• Title/Summary/Keyword: precipitation method

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A Study on the Analysis of Jeju Island Precipitation Patterns using the Convolution Neural Network (합성곱신경망을 이용한 제주도 강수패턴 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Hoon;Lee, Bong-Kyu
    • Journal of Software Assessment and Valuation
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2019
  • Since Jeju is the absolute weight of agriculture and tourism, the analysis of precipitation is more important than other regions. Currently, some numerical models are used for analysis of precipitation of Jeju Island using observation data from meteorological satellites. However, since precipitation changes are more diverse than other regions, it is difficult to obtain satisfactory results using the existing numerical models. In this paper, we propose a Jeju precipitation pattern analysis method using the texture analysis method based on Convolution Neural Network (CNN). The proposed method converts the water vapor image and the temperature information of the area of ​​Jeju Island from the weather satellite into texture images. Then converted images are fed into the CNN to analyse the precipitation patterns of Jeju Island. We implement the proposed method and show the effectiveness of the proposed method through experiments.

Estimating the Monthly Precipitation Distribution of North Korea Using the PRISM Model and Enhanced Detailed Terrain Information (PRISM과 개선된 상세 지형정보를 이용한 월별 북한지역 강수량 분포 추정)

  • Kim, Dae-jun;Kim, Jin-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.366-372
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    • 2019
  • The PRISM model has been used to estimate precipitation in South Korea where observation data are readily available at a large number of weather station. However, it is likely that the PRISM model would result in relatively low reliability of precipitation estimates in North Korea where weather data are available at a relatively small number of weather stations. Alternatively, a hybrid method has been developed to estimate the precipitation distribution in area where availability of climate data is relatively low. In the hybrid method, Regression coefficients between the precipitation-terrain relationships are applied to a low-resolution precipitation map produced using the PRISM. In the present study, a hybrid approach was applied to North Korea for estimation of precipitation distribution at a high spatial resolution. At first, the precipitation distribution map was produced at a low-resolution (2,430m) using the PRISM model. Secondly, a deviation map was prepared calculating difference between altitudes of synoptic stations and virtual terrains produced using 270m-resolution digital elevation map (DEM). Lastly, another deviation map of precipitation was obtained from the maps of virtual precipitation produced using observation data from the synoptic weather stations and both synoptic and automated weather station (AWS), respectively. The regression equation between precipitation and terrain was determined using these deviation maps. The high resolution map of precipitation distribution was obtained applying the regression equation to the low-resolution map. It was found that the hybrid approach resulted in better representation of the effects of the terrain. The precipitation distribution map for the hybrid approach had similar spatial pattern to that for the existing method. It was estimated that the mean annual cumulative precipitation of entire territory of North Korea was 1,195mm with a standard deviation of 253mm.

Reactivity Test of Ni-based Catalysts Prepared by Various Preparation Methods for Production of Synthetic Nature Gas (합성천연가스 생산을 위한 고효율 Ni계 촉매의 제법에 따른 촉매의 반응특성 조사)

  • Jang, Seon-Ki;Park, No-Kuk;Lee, Tae-Jin;Koh, Dong-Jun;Lim, Hyo-Jun;Byun, Chang-Dae
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.249-256
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the Ni-based catalysts for the production of synthetic natural gas were prepared by various preparation methods such as the co-precipitation, precipitation, impregnation and physical mixing methods. The ranges of the reaction conditions were the temperatures of 250~$350^{\circ}C$, $H_2$/CO mole ratio of 3.0, the pressures of 1 atm and the space velocity of 20000 $ml/g_{-cat{\cdot}}{\cdot}h$. It was found that the catalyst prepared by precipitation method had higher CO conversion than the catalyst prepared by co-precipitation method. While the catalyst prepared by precipitation method had the formation of NiO structure, the catalyst prepared by co-precipitation method had the formation of $NiAl_2O_4$ structure. It was confirmed that Ni-based catalyst prepared by the physical mixing method had the lowest CO conversion because it was deactivated by the production of $Ni_3C$ during the methanation. As a result, it was shown clearly that Ni-based catalysts prepared by impregnation method expressed the highest catalytic activity in CO methanation.

Spatial Distribution Modeling of Daily Rainfall Using Co-Kriging Method (Co-kriging 기법을 이용한 일강우량 공간분포 모델링)

  • Hwang Sye-Woon;Park Seung-Woo;Jang Min-Won;Cho Young-Kyoung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.669-676
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    • 2006
  • Hydrological factors, especially the spatial distribution of interpretation on precipitation is often topic of interest in studying of water resource. The popular methods such as Thiessen method, inverse distance method, and isohyetal method are limited in calculating the spatial continuity and geographical characteristics. This study was intended to overcome those limitations with improved method that will yield higher accuracy. The monthly and yearly precipitation data were produced and compared with the observed daily precipitation to find correlation between them. They were then used as secondary variables in Co-kriging method, and the result was compared with the outcome of existing methods like inverse distance method and kriging method. The comparison of the data showed that the daily precipitation had high correlation with corresponding year's average monthly amounts of precipitation and the observed average monthly amounts of precipitation. Then the result from the application of these data for a Co-kriging method confirmed increased accuracy in the modeling of spatial distribution of precipitation, thus indirectly reducing inconsistency of the spatial distribution of hydrological factors other than precipitation.

Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation using Long Short-Term Memory Networks

  • Thi, Linh Dinh;Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.183-183
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    • 2020
  • Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation plays an important role in hydrological modelling and prediction. Instantaneous quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) by utilizing the weather radar data is a great applicability for operational hydrology in a catchment. Previously, regression technique performed between reflectivity (Z) and rain intensity (R) is used commonly to obtain radar QPEs. A novel, recent approaching method which might be applied in hydrological area for QPE is Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. LSTM networks is a development and evolution of Recurrent Neuron Networks (RNNs) method that overcomes the limited memory capacity of RNNs and allows learning of long-term input-output dependencies. The advantages of LSTM compare to RNN technique is proven by previous works. In this study, LSTM networks is used to estimate the quantitative precipitation from weather radar for an urban catchment in South Korea. Radar information and rain-gauge data are used to evaluate and verify the estimation. The estimation results figure out that LSTM approaching method shows the accuracy and outperformance compared to Z-R relationship method. This study gives us the high potential of LSTM and its applications in urban hydrology.

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A Study on Fuzzy Logic based Clustering Method for Radar Data Analysis (레이더 데이터 분석을 위한 Fuzzy Logic 기반 클러스터링 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hansoo;Kim, Eun Kyeong;Kim, Sungshin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.217-222
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    • 2015
  • Clustering is one of important data mining techniques known as exploratory data analysis and is being applied in various engineering and scientific fields such as pattern recognition, remote sensing, and so on. The method organizes data by abstracting underlying structure either as a grouping of individuals or as a hierarchy of groups. Weather radar observes atmospheric objects by utilizing reflected signals and stores observed data in corresponding coordinate. To analyze the radar data, it is needed to be separately organized precipitation and non-precipitation echo based on similarities. Thus, this paper studies to apply clustering method to radar data. In addition, in order to solve the problem when precipitation echo locates close to non-precipitation echo, fuzzy logic based clustering method which can consider both distance and other properties such as reflectivity and Doppler velocity is suggested in this paper. By using actual cases, the suggested clustering method derives better results than previous method in near-located precipitation and non-precipitation echo case.

Estimation of Quantitative Precipitation Rate Using an Optimal Weighting Method with RADAR Estimated Rainrate and AWS Rainrate (RADAR 추정 강수량과 AWS 강수량의 최적 결합 방법을 이용한 정량적 강수량 산출)

  • Oh, Hyun-Mi;Heo, Ki-Young;Ha, Kyung-Ja
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.485-493
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    • 2006
  • This study is to combine precipitation data with different spatial-temporal characteristics using an optimal weighting method. This optimal weighting method is designed for combination of AWS rain gage data and S-band RADAR-estimated rain data with weighting function in inverse proportion to own mean square error for the previous time step. To decide the optimal weight coefficient for optimized precipitation according to different training time, the method has been performed on Changma case with a long spell of rainy hour for the training time from 1 hour to 10 hours. Horizontal field of optimized precipitation tends to be smoothed after 2 hours training time, and then optimized precipitation has a good agreement with synoptic station rainfall assumed as true value. This result suggests that this optimal weighting method can be used for production of high-resolution quantitative precipitation rate using various data sets.

Some issues on the downscaling of global climate simulations to regional scales

  • Jang, Suhyung;Hwang, Manha;Hur, Youngteck;Kavvas, M. Levent
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.229-229
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    • 2015
  • Downscaling is a fundamental procedure in the assessment of the future climate change impact at regional and watershed scales. Hence, it is important to investigate the spatial variability of the climate conditions that are constructed by various downscaling methods in order to assess whether each method can model the climate conditions at various spatial scales properly. This study introduces a fundamental research from Jang and Kavvas(2015) that precipitation variability from a popular statistical downscaling method (BCSD) and a dynamical downscaling method (MM5) that is based on the NCAR/NCEP reanalysis data for a historical period and on the CCSM3 GCM A1B emission scenario simulations for a projection period, is investigated by means of some spatial characteristics: a) the normalized standard deviation (NSD), and b) the precipitation change over Northern California region. From the results of this study it is found that the BCSD method has limitations in projecting future precipitation values since the BCSD-projected precipitation, being based on the interpolated change factors from GCM projected precipitation, does not consider the interactions between GCM outputs and local geomorphological characteristics such as orographic effects and land use/cover patterns. As such, it is not clear whether the popular BCSD method is suitable for the assessment of the impact of future climate change at regional, watershed and local scales as the future climate will evolve in time and space as a nonlinear system with land-atmosphere feedbacks. However, it is noted that in this study only the BCSD procedure for the statistical downscaling method has been investigated, and the results by other statistical downscaling methods might be different.

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A Study on the Simulation of Daily Precipitation Using Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation (다변량 핵밀도 추정법을 이용한 일강수량 모의에 대한 연구)

  • Cha, Young-Il;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.8 s.157
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    • pp.595-604
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    • 2005
  • Precipitation simulation for making the data size larger is an important task for hydrologic analysis. The simulation can be divided into two major categories which are the parametric and nonparametric methods. Also, precipitation simulation depends on time intervals such as daily or hourly rainfall simulations. So far, Markov model is the most favored method for daily precipitation simulation. However, most models are consist of state transition probability by using the homogeneous Markov chain model. In order to make a state vector, the small size of data brings difficulties, and also the assumption of homogeneousness among the state vector in a month causes problems. In other words, the process of daily precipitation mechanism is nonstationary. In order to overcome these problems, this paper focused on the nonparametric method by using uni-variate and multi-variate when simulating a precipitation instead of currently used parametric method.

A Study on the critical cooling rate to avoid carbide precipitation in austenitic manganese steels during quenching (고망간 주강품의 열처리시 탄화물 석출방지를 위한 임계 냉각속도에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong-Tae;Kwahk, Si-Young;Choi, Jeong-Kil;Hong, Chun-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Heat Treatment
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.206-214
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    • 1999
  • The effect of cooling rate on carbide precipitation during quenching of austenitic manganese steel was investigated by optical microscopy, image analyzer and numerical analysis. A computer program based on the finite difference method for analyzing heat treatment processes was developed in order to evaluate cooling rates and the possibility of carbide precipitation during quenching. The area ratio of carbide precipitated in the austenite matrix was measured by the image analyzer, and used to determine the critical point of carbide precipitation. Temperature-dependent critical cooling rates at the critical points were calculated using the present simulation program, The calculated results showed a good agreement with the experimental ones.

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