• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive equation

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Estimation of Silting Load and Capacity Loss Rate of Irrigation Reservoirs (관개용(灌漑用) 저수지(貯水池)의 연평균퇴사량(年平均堆砂量)과 저수용량(貯水容量) 감소율(減少率)의 산정(算定))

  • Yoon, Yong Nam
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 1981
  • The predictive equations for reservoir sedimentation rate now in use are extensively reviewed, and the equation of multiple regression type, in which the reservoir sedimentation rate is related with the watershed area and the trap-efficiency, is proposed based on the 113 irrigation reservoir resurvey data. The predictive relation so obtained proved to be a reasonable measure for the estimation of reservoir sedimentation rate. The relationship of sediment yield with the watershed area and with the reservoir trap efficiency is also analyzed. The variations of sedimentation rate and of the annual reservoir capacity loss rate was shown to heavily depend on the trap-efficiency of a reservoir. Besides, the effect of sedimentation on stream channels is confirmed and quantified based on the predictive equation derived in the present study.

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Developing a Predictive Model for the Shelf-life of Fish Cake (어묵의 유통기한 예측모델의 개발)

  • Kang, Ji Hoon;Song, Kyung Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.832-836
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    • 2013
  • To develop a predictive model for the shelf-life of fish cake, fish cake was stored at 30, 35, or $40^{\circ}C$ and populations of total aerobic bacteria were determined during storage. Gompertz model parameters were determined and their dependence on temperature formulated as a quadratic equation for applications toward shelf-life prediction. The predicted shelf-life values for fish cake used in this study were 6.9, 5.5, and 3.8 days at 0, 4, and $10^{\circ}C$, respectively. The shelf-life prediction equation was appropriate based on statistical analyses that reveal accuracy and bias factors. These results suggest that our prediction model is applicable for estimating the shelf-life of fish cake.

Estimation of Shelf-life of Frankfurter Using Predictive Models of Spoilage Bacterial Growth

  • Heo, Chan;Choi, Yun-Sang;Kim, Cheon-Jei;Paik, Hyun-Dong
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this research was to develop predictive models for the growth of spoilage bacteria (total viable cells, Pseudomonas spp., and lactic acid bacteria) on frankfurters and to estimate the shelf-life of frankfurters under aerobic conditions at various storage temperatures (5, 15, and $25^{\circ}C$). The primary models were determined using the Baranyi model equation. The secondary models for maximum specific growth rate and lag time as functions of temperature were developed by the polynomial model equation. During 21 d of storage under various temperature conditions, lactic acid bacteria showed the longest lag time and the slowest growth rate among spoilage bacteria. The growth patterns of total viable cells and Pseudomonas spp. were similar each other. These data suggest that Pseudomonas spp. might be the dominant spoilage bacteria on frankfurters. As storage temperature increased, the growth rate of spoilage bacteria also increased and the lag time decreased. Furthermore, the shelf-life of frankfurters decreased from 7.0 to 4.3 and 1.9 (d) under increased temperature conditions. These results indicate that the most significant factor for spoilage bacteria growth is storage temperature. The values of $B_f$, $A_f$, RMSE, and $R^2$ indicate that these models were reliable for identifying the point of microbiological hazard for spoilage bacteria in frankfurters.

Predictive mathematical model for the growth kinetics of Listeria monocytogenes on smoked salmon (온도와 시간을 주요 변수로한 훈제연어에서의 Listeria monocytogenes 성장예측모델)

  • Cho, Joon-Il;Lee, Soon-Ho;Lim, Ji-Su;Kwak, Hyo-Sun;Hwang, In-Gyun
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.120-124
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    • 2011
  • Predictive mathematical models were developed for predicting the kinetics of growth of Listeria monocytogenes in smoked salmon, which is the popular ready-to-eat foods in the world, as a function of temperature (4, 10, 20 and $30^{\circ}C$). At these storage temperature, the primary growth curve fit well ($r^2$=0.989~0.996) to a Gompertz equation to obtain specific growth rate (SGR) and lag time (LT). The Polynomial model for natural logarithm transformation of the SGR and LT as a function of temperature was obtained by nonlinear regression (Prism, version 4.0, GraphPad Software). Results indicate L. monocytogenes growth was affected by temperature mainly, and SGR model equation is $365.3-31.94^*Temperature+0.6661^*Temperature^{\wedge^2}$ and LT model equation is $0.1162-0.01674^*Temperature+0.0009303^*Temperature{\wedge^2}$. As storage temperature decreased $30^{\circ}C$ to $4^{\circ}C$, SGR decreased and LT increased respectively. Polynomial model was identified as appropriate secondary model for SGR and LT on the basis of most statistical indices such as bias factor (1.01 by SGR, 1.55 by LT) and accuracy factor (1.03 by SGR, 1.58 by LT).

Bond strength of reinforcement in splices in beams

  • Turk, Kazim;Yildirim, M. Sukru
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.469-478
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    • 2003
  • The primary aim of this study was to investigate the bond strength between reinforcement and concrete. Large sized nine beams, which were produced from concrete with approximately ${f_c}^{\prime}=30$ MPa, were tested. Each beam was designed to include two bars in tension, spliced at the center of the span. The splice length was selected so that bars would fail in bond, splitting the concrete cover in the splice region, before reaching the yield point. In all experiments, the variable used was the reinforcing bar diameter. In the experiments, beam specimens were loaded in positive bending with the splice in a constant moment region. In consequence, as the bar diameter increased, bond strength and ductility reduced but, however, the stiffnesses of the beams (resistance to deflection) increased. Morever, a empirical equation was obtained to calculate the bond strength of reinforcement and this equation was compared with Orangun et al. (1977) and Esfahani and Rangan (1998). There was a good agreement between the values computed from the predictive equation and those computed from equations of Orangun et al. (1977) and Esfahani and Rangan (1998).

A Study on the Predicting Transverse Residual Stress at the Ultra Thick FCA Butt Weldment of Hatch Coaming in a Large Container Vessel (대형 컨테이너선의 해치 코밍 FCA 맞대기 용접부의 횡 방향 잔류응력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sang-Beom;Lee, Dong-Ju;Lee, Joo-Sung
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a predictive equation of transverse residual stress at the thick FCA butt weldment of large container vessel. The variables used were restraint degree, yield strength of base material, thickness of weldment and welding heat input. Restraint degree at the thick weldment of container ship having the various welding sequence was calculated using FEA. From the result, the H-type specimen was designed to reproduce the level of restraint degree at the actual weldment of containership. Based on the results, the predictive equations of the mean value and the distribution of transverse residual stress at each location of the weldment were established using dimensional analysis and multiple-regression method. The predictive equations were verified by comparing with those measured by XRD in the actual weldment of the ship.

A Study on the Predicting Transverse Residual Stress at the ultra thick FCA butt weldment of hatch coaming in a Large Container Ship (대형 컨테이너선의 해치 코밍 FCA 맞대기 용접부의 횡 방향 잔류응력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sang-Beom;Lee, Dong-Ju;Park, Dong-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KWS Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.102-102
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to establish the predictive equation of transversal residual stress at the thick weldment of large container ship. In order to do it, the variables used for this study were restraint degree, yield strength of base material, thickness of weldment and welding heat input. Here, the level of restraint degree at the thick weldment of container ship having the various welding sequence was calculated using FEA. From the result, the h-type specimen was designed to simulate the level of restraint degree at the actual weldment of containership. With H-type test specimen designed, the effect of the variables on the distribution of transversal residual stress at the weldment in a container ship was evaluated using the comprehensive FEA. Based on the results, the predictive equations of mean value and the distribution of transverse residual stress in each location of residual stress were established using dimensional analysis and multiple-regression method. The validation of predictive equations was verified by comparing with measured results by XRD in the actual weldment of the ship.

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A Comparison Study on Reinforcement Behaviors of Functional Fillers in Nitrile Rubber Composites

  • Seong, Yoonjae;Lee, Harim;Kim, Seonhong;Yun, Chang Hyun;Park, Changsin;Nah, Changwoon;Lee, Gi-Bbeum
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.306-313
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    • 2020
  • To investigate the reinforcing effects of functional fillers in nitrile rubber (NBR) materials, high-structure carbon black (HS45), coated calcium carbonate (C-CaCO3), silica (200MP), and multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs) were used as functional filler, and carbon black (SRF) as a common filler were used for oil-resistant rubber. The curing and mechanical properties of HS45-, 200MP-, and MWCNT-filled NBR compounds were improved compared to those of the SRF-filled NBR compound. The reinforcing effect also increased with a decrease in the particle size of the fillers. The C-CaCO3-filled NBR compound exhibited no reinforcing effect with increasing filler concentration because of their large primary particle size (2 ㎛). The reinforcing behavior based on 100% modulus of the functional filler based NBR compounds was compared by using several predictive equation models. The reinforcing behavior of the C-CaCO3-filled NBR compound was in accordance with the Smallwood-Einstein equation whereas the 200MP- and MWCNT-filled NBR compounds fitted well with the modified Guth-Gold (m-Guth-Gold) equation. The SRF- and HS45-filled NBR compounds exhibited reinforcing behavior in accordance with the Guth-Gold and m-Guth-Gold equations, respectively, at a low filler content. However, the values of reinforcement parameter (100Mf/100Mu) of the SRF- and HS45-filled NBR compounds were higher than those determined by the predictive equation model at a high filler content. Because the chains of SRF composed of spherical filler particles are similarly changed to rod-like filler particles embedded in a rubber matrix and the reinforcement parameter rapidly increased with a high content of HS45, the higher-structured filler. The reinforcing effectiveness of the functional fillers was numerically evaluated on the basis of the effectiveness index (��SRF/��f) determined by the ratio of the volume fraction of the functional filler (��f) to that of the SRF filler (��SRF) at three unit of reinforcing parameter (100Mf/100Mu). On the basis of their effectiveness index, MWCNT-, 200MP-, and HS45-filled compounds showed higher reinforcing effectiveness of 420%, 70%, and 20% than that of SRF-filled compound, respectively whereas C-CaCO3-filled compound exhibited lower reinforcing effectiveness of -50% than that of SRF-filled compound.

A Structural Equation Model on Family Strength of Married Working Women (기혼직장여성의 가족건강성 구조모형)

  • Hong, Yeong Seon;Han, Kuem Sun
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.900-909
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify the effect of predictive factors related to family strength and develop a structural equation model that explains family strength among married working women. Methods: A hypothesized model was developed based on literature reviews and predictors of family strength by Yoo. This constructed model was built of an eight pathway form. Two exogenous variables included in this model were ego-resilience and family support. Three endogenous variables included in this model were functional couple communication, family stress and family strength. Data were collected using a self-report questionnaire from 319 married working women who were 30~40 of age and lived in cities of Chungnam province in Korea. Data were analyzed with PASW/WIN 18.0 and AMOS 18.0 programs. Results: Family support had a positive direct, indirect and total effect on family strength. Family stress had a negative direct, indirect and total effect on family strength. Functional couple communication had a positive direct and total effect on family strength. These predictive variables of family strength explained 61.8% of model. Conclusion: The results of the study show a structural equation model for family strength of married working women and that predicting factors for family strength are family support, family stress, and functional couple communication. To improve family strength of married working women, the results of this study suggest nursing access and mediative programs to improve family support and functional couple communication, and reduce family stress.

A study of a flatfish outlook model using a partial equilibrium model approach based on a DEEM system

  • Sukho, Han;Sujin, Heo;Namsu, Lee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.815-829
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a flatfish outlook model that is consistent with the "Fisheries outlook" monthly publication of the fisheries outlook center of the Korea Maritime Institute (KMI). In particular, it was designed as a partial equilibrium model limited to flatfish items, but a model was constructed with a dynamic ecological equation model (DEEM) system, considering biological breeding and shipping times. Due to limited amounts of monthly data, the market equilibrium price was calculated using a recursive model method as the inverse demand. The main research results and implications are as follows. As a result of estimating young fish inventory levels, the coefficient of the young fish inventory in the previous period was estimated to be 0.03, which was not statistically significant. Because there is distinct seasonality, when estimating the breeding outcomes, the elasticity of breeding in the previous period was found to exceed 0.7, and it increased more as the weight of the fish increased, in addition, the shipment coefficient gradually increased as the weight increased, which means that as the fish weight increased, the shipment compared to the breeding volume increased. When estimating shipments, the elasticity of breeding in previous period was estimated to respond elastically as the weight increases. The price flexibility coefficient of the total supply was inelastically estimated to be -0.19. Finally, according to a model predictive power test, the Theil U1 was estimated to be very low for all of the predictors, indicating excellent predictive power.