• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive ability

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Analysis of the Predictive Validity of College Entrance Criteria

  • Bae, Hyun-Wung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.973-983
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    • 2007
  • Korea Military Academy has been using College Scholastic Ability Test(CSAT) and High School Grades(HSG) with other measures such as an Essay-type Test(ET), Physical Test(PT) and Personal Interview(PI) as criteria for entrance. The purpose of study is to investigate the properness of the criteria in admission decisions by examining the relationship between the college GPA and criteria, and the prediction of academic performance. The study showed that CSAT and HSG are significantly correlated with the college GPA, and these two criteria are better predictors for academic performance. Regression analysis also provided an important message that HSG is a better predictor than CSAT.

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Hypothetical Drug Binding Receptor Site Analysis Using CoMFA Method for 3-Arylisoquinolines Active against SK-OV-3 Tumor Cell Line (CoMFA법을 이용한 3-아릴이소퀴놀린 화합물들의 SK-OV-3 암세포에 대한 가상의 약물 작용 수용체 해석)

  • 김의기;민선영;정병호;천승훈;최보길;조원제
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.219-225
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    • 2002
  • We have performed a 3D-QSAR/CoMFA analysis of the cytotoxic activities of thirty-five 3-arylisoquinoline derivatives against SK-OV-3 tumor cell line. The results suggested that the electrostatic, steric and hydrophobic factors of 3-arylisoquinolines were strongly correlated with the antitumor activity. Considerable predictive ability (cross-validated r2 as high as 0.841) was obtained through CoMFA.

The Relationship Among Self-efficacy, Self-determination and Creative Thinking Ability of Middle School Student (중학생의 창의적 사고능력과 자기 효능감, 자기 결정성 동기 간의 관계)

  • Lew, Kyoung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1157-1163
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship among self-efficacy, self-determinative motivation and creative thinking ability. And to confirm the relative predictive power of motivation variables in predicting middle school students' creative thinking ability. The instruments used in this study were 'TTCT', 'Self-efficacy' and 'Self-Regulation Scale'. Self-reported response data on these instruments from 212 middle school students in Seoul were analyzed. The data were analyzed with descriptive statistics, Pearson correlations, multiple stepwise regression analysis by using SPSS 18.0. The major results of this study were as follows; First, the correlations among self-efficacy, self-determinative motivation and creative thinking ability were significant. Second, Task difficulty preferred, self-control efficacy and internal motivation were the best predictor of creative thinking ability in middle school students. This study suggested that Task difficulty preferred, self-control efficacy and internal motivation is essential to improve creative thinking ability in middle school students.

Relationships Between Student Cognitive . Affective Characteristics and Conceptual Understanding from Individual CAl for Science Learning (과학 학습을 위한 개별적인 CAI에서 학생들의 인지적.정의적 특성과 개념 이해도의 관계)

  • Noh, Tae-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Sun
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.25 no.7
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    • pp.728-735
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    • 2005
  • In this study, relationships between student the cognitive affective characteristics and conceptual understanding from individual computer-assisted instruction were investigated. Tests regarding field dependence-independence, learning strategy, self-regulated ability, visual learning preference, goal orientation, self-efficacy on ability, and computer attitude were administered. After having been taught by means of a CAl program, a conception test on molecular motion was administered. It was found that student conceptual understanding was significantly related to field independence, learning strategy, self-regulated ability among the cognitive characteristics and visual learning preference, goal orientation, self-efficacy on ability among the affective characteristics. Multiple regression analysis of the cognitive characteristics on conceptual understanding found that field dependence-independence was the most significant predictor. Self-regulated ability and a deep learning strategy were also found to have predictive power. Lastly, analysis of the affective characteristics, visual learning preference and self-efficacy on ability exposed them to be significant predictors of student conceptual understanding.

Validation of the ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator for Patients with Early Gastric Cancer Treated with Laparoscopic Gastrectomy

  • Alzahrani, Saleh M;Ko, Chang Seok;Yoo, Moon-Won
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.267-276
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) risk calculator is useful in predicting postoperative adverse events. However, its accuracy in specific disorders is unclear. We validated the ACS NSQIP risk calculator in patients with gastric cancer undergoing curative laparoscopic surgery. Materials and Methods: We included 207 consecutive early gastric cancer patients who underwent laparoscopic gastrectomy between January 2018 and January 2019. The preoperative characteristics and risks of the patients were reviewed and entered into the ACS NSQIP calculator. The estimated risks of postoperative outcomes were compared with the observed outcomes using C-statistics and Brier scores. Results: Most of the patients underwent distal gastrectomy with Roux-en-Y reconstruction (74.4%). We did not observe any cases of mortality, venous thromboembolism, urinary tract infection, renal failure, or cardiac complications. The other outcomes assessed were complications such as pneumonia, surgical site infections, any complications requiring re-operation or hospital readmission, the rates of discharge to nursing homes/rehabilitation centers, and the length of stay. All C-statistics were <0 and the highest was for pneumonia (0.65; 95% confidence interval: 0.58-0.71). Brier scores ranged from 0.01 for pneumonia to 0.155 for other complications. Overall, the risk calculator was inconsistent in predicting the outcomes. Conclusions: The ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator showed low predictive ability for postoperative adverse events after laparoscopic gastrectomy for patients with early gastric cancer. Further research to adjust the risk calculator for these patients may improve its predictive ability.

A Model for Quality of Life of Family Caregivers with a Chronically Ill Patient (만성질환자 가족의 삶의 질 예측모형 구축에 관한 연구)

  • 박은숙;이숙자;박영주
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.344-357
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    • 1998
  • This study was designed to construct a model that predicts the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. The hypothetical model was developed based on the findings from past studies on quality of life and on the family with a chronically ill patient. Data were collected by self-reported questionnaires from 200 family caregivers in Seoul & Kyung Gi-Do, from May 1 to July 21, 1997. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and correlation analysis. The Linear Structural Relationship(LISREL) modeling process was used to find the best fit model which predicts causal relationships among variables. The results are as follows : 1. The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was moderate [X$^2$=31.54(df=23, p=.11), GFI=.96, AGFI=.91, RMR=.04]. 2. Paths of the model were modified by considering both its theoretical implication and the statistical significance of the parameter estimates. Compared to the hypothetical model, the revised model has become parsimonious and had a better fit to the data expect chi-square value(GFI=.95, AGFI=.91, RMR=.04). 3. Some of predictive factors, especially economic status, physical ability to perform daily-life activity, period after disease-onset, social support and fatigue revealed indirect effects on the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. 4. The factors, burden and role satisfaction revealed significant direct effects on the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. 5. All predictive variables of quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient, especially economic status, physical ability to perform daily-life activity, period after disease-onset, social support, fatigue, burden and role satisfaction explained 38.0% of the total variance in the model. In conclusion, the derived model in this study is considered appropriate in explaining and predicting quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. Therefore it can effectively be used as a reference model for further studies and suggests direction in nursing practice.

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Pulp Vitality Evaluation and Comparison with Old Methods Using Pulse Oximetry (맥박산소측정기(pulse oximetry)를 이용한 치수 생활력 측정과 기존 방법과의 비교)

  • Kwon, Ik-Jae;Seo, Kwang-Suk;Kim, Jung-Wook;Chang, Ju-Hea;Kong, Hyoun-Joong
    • Journal of The Korean Dental Society of Anesthesiology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2012
  • Background: This study evaluated pulp vitality of anterior permanent teeth using pulse oximetry (PO), which is already used for monitoring of patient's $SpO_2$ and pulse rates (PR). Also we compared with ice tests and electric pulp test (EPT). Methods: 9 teeth, endodontic treated, were selected as non-vital teeth group. 17 vital teeth were selected as control group. Our aim is to compare sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of ice test, electric pulp test and pulse oximetry, respectively. Pulse oximetry has two test results, $SpO_2$ and pulse rates. Also we calculated correlation and statistical significances by Pearson's test between EPT and pulse oximetry. Results: Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV were calculated on each tests. Ice test has results of 1.00, 0.89, 0.94 and 1.00, respectively. EPT has results of 0.94, 0.78, 0.89 and 0.88 respectively. $SpO_2$ has results of 0.94, 1.00, 1.00 and 0.90, respectively. PR has results of all 1.00. Conclusions: PO showed relatively accurate, stable and objective results on both $SpO_2$ and PR. Percentage of ability of accurate diagnosis for vital teeth is 94% for ice test, 89% for EPT, 100% for $SpO_2$ and PR. Percentage of ability of accurate diagnosis for non-vital teeth is 100% for ice test, 88% for EPT, 90% for $SpO_2$ and 100% for PR. In additions, PR could be more accurate and significant tests than $SpO_2$.

Functional Movement Screen as a Predictor of Occupational Injury Among Denver Firefighters

  • Shore, Erin;Dally, Miranda;Brooks, Shawn;Ostendorf, Danielle;Newman, Madeline;Newman, Lee
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.301-306
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    • 2020
  • Background: The Functional Movement Screen (FMSTM) is a screening tool used to assess an individual's ability to perform fundamental movements that are necessary to do physically active tasks. The purpose of this study was to assess the ability of FMS to predict occupational injury among Denver Fire Department firefighters. Method: FMS tests were administered from 2012 to 2016. Claim status was defined as any claim occurrence vs. no claim and an overexertion vs. no claim/other claim within 1 year of the FMS. To assess associations between FMS score and claim status, FMS scores were dichotomized into ≤ 14 and > 14. Age-adjusted odds ratios were calculated using logistic regression. Sensitivities and specificities of FMS predicting claims at various FMS score cut points, ranging from 10 to 20 were tested. Results: Of 581 firefighters (mean ± SD, age 38 ± 9.8 y) who completed FMS between February 2015 and March 2018, 188 (32.4%) filed a WC claim in the study time frame. Seventy-two of those (38.3%) were categorized as overexertion claims. There was no association between FMS score and claim status [odds ratio (OR) = 1.27, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.88 - 1.83] and overexertion claim vs. no claim/other claim (OR = 1.33, 95% CI: 0.81 - 2.21). There was no optimal cutoff for FMS in predicting a WC claim. Conclusions: Although the FMS has been predictive of injuries in other populations, among this sample of firefighters, it was not predictive of a future WC claim.

The Use Ridge Regression for Yield Prediction Models with Multicollinearity Problems (수확예측(收穫豫測) Model의 Multicollinearity 문제점(問題點) 해결(解決)을 위(爲)한 Ridge Regression의 이용(利用))

  • Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.79 no.3
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    • pp.260-268
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    • 1990
  • Two types of ridge regression estimators were compared with the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator in order to select the "best" estimator when multicollinearitc existed. The ridge estimators were Mallows's (1973) $C_P$-like statistic, and Allen's (1974) PRESS-like statistic. The evaluation was conducted based on the predictive ability of a yield model developed by Matney et al. (1988). A total of 522 plots from the data of the Southwide Loblolly Pine Seed Source study was used in this study. All of ridge estimators were better in predictive ability than the OLS estimator. The ridge estimator obtained by using Mallows's statistic performed the best. Thus, ridge estimators can be recommended as an alternative estimator when multicollinearity exists among independent variables.

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The Design of Adaptive Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks Architectures Based on Fuzzy Neural Networks and Self-Organizing Networks (퍼지뉴럴 네트워크와 자기구성 네트워크에 기초한 적응 퍼지 다항식 뉴럴네트워크 구조의 설계)

  • Park, Byeong-Jun;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Jang, Sung-Whan
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.126-135
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    • 2002
  • The study is concerned with an approach to the design of new architectures of fuzzy neural networks and the discussion of comprehensive design methodology supporting their development. We propose an Adaptive Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks(APFNN) based on Fuzzy Neural Networks(FNN) and Self-organizing Networks(SON) for model identification of complex and nonlinear systems. The proposed AFPNN is generated from the mutually combined structure of both FNN and SON. The one and the other are considered as the premise and the consequence part of AFPNN, respectively. As the premise structure of AFPNN, FNN uses both the simplified fuzzy inference and error back-propagation teaming rule. The parameters of FNN are refined(optimized) using genetic algorithms(GAs). As the consequence structure of AFPNN, SON is realized by a polynomial type of mapping(linear, quadratic and modified quadratic) between input and output variables. In this study, we introduce two kinds of AFPNN architectures, namely the basic and the modified one. The basic and the modified architectures depend on the number of input variables and the order of polynomial in each layer of consequence structure. Owing to the specific features of two combined architectures, it is possible to consider the nonlinear characteristics of process system and to obtain the better output performance with superb predictive ability. The availability and feasibility of the AFPNN are discussed and illustrated with the aid of two representative numerical examples. The results show that the proposed AFPNN can produce the model with higher accuracy and predictive ability than any other method presented previously.