• Title/Summary/Keyword: period error

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A Reservoir Operation Plan Coupled with Storage Forecasting Models in Existing Agricultural Reservoir (농업용 저수지에서 저수량 예측 모형과 연계한 저수지 운영 개선 방안의 모색)

  • Ahn, Tae-Jin;Lee, Jae-Young;Lee, Jae-Young;Yi, Jae-Eung;Yoon, Yang-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a reservoir operation plan coupled with storage forecasting model to maintain a target storage and a critical storage. The observed storage data from 1990 to 2001 in the Geum-Gang agricultural reservoir in Korea have been applied to the low flow frequency analysis, which yields storage for each return period. Two year return period drought storage is then designated as the target storage and ten year return period drought storage as the critical storage. Storage in reservoir should be forecasted to perform reasonable reservoir operation. The predicted storage can be effectively utilized to establish a reservoir operation plan. In this study the autoregressive error (ARE) model and the ARIMA model are adopted to predict storage of reservoir. The ARIMA model poorly generated reservoir storage in series because only observed storage data were used, but the autoregressive error model made to enhance the reliability of the forecasted storage by applying the explanation variables to the model. Since storages of agricultural reservoir with respect to time have been affected by irrigation area, high or mean temperature, precipitation, previous storage and wind velocity, the autoregressive error model has been adopted to analyze the relationship between storage at a period and affecting factors for storage at the period. Since the equation for predicting storage at a period by the autoregressive error model is similar to the continuity equation, the predicting storage equation may be practical. The results from compared the actual storage in 2002 and the predicted storage in the Geum-Gang reservoir show that forecasted storage by the autoregressive error model is reasonable.

Application of Normality Test and Classification of Process Capability Index (공정능력지수의 유형화 및 정규성 검정의 응용)

  • Choe, Seong-Un
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.551-556
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    • 2011
  • This research presents an implementation strategy of Process Capability Index (PCI) according to the types of process characteristics. The types of process feature are classified as four perspectives of variation range, time period, error position, and process stage. The paper examines short-term or long-term PCI, within or between variation, position of precision or accuracy, and inclusion of measurement or calibration stage. Moreover, the study proposes normality test of unilateral PCI.

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Short-Term Load Forecast for Summer Special Light-Load Period (하계 특수경부하기간의 단기 전력수요예측)

  • Park, Jeong-Do;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.482-488
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    • 2013
  • Load forecasting is essential to the economical and the stable power system operations. In general, the forecasting days can be classified into weekdays, weekends, special days and special light-load periods in short-term load forecast. Special light-load periods are the consecutive holidays such as Lunar New Years holidays, Korean Thanksgiving holidays and summer special light-load period. For the weekdays and the weekends forecast, the conventional methods based on the statistics are mainly used and show excellent results for the most part. The forecast algorithms for special days yield good results also but its forecast error is relatively high than the results of the weekdays and the weekends forecast methods. For summer special light-load period, none of the previous studies have been performed ever before so if the conventional methods are applied to this period, forecasting errors of the conventional methods are considerably high. Therefore, short-term load forecast for summer special light-load period have mainly relied on the experience of power system operation experts. In this study, the trends of load profiles during summer special light-load period are classified into three patterns and new forecast algorithms for each pattern are suggested. The proposed method was tested with the last ten years' summer special light-load periods. The simulation results show the excellent average forecast error near 2%.

Linear Complexity and 1-Error Linear Complexity over $F_p$ of M-ary Sidel'nikov Sequences (M진 Sidel'nikov 수열의 $F_p$ 상에서의 선형복잡도와 1-오류 선형복잡도)

  • Chung, Jin-Ho;Yang, Kyeong-Cheol
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.12C
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    • pp.1150-1156
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    • 2006
  • In this paper we derive some lower bounds on the linear complexity and upper bounds on the 1-error linear complexity over $F_p$ of M-ary Sidel'nikov sequences of period $p^m-1$ when $M\geq3$ and $p\equiv{\pm}1$ mod M. In particular, we exactly compute the 1-error linear complexity of ternary Sidel'nikov sequences when $p^m-1$ and $m\geq4$. Based on these bounds we present the asymptotic behavior of the normalized linear complexity and the normalized 1-error linear complexity with respect to the period.

Automatic Calibration of SWAT Model Using LH-OAT Sensitivity Analysis and SCE-UA Optimization Method (LH-OAT 민감도 분석과 SCE-UA 최적화 방법을 이용한 SWAT 모형의 자동보정)

  • Lee Do-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.677-690
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    • 2006
  • The LH-OAT (Latin Hypercube One factor At a Time) method for sensitivity analysis and SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution at University of Arizona) optimization method were applied for the automatic calibration of SWAT model in Bocheong-cheon watershed. The LH-OAT method which combines the advantages of global and local sensitivity analysis effectively identified the sensitivity ranking for the parameters of SWAT model over feasible parameter space. Use of this information allows us to select the calibrated parameters for the automatic calibration process. The performance of the automatic calibration of SWAT model using SCE-UA method depends on the length of calibration period, the number of calibrated parameters, and the selection of statistical error criteria. The performance of SWAT model in terms of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), NSEF (Nash-Sutcliffe Model Efficiency), RMAE (Relative Mean Absolute Error), and NMSE (Normalized Mean Square Error) becomes better as the calibration period and the number of parameters defined in the automatic calibration process increase. However, NAE (Normalized Average Error) and SDR (Standard Deviation Ratio) were not improved although the calibration period and the number of calibrated parameters are increased. The result suggests that there are complex interactions among the calibration data, the calibrated parameters, and the model error criteria and a need for further study to understand these complex interactions at various representative watersheds.

ATC-55 Based Friction Damper Design Procedure for Controlling Inelastic Seismic Responses (비탄성 지진응답 제어를 위한 ATC-55에 기반한 마찰감쇠기 설계절차)

  • Kim, Hyoung-Seop;Min, Kyung-Won;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Park, Ji-Hun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.9 no.1 s.41
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to present a design procedure of a friction damper for controlling elastic and inelastic responses of building structures under earthquake excitation. The equivalent damping and period increased by the friction damper are estimated using ATC-40 and ATC-55 procedures which provide equivalent linear system for bilinear one, and then a design formula to achieve target performance response level by the friction damper is presented. It is identified that there exists error between the responses obtained by this formula and by performing nonlinear analysis and the features of the error vary according to the hardening ratio, yield strength ratio, and structural period. Equations for compensating the error are proposed based on the least square method, and the results from numerical analysis indicate that the error is significantly reduced. The proposed formula can be used without much error for designing a friction damper for retrofitting a structure showing elastic or inelastic behavior.

Development of Error-Corrector Control Algorithm for Automatic Error Detection and Correction on Space Memory Modules (우주용 메모리의 자동 오류극복을 위한 오류 정정기 제어 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kwak, Seong-Woo;Yang, Jung-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.1036-1042
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents an algorithm that conducts automatic memory scrubbing operated by dedicated hardwares. The proposed algorithm is designed so that it can scrub entire memory in a given scrub period, while minimally affecting the execution of flight softwares. The scrub controller is constructed in a form of state machines, which have two execution modes - normal mode and burst mode. The deadline event generator and period tick generator are designed in a separate way to support the behavior of the scrub controller. The proposed controller is implemented in VHDL code to validate its applicability. A simple version of the controller is also applied to mass memory modules used in STSAT-3.

Highly accurate family of time integration method

  • Rezaiee-Pajand, Mohammad;Esfehani, S.A.H.;Karimi-Rad, Mahdi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.67 no.6
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    • pp.603-616
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the acceleration vector in each time step is assumed to be a mth order time polynomial. By using the initial conditions, satisfying the equation of motion at both ends of the time step and minimizing the square of the residual vector, the m+3 unknown coefficients are determined. The order of accuracy for this approach is m+1, and it has a very low dispersion error. Moreover, the period error of the new technique is almost zero, and it is considerably smaller than the members of the Newmark method. The proposed scheme has an appropriate domain of stability, which is greater than that of the central difference and linear acceleration techniques. The numerical tests highlight the improved performance of the new algorithm over the fourth-order Runge-Kutta, central difference, linear and average acceleration methods.

Self-tuning control with improved transient state (초기과도 상태를 개선한 자기 동조 제어 방식)

  • 김운성;배한경;허경무
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.376-381
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    • 1992
  • In this thesis, a self-tuning control method based on Variable Structure System technique for tracking control of Direct-Drive motor is presented. The self-tuning control could not make the tracking error zero in the transient period. This tracking error may be due to disturbances or the error in parameter identification. To overcome this problem, a self-tuning control method based on discrete time VSS technique is presented. The STC based on VSS technique gives good tracking performance of the reference signal in the transient period. The proposed controller is robust to parameter errors and disturbances. The performance of the proposed controller is compared with that of simple STC through digital computer simulation.

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Improvement of Time Synchronization of SpaceWire Network through Time-Code Extension (타임코드 확장을 통한 스페이스와이어 네트워크의 시각 동기화 성능 개선)

  • Ryu, Sang-Moon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.724-730
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    • 2017
  • SpaceWire invented for spacecrafts has Time-Code defined for time synchronization over SpaceWire network. A Time-Code suffers transmission delay of 14[bit-period] and jitter up to 10[bit-period] whenever it passes through a SpaceWire link, which is the primary cause of time synchronization error. This work presents a simple method to improve the time synchronization which uses two extended Time-Codes. Nodes on a SpaceWire network can find how much delay and jitter a received Time-Code has suffered while it passes through the network, and they can correct time synchronization error with this information. The proposed method was validated in a simulation environment developed based on OMNeT++. The simulation result showed that time synchronization error less than a few bit-periods can be achieved. The proposed method is cost effective and suitable for small-scale SpaceWire network systems.