• Title/Summary/Keyword: period error

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A Study on the Comparison of Electricity Forecasting Models: Korea and China

  • Zheng, Xueyan;Kim, Sahm
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.675-683
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    • 2015
  • In the 21st century, we now face the serious problems of the enormous consumption of the energy resources. Depending on the power consumption increases, both China and South Korea face a reduction in available resources. This paper considers the regression models and time-series models to compare the performance of the forecasting accuracy based on Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) in order to forecast the electricity demand accurately on the short-term period (68 months) data in Northeast China and find the relationship with Korea. Among the models the support vector regression (SVR) model shows superior performance than time-series models for the short-term period data and the time-series models show similar results with the SVR model when we use long-term period data.

Effect of Measuring Period on Predicting the Annual Heating Energy Consumption for Building (연간 건물난방 에너지사용량의 예측에 미치는 측정기간의 영향)

  • 조성환;태춘섭;김진호;방기영
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.287-293
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    • 2003
  • This study examined the temperature-dependent regression model of energy consumption based on various measuring period. The methodology employed was to construct temperature-dependent linear regression model of daily energy consumption from one day to three months data-sets and to compare the annual heating energy consumption predicted by these models with actual annual heating energy consumption. Heating energy consumption from a building in Daejon was examined experimentally. From the results, predicted value based on one day experimental data can have error over 100%. But predicted value based on one week experimental data showed error over 30%. And predicted value based on over three months experimental data provides accurate prediction within 6% but it will be required very expensive.

The Rolling Error Caused by the Centrifugal Force on the Ship's Gyro Compass (원심력에 의한 Gyro Compass의 동요오차)

  • 정태권;이상집
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 1979
  • There are two different assertions on the rolling error in the solid-controlled gyro compass which contains two rotors in its inner gyro sphere. One assertion is that there is a rolling error and the other is that there is no rolling error. This paper examines the rolling error caused by the centrifugal force by the experiment to reveal that the first assertionis reasonable, and it also attempts to explain qualitatively how the rolling error occurs. The Hokushin-Plath gyro compass is chosen as a model. The rolling error is examined by the swing test in various periods. From the tests, the following results are obtained. As long as the swing is continued under the fixed condition of the ship's heading, the swinging period and the amplitude, no error appears. In case the gyro compass is affected by the swingings except those of the cardinal planes, the error starts to appear only after the swing is finished and it is increasing slowly. It takes about 20 minutes for the error to reach its maximum value. The type of this error is a quadrantal one which makes the ship's heading high in the first and third quarters and low in the second and fourth quarters. But in each case the experimental maximum error is greater than the theorectical one.

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Velocity Measurement System Design Based on Quantization Error Constraint

  • Katsunori, Shida;Toyonori, Matsuda
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.86.1-86
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    • 2001
  • Combined with a counter, wheel or strip encoders which have equally divided markers are one of frequent measuring choices towards various applications in terms of cost, simplicity, and diversity of measurements, e.g., measuring displacement, velocity, acceleration, and so on. Often, velocity is measured by counting the series of reference clocks for a period of time which sensor-carrying device took for traveling two adjacent encoding markers. Quantizaion error of such that the disturbance caused by quantization error is under control. This paper identifies design issues, developes theory, and proposes a paradigm to design a velocity measurement system such ...

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A High Speed Distance Relaying Algorithm Based on a Least Square Error Method (최소자승법을 이용한 고속 거리계전 알고리즘)

  • Kwon, Tae-Won;Kang, Sang-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.208-210
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    • 1998
  • A high speed digital distance relaying algorithm based on a modified least square error method is proposed. To obtain stable phasor values very Quickly, first, a lowpass filter which has very short transient period and no overshoot is used. Secondly, the conventional least square error method is modified to the one having the data window of 3 samples by applying a FIR filter which removes the DC-offset component in current relaying signals.

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Improved DC Offset Error Compensation Algorithm in Phase Locked Loop System

  • Park, Chang-Seok;Jung, Tae-Uk
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.1707-1713
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a dc error compensation algorithm using dq-synchronous coordinate transform digital phase-locked-loop in single-phase grid-connected converters. The dc errors are caused by analog to digital conversion and grid voltage during measurement. If the dc offset error is included in the phase-locked-loop system, it can cause distortion in the grid angle estimation with phase-locked-loop. Accordingly, recent study has dealt with the integral technique using the synchronous reference frame phase-locked-loop method. However, dynamic response is slow because it requires to monitor one period of grid voltage. In this paper, the dc offset error compensation algorithm of the improved response characteristic is proposed by using the synchronous reference frame phase-locked-loop. The simulation and the experimental results are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed dc offset error compensation algorithm.

Error Estimation and Adaptive Time Stepping Procedure for Structural Dynamics (구조동역학에서의 오차 추정과 시간간격 제어 알고리즘)

  • 장인식
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.190-200
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    • 1996
  • Step-by-step time integration methods are widely used for solving structural dynamics problem. One difficult yet critical choice an analyst must make is to decide an appropriate time step size. The choice of time step size has a significant effect on solution accuracy and computational expense. The objective of this research is to derive error estimate for newly developed time integration method and develop automatic time step size control algorithm for structural dynamics. A formula for computing error tolerance is derived based on desired period resolution. An automatic time step size control strategy is proposed based on a normalized local error estimate for the generalized-α method. Numerical examples demonstrate the developed strategy satisfies general design criteria for time step size control algorithm for dynamic problem.

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Estimation of Design Wind Speed Compatible for Long-span Bridge in Western and Southern Sea (서남해안 장대교량에 적합한 설계 풍속 산정)

  • Kim, Han Soo;Lee, Hyun Ho;Cho, Doo Young;Park, Sun Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 2011
  • Recently there are many long span cable supported bridges like Cable Stayed Bridge and Suspension Bridge already constructed or planned. Reconsidering of proper design wind load of long span bridge is required since the meteorological value based on the data only from 1960s to 1995 has been used when we estimate the wind load for designing long span bridges. In this paper, the research area was confined to western and southern coasts where many long span bridges have constructed. The method of moment and the least-squares method were used to estimate the expected wind speeds of 100 year's return period for girder bridges and for 200 year's return period for long span bridges based on the Gumbel's distribution. As the return-period wind speed on the land face was revised because of recent high speed velocity, the revised return-period wind speed is increased by 17%. Compatibility of return-period wind speed was also evaluated using RMS (Root Mean Square) error method. Aa a result of this paper, the least-squares method is more compatible than the method of moment in the case of western and southern coasts in Korea.

The analysis of EU carbon trading and energy prices using vector error correction model (벡터오차수정모형을 이용한 유럽 탄소배출권가격 분석)

  • Bu, Gi-Duck;Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.401-412
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    • 2011
  • This study uses a vector error correction model to analyze the daily time series data of the spot price of EUA (European Union Allowance). As endogenous variables, five variables are considered for the analysis, including prices of crude oil, natural gas, electricity and coal in addition to carbon price. Data period is Phase 2 period (April 21, 2008 to March 31, 2010) to avoid Phase 1 period (2005-2007) where the EUA prices were distorted. Unit-root and cointegration test results reveal that all variables have a unit root and cointegration vectors exist, so a vector error correction model is adopted instead of a vector autoregressive model.

Fundamental periods of reinforced concrete building frames resting on sloping ground

  • De, Mithu;Sengupta, Piyali;Chakraborty, Subrata
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.305-312
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    • 2018
  • Significant research efforts were undertaken to evaluate seismic performance of vertically irregular buildings on flat ground. However, there is scarcity of study on seismic performance of buildings on hill slopes. The present study attempts to investigate seismic behaviour of reinforced concrete irregular stepback building frames with different configurations on sloping ground. Based on extensive regression study of free vibration results of four hundred seventeen frames with varying ground slope, number of story and span number, a modification is proposed to the code based empirical fundamental time period estimation formula. The modification to the fundamental time period estimation formula is a simplified function of ground slope and a newly introduced equivalent height parameter to reflect the effect of stiffness and mass irregularity. The derived empirical formula is successfully validated with various combinations of slope and framing configurations of buildings. The correlation between the predicted and the actual time period obtained from the free vibration analysis results are in good agreement. The various statistical parameters e.g., the root mean square error, coefficient of determination, standard average error generally used for validation of such regression equations also ensure the prediction capability of the proposed empirical relation with reasonable accuracy.