• Title/Summary/Keyword: period error

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The Long-Run Demand for Monetary Indicator M2 and Liquidity Indicator L - Case in Korea - (한국의 광의통화(M2)와 광의유동성(L)에 대한 화폐수요의 장기적 안정성 검정)

  • Kim, Joung-Gu
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.171-194
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    • 2008
  • This paper analysis the long-run demand for monetary indicator M2 and Liquidity indicator L in Korea in the period from 1980:1 to 2006:3 by cointegration and error correction models. The empirical evidence that M2, L in Korea is meaningfully cointegrated with income, interest rate, exchange rate, inflation uncertainty, real effective exchange rate, exchange rate uncertainty and LIBOR, thus showing the existence of long-run demand function under open-economy framework.

Causality Analysis of Oil Consumption, Oil-spills, and Economic Growth in Korea (한국의 석유소비, 해양유류유출사고, 경제성장의 인과관계 분석)

  • Jin, Se-Jun;Park, Se-Hun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the causal relationship among oil consumption, oil-tanker accidents, and economic growth, and to derive policy implications from the results. Therefore, this paper attempts to analyze the short term, long term, and strong causality factors pertaining to the relationship between oil consumption, oil-tanker accidents, and economic growth in Korea using time-series techniques and annual data for the 1984-2016 period. Tests for unit roots, co-integration, and Granger-causality based on an error-correction model are presented. The results show that bidirectional causality exists between oil consumption and oil-tanker accidents, between economic growth and oil consumption, and between oil-tanker accidents and economic growth. The study shows that oil was used as a core energy source during the rapid economic growth of Korea in the past, and that this caused the number of oil-tanker accidents to rise as oil consumption increased.

A Novel Method for Compensating Phase Voltage Based on Online Calculating Compensation Time

  • Wang, Mingyu;Wang, Dafang;Zhou, Chuanwei;Liang, Xiu;Dong, Guanglin
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.333-343
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    • 2019
  • Dead time and the nonideal characteristics of components all lead to phase voltage distortions. In order to eliminate the harmful effects caused by distortion, numerous methods have been proposed. The efficacy of a method mainly depends on two factors, the compensation voltage amplitude and the phase current polarity. Theoretical derivations and experiments are given to explain that both of these key factors can be deduced from the compensation time, which is defined as the error time between the ideal phase voltage duration and the actual phase voltage duration in one Pulse Width Modulation (PWM) period. Based on this regularity, a novel method for compensating phase voltage has been proposed. A simple circuit is constructed to realize the real-time feedback of the phase voltage. Utilizing the actual phase voltage, the compensation time is calculated online. Then the compensation voltage is derived. Simulation and experimental results show the feasibility and effectivity of the proposed method. They also show that the error voltage is decreased and that the waveform is improved.

Precision Improvement Technique of Propagation Delay Distance Measurement Using IEEE 1588 PTP (IEEE 1588 PTP를 이용한 전파 지연 거리 측정의 정밀도 향상 기법)

  • Gu, Young Mo;Boo, Jung-il;Ha, Jeong-wan;Kim, Bokki
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.515-519
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    • 2021
  • IEEE 1588 PTP is a precision time protocol in which two systems synchronize without the aid of GPS by exchanging packets including transmission/reception time information. In the time synchronization process, the propagation delay time can be calculated and the distance between the two systems can be measured using this. In this paper, we proposed a method to improve the distance measurement precision less than the modulation symbol period using the timing error information extracted from the preamble of the received packet. Computer simulations show that the distance measurement precision is proportional to the length of the preamble PN sequence and the signal-to-noise ratio.

Receiver Design for Satellite Navigation Signals using the Tiered Differential Polyphase Code

  • Jo, Gwang Hee;Noh, Jae Hee;Lim, Deok Won;Son, Seok Bo;Hwang, Dong-Hwan;Lee, Sang Jeong
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.307-313
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    • 2021
  • Modernized GNSS signal structures tend to use tiered codes, and all GNSSs use binary codes as secondary codes. However, recently, signals using polyphase codes such as Zadoff-Chu sequence have been proposed, and are expected to be utilized in GNSS. For example, there is Tiered Differential Polyphase Code (TDPC) using polyphase code as secondary code. In TDPC, the phase of secondary code changes every one period of the primary code and a time-variant error is added to the carrier tracking error, so carrier tracking ambiguity exists until the secondary code phase is found. Since the carrier tracking ambiguity cannot be solved using the general GNSS receiver architecture, a new receiver architecture is required. Therefore, in this paper, we describe the carrier tracking ambiguity and its cause in signal tracking, and propose a receiver structure that can solve it. In order to prove the proposed receiver structure, we provide three signal tracking results. The first is the differential decoding result (secondary code sync) using the general GNSS receiver structure and the proposed receiver structure. The second is the IQ diagram before and after multiplying the secondary code demodulation when carrier tracking ambiguity is solved using the proposed receiver structure. The third is the carrier tracking result of the legacy GPS (L1 C/A) signal and the signal using TDPC.

Forecasting River Water Levels in the Bac Hung Hai Irrigation System of Vietnam Using an Artificial Neural Network Model

  • Hung Viet Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.37-37
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    • 2023
  • There is currently a high-accuracy modern forecasting method that uses machine learning algorithms or artificial neural network models to forecast river water levels or flowrate. As a result, this study aims to develop a mathematical model based on artificial neural networks to effectively forecast river water levels upstream of Tranh Culvert in North Vietnam's Bac Hung Hai irrigation system. The mathematical model was thoroughly studied and evaluated by using hydrological data from six gauge stations over a period of twenty-two years between 2000 and 2022. Furthermore, the results of the developed model were also compared to those of the long-short-term memory neural networks model. This study performs four predictions, with a forecast time ranging from 6 to 24 hours and a time step of 6 hours. To validate and test the model's performance, the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), mean absolute error, and root mean squared error were calculated. During the testing phase, the NSE of the model varies from 0.981 to 0.879, corresponding to forecast cases from one to four time steps ahead. The forecast results from the model are very reasonable, indicating that the model performed excellently. Therefore, the proposed model can be used to forecast water levels in North Vietnam's irrigation system or rivers impacted by tides.

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A Constant-Current and Constant-Voltage Control Method for Primary-Side Regulated Fly-Buck Converter (1차 측 제어 플라이벅 컨버터의 정전류 및 정전압 제어)

  • Younghoon Cho;Paul Jang
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.30-38
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, a constant current(CC) and constant voltage(CV) control method using a primary-side regulated(PSR) fly-buck converter is proposed. Because the primary-side structure of the fly-buck converter is the same as that of the synchronous buck converter, it always operates in continuous conduction mode(CCM). Therefore, in the proposed method, the load information on the secondary side can always be easily estimated by measuring the primary inductor current at the midpoint of the switch-on period. An accurate CC/CV control can be achieved through simple calculations based on this estimated information. Consequently, the proposed method is advantageous for optimizing the control performance of the PSR converter. The validity of the proposed control was verified using a 5 W prototype of a PSR fly-buck converter. The experimental results confirmed that the current reference of 500 mA was followed within the error range of 1.2%, and that the voltage reference of 12 V was followed within the error range of 1.8% despite the indirect control of the load current and output voltage from the primary side.

Optimize rainfall prediction utilize multivariate time series, seasonal adjustment and Stacked Long short term memory

  • Nguyen, Thi Huong;Kwon, Yoon Jeong;Yoo, Je-Ho;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.373-373
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    • 2021
  • Rainfall forecasting is an important issue that is applied in many areas, such as agriculture, flood warning, and water resources management. In this context, this study proposed a statistical and machine learning-based forecasting model for monthly rainfall. The Bayesian Gaussian process was chosen to optimize the hyperparameters of the Stacked Long Short-term memory (SLSTM) model. The proposed SLSTM model was applied for predicting monthly precipitation of Seoul station, South Korea. Data were retrieved from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in the period between 1960 and 2019. Four schemes were examined in this study: (i) prediction with only rainfall; (ii) with deseasonalized rainfall; (iii) with rainfall and minimum temperature; (iv) with deseasonalized rainfall and minimum temperature. The error of predicted rainfall based on the root mean squared error (RMSE), 16-17 mm, is relatively small compared with the average monthly rainfall at Seoul station is 117mm. The results showed scheme (iv) gives the best prediction result. Therefore, this approach is more straightforward than the hydrological and hydraulic models, which request much more input data. The result indicated that a deep learning network could be applied successfully in the hydrology field. Overall, the proposed method is promising, given a good solution for rainfall prediction.

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Diagnostic Hierarchy of Tic Disorders in Real-World Clinical Practice

  • Yeeji Sung;Soon-Beom Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.236-241
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: According to the 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases, the main categories of tic disorders (F95.0, F95.1, and F95.2) follow a diagnostic hierarchy based on the duration and diversity of tic symptoms. The present study investigated the use of this diagnostic hierarchy in real-world clinical practice. Methods: Based on the National Health Insurance Service-National Health Information Database, the diagnosis of transient tic disorder (F95.0) made after a diagnosis of chronic motor or vocal tic disorder (F95.1) or Tourette's syndrome (F95.2) and diagnosis of chronic motor or vocal tic disorder (F95.1) made after a diagnosis of Tourette's syndrome (F95.2) were referred to as type A errors. The diagnosis of transient tic disorder (F95.0) repeated after a period of >12 months was referred to as type B error. Demographic and clinical differences according to the diagnostic error types were analyzed using analysis of variance, Student's t-tests, and chi-squared tests. Results: Most participants (96.5%) were without errors in the diagnosis of tic disorders. Higher proportions of males (p=0.005) and antipsychotic prescriptions (p<0.001) were observed in patients with type A or B diagnostic errors. A higher proportion of health insurance holders was observed among those with type A errors (p=0.027). Conclusion: Errors were absent in majority of the tic diagnoses in real-world clinical practice in terms of the diagnostic hierarchy.

Development and Empirical Validation of an Electric Vehicle Battery Consumption Analysis Model (전기차 배터리 소모량 분석모형 개발 및 실증)

  • In-Seon Suh;Young-Mi Lee;Sang-Yul Oh;Myeong-Chang Gwak;Hyeon-Ji Lee
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.523-532
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    • 2024
  • In popular tourist destinations such as Jeju and Gangwon, electric rental cars are increasingly adopted. However, sudden battery drain due to weather conditions can pose safety issues. To address this, we developed a battery consumption analysis model that considers resistive energy factors such as acceleration, rolling resistance, and aerodynamic drag. Focusing on the effects of ambient temperature and wind speed, the model's performance was evaluated during an empirical validation period from November to December 2023. Comparing predicted and actual state of charge (SoC) across different routes identified ambient temperature, wind speed, and driving time as major sources of error. The mean absolute error (MAE) increased with lower temperatures due to reduced battery efficiency. Higher wind speeds on routes 1 and 6 resulted in larger errors, indicating the model's limitation in considering only tailwinds for aerodynamic drag calculations. Additionally, longer driving times led to higher actual SoC than predicted, suggesting the need to account for varying driver habits influenced by road conditions. Our model, providing more accurate SoC predictions to prevent battery depletion incidents, shows high potential for application in navigation apps for electric vehicle users in tourist areas. Future research should endeavor to the model by including wind direction, HVAC system usage, and braking frequency to improve prediction accuracy further.