• Title/Summary/Keyword: precipitation variability

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An Analysis of Temporal Characteristic Change for Various Hydrologic Weather Parameters (II ) - On the Variability, Periodicity - (각종 수문기상인자의 경년별 특성변화 분석 (II) - 변동성, 주기성을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jae-Joon;Jang, Joo-Young;Kwak, Chang-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.483-493
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    • 2010
  • In this study, for the purpose of analyzing variability and periodicity of Korean hydrologic weather parameters, 5 hydrologic weather parameters data such as annual precipitation, annual rainy days, annual average temperature, annual average relative humidity, annual duration of sunshine are collected from 63 domestic meteorological stations that has the hydrologic weather parameters records more than 30 years. And in this study the variability and periodicity using the statistical methods like Wald-Wolfowitz test, Mann-Whitney test, and Wavelet Transform about hydrologic weather parameters is analyzed. The results of statistical analysis of variability and periodicity can be summarized as follows: 1) Variability commonly appeared in annual average temperature and annual average relative humidity. 2) Annual precipitation, annual rainy days and annual duration of sunshine showed different results according to area. 3) Periodicity appeared in annual precipitation and annual rainy days but did not appeard in annual average temperature, annual average relative humidity and annual duration of sunshine.

Some issues on the downscaling of global climate simulations to regional scales

  • Jang, Suhyung;Hwang, Manha;Hur, Youngteck;Kavvas, M. Levent
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.229-229
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    • 2015
  • Downscaling is a fundamental procedure in the assessment of the future climate change impact at regional and watershed scales. Hence, it is important to investigate the spatial variability of the climate conditions that are constructed by various downscaling methods in order to assess whether each method can model the climate conditions at various spatial scales properly. This study introduces a fundamental research from Jang and Kavvas(2015) that precipitation variability from a popular statistical downscaling method (BCSD) and a dynamical downscaling method (MM5) that is based on the NCAR/NCEP reanalysis data for a historical period and on the CCSM3 GCM A1B emission scenario simulations for a projection period, is investigated by means of some spatial characteristics: a) the normalized standard deviation (NSD), and b) the precipitation change over Northern California region. From the results of this study it is found that the BCSD method has limitations in projecting future precipitation values since the BCSD-projected precipitation, being based on the interpolated change factors from GCM projected precipitation, does not consider the interactions between GCM outputs and local geomorphological characteristics such as orographic effects and land use/cover patterns. As such, it is not clear whether the popular BCSD method is suitable for the assessment of the impact of future climate change at regional, watershed and local scales as the future climate will evolve in time and space as a nonlinear system with land-atmosphere feedbacks. However, it is noted that in this study only the BCSD procedure for the statistical downscaling method has been investigated, and the results by other statistical downscaling methods might be different.

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Linking Leaf Functional Traits with Plant Resource Utilization Strategy in an Evergreen Scrub Species Rhododendron caucasicum Pall. along Longitudinal Gradient in Georgia (The South Caucasus)

  • Ekhvaia, Jana;Bakhia, Arsena;Asanidze, Zezva;Beltadze, Tornike;Abdaladze, Otar
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.110-121
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    • 2022
  • Leaf functional traits widely have been used to understand the environmental controls of resource utilization strategy of plants along the environmental gradients. By using key leaf functional traits, we quantified the relationships between leaf traits and local climate throughout the distributional range of Rhododendron caucasicum Pall. in eastern and western Georgian mountains (the South Caucasus). Our results revealed, that all traits showed high levels of intraspecific variability across study locations and confirmed a strong phenotypic differentiation of leaf functional variation along the east-west longitudinal gradient in response to the local climate; out of the explored climatic variables, the moisture factors related to precipitation and number of precipitation and dry days for winter and growth seasons were more strongly related to leaf trait variation than the elevation and air temperature. Among studied leaf traits, the leaf specific area (SLA) showed the highest level of variability indicating the different resource utilization strategies of eastern and western-central Rh. caucasicum individuals. High SLA leaves for western-central Caucasian individuals work in relatively resource-rich environments (more humid in terms of precipitation amount and the number of precipitation days in winter) and could be explained by preferential allocation to photosynthesis and growth, while eastern Caucasian samples work in resource-poor environments (less humid in terms of precipitation amount and the number of precipitation days in winter) and the retention of captured resources is a higher priority appearing in a low SLA leaves. However, more evidence from a broader study of the species throughout its distribution range by including additional environmental factors and molecular markers are needed for firmer conclusions of intraspecific variability of Rh. caucasicum.

Climatological Variability of Temperature and Precipitation in Jeju (제주지역 기온과 강수량의 기후 변동 특성)

  • Kim, Seong-Su;Jang, Seung-Min;Baek, Hee-Jeong;Choi, Heung-Yeon;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.188-197
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    • 2006
  • The characteristics of variability of temperature and precipitation in Jeju were investigated using data observed in Jeju station for from 1924 to 2004. Annual mean temperature change for the last 81 years is $0.02^{\circ}C$ increase per year. After 1980, the increase is $0.05^{\circ}C$ per year, larger than the former. The increase of the minimum temperature is larger than that of the maximum temperature in Jeju and has resulted in the increase of mean temperature. The frequency of climate extreme occurrence of temperature and rainfall was also investigated. The temporal variation of frequency of the extremely higher temperature has increased in the 1980's with global warming. The appearance of the extremely lower minimum temperature has decreased during the summers and winters. The facts that the frequencies of rainy days has decreased and heavy rainfall days of more than 80 mm per day in precipitation has increased indicate the increase of rainfall intensity.

The Climatological Characteristics of Monthly Precipitation over Han- and Nakdong-river Basins: Part I. Variability of Area Averaged Time Series (한강과 낙동강 유역평균 월강수량의 기후 특성: I. 유역평균 시계열의 변동)

  • Baek, Hee-Jeong;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2005
  • The climatological characteristics of the area averaged monthly precipitation over the Han- and Nakdong-river basins were investigated. The data used for this study is monthly precipitation data from 51 meteorological stations for the period of 1954 to 2002. The magnitude of area averaged precipitation in the Han-river basin was about 10% larger than that in the Nakdong-river basin. However, the variability of two monthly precipitation time series exhibited similar characteristics: April precipitation tends to decrease and August precipitation increase significantly, while there was no significant trend for the other months. There were some indications of abrupt change around the 1970's in the periodicity of precipitation and relationship with El Nino index. September precipitation showed negative correlation with NINO3 index but November precipitation, positive correlation with NINO3 index, indicating a possible connection with the global-scale phenomena.

A Study of the Urbanization Effect on the Precipitation Pattern in Urban Areas (도시화가 도시지역 강수변화에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Moon, Young-Il;Kim, Jong-Suk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.10 s.159
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    • pp.885-894
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    • 2005
  • Since the 1970s, rapid Industrialization has brought urbanization nationwide. In this paper, thirty one years data(1973-2003) ate used to evaluate variability of major cities. Before assessing the context between urbanization and variability of rainfall, the rural areas are selected to compare with urban ones. Thus, average, trends, variations, and nonparametric frequency analysis methods were employed for evaluating variation of annual precipitation, seasonal precipitation, 1 hour annual maximum design rainfall and 24 hour annual maximum design rainfall for both urban and rural areas. The result have shown that summer precipitation relatively increased In urban areas compared to that in rural areas.

Synoptic Climatological Characteristics of Distribution of Precipitation in Korea in Early Autumn (한국의 초가을 강수분포의 종관기후학적 특성)

  • Yang, Jin-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 1999
  • This study is a comparative analysis of sea level and 500hPa surfaces between dry year and wet year, which are selected by variability of precipitation and standardized anomalies in Korea in early autumn. While the amount of precipitation of early autumn decreases, the variability of precipitation increases rapidly reflecting the strength and weakness of Kaul Changma front and the occurrences of the typhoonic precipitation. The regional distribution of the variability of precipitation shows west-high, east-low pattern in which the east coast and the southeastern coast shows low, but high in the southwestern coast. In the anomalies distribution of sea-level and 500hPa surfaces, during dry year, the northern part of Siberia and the core area of North Pacific high shows negative anomalies, on the contrary, there were positive anomalies in wet year at the same areas. In addition, at the 500hPa level, while the Korean peninsula was located at the west of deep trough with low zonal index in dry year, the peninsula was influenced by weak trough with high zonal index showing strong zonal flow in wet year. During dry year the height of 500hPa surface is low at the north of $40^{\circ}N$, but high in wet year. In consequences, this study identified that the occurrences of dry year and wet year were influenced by the seasonal variations of the strength and the weakness of North Pacific high and Siberian high.

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Granger Causality Test between ENSO and Winter Climate Variability over the Korean Peninsula (엘니뇨-남방진동과 한반도 겨울철 기후변동성의 그랜저 인과관계 검정)

  • Park, Chang-Hyun;Son, Seok-Woo;Choi, Jung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.171-179
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    • 2018
  • The causal relationship between El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and winter climate variability in Korea is tested by analyzing Korea Meteorological Administration Automatic Synoptic Observing System datasets for the past 59 years. Consistent with previous studies, positive phase of ENSO (El Nino) tends to cause warmer temperature and heavier precipitation in Korea in early winter with three-week lead time. This causality is quantified by performing Granger causality test. It turns out that ENSO explains an additional 9.25% of the variance of early-winter temperature anomalies in Korea, beyond that already provided by temperature itself. Likewise, 22.18% additional information is gained to explain early-winter precipitation variance by considering ENSO. This result, which differs from simple lead-lag correlation analysis, suggests that ENSO needs to be considered in predicting early-winter surface climate variability in Korea.

Estimation of Stream Discharge using Antecedent Precipitation Index Models in a Small Mountainous Forested Catchment: Upper Reach of Yongsucheon Stream, Gyeryongsan Mountain (산악 산림 소유역에서 선행강우지수를 이용한 하천유량 추정: 계룡산 용수천 상류)

  • Jung, Youn-Young;Koh, Dong-Chan;Han, Hye-Sung;Kwon, Hong-Il;Lim, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 2016
  • Variability in precipitation due to climate change causes difficulties in securing stable surface water resource, which requires understanding of relation between precipitation and stream discharge. This study simulated stream discharge in a small mountainous forested catchment using antecedent precipitation index (API) models which represent variability of saturation conditions of soil layers depending on rainfall events. During 13 months from May 2015 to May 2016, stream discharge and rainfall were measured at the outlet and in the central part of the watershed, respectively. Several API models with average recession coefficients were applied to predict stream discharge using measured rainfall, which resulted in the best reflection time for API model was 1 day in terms of predictability of stream discharge. This indicates that soil water in riparian zones has fast response to rainfall events and its storage is relatively small. The model can be improved by employing seasonal recession coefficients which can consider seasonal fluctuation of hydrological parameters. These results showed API models can be useful to evaluate variability of streamflow in ungauged small forested watersheds in that stream discharge can be simulated using only rainfall data.

Revisiting Horton Index Using a Conceptual Soil Water Balance Model (개념적인 토양수분수지 모형을 이용한 Horton 지수의 재논의)

  • Choi, Daegyu;Kim, Sangdan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5B
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    • pp.471-477
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the variability of the Horton index which is ratio of vaporization and wetting water is investigated using a conceptual soil water balance model. From the proposed model, the steady-state soil water probabilistic density function is derived through meteorological and watershed characteristics and then the sensitivity of Horton index to the precipitation occurrence rate and the mean of wet day precipitation is examined. As a result, the inter-annual variability of the Horton index is lower than that of precipitation and they showed the strong negative correlation. It is also shown that although precipitation is not varied, the Horton index can be varied due to the fluctuation of the precipitation occurrence rate and the mean of wet day precipitation. In addition, it is presented that there is a non-linear relationship which has a critical point switching proportional or inverse relationship between the Horton index and two main characteristics of precipitation process.