• 천문학논총
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.411-418
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• 2012

We study the correlation between distributions of astronomical records and historical events using historical meteor (shower) records. In Korean chronicles, planets and meteor (shower) records are the most abundant astronomical phenomena. And they represent a general tendency of the number distribution of whole astronomical observations. We examine the correlation for the number distribution between meteors (showers) and planets during A.D. 1200-1700 and find that both records have a similar distribution. We classify historical events into three grades according to the social impact, and investigate the correlation between distributions of meteor (shower) records with social events, such as, new king's accession to the throne, foreign invasions, and domestic turmoils. From the statistical analysis, we cannot find any correlation between the meteor (shower) records and the political events. Therefore, we conclude that Korean historical records have not been influenced by the political events. We also examine the correlation between Chinese and Japanese meteor (shower) records and political events for A.D. 1200-1700, respectively, but cannot find any correlations between them.

• Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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• 제1권4호
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• pp.292-306
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• 2014

China's "two sessions," namely, the National People's Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), has significant meaning to the political life of the nation. It collects opinions and advice from different groups of people annually. "Two sessions" 2013 was especially eye-catching, because new state leaders were elected at the meetings. Using CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) system, the Media and Public Opinion Center of Fudan University (FMORC) conducted surveys of China's "two sessions" every year from 2007 to 2013. In 2013, the influence of new media on public opinion has become increasingly significant. Microblog and WeChat have become two types of important media for Shanghai residents to express their opinions and take part in China's "two sessions." Based on the empirical findings, this paper examines Shanghai Residents' cognition, attitudes and expressions towards "two sessions" 2013 and analyzes how new media affect the public opinions on significant political events.

• 한국과 국제사회
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.7-30
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• 2017

음모론은 모든 국가와 사회에서 발생하고 있으며, 한국사회에서도 정치적 사건에 대한 음모론이 지속적으로 발생하고 있다. 음모론은 사회현상의 근본적인 발생 원인에 대해 공식적 원임규명에 대해 특정한 개인이나 집단에 의해 의도적으로 원인규명에 이의를 제기하면서 반발하는 현상을 말한다. 음모론은 국가와 정부의 사건에 대한 원인규명에 저항하여 신뢰성에 반발하면서 저항하여 타격을 주는 것이다. 한국사회에서 음모론은 주로 정치적 사건에서 발생하였는데, 정치적 사건에 대한 음모론은 정치권력을 안정화시키려는 세력과 정치권력을 교체하려는 보수와 진보의 작용과 반작용의 형태로 나타나고 있다. 장준하 사망사건에 대한 음모론은 집권세력에 저항한 인물의 갑작스런 죽음에 의문을 제기하는 과정에서 발생한 것으로 집권세력의 대한 정당성을 불신하는 측면이 강하였다. 또한 광주민주화운동과 천안함 침몰에 대한 음모론은 전자가 신군부의 정권탈취를 위한 폭력의 정당화, 후자가 남북관계의 단절에 대한 정당화에 근거로 활용되는 것에 대한 국민들의 저항적 성향을 지니고 있다. 한국정치에서 음모론은 각종 선거과 관련하여 활용되는 특성이 강하지만 선거 결과에 직접적이고, 결정적인 영향력을 행사하지는 못하였다. 그렇지만 한국정치에서 음모론은 정치적 사건의 원인규명에 대한 진위논란에서 음모론의 정당성 여부에 관계없이 한국사회를 혼란시키는 요인으로 작용하고 있다.

• 시큐리티연구
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• 제6호
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• pp.123-146
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• 2003

International sports events are no longer simple sports events. They are kinds of political and diplomatic events which are focused on international interests and they have to be held successfully to achieve their goal. Recently their economic effects have become one of the most important purposes. Almost all countries are doing there best to host international sports events for the purpose of advertising their own countries. But if there are terrorists who are to attack international sports events, the purpose of international sports events to improve friendship between nations and the peace of all mankinds will be seriously damaged. Also host country will be seriously damaged politically, diplomatically and economically. This article examines rapidly increasing international terrorism after 9.11 and analyzes the recent world terrorism situations and furthermore proposes legal and systemic countermeasures of our country to concentrate nation's abilities to prevent these kinds of sports terrorism.

• 영어영문학
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• 제56권2호
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• pp.255-276
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• 2010

Despite some critics' efforts to highlight Shelley's political fruitfulness, they tend to disregard meaningful differences that Shelley has from other Jacobin radicals of his times. Accordingly, the critics tackle his apparent incoherence revealed in A Philosophical View of Reform; the first two sections contain a keen insight into the socio-political injustice prevalent in Britain and the reasons behind it, while the third section withdraws from the previous radical position and settles with a moderate electorate reform. This paper argues that recent developments in post-structuralist and post-Marxist theory help to clearly assess Shelley's political position. Emphasizing that the Jacobin concept of revolution is incompatible with the plurality and opening which a radical democracy requires, post-marxists such as Ernest Laclau and Chantal Mouffee claim that a more viable form of political resistance is to expose repression and force involved in hegemonic articulations. For them, dislocation, a distabilization of a discourse that results from the emergence of events which cannot be domesticated, symbolized, or integrated within the discourse, opens up the possibility of freedom for agents. A Philosophical View of Reform is an attempt to dislocate the discourses of monarchy and paper money by exposing their social and historical constructiveness and their repressive exclusion of alternative discourses. The political goal of this essay is to awaken subjects within a hegemonic structure by decentering the structure and to make them act by stimulating new discoursive constructions.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.265-274
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• 2003

Time series data are influenced by the external events such as holiday, strike, oil shock, and political change, so the external events cause a sudden change to the time series data. We regard the observation as outlier that occurred as a result of external events. In general, it is called intervention if we know the period and the reason of external events, and it makes an analyst difficult to establish a time series model. Therefore, it is important that we analyze the styles and effects of intervention. In this paper, we considered the linear time series model with invention and compared with nonlinear time series models such as ARCH, GARCH model and also we compared with the combination prediction method that Tong(1990) introduced. In the practical case study, we compared prediction power with RMSE among linear, nonlinear time series model with intervention and combination prediction method.

• 시큐리티연구
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• 제14호
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• pp.161-179
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• 2007

국제회의 및 국제 스포츠 행사는 개최기간 중에 테러나 안전사고 등이 발생할 경우에 행사 그 자체가 실패할 뿐만 아니라 많은 생명과 재산이 파괴되고, 궁극적으로는 개최국의 신뢰도 저하가 수반되기 때문에 안전대책 이야말로 가장 중요한 요소이다. 이러한 맥락에서, 본 연구에서는 최근 10년간 세계 각국에서 실시한 국제회의 및 스포츠 행사에 대한 테러대응 사례를 분석하고, 이를 통해서 나타난 정책적 함의를 제시하는 목적에서 진행되었다. 본 연구에서 나타난 향후 국제회의 및 스포츠 행사에 대한 테러대응의 기본 방향을 압축하여 제시하면 다음과 같다. 먼저, 대규모 국제 행사 개최시 잘 훈련된 전문가인 안전요원 및 행사요원의 양성이 중요하다. 앞으로 자주 개최될 각종 국제행사에는 자칫 타성에 빠질 수 있는 정부 주도의 행사 보다는 각 지방자치단체가 지역내 대학과 연계되어 보안에 필요한 인력 및 재원확보를 안정적으로 해야 한다. 또한, 테러리스트들의 전략과 전술을 명확히 이해하고 정보를 활용하여 그들보다 앞서나 가는 시스템을 구축해야 한다. 따라서 정부의 주도하에 테러리즘에 대한 직 간접적인 교육과 연구 활동을 촉진시켜 테러리즘의 다양한 측면과 대응책 등 테러리즘에 대한 전반적인 안목을 국민들에게 길러줌으로써 만일의 사태에 총체적으로 대응 할 수 있는 기반을 만들어야 한다. 끝으로, 뉴 테러리즘의 한 수단으로서 사용되는 사이버 테러(cyber terror)에 대한 철저한 대비책을 마련해야 한다.

• 인터넷정보학회논문지
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.87-95
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• 2016

본 연구는 선거캠페인 도구로써의 SNS 역할을 살펴보고자 2015년 4 29 재 보궐 선거 기간 동안의 정동영 후보와 변희재 후보의 SNS 상 메시지에 대한 내용 분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구의 결과로 첫째, 두 후보자의 SNS에 나타난 메시지의 내용적 측면을 분석한 결과 두 후보자 모두 '단순홍보'와 관련된 메시지를 가장 적극적으로 사용한 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, SNS상에 나타난 메시지의 목적을 베노이트(1999)가 제안한 설득적 전략방법에 따라 분석한 결과 두 후보자 모두'주장'의 전략을 가장 두드러지게 사용한 것으로 드러났다. 셋째, SNS상 메시지의 논제를 분석한 결과, 정동영 후보는 '인간적 특성'을, 변희재 후보는 '정책'에 관한 언급이 더 많은 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국생활과학회지
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• 제23권5호
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• pp.773-787
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• 2014

The purposes of this study were to examine effects which work events and affective reaction were experienced by employees on job satisfaction and service quality in local healthy family support center for family health enhancement. For the purpose, survey were conducted with employees working in 56 local healthy family support centers in Seoul and Gyeonggi region, and final data were resulted from analysis of 319 examines of those employees. The results of this study were as follows. First, work events had a significant effect on the affective reaction. Second, affective reaction had a significant effect on the job satisfaction. Third, job satisfaction had a significant effect on the service quality. Fourth, affective reaction worked as mediators between the work events and job satisfaction, affective reaction and job satisfaction worked as double mediators between work events and service quality. Based on those findings, we can propose practical and political implications towards improving service quality considering the work experience of personnel in the healthy family support center.

• 패션비즈니스
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.149-164
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• 2016

The purpose of this study was to analyze the cases of IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde to discuss power dressing characteristics represented in the fashion style of women political leaders. Study methods included literature reviews on the theoretical background of Christine Lagarde's Political Leadership formation and the power dressing of women political leaders. The results of the study were as follows. First, governor Christine Lagarde's fashion styles worn at formal events were summarized into suits, bags, scarves and jewelry. Clothing type was found to be 98% suits, 5% dress with the colors black, gray and white being worn the most, 84% were achromatic, blue tones and vivid tones were about 16%. Faborite accessories included scarves, jewelry and luxury bags. Scarves were higher frequency utilization at 51% of the total wear. Second, characteristics of power-dressing appearring as fashion styles were summarized as wealthy, honorable, having political power, being, charismatic or, feminine. Luxury suite luxury brands holds a sense of power with many believing they wealth, honor and charisma. Luxury bags, V-zone ornaments of scarves and, jewelry are items of power that people often wear in order to charisma and a symbol of power. They are also, used as an important element in portraying confidence and leadership as IMF governors.