• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.123-138
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• 2022

Purpose - This study compares the performances of dynamic asset allocation strategies using Korean stocks and U.S. dollar, which have been negatively correlated for a long time, to examine the diversification effects in the portfolios of them. Design/methodology/approach - In the current study, we use KOSPI200 index, as a proxy of the aggregated portfolio of Korean stocks, and USDKRW foreign exchange rate to implement various portfolio management strategies. We consider the equally-weighted, risk-parity, minimum variance, most diversified, and growth optimal portfolios for comparison. Findings - We first find the enhancement of risk adjusted returns due to risk reduction rather than return increasement for all the portfolios of consideration. Second, the enhancement is more pronounced for the trading strategies using correlations as well as volatilities compared to those using volatilities only. Third, the diversification effect has become stronger after the global financial crisis in 2008. Lastly, we find that the performance of the growth optimal portfolio can be improved by utilizing the well-known momentum phenomenon in stock markets to select the length of the sample period to estimate the expected return. Research implications or Originality - This study shows the potential benefits of adding the U.S. dollar to the portfolios of Korean stocks. The current study is the first to investigate the portfolio of Korean stocks and U.S. dollar from investment perspective.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.59-71
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• 2014

KOSPI200 선물 트레이딩을 위해 업계에서는 여러 전략으로 포트폴리오를 구성해서 운용한다. 동일한 전략 모음을 갖고 있더라도 포트폴리오를 어떻게 구성하느냐에 따라 수익은 크게 차이가 난다. 시장 상황에 맞는 전략들로 포트폴리오를 구성하는 것은 오랜 경험과 탁월한 노하우가 있어야하는 어려운 작업이다. 본 논문에서는 SVM을 활용하여 쉽고 빠르게 적절한 전략 포트폴리오를 구성하는 방법을 제시하였다. 본 논문에서 제안한 시스템의 성과는 벤치마킹의 성과와 비교하여 2배 이상의 수익을 내는 것을 확인하였다. 1990.01.03~2011.11.04 동안의 KOSPI200 데이터 중 이전 80%의 데이터로 학습을 하고 최근 20%의 데이터로 성능을 시험하였다. 각 전략별로 선택여부를 판별하는 SVM모델을 만들고 그 결과를 바탕으로 포트폴리오를 구성하였다. 벤치마킹을 위해 KOSPI200 선물을 2계약 매수한 경우의 수익, 시험 시작 직전 30일간 최고 수익을 낸 2개 전략의 수익, 실제 최고 수익을 낸 전략 2개를 보유했을 때의 수익과 비교하였다. 매매 비용을 반영하지 않을 때는 벤치마킹은 132.2~510.37pt의 수익을 냈고, 본 시스템은 1072.36~1140.91pt의 수익을 보여주었다. 그리고 거래비용을 감안하면 벤치마킹은 130.44~502.41pt의 수익을 냈고, 본 시스템은 706.22pt~768.95pt의 수익을 나타내었다. 본 논문은 기계학습을 통한 전략 포트폴리오를 구성하는 방안이 유의미하며 실전에 활용할 수 있음을 보여주었다. 이를 바탕으로 여러 전략과 다양한 시장에 적용해서 안정성을 검증하면 견고한 상용 솔루션으로 발전시킬 수 있을 것이다. 그리고 자금관리 기법을 더 반영한다면 수익을 더욱 크게 향상시킬 수 있을 것이다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.1481-1500
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• 2017

본 연구는 우리나라 주식시장을 대상으로 회계 정보 기반 포트폴리오 투자전략의 안정성과 우수성을 확인하였다. 포트폴리오를 구성 하는 과정에서 재무비율의 다양한 조합을 활용하여 기대수익률이 높고, 투자 위험이 낮은 종목군을 선정하고 그 성과를 측정하였다. 또한 회계 정보 기반 유전자 알고리즘 최적화 아이디어를 제시하여 투자성과를 높이고자 했다. 본 연구의 결과로 회계 정보를 활용한 포트폴리오 구성 전략이 투자 의사결정에 유효하며, 이를 통하여 높은 투자성과를 얻을 수 있음을 확인했다. 또한 유전자 알고리즘을 활용한 포트폴리오 투자전략이 실무적으로 투자 의사결정에 유용하게 활용될 수 있음을 검증하였다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.63-73
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• 2023

This study explores modern portfolio theory by integrating the Black-Litterman portfolio with time-series clustering, specificially emphasizing K-shape clustering methodology. K-shape clustering enables grouping time-series data effectively, enhancing the ability to plan and manage investments in stock markets when combined with the Black-Litterman portfolio. Based on the patterns of stock markets, the objective is to understand the relationship between past market data and planning future investment strategies through backtesting. Additionally, by examining diverse learning and investment periods, it is identified optimal strategies to boost portfolio returns while efficiently managing associated risks. For comparative analysis, traditional Markowitz portfolio is also assessed in conjunction with clustering techniques utilizing K-Means and K-Means with Dynamic Time Warping. It is suggested that the combination of K-shape and the Black-Litterman model significantly enhances portfolio optimization in the stock market, providing valuable insights for making stable portfolio investment decisions. The achieved sharpe ratio of 0.722 indicates a significantly higher performance when compared to other benchmarks, underlining the effectiveness of the K-shape and Black-Litterman integration in portfolio optimization.

• 교양교육연구
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.241-267
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• 2012

본 연구는 신입생들이 대학생활에서 실제적으로 필요한 학업수행과 진로 탐색을 중심으로 이에 대한 방법적인 지식을 습득할 수 있는 교과목의 운영방법을 개선하고 그 효과를 탐색하는데 목적을 두고 있다. 이를 위해 A대학교에서 신입생들을 대상으로 교양필수로 개설, 운영 중인 '학습전략과 진로탐색' 교과목을 학습 포트폴리오(Learning Portfolio) 활용 중심의 교수-학습법으로 개선하여 운영하고 그 효과를 측정하였다. 연구를 위하여 문헌연구, 국내외 우수 사례 분석, 전문가 자문, 교수자 및 학습자 설문조사 등의 연구방법을 통해 학습 포트폴리오를 활용한 '학습전략과 진로탐색' 교과목을 2011학년도 1학기의 수업에 전면적으로 운영하고 그 효과를 살펴보았다. 활용결과, 담당 교수자와 과목 수강생들이 학습 포트폴리오 활용 교수-학습방법에 대해 만족하였으며, 과목 수강생 대상의 사전-사후 설문조사 결과 본 교과목의 수강이 학습전략과 진로탐색에 도움이 되었다는 것을 확인하였다.

• 충청수학회지
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.375-383
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• 2016

This paper investigates an optimal consumption, portfolio, and life insurance strategies of a family when there is a borrowing constraint and risk aversion change at the time of death of the breadwinner. A CRRA utility is employed and by using the dynamic programming method, we obtain analytic expressions for the optimal strategies.

• 산업공학
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.300-310
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• 2010

This paper is about an optimal investment portfolio strategy. Financial data of stocks, bonds, and savings from January 2. 2001 through October 30. 2009 were utilized in order to suggest the optimal portfolio strategies. Fundamental analysis and technical analysis were used in stocks-related strategy, whereas passive investment strategy and active investment strategy were used in bond-related strategy. The score is assigned to each stock index according to the suggested strategies and set trading rules are based on the scores. The simulation has been executed about each 29,400-portfolios and we figured out with the simulation result that 26.75% of 7,864 portfolios are more profitable than average stock market profit (22.6%, Annualized). The outcome of this research is summarized in two parts. First, it's the rebalancing strategy of portfolio. The result shows that value-oriented investment(long-term investment) strategy yields much higher than short-term investment strategies of stocks or active investment of bonds. Second, it's about the rebalancing cycle forming the portfolios. The result shows that the rate of return for the portfolio is the best when rebalancing cycle is 12 or 18 months.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제15권1_2호
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• pp.109-126
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• 2004

This paper deals with two problems of optimal portfolio strategies in continuous time. The first one studies the optimal behavior of a firm who is forced to withdraw funds continuously at a fixed rate per unit time. The second one considers a firm that is faced with an uncontrollable stochastic cash flow, or random risk process. We assume the firm's income can be obtained only from the investment in two assets: a risky asset (e.g., stock) and a riskless asset (e.g., bond). Therefore, the firm's wealth follows a stochastic process. When the wealth is lower than certain legal level, the firm goes bankrupt. Thus how to invest is the fundamental problem of the firm in order to avoid bankruptcy. Under the case of different lending and borrowing rates, we obtain the optimal portfolio strategies for some reasonable objective functions that are the piecewise linear functions of the firm's current wealth and present some interesting proofs for the conclusions. The optimal policies are easy to be operated for any relevant investor.

• 한국생활과학회지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.75-87
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• 2007

The purpose of this study was to classify the financial strategies in elderly households. The data of 4,577 households with all ages and 1255 elderly households is from the Korean Labor and Income Panel Study(2000, 2003). The data were analyzed by various statistical methods such as frequency, mean-test, Duncan's multiple range test, k-mean cluster analysis and logistic regression. Findings were as follows; First, the classified household financial strategy types were Residual(44.3%), Financial Assets(24.0%), Informal Institutional(19.7%), Diversified Portfolio(7.6%), Real Estate(4.5%). Second, the criteria of classification of the financial strategies were relative, not absolute. Third, households(both elderly households and all households) that employed a diversified portfolio strategy had the greatest net wealth.

• 가정과삶의질연구
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.165-175
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• 2004

The purpose of this study was to classify the household financial strategies and investigate major determinants of the household financial strategies and financial performance. The data of 3,994 households is from the Korean Labor and Income Panel Stud?. The major findings were as follows. (1) The classified household financial strategies types were Residual ($44.6\%$), Informal Institutional ($13.3\%$), Financial Assets ($16.7\%$), Real Estate ($13.4\%$), and Diversified Portfolio ($12.0\%$). (2) The criteria of classification of the household financial strategies were relative, not absolute. (3) The household financial strategy types changed largely during a short period(1999-2000). (4) In all households, the variables that affected changes in household financial strategies were education, occupation, number of children, residential location and home ownership. (5) Households that employed a diversified portfolio strategy had the greatest financial performance (2,316,000 won net gain). (6) In all households, the variables that had the greatest influence on financial performance were the number of children, assets and debts. 1'he financial performance was significantly different according to changes in the household financial strategy.