• Title/Summary/Keyword: potential flood damage

Search Result 72, Processing Time 0.039 seconds

Determination of the Optimal Return Period for River Design using Bayes Theory (베이즈 이론을 활용한 적정 하천설계빈도 결정)

  • Ryu, Jae Hee;Lee, Jin-Young;Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.38 no.6
    • /
    • pp.793-800
    • /
    • 2018
  • It is necessary to determine an optimal design frequency for establishing stable flood control against frequent flood disasters. Depending on the importance of river and regional characteristics, design return periods are suggested from at least 50 years up to 200 years for river design. However, due to the wide range of applications, it is not desirable to reflect the geographical and flood control characteristics of river. In this study, Bayes theory was applied to seven evaluation factors to determine the optimal design return period of rivers in Chungcheongnam-do; urbanization flooded area, watershed area, basin coefficient, slope, water system and stream order, range of backwater effect, abnormal rainfall occurrence frequency. The potential flood damage (PFD) capacity was estimated considering climate change and the appropriate design return period was determined by analyzing the capacity of each district. We compared the design return periods of 382 rivers in Chungcheongnam-do with the existing design return periods. The number of rivers that were upgraded from the existing return period were 65, which have relatively large flooding areas and have large PFDs. Whereas, the number of rivers that were downgraded were 169.

Flood Damage Estimation Using Regional Regression Analysis (지역회귀분석을 이용한 홍수 피해금액 추정)

  • Jang, Ock-Jae;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.74-78
    • /
    • 2009
  • 우리 사회가 발전함에 따라 재해의 위험으로부터도 안전하게 살고자 하는 대중들의 욕구 또한 증가하고 있다. 하지만 최근의 기후변화와 이상홍수의 사례에서 볼 때 현재 우리가 처해 있는 자연재해로부터의 위협은 과거와는 상이하다는 것을 알 수 있다. 이러한 위협에 대처하기 위해서는 우리에게 노출된 재해의 특성을 평가하는 과정이 무엇보다 선행되어져야 한다. 홍수로 인한 피해는 대부분이 인명이나 재산피해가 주를 이루기 때문에 홍수위험도의 평가결과도 발생 가능한 인명이나 재산피해로 표현되는 것이 적절하다고 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지역회귀분석을 적용하여 가능 홍수 피해금액을 추산하고, 이를 통해 각 지역별 홍수위험도를 평가하는 방법을 제안하였다. 지역회귀분석은 강우유출모형이나 확률분포모형의 매개변수들을 유역 특성인자들로 표현하기 위해 수문학 분야에서 사용되어져 왔으며 본 연구에서는 이 방법을 홍수 피해금액 추정에 응용하였다. 지역회귀방법의 절차는 먼저 계측지역에서는 홍수 피해금액과 시강우량 자료를 바탕으로 비선형회귀분석을 실시한 후 이 회귀식의 계수를 다시 해당 지역의 인문 사회 경제학적 인자들로 표현하였다. 이러한 방법을 통해 지역적 인자들이 홍수 피해에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 분석할 수 있었으며 궁극적으로 미계측지역에서도 지역적 인자들을 통해 특정 빈도에 발생 가능한 홍수 피해금액을 추정할 수 있었다. 최종적으로 추정된 홍수 피해금액과 지역 총 자산의 비를 통해 홍수위험지도를 작성하였다. 본 연구결과를 수자원장기종합계획에서 홍수위험도 평가를 위해 사용된 홍수피해잠재능(Potential Flood Damage; PFD)과 비교해 보면 PFD에서는 각 인자들의 가중치 산정에서 전문가의 주관이 개입될 수 있다는 단점이 있었으나 과거 피해금액과의 상관관계를 분석한 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 극복할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

The Optimal Operation on Auxiliary Spillway to Minimize the Flood Damage in Downstream River with Various Outflow Conditions (하류하천의 영향 최소화를 위한 보조 여수로 최적 활용방안 검토)

  • Yoo, Hyung Ju;Joo, Sung Sik;Kwon, Beom Jae;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.61-75
    • /
    • 2021
  • Recently, as the occurrence frequency of sudden floods due to climate change increased and the aging of the existing spillway, it is necessary to establish a plan to utilize an auxiliary spillway to minimize the flood damage of downstream rivers. Most studies have been conducted on the review of flow characteristics according to the operation of auxiliary spillway through the hydraulic experiments and numerical modeling. However, the studies on examination of flood damage in the downstream rivers and the stability of the revetment according to the operation of the auxiliary spillway were relatively insufficient in the literature. In this study, the stability of the revetment on the downstream river according to the outflow conditions of the existing and auxiliary spillway was examined by using 3D numerical model, FLOW-3D. The velocity, water surface elevation and shear stress results of FLOW-3D were compared with the permissible velocity and shear stress of design criteria. It was assumed the sluice gate was fully opened. As a result of numerical simulations of various auxiliary spillway operations during flood season, the single operation of the auxiliary spillway showed the reduction effect of maximum velocity and the water surface elevation compared with the single operation of the existing spillway. The stability of the revetment on downstream was satisfied under the condition of outflow less than 45% of the design flood discharge. However, the potential overtopping damage was confirmed in the case of exceeding the 45% of the design flood discharge. Therefore, the simultaneous operation with the existing spillway was important to ensure the stability on design flood discharge condition. As a result of examining the allocation ratio and the total allowable outflow, the reduction effect of maximum velocity was confirmed on the condition, where the amount of outflow on auxiliary spillway was more than that on existing spillway. It is because the flow of downstream rivers was concentrated in the center due to the outflow of existing spillway. The permissible velocity and shear stress were satisfied under the condition of less than 77% of the design flood discharge with simultaneous operation. It was found that the flood damage of downstream rivers can be minimized by setting the amount allocated to the auxiliary spillway to be larger than the amount allocated to the existing spillway for the total outflow with simultaneous operation condition. However, this study only reviewed the flow characteristics around the revetment according to the outflow of spillway under the full opening of the sluice gate condition. Therefore, the various sluice opening conditions and outflow scenarios will be asked to derive more efficient utilization of the auxiliary spillway in th future.

Effects of Water Potential on Plant Growth and Aerenchyma Development in Adlay(Coix lacryma-jobi L. var. mayuen) (토양수분 차이가 율무의 생장과 통기조직 발달에 미치는 영향)

  • 김정태;박희생;김성만;이성환
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
    • /
    • v.42 no.6
    • /
    • pp.778-782
    • /
    • 1997
  • Effects of different water potential on the growth and aerenchyma development of Adlay(Coix lacryma-jobi L. var. mayuen) were studied under every 3 days intermittent irrigation as a control at different growth stages, flooded pot condition and drought. Adlay could not germinate in the anaerobic soil conditions with excessive moisture while it wasn't inflicted with moisture damage after sprouting. Sprouted adlay can grow under flooded soil moisture condition because it's root has orthostichy cell, ventilating structure and cortex. Proping or ventilating roots were generated from adlay grown under flooded pots. Drought damage inflicted at the heading stage was the most severe.

  • PDF

Effects on Conservation and Flood Control Systems According In Normal Water Level Change from Daechung Multi-Purpose Reservoir (대청 다목적댐의 상시만수위 변경에 따른 이수 및 치수 영향 검토)

  • Yi, Jae-Eung;Kwon, Dong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.40 no.1 s.174
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2007
  • Reallocation procedure of multipurpose reservoir storage capacity between flood control and conservation is presented as an alternative to secure more water resources. Storage reallocation is an adaptive management mechanism for converting existing normal pool level of reservoirs to more beneficial uses without requirement for physical alteration. This study is intended to develop a reservoir storage reallocation methodology that allows increased water supply storage without minimizing adverse impacts on flood control. The methodology consists of flood control reservoir simulation for inflows with various return periods, flow routing from reservoir to a potential damage site, analyzing river carrying capacity, and reservoir yields estimation for reallocated storages. For the flood control model, a simulation model called Rigid ROM(Reservoir Operation Method) and HEC-5 are used. The approach is illustrated by applying it to two reservoirs system in Geum River basin. Especially with and without new project conditions are considered to analyze trade-offs between competing objectives.

A Review of Urban Flooding: Causes, Impacts, and Mitigation Strategies (도시 홍수: 원인, 영향 및 저감 전략 고찰)

  • Jin-Yong Lee
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.489-502
    • /
    • 2023
  • Urban floods pose significant challenges to cities worldwide, driven by the interplay between urbanization and climate change. This review examines recent studies of urban floods to understand their causes, impacts, and potential mitigation strategies. Urbanization, with its increase in impermeable surfaces and altered drainage patterns, disrupts natural water flow, exacerbating surface runoff during intense rainfall events. The impacts of urban floods are far-reaching, affecting lives, infrastructure, the economy, and the environment. Loss of life, property damage, disruptions to critical services, and environmental consequences underscore the urgency of effective urban flood management. To mitigate urban floods, integrated flood management strategies are crucial. Sustainable urban planning, green infrastructure, and improved drainage systems play pivotal roles in reducing flood vulnerabilities. Early warning systems, emergency response planning, and community engagement are essential components of flood preparedness and resilience. Looking to the future, climate change projections indicate increased flood risks, necessitating resilience and adaptation measures. Advances in research, data collection, and modeling techniques will enable more accurate flood predictions, thus guiding decision-making. In conclusion, urban flooding demands urgent attention and comprehensive strategies to protect lives, infrastructure, and the economy.

A study on the feasibility analysis of the current flood season: a case study of the Yongdam Dam (현행 법정홍수기 타당성 검토 및 개선에 관한 연구: 용담댐 사례)

  • Lee, Jae Hwang;Kim, Gi Joo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.57 no.5
    • /
    • pp.359-369
    • /
    • 2024
  • Korea prepares for potential floods by designating June 21st to September 20th as the flood season. However, many dams in Korea have suffered from extreme floods caused by different climate patterns, as in the case of the longest consecutive rain of 54 days in the 2020's flood season. In this context, various studies have tried to develop novel methodologies to reduce flood damage, but no study has ever dealt with the validity of the current statutory flood season thus far. This study first checked the validity of the current flood season through the observation data in the 21st century and proved that the current flood season does not consider the effects of increasing precipitation trends and the changing regional rainfall characteristics. In order to deal with these limitations, this study suggested seven new alternative flood seasons in the research area. The rigid reservoir operation method (ROM) was used for reservoir simulation, and the long short-term memory (LSTM) model was used to derive predicted inflow. Finally, all alternatives were evaluated based on whether if they exceeded the design discharge of the dam and the design flood of the river. As a result, the floods in the shifted period were reduced by 0.068% and 0.33% in terms of frequency and duration, and the magnitude also decreased by 24.6%, respectively. During this period, the second evaluation method also demonstrated that flood decreased from four to two occurrences. As the result of this study, the authors expect a formal reassessment of the flood season to take place, which will ultimately lead to the preemptive flood response to changing precipitation patterns.

Economic Analysis of Floodplain Forecast using GIS and MD-FDA (GIS와 MD-FDA를 연계한 예상침수지역의 경제성 분석)

  • Choi, Hyun;Ahn, Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.25 no.6_2
    • /
    • pp.599-611
    • /
    • 2007
  • Among natural disasters that lead to devastating damage, floods from heavy rains have been causing hundreds of victims and a great loss of their properties every year. Basically, there is no other way to deal with the problem considering the characteristics of natural disaster, but more specific studies for a preventive measure of flood has been in progress so far. However, the controversy over the problem is going on due to the objection of some environmental organizations or some economic reasons. The key point is to select the most likely area for a preventive measure of floods where a huge amount of the national budget is put into it. This is the factor which judges whether it would be a success or failure. This study aims to provide some basic data for deciding the priority order in a disaster preventing plan by drawing more potential damage areas from the connection with GIS and using them into the economic analysis for flood prevention industries.

Integrated Approach for Watershed Management in an Urban Area (도시 유역 관리를 위한 통합적인 접근방법)

  • Lee, Kil-Seong;Chung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.2 s.163
    • /
    • pp.161-178
    • /
    • 2006
  • Heathcote (1998) identified a systematic, seven-step approach to general watershed planning and management. It consists of 1) understanding watershed components and processes, 2) identifying and ranking problems to be solved, 3) setting clear and specific goals, 4) developing a list of management options, 5) eliminating infeasible options 6) testing the effectiveness of remaining feasible options, and 7) developing the final options. In this study the first five steps of that process were applied to the Anyangcheon watershed in Korea, which experiences streamflow depletion, frequent flood damages, and poor water quality typical of highly urbanized watersheds. This study employed four indices: Potential Flood Damage(PFD), Potential Streamflow Depletion(PSD), Potential Water Quality Deterioration(PWQD) and Watershed Evaluation Index(WEI) to identify and quantify problems within the watershed. WEI is the integration index of the others. Composite programming which is a method of multi-criteria decision making is applied for the calculation of PSD, PWQD and WEI (Step 2). The primary goal of the study is to secure instreamflow in the Anyangcheon during dry seasons. The second management goals of flood damage mitigation and water quality enhancement are also set (Step 3). Management options include not only structural measures that can alter the existing conditions, but also nonstructural measures that rely on changes in human behavior or management practices (Step 4). Certain management options which are not technically, economically, and environmentally feasible, are eliminated (Step S). Therefore, this study addresses a Pre-feasibility study, which established a master plan using Steps 1 through 5.

Identifying Spatial Hazard Ranking Using Multicriteria Decision Making Techniques (다기준 의사결정기법을 이용한 공간위험 순위산정)

  • Chung, Eun-Sung;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.40 no.12
    • /
    • pp.969-983
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study developed a ten-step procedure of integrated watershed management (IWM) for sustainability to rehabilitate the distorted hydrologic cycle and identified spatial hazard ranking(step 2). Spatial hazard indices, Potential flood damage (PFD), potential streamflow depletion (PSD), potential water quality deterioration (PWQD), and watershed evaluation index (WEI) were developed using multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) techniques and sustainability evaluation concept(pressure-state-response model). The used MCDM techniques are composite programming, compromise programing, Regime method, and EVAMIX approach which are classified by data availability and objectives (prefeasibility and feasibility).