• 제목/요약/키워드: portfolio decision making

검색결과 47건 처리시간 0.027초

The Fundamental Understanding Of The Real Options Value Through Several Different Methods

  • Kim Gyutai;Choi Sungho
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 2003년도 춘계공동학술대회
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    • pp.620-627
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    • 2003
  • The real option pricing theory has emerged as the new investment decision-making techniques superceding the traditional discounted cash flow techniques and thus has greatly received muck attention from academics and practitioners in these days the theory has been widely applied to a variety of corporate strategic projects such as a new drug R&D, an internet start-up. an advanced manufacturing system. and so on A lot of people who are interested in the real option pricing theory complain that it is difficult to understand the true meaning of the real option value. though. One of the most conspicuous reasons for the complaint may be due to the fact that there exit many different ways to calculate the real options value in this paper, we will present a replicating portfolio method. a risk-neutral probability method. a risk-adjusted discount rate method (quasi capital asset pricing method). and an opportunity cost concept-based method under the conditions of a binomial lattice option pricing theory.

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포트포트폴리오 기법을 이용한 단기소득임산물의 최적 생산관리 전략 - 주요 유실수를 중심으로 - (Optimal Production Management Strategy for Non-timber Forest Products using Portfolio Approach - A case study on major fruit trees -)

  • 원현규;전준헌;이성연;주린원
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제104권2호
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    • pp.248-253
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 단기소득임산물에 대한 최적 생산계획을 수립하기 위한 의사결정 정보를 제공하는 수단으로 포트폴리오 기법을 적용하였다. 대상품목은 밤, 대추, 호두, 떫은감이며, 2008년부터 2013년까지 임산물생산비 통계의 생산량, 생산비, 조수입 자료를 이용하였으며 단위당 순수익을 분석하였다. 포트폴리오 모델에서 목적함수는 투자위험을 나타내는 유실수 품목의 수익 변동폭을 최소화하는 것이고, 제약조건은 최소 기대수익률을 달성하는 것이다. 분석결과, 2013년 유실수의 생산비율 밤 7%, 대추 20%, 호두 5%, 떫은감 68%과 비교하여 포트폴리오에서는 미래의 유실수 생산비율을 평균 밤 10%, 대추 9%, 호두 3%, 떫은감 78%로 구성하는 것이 안정적인 소득증대를 위해서 보다 효율적인 것으로 제시되었다. 이러한 원인은 호두와 대추가 순수익이 가장 많았지만 생산량과 수익의 등락폭이 상대적으로 컸고, 떫은감과 밤은 상대적으로 안정된 생산량과 일정한 수익을 유지하고 있기 때문인 것으로 분석되었다.

Human-AI 협력 프로세스 기반의 증거기반 국가혁신 모니터링 연구: 해양수산부 사례 (A Study on Human-AI Collaboration Process to Support Evidence-Based National Innovation Monitoring: Case Study on Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries)

  • 임정선;배성훈;류길호;김상국
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 2023
  • Governments around the world are enacting laws mandating explainable traceability when using AI(Artificial Intelligence) to solve real-world problems. HAI(Human-Centric Artificial Intelligence) is an approach that induces human decision-making through Human-AI collaboration. This research presents a case study that implements the Human-AI collaboration to achieve explainable traceability in governmental data analysis. The Human-AI collaboration explored in this study performs AI inferences for generating labels, followed by AI interpretation to make results more explainable and traceable. The study utilized an example dataset from the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries to reproduce the Human-AI collaboration process used in actual policy-making, in which the Ministry of Science and ICT utilized R&D PIE(R&D Platform for Investment and Evaluation) to build a government investment portfolio.

가톨릭대학교 의과대학 진로지도 교육체제 (Career Path Education System at the College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea)

  • 유동미;강화선
    • 의학교육논단
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2024
  • This study examines a systematic and effective approach to career guidance in medical education, with a particular focus on the 6-year integrated career guidance education framework implemented at the College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea. Based on the "New SLICE" educational development principles, this framework comprehensively addresses the needs of medical students in career planning and development. It is structured into three phases: understanding yourself, exploring options, and choosing a specialty. The first phase, understanding yourself, helps students to recognize their strengths, weaknesses, aptitudes, and potentials, thereby setting the direction for future career choices. This phase includes various psychological tests and Self-Development and Portfolio courses. The second phase, exploring options, enables students to engage in related activities such as research and practical training, providing direct and indirect experiences across various fields. This phase offers courses including Medical Field Experience, Career Guidance through the Learning Community & Advisory Professors, and Student Participation in Professor Research Projects. The final phase, choosing a specialty, involves students making decisions based on in-depth self-assessment and exploration of majors, with a capstone project being a significant component. Maximizing the efficiency of career decision-making requires integration between the basic medical curriculum and postgraduate education. Including the period up to residency entrance in the framework is necessary for effective career guidance education.

대형건설업체의 해외건설공사 포트폴리오 리스크 관리에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Corporate Portfolio Risk Management for Multinational Construction Company)

  • 한승헌;이영;김형진;옥종호
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.68-80
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    • 2001
  • 건설시장의 세계화, 다양한 조달시스템의 부각 및 정보기술의 발전 등에 따라 해외건설사업을 겨냥한 건설업체들의 시장확대 및 수익창출의 기회가 증가하고 있다. 하지만 방대한 량의 계약문서, 장기적인 투자회수기간 및 자금조달 등의 부담과 더불어 환율, 이자율, 물가상승, 신용 등의 다양한 해외건설사업의 리스크 또한 현저하게 증가하고 있어 이들을 사업대상으로 하는 종합건설업체에게는 상기 리스크들에 대한 적극적인 관리가 요구된다. 본 연구는 다수의 해외건설사업을 수행하는 종합건설업체의 측면에서 최적의 사업포트폴리오 선정을 위한 의사결정모델을 제안한다. 여기에는 프로젝트 레벨과 기업레벨의 리스크를 통합적으로 관리하기 위한 기업수준의 리스크 관리 시스템을 대상으로 하여 건설산업에 포트폴리오 및 VaR(Value at Risk) 개념을 소개하고 기업의 전략적 목적에 근거하여 의사결정을 위한 다기준(Multi-criteria)이 제안된다. 의사결정 과정에서 정량적 분석과 더불어 의사결정자의 리스크 태도에 의한 정성적 평가가 가능하도록 해당 건설기업의 효용개념을 도입하였다. 또한 수집된 해외공사 실적자료를 기반으로 시나리오 분석을 통하여 상기 의사결정 방법론에 대한 검증을 실시하였다.

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Prioritizing the locations for hydrogen production using a hybrid wind-solar system: A case study

  • Mostafaeipour, Ali;Jooyandeh, Erfan
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.107-128
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    • 2017
  • Energy is a major component of almost all economic, production, and service activities, and rapid population growth, urbanization and industrialization have led to ever growing demand for energy. Limited energy resources and increasingly evident environmental effects of fossil fuel consumption has led to a growing awareness about the importance of further use of renewable energy sources in the countries energy portfolio. Renewable hydrogen production is a convenient method for storage of unstable renewable energy sources such as wind and solar energy for use in other place or time. In this study, suitability of 25 cities located in Iran's western region for renewable hydrogen production are evaluated by multi-criteria decision making techniques including TOPSIS, VIKOR, ELECTRE, SAW, Fuzzy TOPSIS, and also hybrid ranking techniques. The choice of suitable location for the centralized renewable hydrogen production is associated with various technical, economic, social, geographic, and political criteria. This paper describes the criteria affecting the hydrogen production potential in the study region. Determined criteria are weighted with Shannon entropy method, and Angstrom model and wind power model are used to estimate respectively the solar and wind energy production potential in each city and each month. Assuming the use of proton exchange membrane electrolyzer for hydrogen production, the renewable hydrogen production potential of each city is then estimated based on the obtained wind and solar energy generation potentials. The rankings obtained with MCDMs show that Kermanshah is the best option for renewable hydrogen production, and evaluation of renewable hydrogen production capacities show that Gilangharb has the highest capacity among the studied cities.

충남지역 전략산업 지원사업의 투자우선순위 결정모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Decision Making Model of Prioritization of Supporting Policies for Regional Strategic Industries in Chung-nam)

  • 이보형;경종수;서상혁
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제11권9호
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    • pp.3196-3203
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    • 2010
  • 지역산업 지원사업은 지역환경의 여건과 제도적 변화와 더불어 지난 10년 동안 꾸준히 확대되어 왔다. 특히 정부주도의 산업정책에서 지역주도의 산업정책으로 패러다임이 변모하면서 지역 전략산업 및 특화산업 육성, 기술지원, 기업지원 사업 등 지역산업 육성을 위한 다양한 지원체계를 갖추게 되었다. 그동안 지역 내에서 다양하게 전개된 지역산업 지원사업의 성과와 효율성에 대한 필요성이 제기되면서 지역전략산업 육성정책을 중심으로 통합적 관점의 종합발전계획과 사업추진전략의 중요성이 부각되었다. 지역산업 지원사업의 총체적인 맥락에서 중복사업의 조정과 핵심역량을 집중적으로 관리하고 수요자 중심의 지원체계에 대한 프레임을 수립하는 것이 시급하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 성과중심의 자율적 지역사업 포트폴리오를 구성하고 지역 전략산업의 특성 및 지원사업 유형에 따른 지역산업 육성 투자우선순위 도출을 위한 의사결정모형을 설정하여 검증하는데 그 목적이 있다. 본 연구는 충남전략산업 지원사업의 투자우선순위 의사결정을 위해 충남지역의 전략산업 및 지역산업 지원사업을 대상으로 AHP분석을 통해 전략산업과 지원사업유형별 투자우선순위를 도출하였다. 연구결과 전략산업 및 사업유형에 따른 중요도의 차이를 발견할 수 있었다. 즉, 사업유형의 우선순위가 전략산업에 따라 다르게 나타나는 것으로 볼 때 획일화된 기업지원 정책에서 벗어나 전략산업이나 기업규모에 따른 차별화된 기업지원 정책의 다양성이 요구된다는 것을 알 수 있다. 체계적인 정책수립 및 지원을 통해 기업의 경쟁력 강화 및 지역경제 활성화에 기여할 수 있도록 전략산업을 집중육성하고 차별화된 지원정책을 개발해야 할 것이다.

뇌활용성향과 기업경영 : 이병철회장과 정주영회장을 통한 탐험적 추론 (Brain Preference and Management : An Exploratory Reasoning from the Founders of Samsung and Hyundai Group, Lee and Chung)

  • 이홍
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.105-128
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    • 2005
  • The Purpose of the current study is to identify the differences between Samsung and Hyundai Group and the causes why the differences occurred. The study focuses on the founders of the two group as a main source of the differences, especially brain preference of the two founders. Two steps were employed to perform the study. Firstly, the two founders' characteristics were analyzed by using archival research. It was implicitly hypothesized that Group founders' characteristics explained the differences of the two Groups. It was found that the founder of Samsung Group, the late president Lee emphasized rationality, analysis, and cause/effect relationship and low risk taking, suggesting that he had left-brain preference. In contrast. the late president Chung, the founder of Hyundai Group, emphasized intuition, wholeness, contextual meaning, and risk taking, showing that he had right-brain preference. Secondly, a comparison between the two groups was performed in terms of business and financial risk in corporate portfolio, and management system. It was found that Hyundai Group was pursuing higher risk than Samsung Group. And it was observed that Samsung Group put more emphasis on formality in decision making and systematic control, and less emphasis on risk taking than Hyundai Group. From the two step research relationship between brian preference and management was reasoned. Research implications and limitations were discussed at the end of the study.

Post-Crisis Behavior of Banks in Asia: A Case of Chronic Over-Capitalization

  • MOHAMMAD, Khalil Ullah;MUHAMMAD, Affan;MUHAMMAD, Kaleem Ullah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.517-525
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    • 2021
  • The study investigates the behavior of Asian banks in response to the subprime mortgage crisis and examines how countries that have experimented with a mix of conventional and Islamic banking managed their balance sheet during that period. The study carries out an independent mean t-test comparing the difference of leverage of 464 conventional commercial Asian banks pre- and post-crisis from the largest twenty-five Asian economies based on GDP (2007). The analysis uses 10-year unbalanced panel data of conventional banks and employs the generalized least squares estimation using a dummy variable event window method to capture the response of Asian banks. The study finds evidence of a structural change in the capital structure of Asian commercial banks in response to the financial crisis. Findings suggest that conventional banks increased their capital position more in countries that have both Islamic and conventional banking than those countries without Islamic banking services. By having Islamic banking in their product portfolio, countries can exert market discipline on conventional banks. The study identifies a significant role of global macroeconomic shocks on banks liability structure decision-making. Evidence shows that this increase in capital positioning by banks was a permanent rather than a temporary response.

Word2vec 기반의 기술융합기회 발굴 연구: 웨어러블 기술사례를 중심으로 (Identifying Technology Convergence Opportunities Based on Word2Vec: The Case of Wearable Technology)

  • 박진우;송지훈
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.833-844
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    • 2023
  • As technology convergence is recognized as a driver of innovation, the identification of technology convergence opportunities is critical to expanding a firm's technology portfolio. Recently, wearable technology has emerged as an important factor in creating new business opportunities and providing technology investment alternatives for firms in the era of Industry 4.0. Against this background, this study provides a new patent analysis framework for identifying and proposing technology convergence opportunities in the wearable field. Using 8,621 patents filed between 2011 and 2021, a case study was conducted to identify technological convergence opportunities by applying Word2Vec algorithm. The analysis framework can be divided into four stages, with the final stage recommending potential technology convergence opportunities for a specific candidate firm's technology area by calculating similarities between technology codes. This study aims to better understand the current status of wearable technology development as well as to propose a new methodology for capturing technology convergence opportunities in the wearable industry. The case study result suggests that the convergence of healthcare and ICT may provide new development opportunities. Furthermore, the results are expected to provide alternative perspectives on the development of new markets and technologies using wearable technology and can support the strategic decision-making on future technology planning in the wearable field.