• 제목/요약/키워드: population hollowing out

검색결과 7건 처리시간 0.02초

인구, 주택, 농지 측면에서의 농촌지역 유휴화 취약성 평가 (Vulnerability Assessment of Idleness in Rural Areas from Multiple Perspectives)

  • 이지민;최원
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권2호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2022
  • Idleness in rural areas is a very important issue with regard to national land space management. Previous studies have been conducted separately in terms of population housing and farmland. So, an integrated analysis considering population housing and farmland is required for rural spatial management. In this study, vulnerability indices were developed and spatial distribution of the vulnerable areas was analyzed by evaluating regional vulnerability on population, housing, and farmland. In addition, plans for rural space management plan were proposed considering the population hollowing out and the idle farmland. The results of this study would be helpful in preparing policies that take into account the vulnerability of idleness in rural areas.

AHP분석을 이용한 도시재생사업의 발전에 대한 정책적 대안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Policy Alternatives to the Development of Urban Regeneration Project Using AHP Analysis)

  • 정삼석
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제25권6_3호
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    • pp.1303-1313
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    • 2022
  • Modern cities need to revitalize the downtown area, which is declining due to population decline, economic recession, and deterioration of the residential environment, economically, socially, and physically by introducing and creating new functions. In addition, the hollowing out of the existing city center is getting worse due to the development of the outskirts of the city. Therefore, the discussion for the development of urban regeneration is the core task of modern cities. This study analyzed based on a basic understanding of urban regeneration projects, and through this, the problems of domestic urban regeneration projects were derived. In addition, the problem factors and major improvement plans of the urban regeneration project were analyzed from the expert's point of view using the AHP analysis technique. Based on this, the purpose is to present policy alternatives for the future development of urban regeneration projects. The problems derived to present the policy alternatives and improvement directions of the urban regeneration project were classified into problems related to goal achievement, problems related to the business itself, and problems related to project results. It was subdivided into sub-categories. This study analyzed the problem factors and major improvements from the expert's point of view by using the AHP analysis technique for the problems of the urban regeneration project. Based on the AHP analysis results and experts' opinions, five policy alternatives for the development of urban regeneration projects were presented.

GIS와 공간통계기법을 활용한 도시쇠퇴 특성 분석 - 광주광역시를 중심으로 - (Analysis on the Characteristics of Urban Decline Using GIS and Spatial Statistical Method : The Case of Gwangju Metropolitan City)

  • 장문현
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.424-438
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    • 2016
  • 도시쇠퇴와 공동화 현상을 방지하고 침체된 지역경제를 활성화시키기 위한 새로운 도시재생 패러다임이 등장하고 있다. 본 연구는 도시재생특별법에 제시된 쇠퇴기준과 공간자기상관 탐색을 기반으로 GIS 및 공간통계기법을 활용하여 도시쇠퇴 특성을 분석하는데 그 목적을 두고 있다. 광주광역시를 대상으로 하여 도시재생특별법에 제시된 쇠퇴 기준인 인구감소, 사업체감소, 노후건축물에 관한 지표를 적용함으로써 객관성을 확보하고자 하였다. 특히 GIS와 공간 통계기법을 적용함에 있어서 공간자기상관 탐색을 통해 도시쇠퇴 특성을 분석한다는 점에서 기존의 연구와 차별성을 지닌다. 전체적인 분석과정은 도시활성화지역 지정 기준을 원용하고, 공간탐색적 절차에 따라 단계적으로 추진하였다. 따라서 본 연구를 통해 제시된 공간통계분석 절차 및 도시쇠퇴 특성 분석의 결과는 대도시권 수준에서 도시쇠퇴 진단에 기여하고, 도시재생과 관련한 공간의사결정에 유용한 정보를 제공할 것으로 기대한다.

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청주 구도심내 주택유형별 분포 및 규모특성에 관한 연구 (Distribution Patterns and Habitable Floor Area by House Types in Traditional Urban Area of Cheong ju)

  • 김해리;김태영
    • 한국주거학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국주거학회 2008년 추계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.125-130
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    • 2008
  • The new apartments has been rapidly built through the outskirts of Cheong-ju city since the latter half of 1980's. So, the population decreased in Seong-an dong and Jung-ang dong which are located in traditional urban area of Cheong-ju. Also, residential areas became obsolete and residential buildings happened to be vacant and empty. For urban rehabilitation, the city authorities will construct the high-rise complex housings with stores in the traditional urban area. We have doubts about whether the rapid change of new housing construction is right or not. Therefore, It is necessary to give a correct diagnosis of the present state from urban atrophy, keeping this area sustainable with traditionality and locality. This study is to examine and analysis in detail distribution patterns and habitable floor area by house types in Seong-an dong and Jung-ang dong which are located in traditional urban area of Cheong-ju. The result are as follows; the residential buildings as the 2,680 houses(including detached and apartment houses) and the 804 shop houses are distributed with 3,484(67%) of the whole 5,183 buildings and form 28percent of the whole floor areas. A distribution and area ratio of houses to shop houses is irrespectively about 76 : 24percent. The average floor area is represented with $66m^2$/household and $28.5m^2$/person. It shows that a hollowing out of urban area has caused the surplus of residential buildings and floor areas.

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한계마을정책 개발을 위한 최근 일본의 한계집락 관련 논의 및 정책 동향 연구 (A Study on the Recent Discussion and Policy Trends of Japan for the Development of Marginal Village Policy)

  • 조영재;사카시타아키히코;신동철
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2018
  • This study is a basic research for the development of 'Marginal Village Policy' in response to the hollowing-out of rural areas. For this purpose, the viewpoint of "Regeneration" & "Reconstruction" of the "Marginal Village Theory" and the recent "Rural Planning Theory of Evacuation" in Japan were reviewed. The background and trends of Marginal Village policy in Japan were also investigated. And based on this, the implications and future tasks for Korea were summarized as follows; (1)It is necessary to be interested in the disappearance of villages and marginal villages and to form positive discussions and social consensus. (2)Continuous field investigation and management of changes in population and village functions at regional and village level are required. (3)In addition to increasing the importance of depopulation problems, it is necessary to establish 'marginal villages' as a public policy target. (4)It is necessary to review and consider the viewpoint of reconstruction along with regeneration. (5)It is necessary to pay attention that the software project is expanded, and the regeneration & reconstruction policies of the rural villages are aimed at revitalizing the rural community. (6)It is necessary to consider the possibility of applying 'spacial construction' along with the expansion of the academic debate on the 'rural planning theory of evacuation'. On the basis of this, in this study, rural villages were classified into 'continuous villages', 'semi-marginal villages' and 'marginal villages' according to the degree of marginalization, and the basic framework of 'Marginal Village Policy' was proposed, which is to encourage the differentiated policies of 'continuous villages' by 'rural village policy', 'semi-marginal villages' and 'marginal villages' by 'marginal village policy'.

다항 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 우리나라 산지면적 변화 추정에 관한 연구 (Change Prediction of Forestland Area in South Korea using Multinomial Logistic Regression Model)

  • 곽두안
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.42-51
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 산림기본법 10조에 명시되어 있는 산림자원 및 임산물 수급의 장기전망을 통한 제6차 산림기본계획 수립을 지원하기 위하여 수행되었다. 우리나라 산지의 정의는 산지관리법에서 명시하고 있으며 산림 조성, 생산, 관리를 위해 필수 불가결한 요소로서 미래 산림자원의 변화를 예측하는데 가장 기본이 되기 때문에 미래의 산지면적 변화를 예측하는 것은 향후 계획수립을 위해 매우 중요하다. 그리하여 본 연구에서는 지대극대화 이론에 근거한 임업부가가치, 농업소득, 인구밀도를 종속변수로 하는 다항로지스틱 모형을 개발함으로써 미래의 산지면적, 농지면적, 도시 및 기타지의 면적 변화를 예측할 수 있었다. 그 결과 산지면적은 2026년까지 약 6,300천ha로 줄어들어 현재 대비 약 34천ha의 감소분이 발생할 것으로 전망되었으며, 이후 2027년부터는 반등을 시작하여 6,470천ha로 늘어나 약 172천ha의 증가분이 발생할 것으로 예측되었다. 이러한 산지면적의 증가는 임업부가가치의 증가와 관련이 있고, 농지면적의 증가는 농업소득의 증가, 그리고 도시 및 기타지의 증가는 인구밀도의 증가와 양의 상관관계를 가지고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 그러나 산지면적의 주된 증가원인은 한계효과와 탄성치가 큰 인구밀도의 감소로 밝혀졌는데, 이는 저출산으로 인해 절대인구가 2032년부터 감소함에 따라 산지면적의 증가하기 때문인 것으로 나타났다. 또한 산지면적의 증가분은 도시 및 기타지에서 산지로 전환되는 면적이 대부분을 차지하는 것으로 나타났는데, 이것은 인구감소에 따른 도시 주변 지역의 인구 공동화 현상과 지방 소도시의 소멸 등과 같은 사회적인 문제에 기인하는 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 산지의 증가를 산지관리 차원에서 살펴보면, 증가되는 산지면적은 지목상 임야 이외의 토지로부터 편입될 것으로 전망되기 때문에, 사후 산지관리법상의 산지로서 관리되기 위해서는 산림 관련 법령의 정비는 물론 변화에 대응한 새로운 산지관리 체계를 구축하는 것이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

A Study on the Prediction Model of the Elderly Depression

  • SEO, Beom-Seok;SUH, Eung-Kyo;KIM, Tae-Hyeong
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제11권7호
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: In modern society, many urban problems are occurring, such as aging, hollowing out old city centers and polarization within cities. In this study, we intend to apply big data and machine learning methodologies to predict depression symptoms in the elderly population early on, thus contributing to solving the problem of elderly depression. Research design, data and methodology: Machine learning techniques used random forest and analyzed the correlation between CES-D10 and other variables, which are widely used worldwide, to estimate important variables. Dependent variables were set up as two variables that distinguish normal/depression from moderate/severe depression, and a total of 106 independent variables were included, including subjective health conditions, cognitive abilities, and daily life quality surveys, as well as the objective characteristics of the elderly as well as the subjective health, health, employment, household background, income, consumption, assets, subjective expectations, and quality of life surveys. Results: Studies have shown that satisfaction with residential areas and quality of life and cognitive ability scores have important effects in classifying elderly depression, satisfaction with living quality and economic conditions, and number of outpatient care in living areas and clinics have been important variables. In addition, the results of a random forest performance evaluation, the accuracy of classification model that classify whether elderly depression or not was 86.3%, the sensitivity 79.5%, and the specificity 93.3%. And the accuracy of classification model the degree of elderly depression was 86.1%, sensitivity 93.9% and specificity 74.7%. Conclusions: In this study, the important variables of the estimated predictive model were identified using the random forest technique and the study was conducted with a focus on the predictive performance itself. Although there are limitations in research, such as the lack of clear criteria for the classification of depression levels and the failure to reflect variables other than KLoSA data, it is expected that if additional variables are secured in the future and high-performance predictive models are estimated and utilized through various machine learning techniques, it will be able to consider ways to improve the quality of life of senior citizens through early detection of depression and thus help them make public policy decisions.