• 제목/요약/키워드: percentage average error

검색결과 89건 처리시간 0.025초

증발량 산정을 위한 입사태양복사식 비교 (Comparison of incoming solar radiation equations for evaporation estimation)

  • 임창수
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.129-143
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    • 2011
  • In this study, to select the incoming solar radiation equation which is most suitable for the estimation of Penman evaporation, 12 incoming solar radiation equations were selected. The Penman evaporation rates were estimated using 12 selected incoming solar radiation equations, and the estimated Penman evaporation rates were compared with measured pan evaporation rates. The monthly average daily meteorological data measured from 17 meteorological stations (춘천, 강능, 서울, 인천, 수원, 서산, 청주, 대전, 추풍령, 포항, 대구, 전주, 광주, 부산, 목포, 제주, 진주) were used for this study. To evaluate the reliability of estimated evaporation rates, mean absolute bias error(MABE), root mean square error(RMSE), mean percentage error(MPE) and Nash-Sutcliffe equation were applied. The study results indicate that to estimate pan evaporation using Penman evaporation equation, incoming solar radiation equation using meteorological data such as precipitation, minimum air temperature, sunshine duration, possible duration of sunshine, and extraterrestrial radiation are most suitable for 11 study stations out of 17 study stations.

디지털 위성통신 시스템에서의 오류 성능 추정 (Estimation of Error Performance for Digital Satellite Communication)

  • 여성문;김수영
    • 대한전자공학회논문지TC
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 2008
  • ITU-R 권고서 S.1062에는 디지털 위성 시스템에서 준수해야 하는 성능 목표를 명시하고 있는데, 이 성능 목표는 비트 오류 성능을 시간율에 따라 오류 버스트 당 에러의 평균수를 나눈 값으로 주어져 있다. 이러한 성능 목표 값은 시스템에서 사용하는 오류정정부호 방식에 따라 달라지는 값이다. 따라서, 임의의 디지털 위성통신 시스템의 안정적인 운용을 위해서는 사용하고자 하는 오류정정부호 방식에 따라 성능 목표를 계산할 수 있는 방법이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 권고서 ITU-R S.1062에서 정의된 디지털 위성 시스템의 성능 값을 추정하는 이론식을 유도하고, 여러 가지 오류정정부호에 대하여 시뮬레이션된 결과와 비교하여 본 논문에서 제시한 방법이 유용하게 사용될 수 있음을 보일 것이다.

태양광 에너지 예측을 위한 SVM 및 ANN 모델의 성능 비교 (Performance comparison of SVM and ANN models for solar energy prediction)

  • 정원석;정영화;박문규;이창교;서정욱
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2018년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.626-628
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문에서 기상 데이터를 사용하여 태양광 에너지를 예측하기 위해 기계학습 모델인 SVM(Support Vector Machine)과 ANN(Artificial Neural Network)의 성능을 비교한다. 장 단파 복사선 평균, 강수량, 온도 등 15가지 종류의 기상 데이터를 사용하여 두 모델을 생성하고, 실험을 통해 최적의 SVM의 RBF(Radial Basis Function) 파라미터와 ANN의 은닉층과 노드 개수, 정규화 파라미터를 도출하였다. SVM과 ANN 모델의 성능을 비교하기 위한 지표로서 MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error)와 MAE(Mean Absolute Error)를 사용하였다. 실험 결과 SVM 모델은 MAPE=21.11, MAE=2281417.65의 성능을 달성하였고 ANN은 MAPE=19.54, MAE=2155345.10776의 성능을 달성하였다.

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임상화학검사실에서 회수율 실험의 실증적 연구 (An Empirical Study of the Recovery Experiment in Clinical Chemistry)

  • 장상우;이상곤;송은영;박용원;박병옥
    • 대한임상검사과학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.184-188
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of the recovery experiment in clinical chemistry is performed to estimate proportional systematic error. We must know all measurements have some error margin in measuring analytical performance. Proportional systematic error is the type of error whose magnitude increases as the concentration of analyte increases. This error is often caused by a substance in the sample matrix that reacts with the sought for analyte and therefore competes with the analytical reagent. Recovery experiments, therefore, are used rather selectively and do not have a high priority when another analytical method is available for comparison purposes. They may still be useful to help understand the nature of any bias revealed in the comparison of kit experiments. Recovery should be expressed as a percentage because the experimental objective is to estimate proportional systematic error, which is a percentage type of error. Good recovery is 100.0%. The difference between 100 and the observed recovery(in percent) is the proportional systematic error. We calculated the amount of analyte added by multiplying the concentration of the analyte added solution by the dilution factor(mL standard)/(mL standard + mL specimen) and took the difference between the sample with addition and the sample with dilution. When making judgments on method performance, the observed that the errors should be compared to the defined allowable error. The average recovery needs to be converted to proportional error(100%/Recovery) and then compared to an analytical quality requirement expressed in percent. The results of recovery experiments were total protein(101.4%), albumin(97.4%), total bilirubin(104%), alkaline phosphatase(89.1%), aspartate aminotransferase(102.8), alanine aminotransferase(103.2), gamma glutamyl transpeptidase(97.6%), creatine kinase(105.4%), lactate dehydrogenase(95.9%), creatinine(103.1%), blood urea nitrogen(102.9%), uric acid(106.4%), total cholesterol(108.5), triglycerides(89.6%), glucose(93%), amylase(109.8), calcium(102.8), inorganic phosphorus(106.3%). We then compared the observed error to the amount of error allowable for the test. There were no items beyond the CLIA criterion for acceptable performance.

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기상 변수를 고려한 모델에 의한 단기 최대전력수요예측 (Short-term Peak Power Demand Forecasting using Model in Consideration of Weather Variable)

  • 고희석;이충식;최종규;지봉호
    • 융합신호처리학회논문지
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2001
  • 특수일 부하를 예측하기 위하여 BP 신경회로망 모형과 다중 회귀모형을 구성한다. 신경회로망 모형은 패턴 변환비를 이용하고, 다중회귀 모형은 평일 환산비를 이용하여 특수일 부하를 예측한다. 주간 피크 부하예측 모형에 패턴 변환비를 이용하여 짧고 긴 특수일 부하를 예측 한 결과 주간 평균 오차율이 1∼2[%]로 나와 본 기법의 적합성을 확인할 수 있다. 하지만, 패턴 변환비 방법으로는 하계의 특수일 부하 예측은 어려웠다. 따라서 기온-습도, 불쾌지수 등을 설명변수로 하는 다중 회귀 모형을 구성하고 평일 환산비를 이용하여 하계의 특수일 부하를 예측한다. 평일만의 예측 모형과 예측 결과를 비교해 보면 월 평균 오차율이 비슷하게 나와 이용한 방법의 적합성을 확인하였다. 그리고, 통계적 검정을 통해 구성한 예측 모형의 유효성을 입증할 수 있었다. 이로서 본 연구에서 제시한 특수일 부하를 예측하는 기법의 적합성을 확인함으로서 피크 부하 예측시 큰 난점 중의 하나가 해결되었다.

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Statistical Optimization of Biosurfactant Production from Aspergillus niger SA1 Fermentation Process and Mathematical Modeling

  • Mansour A. Al-hazmi;Tarek A. A. Moussa;Nuha M. Alhazmi
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • 제33권9호
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    • pp.1238-1249
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we sought to investigate the production and optimization of biosurfactants by soil fungi isolated from petroleum oil-contaminated soil in Saudi Arabia. Forty-four fungal isolates were isolated from ten petroleum oil-contaminated soil samples. All isolates were identified using the internal transcribed spacer (ITS) region, and biosurfactant screening showed that thirty-nine of the isolates were positive. Aspergillus niger SA1 was the highest biosurfactant producer, demonstrating surface tension, drop collapsing, oil displacement, and an emulsification index (E24) of 35.8 mN/m, 0.55 cm, 6.7 cm, and 70%, respectively. This isolate was therefore selected for biosurfactant optimization using the Fit Group model. The biosurfactant yield was increased 1.22 times higher than in the nonoptimized medium (8.02 g/l) under conditions of pH 6, temperature 35℃, waste frying oil (5.5 g), agitation rate of 200 rpm, and an incubation period of 7 days. Model significance and fitness analysis had an RMSE score of 0.852 and a p-value of 0.0016. The biosurfactant activities were surface tension (35.8 mN/m), drop collapsing (0.7 cm), oil displacement (4.5 cm), and E24 (65.0%). The time course of biosurfactant production was a growth-associated phase. The main outputs of the mathematical model for biomass yield were Yx/s (1.18), and µmax (0.0306) for biosurfactant yield was Yp/s (1.87) and Yp/x (2.51); for waste frying oil consumption the So was 55 g/l, and Ke was 2.56. To verify the model's accuracy, percentage errors between biomass and biosurfactant yields were determined by experimental work and calculated using model equations. The average error of biomass yield was 2.68%, and the average error percentage of biosurfactant yield was 3.39%.

유도결합 플라스마 질량분석기를 이용한 담배 제품의 무기물 반정량 분석 (Semiquantitative Analysis of metal for Cigarette Product by Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometry)

  • 조성일;김효근;황건중
    • 한국연초학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2009
  • Semiquantitative analysis by ICP-MS has proven to be a powerful tool for fast screening, in addition, it does not require the element of interest to be present in the calibration standard, making it especially useful for the analysis of unknown samples. In this study, seven cigarette samples were analyzed by the rapid semi-quantitative analysis method based on the ICP-MS. For each cigarette sample, cut tobacco, cigarette paper, filter (before and after smoking), and smoke condensate were analyzed. The accuracy of the analysis technique was evaluated by comparing results obtained from Calibration Check Standard(CCS) and calibration method. Relative Percentage Error(RPE) value of all elements measured for three CCS showed a stable result of less than ${\pm}20%$. Compared to full quantitative analysis by calibration method, the results for cigarette samples showed average error within ${\pm}15%$.

위성통신시스템에서의 터보부호에 대한 오류성능 목표 분석 (Analysis of the error performance objective on Turbo code for satellite communication systems)

  • 여성문;김수영
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2006년도 하계종합학술대회
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    • pp.49-50
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    • 2006
  • Digital satellite systems are usually integrated with terrestrial systems to provide various services, and in these cases they should satisfy the performance objectives defined by the terrestrial systems. Recommendation ITU-R S.1062 specifies the performance of digital satellite systems. The performance objectives were given in terms of bit error probability divided by the average number of errors per burst versus percentage of time. This paper presents theoretical method to estimate performance measure of digital satellite systems defined in Recommendation ITU-R S.1062. We show performance estimation results of duo-binary Turbo codes, and verify them by comparing to the simulation results.

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특수일의 최대 전력수요예측 알고리즘 개선 (An Improved Algorithm of the Daily Peak Load Forecasting fair the Holidays)

  • 송경빈;구본석;백영식
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제51권3호
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2002
  • High accuracy of the load forecasting for power systems improves the security of the power system and generation cost. However, the forecasting problem is difficult to handle due to the nonlinear and the random-like behavior of system loads as well as weather conditions and variation of economical environments. So far. many studies on the problem have been made to improve the prediction accuracy using deterministic, stochastic, knowledge based and artificial neural net(ANN) method. In the conventional load forecasting method, the load forecasting maximum error occurred for the holidays on Saturday and Monday. In order to reduce the load forecasting error of the daily peak load for the holidays on Saturday and Monday, fuzzy concept and linear regression theory have been adopted into the load forecasting problem. The proposed algorithm shows its good accuracy that the average percentage errors are 2.11% in 1996 and 2.84% in 1997.

Predicting the Unemployment Rate Using Social Media Analysis

  • Ryu, Pum-Mo
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.904-915
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    • 2018
  • We demonstrate how social media content can be used to predict the unemployment rate, a real-world indicator. We present a novel method for predicting the unemployment rate using social media analysis based on natural language processing and statistical modeling. The system collects social media contents including news articles, blogs, and tweets written in Korean, and then extracts data for modeling using part-of-speech tagging and sentiment analysis techniques. The autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous variables (ARIMAX) and autoregressive with exogenous variables (ARX) models for unemployment rate prediction are fit using the analyzed data. The proposed method quantifies the social moods expressed in social media contents, whereas the existing methods simply present social tendencies. Our model derived a 27.9% improvement in error reduction compared to a Google Index-based model in the mean absolute percentage error metric.