• 제목/요약/키워드: predictive analysis

검색결과 1,977건 처리시간 0.045초

낙상 위험 선별검사 Timed Up and Go test의 예측 타당도 메타분석 (A Meta-analysis of the Timed Up and Go test for Predicting Falls)

  • 박성희;이언석
    • 한국의료질향상학회지
    • /
    • 제22권2호
    • /
    • pp.27-40
    • /
    • 2016
  • Purpose: Globally, falls are a major public health problem. The study aimed to evaluate the predictive validity of the Timed Up and Go test (TUGT) as a screening tool for fall risk. Methods: An electronic search was performed Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochran Library, KoreaMed and the National Digital Science Library and other databases, using the following keywords: 'fall', 'fall risk assessment', 'fall screening', 'mobility scale', and 'risk assessment tool'. The QUADAS-II was applied to assess the internal validity of the diagnostic studies. Thirteen studies were analyzed using meta-analysis with MetaDisc 1.4. Results: The selected 13 studies reporting predictive validity of TUGT of fall risks were meta-analyzed with a sample size of 1004 with high methodological quality. Overall predictive validity of TGUT was as follows. The pooled sensitivity 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67-0.77), pooled specificity 0.58 (95% CI: 0.54-0.63) and sROC AUC was 0.75 respectively. Heterogeneity among studies was a moderate level in sensitivity. Conclusion: The TGUT's predictive validity for fall risk is at a moderate level. Although there is a limit to interpret the results for heterogeneity between the literature, TGUT is an appropriate tool to apply to all patients at a potential risk of accidental fall in a hospital or long-term care facility.

뇌졸중 환자의 위팔 손상 수준에 따른 위팔 활동과 일상생활 활동의 예측도 분석 - 임상적 평가를 이용한 예비 연구 - (Predictive Analyses for Activities of the Upper Extremity and Daily Living based on Impairment of the Upper Extremity in People with Stroke - Preliminary Study using Clinical Scales -)

  • 정영일;우영근
    • PNF and Movement
    • /
    • 제16권3호
    • /
    • pp.495-503
    • /
    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study analyzes the predictive power of upper extremity activity and the activities of daily living in patients with stroke using an easy-to-use evaluation tool. Methods: The Fugl-Meyer assessment (FMA) of the upper extremity and action research arm test (ARAT) are performed, and the Korean modified Barthel index (K-MBI) is measured. The predictive power of the upper extremity activity level and the daily activity level are analyzed using regression analysis. The statistical significance level is 0.05. Results: The coefficient of determination, R2, for predicting the ARAT using FMA was high at 0.88, but the regression equation for predicting the K-MBI using the FMA and ARAT did not show a statistically significant difference. Conclusion: The assessment of the upper extremity should be performed at the activity level, as well as the impairment level. The assessment for predicting the activities of daily living should be carried out for each level of the international classification of functioning (ICF), disability, and health, which can be linked to daily life, in addition to the assessment of the upper arm. Future research should conduct more diverse analyses using the ICF assessment tools at various levels.

예측전류제어가 적용된 IPMSM 구동 시스템의 제어기 성능 분석 (The Performance Analysis of IPMSM Drive System applied Predictive Current Control)

  • 황준하;원일권;김도윤;김영렬;원충연
    • 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 전력전자학회 2015년도 전력전자학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.63-64
    • /
    • 2015
  • The control of IPMSM(Interior Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor) for electric vehicle is important to track torque reference depended on accelerator. This paper executes IPMSM control applied the predictive current control which has good dynamic characteristic and, compare PI control with predictive current control to verify dynamic characteristic through simulation.

  • PDF

A Study on the Calculation and Provision of Accruals-Quality by Big Data Real-Time Predictive Analysis Program

  • Shin, YeounOuk
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
    • /
    • 제8권3호
    • /
    • pp.193-200
    • /
    • 2019
  • Accruals-Quality(AQ) is an important proxy for evaluating the quality of accounting information disclosures. High-quality accounting information will provide high predictability and precision in the disclosure of earnings and will increase the response to stock prices. And high Accruals-Quality, such as mitigating heterogeneity in accounting information interpretation, provides information usefulness in capital markets. The purpose of this study is to suggest how AQ, which represents the quality of accounting information disclosure, is transformed into digitized data in real-time in combination with IT information technology and provided to financial analyst's information environment in real-time. And AQ is a framework for predictive analysis through big data log analysis system. This real-time information from AQ will help financial analysts to increase their activity and reduce information asymmetry. In addition, AQ, which is provided in real time through IT information technology, can be used as an important basis for decision-making by users of capital market information, and is expected to contribute in providing companies with incentives to voluntarily improve the quality of accounting information disclosure.

Evaluation of Predictive Models for Early Identification of Dropout Students

  • Lee, JongHyuk;Kim, Mihye;Kim, Daehak;Gil, Joon-Min
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.630-644
    • /
    • 2021
  • Educational data analysis is attracting increasing attention with the rise of the big data industry. The amounts and types of learning data available are increasing steadily, and the information technology required to analyze these data continues to develop. The early identification of potential dropout students is very important; education is important in terms of social movement and social achievement. Here, we analyze educational data and generate predictive models for student dropout using logistic regression, a decision tree, a naïve Bayes method, and a multilayer perceptron. The multilayer perceptron model using independent variables selected via the variance analysis showed better performance than the other models. In addition, we experimentally found that not only grades but also extracurricular activities were important in terms of preventing student dropout.

사출성형 CAE와 머신러닝을 이용한 스파이럴 성형품의 중량 예측 (Prediction of Weight of Spiral Molding Using Injection Molding Analysis and Machine Learning)

  • 김범수;한성열
    • Design & Manufacturing
    • /
    • 제17권1호
    • /
    • pp.27-32
    • /
    • 2023
  • In this paper, we intend to predict the mass of the spiral using CAE and machine learning. First, We generated 125 data for the experiment through a complete factor design of 3 factors and 5 levels. Next, the data were derived by performing a molding analysis through CAE, and the machine learning process was performed using a machine learning tool. To select the optimal model among the models learned using the learning data, accuracy was evaluated using RMSE. The evaluation results confirmed that the Support Vector Machine had a good predictive performance. To evaluate the predictive performance of the predictive model, We randomly generated 10 non-overlapping data within the existing injection molding condition level. We compared the CAE and support vector machine results by applying random data. As a result, good performance was confirmed with a MAPE value of 0.48%.

  • PDF

Predictive analysis in insurance: An application of generalized linear mixed models

  • Rosy Oh;Nayoung Woo;Jae Keun Yoo;Jae Youn Ahn
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제30권5호
    • /
    • pp.437-451
    • /
    • 2023
  • Generalized linear models and generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) are fundamental tools for predictive analyses. In insurance, GLMMs are particularly important, because they provide not only a tool for prediction but also a theoretical justification for setting premiums. Although thousands of resources are available for introducing GLMMs as a classical and fundamental tool in statistical analysis, few resources seem to be available for the insurance industry. This study targets insurance professionals already familiar with basic actuarial mathematics and explains GLMMs and their linkage with classical actuarial pricing tools, such as the Buhlmann premium method. Focus of the study is mainly on the modeling aspect of GLMMs and their application to pricing, while avoiding technical issues related to statistical estimation, which can be automatically handled by most statistical software.

Iowa Liquor Sales Data Predictive Analysis Using Spark

  • Ankita Paul;Shuvadeep Kundu;Jongwook Woo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
    • /
    • 제31권2호
    • /
    • pp.185-196
    • /
    • 2021
  • The paper aims to analyze and predict sales of liquor in the state of Iowa by applying machine learning algorithms to models built for prediction. We have taken recourse of Azure ML and Spark ML for our predictive analysis, which is legacy machine learning (ML) systems and Big Data ML, respectively. We have worked on the Iowa liquor sales dataset comprising of records from 2012 to 2019 in 24 columns and approximately 1.8 million rows. We have concluded by comparing the models with different algorithms applied and their accuracy in predicting the sales using both Azure ML and Spark ML. We find that the Linear Regression model has the highest precision and Decision Forest Regression has the fastest computing time with the sample data set using the legacy Azure ML systems. Decision Tree Regression model in Spark ML has the highest accuracy with the quickest computing time for the entire data set using the Big Data Spark systems.

위축성 위염과 장상피화생의 호전에 영향을 미치는 인자에 대한 전향적 연구 (Predictive Factors for Improvement of Atrophic Gastritis and Intestinal Metaplasia: A Long-term Prospective Clinical Study)

  • 황영재;김나영;윤창용;권민구;백성민;권영재;이혜승;이제봉;최윤진;윤혁;신철민;박영수;이동호
    • 대한상부위장관⦁헬리코박터학회지
    • /
    • 제18권3호
    • /
    • pp.186-197
    • /
    • 2018
  • Background/Aims: To investigate the predictive factors for improvement of atrophic gastritis (AG) and intestinal metaplasia (IM). Materials and Methods: A total of 778 subjects were prospectively enrolled and followed up for 10 years. Histological analysis of AG and IM was performed by using the updated Sydney system. To find the predictive factors for reversibility of AG and IM, 24 factors including genetic polymorphisms and bacterial and environmental factors were analyzed. Results: In all subjects, the predictive factor by multivariate analysis for improvement of both antral and corpus AG was successful eradication. The predictive factors for improvement of antral IM were age and successful eradication. The predictive factor for improvement of corpus IM was successful eradication. In patients with Helicobacter pylori infection, age and cagA were predictive factors for improvement of AG and IM. In patients with H. pylori eradication, monthly income and cagA were predictive factors for improvement of AG and IM. Conclusions: H. pylori eradication is an important predictive factor of regression of AG and IM and would be beneficial for the prevention of intestinal-type gastric cancer. Young age, high income, and cagA are additional predictive factors for improving AG and IM status. Thus, various factors affect the improvement of AG and IM.

PI Control with the Smith Predictive Controller for a Variable Speed Refrigeration System

  • Hua, Li;Choi, Jeong-Pil;Jeong, Seok-Kwon;Yang, Joo-Ho;Kim, Dong-Gyu
    • International Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration
    • /
    • 제15권3호
    • /
    • pp.129-136
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this paper, we suggest PI control with the Smith predictive controller to improve transient response of a variable speed refrigeration system (VSRS). As the refrigeration system has long dead time inherently, it is difficult to get fast responses of super-heat and reference temperature. We incorporated the Smith predictive controller into PI to compensate the effect of the long dead time of the system. At first, we introduced the decoupling model of the system to control capacity and superheat simultaneously and independently. Next, we designed the predictive controller of the superheat based on PI control law. Finally, the control performance by the proposed method was investigated through some numerical simulations and experiments. The results of the simulations and experiments showed that the proposed PI control with the predictive controller could obtain acceptable transient behaviour for the system.