam province in Korea. Data were analyzed with PASW/WIN 18.0 and AMOS 18.0 programs. Results: Family support had a positive direct, indirect and total effect on family strength. Family stress had a negative direct, indirect and total effect on family strength. Functional couple communication had a positive direct and total effect on family strength. These predictive variables of family strength explained 61.8% of model. Conclusion: The results of the study show a structural equation model for family strength of married working women and that predicting factors for family strength are family support, family stress, and functional couple communication. To improve family strength of married working women, the results of this study suggest nursing access and mediative programs to improve family support and functional couple communication, and reduce family stress.

A study of a flatfish outlook model using a partial equilibrium model approach based on a DEEM system

  • Sukho, Han;Sujin, Heo;Namsu, Lee
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제48권4호
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    • pp.815-829
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a flatfish outlook model that is consistent with the "Fisheries outlook" monthly publication of the fisheries outlook center of the Korea Maritime Institute (KMI). In particular, it was designed as a partial equilibrium model limited to flatfish items, but a model was constructed with a dynamic ecological equation model (DEEM) system, considering biological breeding and shipping times. Due to limited amounts of monthly data, the market equilibrium price was calculated using a recursive model method as the inverse demand. The main research results and implications are as follows. As a result of estimating young fish inventory levels, the coefficient of the young fish inventory in the previous period was estimated to be 0.03, which was not statistically significant. Because there is distinct seasonality, when estimating the breeding outcomes, the elasticity of breeding in the previous period was found to exceed 0.7, and it increased more as the weight of the fish increased, in addition, the shipment coefficient gradually increased as the weight increased, which means that as the fish weight increased, the shipment compared to the breeding volume increased. When estimating shipments, the elasticity of breeding in previous period was estimated to respond elastically as the weight increases. The price flexibility coefficient of the total supply was inelastically estimated to be -0.19. Finally, according to a model predictive power test, the Theil U1 was estimated to be very low for all of the predictors, indicating excellent predictive power.