• 제목/요약/키워드: percentile.

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감마과정 모델을 적용한 피로균열 진전거동의 예측 (Estimation of Fatigue Crack Growth using Gamma Process Model)

  • 박성호;김재훈
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제38권11호
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    • pp.1245-1256
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    • 2014
  • 피로균열 진전거동은 내재적, 외재적 요인에 의하여 시간 경과에 따라 많은 변동을 보인다. 감마과정 모델을 포함하여 연속적, 점진적 그리고 단조롭게 진전하는 피로균열 진전거동의 불확실성을 모사하기 위한 열화모델을 고찰하였다. Lu와 Meeker의 피로시험 자료에 감마과정 모델을 적용하여 시간에 따라 확률적으로 변동하는 피로균열 진전거동을 예측하였다. 피로균열 진전에 관한 상태저하와 수명을 시간에 따라 형상이 변화하는 확률분포 곡선으로 표현하였으며 비대칭도와의 관계로부터 기대수명으로 중위수의 적용이 적절함을 확인하였다. 최적 교체주기와 백분위 수명에 관한 고찰로 감마과정 모델이 예방정비을 위한 정책판단 기준으로 활용할 수 있음을 제시하였다.

Evaluating the Performance of the Emergency Medical Services Index

  • Eun, Sang Jun;Lee, Jin-Seok;Kim, Yoon;Jung, Koo Young;Park, Sue Kyung;Lee, Jin Yong
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.176-187
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    • 2013
  • Background: In 2006 Emergency Medical Services Index (EMSI), which summarizes the performance of regional emergency medical services system, was developed. This study assesses the performance of the EMSI to help determine whether EMSI can be used as evaluation tool. Methods: To build a composite score of the EMSI from predefined 24 indicators, 3 normalized values were calculated for each indicator, the normalized values of each indicator were weighted using 4 weighting methods, and the weighted values were aggregated into the final composite score using 2 aggregation schemes. The performance of EMSI was evaluated using 3 criteria: discrimination, construct validity, and sensitivity. Discrimination was the proportion of regions that did not include the overall median rank in the 5th to 95th percentiles rank interval, which was calculated from Monte Carlo simulation. Construct validity was a correlation among the alternative EMSIs. Sensitivity of EMSIs was evaluated by total shift of quartile membership and changes of 5th to 95th percentile intervals. Results: The total discrimination performance of the EMSI was 50.0%. Correlation coefficients between EMSIs using standardized values and those using rescaled values ranged from 0.621 to 0.997. Variation of the quartile membership of regions ranged from 0.0% to 75.0%. The total change in the 5th to 95th percentile intervals ranged from -19 to +17 places. Conclusion: The results suggested that the EMSI could be used as a tool for evaluating quality of regional EMS system and for identifying the areas for quality improvement.

한반도 극한 기온의 선형 및 비선형 변화 경향 (Linear and Nonlinear Trends of Extreme Temperatures in Korea)

  • 김상욱;송강현;김서연;손석우
    • 대기
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.379-390
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    • 2014
  • This study explores the long-term trends of surface air temperatures in 11 KMA stations over the period of 1960~2012. Both linear and nonlinear trends are examined for the $95^{th}$, $50^{th}$, and $5^{th}$ percentiles of daily maximum ($T_{max}$) and minimum temperatures ($T_{min}$) by using quantile regression method. It is found that in most stations linear trends of $T_{max}$ and $T_{min}$ are generally stronger in winter than in summer, and warming trend of the $5^{th}$ percentile temperature (cold extreme) is stronger than that of the $95^{th}$ percentile temperature (warm extreme) in both seasons. The nonlinear trends, which are evaluated by the second order polynomial fitting, show a strong nonlinearity in winter. Specifically, winter temperatures have increased until 2000s but slightly decreased afterward in all percentiles. This contrasts with the $95^{th}$ and $50^{th}$ percentiles of summer $T_{min}$ that show a decreasing trend until 1980s then an increasing trend. While this result is consistent with a seasonal dependence of the recent global warming hiatus, most of the nonlinear trends are statistically insignificant, making a quantitative attribution of nonlinear temperature trends challenging.

Higher Morbidity of Monogenic Inflammatory Bowel Disease Compared to the Adolescent Onset Inflammatory Bowel Disease

  • Kim, Kwang Yeon;Lee, Eun Joo;Kim, Ju Whi;Moon, Jin Soo;Jang, Ju Young;Yang, Hye Ran;Ko, Jae Sung
    • Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Monogenic inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients do not respond to conventional therapy and are associated with a higher morbidity. We summarized the clinical characteristics of monogenic IBD patients and compared their clinical outcomes to that of non-monogenic IBD patients. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of all children <18 years old who were diagnosed with IBD between 2005 and 2016. A total of 230 children were enrolled. Monogenic IBD was defined as a presentation age less than 6 years old with confirmation of a genetic disorder. We subdivided the groups into monogenic IBD (n=18), non-monogenic very early-onset IBD (defined as patients with a presentation age <6 years old without a confirmed genetic disorder, n=12), non-monogenic IBD (defined as all patients under 18 years old excluding monogenic IBD, n=212), and severe IBD (defined as patients treated with an anti-tumor necrosis factor excluding monogenic IBD, n=92). We compared demographic data, initial pediatric Crohn disease activity index/pediatric ulcerative colitis activity index (PCDAI/PUCAI) score, frequency of hospitalizations, surgical experiences, and height and weight under 3rd percentile among the patients enrolled. Results: The initial PCDAI/PUCAI score (p<0.05), incidence of surgery per year (p<0.05), and hospitalization per year (p<0.05) were higher in the monogenic IBD group than in the other IBD groups. Additionally, the proportion of children whose weight and height were less than the 3rd percentile (p<0.05 and p<0.05, respectively) was also higher in the monogenic IBD group. Conclusion: Monogenic IBD showed more severe clinical manifestations than the other groups.

한산.거제만해역 패류양식장에 대한 세균학적 위생안전성 평가 (Evaluation of the Bacteriological Safety for the Shellfish Growing Area in Hansan.Geojeman, Korea)

  • 하광수;심길보;유현덕;김지회;이태식
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.449-455
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    • 2009
  • In Hansan Geojeman area, 2,050 ha of shellfish growing area has been designated as shellfish production area for export. The main shellfish species from the designated area is oysters. For the sanitary management of the designated area established in Hansan Geojeman area, bacteriological examination of sea water and shellfish at the sampling stations inside and outside of the designated area were performed from January 2006 to December 2008. The range of fecal coliform of 756 sea water samples at 21 stations located in the designated area were <1.8~>1,600 MPN/100mL. And the range of geometric mean and the estimated 90th percentile of fecal coliform were 1.8~2.9 and 2.7~15.8 MPN/100mL, respectively. Sanitary conditions of the current designated area in Hansan Geojeman meets the required standards of the Fisheries Product Quality Control and National Shellfish Sanitation Program (NSSP, USA) criteria for the approved area. Also, the sanitary status of the shellfish harvested from the designated area met the Korean Shellfish Sanitation Program (KSSP) fecal coliform criterion (<230 MPN/100g). And the human pathogen such as Salmonella spp. and Shigella spp. were not detected from the examined shellfish samples.

충남 서천 패류생산해역에서의 세균학적 위생안전성 평가 (Evaluation of Bacteriological Safety for the Shellfish growing Sea waters in Seocheon Area, Korea)

  • 변한석;송기철;이두석;심길보;임치원
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2010
  • A Sanitary survey in an Important shellfish-growing area of Biin Bay in Seocheon-gun Korea, was conducted to evaluate bay conditions and compliance with the bacteriological criteria for areas designated for the production of shellfish for export. Seawater samples were collected monthly at 55 sampling stations established in the survey area from January 2006 to December 2008. Bacteriological water quality did not change in response to a small rainfall (10.0 mm), but it increased abruptly in response to rainfall to 62.5 mm The most probable number (MPN) value for total coliforms and fecal coliforms in 1, 980 seawater samples ranged from <1.8 to >1, 600 MPN/100mL and from <1.8 to 330 MPN/100mL, respectively. The geometric mean and estimated $90^{th}$ percentile value for total coliforms ranged from 2.0 to 10.3 MPN/100mL and from 7.0 to 42.6 MPN/100mL respectively. The geometric mean and estimated percentile value for fecal coliforms ranged from 1.8 to 4.0 MPN/100mL and from 1.9 to 18.3 MPN/100mL, respectively. Accordingly, the bacteriological water quality of Biin Bay met the National Shellfish Sanitation Program (NSSP) and Korea Shel1fish Sanitation Program(KSSP) criteria for areas designated for shellfish production for export in Korea.

클라우드 데이터베이스에서의 꼬리응답시간 감소를 위한 가비지 컬렉션 동기화 기법 (Garbage Collection Synchronization Technique for Improving Tail Latency of Cloud Databases)

  • 한승욱;한상욱;김지홍
    • 정보과학회 논문지
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    • 제44권8호
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    • pp.767-773
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    • 2017
  • 클라우드 데이터베이스와 같은 분산 시스템 환경에서는 균일한 서비스 품질을 보장하기 위해 꼬리 응답시간을 짧게 유지하는 것이 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 카산드라 데이터베이스를 대상으로, 긴 꼬리 응답시간에 해당하는 지연이 메모리 공간 부족으로 인해 발생한다는 것을 보이며, 이러한 지연이 메모리 공간 확보를 위해 버퍼에 저장된 데이터를 저장장치에 완전히 내려쓸 때까지 카산드라가 사용자의 요청을 받지 않기 때문임을 밝힌다. 버퍼에 저장된 데이터를 내려쓰는데 걸리는 시간은 저장장치 성능에 따라 결정되므로 SSD의 가바지 컬렉션으로 인한 성능 저하가 꼬리 응답시간을 더 길게 만들고 있음을 관찰하였다. 우리는 자바가상기계에서의 가비지 컬렉션과 SSD에서의 가비지 컬렉션을 함께 수행하여 SSD의 가비지 컬렉션 비용을 숨기는, SyncGC 기법을 제안한다. 실험 결과, SyncGC 기법을 통해 꼬리 응답시간인 $99.9^{th}$$99.9^{th}-percentile$을 각각 31%, 36% 줄일 수 있었다.

수원시 대기 중 오존과 질소산화물의 장기변동 특성 (1991 ~ 2012) (The Long-term Variations of Ozone and Nitrogen Oxides in Suwon City during 1991 ~2012)

  • 안현진;한지현;이미혜;강은하
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.378-384
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    • 2015
  • The long-term variations of ozone and nitrogen oxides in Suwon city, the capital of Gyeong-gi province, were examined from 1991 to 2012. In this period, the annual average $O_3$ concentration increased from 13.8 ppbv to 22.7 ppbv and that of $99^{th}$ percentile increased from 58.0 ppbv to 80.0 ppbv. The monthly average and $99^{th}$ percentile of $O_3$ concentrations were the highest in June. The increase in $O_3$ concentration was the greatest in early summer (May and June) before monsoon season began. While the concentrations of NO and NOx have gradually decreased since 2000, $NO_2$ remained unchanged. As a result, $NO_2/NO_x$ ratio increased from 0.5 to 0.73 in 2012. The monthly $NO_2/NO_x$ ratio was the highest in early summer, when monthly average $O_3$ concentration was the highest. It suggests that the enhanced $NO_2/NO_x$ ratio is intimately coupled with increase in $O_3$ for the last two decades in Suwon.

Clinical characteristics of obese boys and girls in a high school: focused on abdominal fat indices, fatty liver and carotid intima-media thickness

  • Oh, Jung-Eun;Jung, Ji-Young;Kim, Hae-Soon;Hong, Young-Mi;Yoo, Jung-Hyun;Song, Young-Whan;Jung, Jo-Won;Kim, Nam-Su;Noh, Chung-Il
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제54권7호
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    • pp.292-297
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: Our study aimed to evaluated sex differences in clinical features of obese high school students. Methods: One hundred three obese high school students (body mass index [BMI]${\geq}$85th percentile) and 51 control students (BMI<85th percentile) were enrolled in this study. Anthropometric measurements were performed. Fasting serum glucose, insulin, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, total cholesterol, triglyceride, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and high-sensitive C-reactive protein were measured. Abdominal fat thickness, degree of fatty liver, and carotid intima-media thickness were measured by ultrasound. Results: In control and obese groups, waist circumference was significantly longer in boys but body fat mass was Significantly higher in girls. In the control group, total cholesterol and LDL-C were higher in girls. In the obese group, however, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase and triglyceride were higher and HDL-C was lower in boys. Preperitoneal fat thickness was significantly higher in obese girls. In obese group, the degree of fatty liver was significantly higher in boys. Carotid intima-media thickness was not significantly different between boys and girls. Conclusion: Obese adolescents had distinguishable sex differences in body measurements, metabolic abnormalities, abdominal fat thickness and fatty liver. We can infer that these characteristics may extend into adult obesity.

Express Train Seat Discomfort Evaluation using Body Pressure and Anthropometric Data

  • Park, Se Jin;Min, Seung Nam;Lee, Heeran;Subramaniyam, Murali;Suh, Woo Sung
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.215-227
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    • 2014
  • Objective: The purpose of this study was to evaluate Korea's Honam express train's first- and second-class seat discomfort by using pressure measurement, subjective discomfort rating, and physical compatibility. Background: Over the years, the demand for an express train service is continually increasing. A comfortable ride is important to achieving passenger satisfaction. A train seat plays a significant role in fulfilling passenger seating comfort. With this in view, a field survey and pressure measurements were performed on the selected train seat. Method: The pressure ratio at the body-seat interface (thigh and buttock regions) was measured by the pressure mat system. The interface pressure ratio was calculated and compared. The subjective discomfort rating scale was used to evaluate the subjects' overall feeling. The dimensions of train seats were analysed according to the anthropometric and demographic characteristics of the population data from Size Korea. Results: The results highlighted that the interface pressure ratio was greater while participants sat on the second-class seat than the first-class seat in the left- and right-side thigh regions. Also the pressure ratio was greater for the participants in the 1st~25th percentile height groups (149.8~160.8cm). The subjects rated higher discomfort for the second-class seat than the first-class seat. The physical compatibility results showed that the second-class seat's breadth was inadequate for the 95th and 99th percentile male. Conclusion: Overall, interface pressure measurement, subjective discomfort score and physical compatibility results showed that the second-class seat was more uncomfortable for the passengers than the first-class seat. Application: The adopted methodologies could be used to measure the seating comfort of the train seats.