• 제목/요약/키워드: population change

검색결과 1,805건 처리시간 0.028초

청주 북부지역의 토지이용 매핑과 변화탐지 (Land-use Mapping and Change Detection in Northern Cheongju Region)

  • 나상일;박종화;신형섭
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제50권3호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2008
  • Land-use in northern Cheongju region is changing rapidly because of the increased interactions of human activities with the environment as population increases. Land-use change detection is considered essential for monitoring the growth of an urban complex. The analysis was undertaken mainly on the basis of the multi-temporal Landsat images (1991, 1992 and 2000) and DEM data in a post-classification analysis with GIS to map land-use distribution and to analyse factors influencing the land-use changes for Cheongju city. The area of each land-use category was also calculated for monitoring land-use changes. Land-use statistics revealed that substantial land-use changes have taken place and that the built-up areas have expanded by about $17.57km^2$ (11.47%) over the study period (1991 - 2000). This study illustrated an increasing trend of urban and barren lands areas with a decreasing trend of agricultural and forest areas. Land-use changes from one category to others have been clearly represented by the NDVI composite images, which were found suitable for delineating the development of urban areas and land use changes in northern Cheongju region. Rapid economic developments together with the increasing population were noted to be the major factors influencing rapid land use changes. Urban expansion has replaced urban and barren lands.

전복류(Genus Haliotis)의 분류를 위한 단일염기변이 기반 기계학습분석 (Machine Learning SNP for Classification of Korean Abalone Species (Genus Haliotis))

  • 노은수;김주원;김동균
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.489-497
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    • 2021
  • Climate change is affecting the evolutionary trajectories of individual species and ecological communities, partly through the creation of new species groups. As population shift geographically and temporally as a result of climate change, reproductive interactions between previously isolated species are inevitable and it could potentially lead to invasion, speciation, or even extinction. Four species of abalone, genus Haliotis are present along the Korean coastline and these species are important for commercial and fisheries resources management. In this study, genetic markers for fisheries resources management were discovered based on genomic information, as part of the management of endemic species in response to climate change. Two thousand one hundred and sixty one single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were discovered using genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS) method. Forty-one SNPs were selected based on their features for species classification. Machine learning analysis using these SNPs makes it possible to differentiate four Haliotis species and hybrids. In conclusion, the proposed machine learning method has potentials for species classification of the genus Haliotis. Our results will provide valuable data for biodiversity conservation and management of abalone population in Korea.

Evaluation of Genetic Effects of Demographic Bottleneck in Muzzafarnagri Sheep from India Using Microsatellite Markers

  • Arora, R.;Bhatia, S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2009
  • Genetic variability is an important component in the ability of populations to adapt in the face of environmental change. Severe human impacts reduced Muzzafarnagri sheep of India from 500,000 in 1972 to 10,989 in 1973-74. Here we report for the first time the effect of this population decline on levels of genetic variability at 13 FAO recommended ovine microsatellite loci and contrast levels of variability to that in a breed from the same geographical region, which differed in numbers, by an order of magnitude (Marwari sheep). Of the 13 loci, 100% were polymorphic in both breeds. A high degree of genetic variation was observed within populations in terms of both allele diversity (number of alleles per locus, >4) and gene diversity (expected heterozygosity, >0.5), which implied that there is still a substantial amount of genetic diversity at the nuclear loci in a declining population. Nevertheless, overall low number of alleles per locus and relatively less abundance of low frequency alleles in Muzzafarnagri sheep suggested that genetic variability has been comparatively reduced in this population. Bottleneck analysis indicated that a genetic bottleneck did not occur during the most recent decline. In addition, we found that the differentiation among populations was moderate ($F_{ST}$= 11.8%). This study on assessment of genetic effects of the population declines in ovines is a step towards identification of genetically impoverished or healthy populations, which could prove to be a useful tool to facilitate conservation planning in this important species of small ruminants.

제주도 한라산 노루 적정 개체수에 관한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링 (System Dynamics Modeling for Management of Roe Deer Population in Jejudo)

  • 김도훈;홍영교
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.45-75
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    • 2008
  • Roe Deer has been preserved for 25 years by the local government and the residents in Jejudo. However, the damage and harm of crops of the residents by Roe Deer are increasing as well. So, some experts worry about the unstability of ecosystem in Mt. Halla where Roe Deer live. This paper discuss the suitable number of Roe Deer population in Jejudo to protect the ecosystem in Mt. Halla and minimize the damage of residents in Jejudo. With system dynamics modeling and simulation, the population of Roe Deer at present is estimated about 2,300. However, the population of Roe Deer stays 'unstable balance'. So, a little change such as poaching and the increase of wild dogs may make the balance of ecosystem broken. According to the result of policy test simulation, we should keep on watching the poaching and maintain the number of wild dogs at about 100, so that the ecosystem in Jejudo can be stable. To reduce the moving of Roe Deer to low region, moreover, we should protect the Mt. Halla which is Roe Deer's habitat. If we are indifferent about these efforts, the ecosystem of Roe Deer in Mt. Halla will be ruined.

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Temporal Variation in Tiger Population in a Semi-Arid Habitat in India

  • Singh, Randeep;Pandey, Puneet;Qureshi, Qamar;Sankar, Kalyanasundaram;Krausman, Paul R.;Goyal, Surendra Prakash
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.154-164
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    • 2022
  • Understanding temporal variations in wildlife populations is a prerequisite for conservation planning of wide-ranging species such as tigers (Panthera tigris). We determined the temporal variation in abundance, population growth, and sex ratios at different age and sex stages for a tiger population in Ranthambhore Tiger Reserve, India from November 2007 to February 2011 using motion-sensing cameras. We identified 19 male and 21 female tigers from stripe patterns during 16,110 trap nights within an area covering 233 km2. The annual abundance of the population varied from 34.9 (mean)±3.8 (SE) to 23.9±1.5, with a declining trend in the mean annual change of abundance (-12%). The density of adult females remained stable across the study duration, but the densities of adult males and non-breeding tigers fluctuated. The sex ratio was female-biased (0.58 males/female) for breeding tigers and male-biased (1.74 males/female) for non-breeding tigers. Our results reinforce the importance of long-term studies for monitoring the naturally occurring processes in populations to develop population indicators and identify reliable baseline information for conservation and management planning of populations.

인구구조 변화가 성장 잠재력에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Demographic Changes on the Growth Potential of Korea)

  • 주상영;현준석
    • 분석과 대안
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.71-102
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the effect of demographic changes on economic growth. We use the supply-side output identity to forecast the growth potential of the Korean economy. According to the results, even based on optimistic assumptions and prospects, the economic growth rate is likely to fall drastically starting in 2020. Of course, to maintain growth potential, efforts to increase productivity are necessary. However, given the historical experience of developed countries, it is not clear whether the huge trend of demographic change can be offset by efforts to increase productivity. In the so-called '30-50 club' countries, both labor productivity and growth rate tend to fall after reaching the per capita income of $30,000. The degree of decline in the growth rate is closely related to changes in the working age population and the prime-age workforce. The results are similar when tracking the path of changes in total factor productivities of the economy. When a certain level of income is reached, the increase in total factor productivity also tends to slow down. The ripple effects of rapid changes in demographics will indeed be extensive. The negative impact is likely to be concentrated at a time when the working age population, the prime-age workforce, and the total population shrink simultaneously. Above all, it is necessary to use the government's fiscal space to block the possibility of a rapid fall in the growth rate. In addition, it is important to continuously implement various reform tasks that should be promoted, such as improving the education system and strengthening the social safety net.

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청주의 고용 성장과 산업 변화, 1985-2005: 변이할당모형에 의한 분석 (Employment Growth and Industrial Change in Cheongju, 1985-2005: An Analysis Using a Shift-Share Model)

  • 김학훈
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.325-341
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    • 2011
  • 청주시는 1970년대부터 인구와 고용이 급성장하였다. 본 연구는 청주시의 산업별 고용변화를 조사하고 고용성장에 대한 변이 할당 분석을 시행하였다. 본 연구에서 사용한 자료는 주로 1985년, 2000년, 2005년의 인구 및 주택 총조사에서 얻은 청주시의 산업별 고용자료이다. 본 연구는 먼저 청주의 인구 변화와 산업구조를 설명하고, 그 다음은 변이할당모형의 발달을 검토하였다. 본 연구에서 얻은 청주의 산업별 입지계수와 특화계수의 변화를 통해서 도시산업구조의 다양화 추세를 알 수 있었다. 본 연구에 적용한 변이할당모형은 Arcelus의 모형을 수정하여 사용하였으며, 분석 결과를 통해서 산업 부문별 경쟁력을 파악할 수 있었다. 청주는 국가 전체와 비교하면 대체로 유리한 산업구조를 가지고 있다. 일부 서비스 부문을 제외한 모든 산업 부문에서 국가보다 빨리 성장하여 양(+)의 경쟁효과를 보였다. 변이할당분석에서 세분된 산업분류와 짧게 나누어진 분석기간을 사용하면 경쟁력 있는 산업을 더 정확하게 찾을 수 있다.

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고령화 사회와 노동시장 (Aging Society and Labor Market)

  • 정초시
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2012
  • 한국에서의 고령화는 아직 걱정할 단계는 아니지만 고령화의 속도가 지나치게 빠르게 진행된다는데 문제가 있다. 인구의 절대규모는 2030년의 52,160 천명에서 정점을 이루다가 감소하여 2050년에는 2005년 수준인 48,121천명으로 감소하며, 핵심근로계층인 25-54세의 인구는 저출산과 고령화로 인하여 이미 2012년부터 감소하는 것으로 예측되었다. 고령화는 불가피하게 노동력의 부족을 초래하게 되며, 이는 한 번도 경험해보지 못한 상황에서 정책 수단들을 세워나가야 한다. 본 논문에서는 몇 가지의 대안을 제시하였다. 첫째, 인구규모 자체의 감소를 예방하기 위한 것으로 국가 지원의 보육체계를 포함하는 출산장려정책을 제시하였으며, 둘째, 노동력 절대규모의 감소라는 현실적 상황에서 고용률로 측정된 노동시장의 참여를 증대시킬 수 있는 방안을 제시하였다. 먼저 정년 연장형의 임금피크제를 포함하는 고령자 및 출산의 기회비용을 낮추어 여성의 노동시장 참여를 촉진하는 방안을 제시하였다. 결론적으로 고령화는 피할 수 없는 상황이며, 지속가능한 균형성장이라는 틀에서 문제해결에 접근해야 한다.

Development and validation of microsatellite markers for the endangered nerippe fritillary butterfly, Argynnis nerippe (Lepidoptera: Nymphalidae)

  • Jeong, Su Yeon;Kim, Min Jee;Kim, Sung Soo;Kim, Iksoo
    • International Journal of Industrial Entomology and Biomaterials
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2018
  • The nerippe fritillary butterfly, Argynnis nerippe, is listed as an endangered species in Korea. Establishment of effective conservation strategies can be aided by the development and application of molecular markers that can be used to investigate the population genetics of the butterfly. Therefore, in this study, we identified ten microsatellite markers specific to A. nerippe using the Next-Seq 500 platform, and applied these markers to investigate the characteristics of five South Korean butterfly populations. Genotyping of 48 A. nerippe individuals from five localities showed that at each locus the number of alleles ranged from 4 to 14, and that the observed and expected heterozygosities were 0.324-0.863 and 0.138-0.985, respectively. Significant deviation from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium was not observed at any locus. Population structure analysis indicated that there are two genetic groups in Korea, but no population-based gene pool assignments were found. Analysis of $F_{ST}$, $R_{ST}$, and a principal coordinates analysis suggested that the Gureopdo and Yaecheon populations were isolated from other populations. Genetic isolation of the Gureopdo population may be a consequence of unequal population change between Gureopdo and inland populations and to the offshore habitat of Gureopdo. Genetic isolation of the Yaecheon population may be a consequence either of the southernmost location of the population or of the limited sample size available. Further studies with increased sample sizes will be necessary to draw robust conclusions on population isolation and to devise conservation strategies.

누적합 관리도를 활용한 생활인구 이상치 탐색 (CUSUM Chart Applied to Monitoring Areal Population Mobility)

  • 김형준;손소영
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.241-256
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Certain places in Seoul such as Shinchon, Hongdae, and Gangnam, often suffer from sudden overflow of mobile population which can cause serious safety problems. This study suggests the application of spatial CUSUM control chart in monitoring areal population mobility data which is recently provided by Seoul metropolitan government. Methods: Monitoring series of standardized local Moran's I enables one to detect spatio-temporal out-of-control status based on the accumulation of past patterns. Moreover, we visualize such pattern map for more intuitive comprehension of the phenomenon. As a case study, we have analyzed the female mobility population aged 25 to 29 appeared in 51 Jipgyegu near Hongik university on fridays from January, 2017 to June, 2018. They are validated by exploring related articles and through local due diligence. Results: The results of the analysis provide insights in figuring out if the change of the mobility population is short-term by particular incident or long-term by spatial alteration, which allows strategic approach in constructing response system. Specific case near popular downtown near Hongik University has shown that newly opened hotels, shops of global sports brand and franchise bookstores have attracted young female population. Conclusion: We expect that the results of our study contribute to planning effective distribution of administrative resources to prepare against drastic increase in floating population. Furthermore, it can be useful in commercial area analysis and age/gender specific marketing strategy for companies.