• Title/Summary/Keyword: portfolio investment

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CONSUMPTION-LEISURE CHOICE WITH STOCHASTIC INCOME FLOW

  • Lee, Ho-Seok;Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates the portfolio selection problem with flexible labor choice and stochastic income flow where the unit wage flow is governed by a stochastic process. The agent optimally chooses consumption, investment, and labor supply. We derive the closed-form solution by applying a martingale method even with the stochastic income flow.

PORTFOLIO SELECTION WITH HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING AND INFLATION RISK

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.169-180
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    • 2021
  • This paper investigates the time-inconsistent agent's optimal consumption and investment problem under inflation risk. The agents' discount factor is governed by hyperbolic discounting, which has a random time to change. We impose the inflation risk which plays a crucial role in long-term financial planning. We derive the semi-analytic solution to the problem of sophisticated agents when the time horizon is finite.

A WEALTH-DEPENDENT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY SET: ITS EFFECT ON OPTIMAL CONSUMPTION AND PORTFOLIO DECISIONS

  • Choi, Sung-Sub;Koo, Hyeng-Keun;Shim, Gyoo-Cheol;Zariphopoulou, Thaleia
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2003
  • We consider a consumption and investment problem where an investor's investment opportunity gets enlarged when she becomes rich enough, i.e., when her wealth touches a critical level. We derive optimal consumption and investment rules assuming that the investor has a time-separable von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function. An interesting feature of optimal rules is that the investor consumes less and takes more risk in risky assets if the investor expects that she will have a better investment opportunity when her wealth reaches a critical level.

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Performance and Asset Management System of Listed Property Trusts in Australia: Implications for Korean Real Estate Indirect Investment Market (호주 Listed Property Trusts의 성과와 자산관리 특성 분석: 우리나라 부동산간접투자에의 시사점)

  • Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.245-262
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    • 2007
  • This paper aims at analyzing the characteristics of performance and asset management system of listed property trusts(LPT) in Australia, and elucidating the implications for Korean real estate indirect investment market. The main results of this paper are as follows. Firstly, LPT have a leading position among the real estate indirect investment systems in Australia, through the rapid growth of market capitalization. Secondly, LPT achieved superior risk adjustment performance than other financial products, and had valid portfolio diversification effect. Thirdly, many LPT have used stapled securities structure as a asset management system, and stapled LPT revealed superior risk adjustment performance than unit LPT. Finally, implications and policy measures such as using the stapled structure and activating the development activities were examined for the development of Korean real estate indirect investment market.

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Developing Cryptocurrency Trading Strategies with Time Series Forecasting Model (시계열 예측 모델을 활용한 암호화폐 투자 전략 개발)

  • Hyun-Sun Kim;Jae Joon Ahn
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.152-159
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    • 2023
  • This study endeavors to enrich investment prospects in cryptocurrency by establishing a rationale for investment decisions. The primary objective involves evaluating the predictability of four prominent cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and EOS - and scrutinizing the efficacy of trading strategies developed based on the prediction model. To identify the most effective prediction model for each cryptocurrency annually, we employed three methodologies - AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Prophet - representing traditional statistics and artificial intelligence. These methods were applied across diverse periods and time intervals. The result suggested that Prophet trained on the previous 28 days' price history at 15-minute intervals generally yielded the highest performance. The results were validated through a random selection of 100 days (20 target dates per year) spanning from January 1st, 2018, to December 31st, 2022. The trading strategies were formulated based on the optimal-performing prediction model, grounded in the simple principle of assigning greater weight to more predictable assets. When the forecasting model indicates an upward trend, it is recommended to acquire the cryptocurrency with the investment amount determined by its performance. Experimental results consistently demonstrated that the proposed trading strategy yields higher returns compared to an equal portfolio employing a buy-and-hold strategy. The cryptocurrency trading model introduced in this paper carries two significant implications. Firstly, it facilitates the evolution of cryptocurrencies from speculative assets to investment instruments. Secondly, it plays a crucial role in advancing deep learning-based investment strategies by providing sound evidence for portfolio allocation. This addresses the black box issue, a notable weakness in deep learning, offering increased transparency to the model.

Optimization of Information Security Investment Portfolios based on Data Breach Statistics: A Genetic Algorithm Approach (침해사고 통계 기반 정보보호 투자 포트폴리오 최적화: 유전자 알고리즘 접근법)

  • Jung-Hyun Lim;Tae-Sung Kim
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.201-217
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    • 2020
  • Information security is an essential element not only to ensure the operation of the company and trust with customers but also to mitigate uncertain damage by preventing information data breach. Therefore, It is important to select appropriate information security countermeasures and determine the appropriate level of investment. This study presents a decision support model for the appropriate investment amount for each countermeasure as well as an optimal portfolio of information countermeasures within a limited budget. We analyze statistics on the types of information security breach by industry and derive an optimal portfolio of information security countermeasures by using genetic algorithms. The results of this study suggest guidelines for investing in information security countermeasures in various industries and help to support objective information security investment decisions.

Analysis of the Stock Market Network for Portfolio Recommendation (주식 포트폴리오 추천을 위한 주식 시장 네트워크 분석)

  • Lee, Yun-Jung;Woo, Gyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.48-58
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    • 2013
  • The stock market is constantly changing and sometimes a slump or a sudden rising in stocks happens without any special reason. So the stock market is recognized as a complex system and it is hard to predict the change on stock prices. In this paper we consider the stock market to a network consisting of stocks. We analyzed the dynamics of the Korean stock market network and evaluated the changing of the correlation between shares consisting of the time series data of 137 companies belong to KOSPI200. Our analysis shows that the stock prices tend to plummet when the correlation between stocks is very high. We propose a method for recommending the stock portfolio based on the analysis of the stock market network. To show the effectiveness of the recommended portfolio, we conducted the simulated stock investment and compared the recommended portfolio with the efficient portfolio proposed Markowitz. According to the experiment results, the rate of return of the portfolio is about 10.6% which is about 3.7% and 5.6% higher than the average rate of return of the efficient portfolio and KOSPI200 respectively.

Making Consumer to Buy Funds: Factor Portfolio in Global Stock Distribution Market (일반 소비자의 공모펀드 구매유인 제고 방안: 글로벌 주식유통시장에서 요인포트폴리오 활용)

  • LIU, Won-Suk
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - We investigate how to increase consumer incentives to buy public offering funds, resulting in activating the public offering fund market. In particular, this study aims to find ways to expand diversity and to improve efficiency of public offering fund. The public fund market of Korea has been stagnant in recent years. However, the public offering fund market plays a very significant role in terms of consumer welfare. Since only a few wealthy investors can participate in the private equity market, the stagnation in the public offering fund market usually reduces the opportunity of consumer's buying funds thus ultimately affecting their future wealth. Research design, data, and methodology - To attain our purpose, the 'factor-based portfolio strategy' has been considered. It is an alternative portfolio strategy, which composites the advantages of the passive management and active management. For our empirical anaylsis, we used global stock distribution market data over the period of 1991 and 2016. Then we constructed portfolios based on firm-size, firm-value, and momentum. Finally, a regression model was set, then hypotheses were tested, analyzing the performances. Results - First, among the 15 factor-based portfolios of global, Europe, Asia-Pacific(ex Japan), US and Japan, in eight portfolios, positive excess returns are observed at 5% significance level. Further, there is another portfolio with positive excess return at 10% significance level. Second, most of the portfolios with significant excess performance show positive relationship with the market portfolio. However, the firm-value based portfolio in Asia-Pacific region shows no relationship, and the firm-value based portfolio in US shows negative relationship. Third, we confirmed that the two firm-value factor portfolios in Asia-Pacific region and US, not having positive relationship with market portfolio, provide significant excess returns. Conclusions - In this paper, we provide empirical evidences supporting that the factor-based portfolios expand the diversity of funds and improve the efficiency of investment performance. However, there is no guarantee that the efficiency will continue in the future. In addition, various constraints and costs must be considered. Nevertheless, our novel findings in the advanced financial market such as US and Asia-Pacific are very interesting and offers important implications.

Evaluating Stock Value using Data Envelopment Analysis (자료포괄분석(DEA)을 이용한 주식의 가치 평가)

  • Kim, Bum-Seok;Kim, Myung-S.;Min, Jae-H.
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2011
  • This study suggests a DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) based model to evaluate the value of corporate stock. The model integrating PER(Price-Earning Ratio), PBR(Price-BookValue Ratio), PSR(Price-Sales Ratio) and volatility in DEA structure has an advantage of overcome the limitation of traditional financial ratio based models. In order to show the effectiveness of the suggested model. we compare the performance of portfolio composed by DEA approach with those of portfolios made by traditional approaches such as PER, PBR, and PSR in terms of stock return and volatility. Specifically, we use the data of all the enterprises listed on the S&P 500 in the U.S. in 2007 and 2009 as the sample data for the experiments. The results of the experiments show that the performance of the DEA approach is clearly better than those of other approaches. Particularly, in sharply plummeting market, the performance of the DEA approach is shown to be prominently better than those of other approaches as the DEA approach reflects investment risk as well as profitability and growth. The DEA score combining the existing investment indices may serve as a useful barometer for selecting a stable and profitable portfolio.

An analysis of technology portfolio for the car navigation system using QFD (QFD를 활용한 차량항법 기술 포트폴리오 분석)

  • Jin, Heui-Chae;Kim, Hun
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2007
  • We analyzed the technology portfolio matrix for the car navigation technology using QFD method and accordingly suggested the navigation technology development direction. QFD is a useful tool to analyze the customer demands and the technologies. Depending on the survey results from the latent customers and the technology capabilities from the study of the national institutions, we suggested technology portfolio matrix. The visual HMI technology, safe driving support technology, and the navigator information management technology are the most prospective area for R&D investment according to the portfolio matrix.

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